Daniel Priestley: AI Will Make Plumbers Earn More Than Lawyers! (2029 PREDICTION)
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Daniel Priestley warns of a profound economic shift driven by artificial intelligence and robotics, predicting that within two years blue-collar trades like plumbing will earn significantly more than law due to AI disruption in knowledge work. While he expresses fear regarding the immediate financial risks—specifically the potential for a massive collapse caused by spending 650 billion on data centers every three to four years—he also highlights the Jevons paradox, where technological advancements lower costs and create new business models rather than simply eliminating jobs. He illustrates this with examples from YouTube replacing television content creators while generating millions of niche businesses, suggesting that AI will similarly spawn countless small software companies offering unique services like dinner parties or ski retreats alongside their digital products. The conversation addresses the rapid speed of this transition compared to historical industrial revolutions; unlike infrastructure-heavy changes in the past, AI and robotics are rolling out instantaneously via existing internet networks. Priestley notes that while traditional jobs involving repetitive tasks face displacement, new opportunities will emerge for those who can adapt quickly. However, he cautions against a "top-down" socialist approach where governments try to organize society or fix productivity issues from above, arguing instead for a bottom-up capitalist solution based on transparent price signals and market data. He criticizes current government interventions, such as student loan systems in the UK that distort markets by funding degrees with no job prospects, which he believes saddles young people with debt while eroding economic incentives to succeed within their own countries. A significant portion of the discussion focuses on the necessity for individuals to build a strong personal brand and community before AI-generated content floods the market. Priestley explains that social media is evolving from connecting friends into "algorithmic media," where attention becomes a limited resource against an unlimited supply of AI slop. He advises entrepreneurs to focus on multi-dimensional ecosystems involving books, live events, and real-world communities, which are defensible because they satisfy human needs for connection that pure digital content cannot replicate. Furthermore, he emphasizes the importance of having children as a source of genuine fulfillment, noting that many people mistakenly pour all their creative energy into business ventures hoping to find warmth there, only to realize later that biological family bonds provide unique satisfaction that proxies like companies cannot offer. Priestley concludes by reflecting on his own volatile career trajectory from age 20 to 35, characterized by a series of "boom and bust" cycles involving rapid growth followed by total failure due to negotiation errors or market crashes. He argues that these failures were not setbacks but essential learning experiences that built the rare skills needed for future success, asserting that every crushing drop teaches valuable lessons leveraged later in life. Ultimately, he shifts perspective from chasing a guaranteed "happy ending" of wealth and status to treasuring relationships and moments of triumph while acknowledging mortality; his legacy is found not just in financial structures but in small acts of kindness like voice notes left for loved ones, reminding listeners that the true value lies in human connection rather than technological dominance or material accumulation.
Read the full video transcript
I was looking at the top 10 jobs that
are most likely to be disrupted by AI,
and I really do worry about this.
>> So, the nature of the economy is
changing. For a long time, blue-collar
work like plumbers, electricians,
bricklayers has [music] been devalued.
But, it could be in the next couple of
years, these are the roles that are
elevated the most, and that plumbers
regularly earn more than lawyers. And
for the last 25 years, I've been
building companies from scratch, and
I've been through the global financial
crisis and COVID, but I have never
experienced what we're experiencing
right now. I've never seen more fear for
the disruption that is coming. And my
real bear case for AI is that [music]
every time you go on AI, your request is
going off to a big computer in a
Walmart-size building somewhere, and
those big ginormous [music] computers,
they last 3 to 4 years before they need
to be replaced. And this year ahead,
we're going to spend 650 billion, and
that could cause a massive financial
collapse. That's the thing that I'm
worried most about. However, I've never
seen more excitement for the
opportunities that are in front of us.
>> So, let's talk about in a world of AI,
what are the skills that survive?
>> really believe that everyone should
build a little bit of a personal brand.
Not like to become an influencer, but
position yourself with a group of people
who know who you are and know what you
do, and could enroll you in their
opportunity. Second one, if there's one
skill set that everyone should be
learning at the moment, it's how do
entrepreneurs think? How do
entrepreneurs behave? What are the
skills that make an entrepreneur
successful? [music]
And entrepreneurs just simply follow six
steps, and we do it over and over and
over again, and we'll go through the six
steps.
>> So, are there any particular
opportunities that you think that
anybody listening right now can pursue
to make money?
>> So, I think one of the best
opportunities is
>> That is such good advice that we don't
hear enough.
This is super interesting to me. My team
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If you do it, I'll tell you what I'll
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I've stayed true to that promise since
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help us. Really appreciate it. Let's get
on with the show.
>> [music]
>> Daniel,
I think we're living in the most
interesting,
opportunistic, terrifying time to be an
entrepreneur, a professional, to really
be anybody, because this is a moment of
such fundamental change. And I really
wanted to have this conversation with
you today, because I want to understand
how you're thinking about AI from an
opportunity standpoint as an
entrepreneur, but also just for
everybody that's working in a normal job
and who is at risk of having their their
career, their livelihood, their
identity, their qualifications made
redundant, because there is now an alien
amongst us that can do so much. So,
this conversation really is about giving
people answers. It's about being honest
with them about what's coming, and it's
about preparing them, setting them up so
that they have an advantage
in the face of the future we face. So,
give me the 30,000 ft view.
>> Well, my background for the last 25
years has been building companies from
scratch, and I've been through the
dot-com, and I've been through global
financial crisis, and I've been through
uh Brexit and COVID. I have never
experienced what we're experiencing
right now. I've never seen more
excitement for the opportunities that
are in front of us, and I've never seen
more fear for the disruption that is
coming. We are living
transformational times that is very
similar to 250 years ago where the end
of the agricultural age ended and the
beginning of the industrial age began.
>> I would argue that it's more significant
cuz there's two forces that kind of keep
me up at night. The first force is
AI which is you can think of it as just
the replacement of the human brain from
a sort of productivity standpoint. And
then the other is robotics. And the
problem is they're coming in at the same
time. And I was watching I don't know if
you saw this the other day.
>> yeah.
>> So I'll put this on the screen for
anyone that's watching the video right
now. But this is a demonstration that
took place in China of how advanced
their robots are. And I had to check
multiple times to make sure that this
wasn't fake. They are doing backflips
and landing perfectly on their feet. And
so when you combine intelligence with
the disruption of our physical form, our
muscles, our body, our ability to pick
things up and move them through through
time and space,
it begs the question like where do we
>> Where do we fit in to all of that?
Strangely, there's something called the
Jevons paradox. And the Jevons paradox
is a paradox where when we think
something is going to completely disrupt
the way that we uh live and work, it
often has the opposite effect. We
thought that YouTube was going to
completely wipe out television. And it's
true that Hollywood lost tens of
thousands of jobs, but YouTubing created
500 to 600,000 jobs at the same time.
And it used to take 150 people to make a
a TV show or a movie, and now it's five
to 10 people making YouTube videos as a
little team and they can have a wildly
successful YouTube channel. With the
Jevons paradox, if we currently said
that in order to have a successful
software company right now today or in
the last few years, you needed to have
10,000 customers and you needed to have
a team of 50 people and you needed to
raise 1 to 5 million dollars to get a a
software company off the off the ground.
If all of a sudden the cost and the
commitment drops dramatically
to have a software company and you only
need 500 customers to work it to make it
work and you only need two people on a
team to make it work and you only need a
tiny bit of funding to make it work.
What happens is like YouTube channels,
you can end up with literally millions
of tiny little software businesses that
are super successful for five to 10
people and they do something niche and
they do something special. They don't
look like traditional software companies
either. So a traditional software
company would just do the software
whereas these little software companies
might do software plus they might do
dinner parties where the clients get
together. They might have an annual ski
retreat. They might have a podcast and a
YouTube channel that goes with it and
all of that could be done by five to 10
people using AI tools. So the Jevons
paradox would basically say that there
is millions of unmet needs
and that those unmet needs are not
explored because the cost to explore
them is too high. But because the cost
to explore those has come down, then now
we can actually have millions of
businesses that never existed that we
didn't even know we needed to exist.
>> I was sat here the other day with Dara
who is the CEO of Uber. He turned around
Expedia, made it super profitable,
turned around Uber that was losing two
billion, made it generate about nine
billion in revenue, 10 billion in
revenue. And he sat there and said to me
that their 9,000 couriers and drivers
won't have jobs in the future. And I'm
so I sit and go, "Okay, so what are what
are they going to do? Are they all going
to start
businesses somewhere? Do they And also I
think one of the interesting things
about AI is the speed of transition.
With the Industrial Revolution, there's
a little bit of a delay because
infrastructure took time to build.
>> a long time to build.
>> But this is the first innovation that
I've lived through that is built
>> It's instantaneous.
>> on the internet.
>> The minute an AI learns how to be a
lawyer in one place, it can be a lawyer
in every place. The minute it learns how
to diagnose a disease in in one
location, in one hospital, it can
diagnose a disease in every hospital in
the world. So it's this instantaneous
rollout because it sits on top of a
network that already exists.
>> This is what actually Boston Dynamics
said to me. I was watching a video of
their new robot that's working in
factories. It's a humanoid robot that
can work in factories, pick things up,
move things around. They said the great
thing about robotics is if one of our
robots on a shop floor in Boston learn
something, all of our robots learn it.
It's it's wild.
So yesterday, Tesla built and they took
this wonderful photo because they built
the world's first Tesla cybercab. And if
anyone doesn't know what a Tesla
cybercab is,
it's the first ever fully autonomous car
that doesn't have a steering wheel and
it doesn't have pedals.
>> Yeah, you just hop in and there's
there's no steering wheel, no pedals.
You can't take control even if you
wanted to.
>> The cybercab is the company's answer to
vehicles like the Waymo. The two-seater
coupe unveiled in 2024
comes without a steering wheel or
pedals. It's guided by AI and
they're now making them. The first one
was made yesterday. Again, 100 over 100
million people's job is to drive and you
can get one of these now for Elon saying
$30,000
and you can rent them, lease them. You
can buy a bunch as investment assets and
set them out.
>> Set up your own fleet and connect them
to different networks like Uber and all
of those sorts of things. And the cost
to move around is going to go through
the floor because, you know, my Uber to
come here today was probably $50
and that will probably be six or seven
dollars once that is rolled out. So, the
thing that with the Jevons paradox is it
doesn't mean that everyone gets the same
job and that they get like there's just
more of exactly the same jobs. It means
that the transformation creates
exponential growth as a result of the
transformation in an unexpected way. So,
>> [clears throat]
>> growing up, my mom worked in newspapers
and there was probably half a million
people working in newspapers as
journalists and all of those sorts of
things.
And that has dropped by 80% in the last
25 years. But at the same time, the
number of people who are bloggers, the
number of people who have substacks, the
number of people
who are doing the kind of work of
journalists and actually making money as
a result of content creation has gone
100 100 X. So, uh I think it's something
like three to four times more people now
make their money in a way that kind of
looks like a journalist than there ever
were journalists prior to the technology
that disrupted journalists. So, it's not
that it's not that those exact same jobs
uh are are replicated, it's that
something similar emerges as a result.
>> I understand this and I when I read
about the Jevons paradox, I like ran it
through my head multiple times to to
understand like how it fits in different
industries. But, there is a part of me
that still thinks this is slightly
different because in the example you
gave where there was a a content
creation industry that was then
disrupted by a content creation
industry, I go
yeah, this this the skill of
intelligence was still
of human intelligence was still
rare and scarce and
only humans had it.
>> Mhm.
>> So, the disruption of got the content
creation industry to a different content
creation industry was still owned by
humans. That transition was still a
human one. But, in such a world where AI
agents can make if you go on a lot of
social media platforms, I shan't name
which ones, it's just pure AI slop now.
>> Yes.
>> It's just people's agents churning out
content that they haven't touched or
done anything about. And then I was I I
started saying to you uh before we
started recording that what we're going
to experience and what I think a lot of
people don't fully embrace about this
idea of becoming a content creator for a
living or building a personal brand is
when you look at some of the graphs and
I'll throw the graph from the Financial
Times article on the screen, there's now
a plateau of people spending time online
for the first time in history, well, in
the first time in internet history. Gen
Z especially were the first generation
to plateau
>> Yeah.
>> in their time spent. But, the amount of
content, the amount of AI agents, the
amount of people that are now choosing
to make to do content as a living is
exploding.
>> Yes.
>> So, you have a supply and demand issue
where there's a set amount, really like
a set amount of hours, cons sort of
consumption hours, and then you have
this huge exponential explosion in
available content because a kid in
Mumbai
>> Yeah, the attention is a limited
resource.
>> But content is
>> And content is unlimited.
>> No.
>> Yeah, and more so. So, AI slop is just
rolling in and it's also AI slop doesn't
do it justice. Some of my favorite
things to watch is AI generated. I'm
enjoying AI. So, think about it a little
when it comes to personal brand, think
about it a little bit like an airport
that the airport has got this fog
[clears throat] that is rolling in. If
your airplane is already above the fog,
then you you can continue to fly. But if
your airplane is not taking off already,
then the fog is going to keep you on the
ground. So, like for example, you've
invested so much into your personal
brand
and people will come along to see you
live and they would love to go to dinner
party series that you know, [snorts]
involves you and they there's a whole
community around Doac, right? So, all of
those things means that your airplane's
already up in the air, you can continue
to fly. But if you were starting 2 years
from now or a year from now or maybe
even 6 months from now and you weren't
smart about it, there's just too much AI
generated content, you won't get
traction. You won't get you won't get
that lift-off moment the same way. That
opportunity is coming to an end because
of that AI generated content.
>> What I'm seeing in the algorithms, we do
some data analysis every year on the
variance of performance of pieces of
content we produce on different
channels. Now, I've been making social
media content for 15 years, so I have a
bit of a sort of a mental history of
like every year us doing this this
particular data analysis to see the
variance between the worst thing we post
and the best thing we post. And this
year we did the same we ran the same
analysis with my data science team led
by Austin in my team to see if the
variance between the worst thing we post
and the and the best thing we post is
getting bigger because what that kind of
is a proxy of is is the algorithm caring
less and less and less about how many
followers I have and is it caring more
and more and more about whoever posts
the most interesting thing today, which
is if I was building a social media
company and my primary objective was to
retain people, I wouldn't care if you
have two followers and Steven has 500
followers, I would just care about who
posts the best thing.
So, we did that analysis and it's Oh,
it's an almost perfect graph that looks
like this.
And this is the variance increasing.
>> Yep.
>> Which actually means that okay, Steven's
taken off from the sky, but every day I
wake up increasingly, it doesn't matter
what I did yesterday.
>> What we've seen is the end of social
media and the birth of algorithmic
media.
>> Interest algorithms, we call them.
>> Yeah. So, social media was all about
connecting with your friends and finding
out what your friends are doing.
Um, and algorithmic media is just
finding out what the algorithm thinks
that you should be watching today. But
with that said, there's this
multi-dimension to it, which is you've
got books, you've got live events,
you've got the podcast, and it's the
multi-dimensional angle that actually
really sets you apart. The creators that
just simply want to put a piece of
content on YouTube and get paid through
AdSense revenue, and that really simple
that one-dimensional model, that's
coming to an end. But the creators that
have a community and they meet up in the
real world, all of that is is part of an
overall ecosystem that is very
defensible. Because one, you know,
people want all of that packaged up
together.
>> Why is it fundamentally defensible from
if we think about first principles or
human Maslovian needs?
>> Let me give you a big answer to that,
which is if we go back in time to the
agricultural age, farmers had to know
when was a good time to plant the crops.
And then they had to go out and toil the
soil and put the seed in the soil. And
the soil did most of the value creation
in the economy. At the end of that
process, the farmer had to know this is
the day to harvest, and then we need to
harvest that, and we need to turn it
into something and take it to market.
And AI is very similar, which is that
it's very good at doing the middle to
the middle. It's not good at knowing
what to do in the very first instance or
knowing when to stop and how to take it
to market. So, the the entrepreneur's
job is to do step one and two, let AI do
steps three to eight, and then do steps
nine and 10,
and to basically have a coherent,
cohesive view as to what you're trying
to get the AI to create.
>> Theoretically though, I could I could
ask an AI agent to think about the goal
that would benefit me the most and make
as many AI agents as it needs to to
fulfill that goal. And then it would
make start one business and then it
would start another business.
>> Start lots of different businesses.
>> Start another business, build another
website, contact a supplier.
>> I think what you're into here is two or
three steps ahead of yourself where
you know, all of this is theoretically
possible, but we haven't seen those kind
of examples happening yet, right? We
haven't seen whether
that will ultimately unfold. I'm not
saying it won't. I think we are moving
into a completely new economy. Like like
when you lived in the agricultural age,
it was completely like unbelievable to
you what the industrial age would have
looked like. Like it's beyond all
comprehension if you had an agricultural
age mindset to imagine factory
production or coal production.
>> And the thing the principle there that
allows you to see what the future might
look like when it's exponential and not
linear is imagining any rate of
improvement. And so this is how I think
always in my business is when I'm
thinking about which bet to make, I
imagine if there's just 5% rate of
improvement per quarter,
eventually this happens.
>> Mhm.
>> And so with
some things we've done on the show, we
started two years ago and for the first
18 months it didn't work. And then six
months ago it exploded because
eventually the rate of improvement got
to the point where it was viable.
>> Yeah.
>> And now it's the single most important
disruptive thing we've ever done.
And I think about what I the example I
just gave there of agents. I'm like, if
you just imagine any rate of
improvement, just imagine 1% a year. And
it obviously is way more than that, but
imagine 1% a month. Eventually we get to
a point where a team of agents
>> If nothing disrupts it, one thing that
is very likely to happen
in the next three years is the whole
thing comes crashing down.
It doesn't financially to make any sense
to build the data centers that we're
building.
>> But you're not saying that AI is going
to disappear.
>> itself is remarkable,
but the financial model just makes no
sense whatsoever at the moment.
>> At the moment, which is kind of typical
of boom bubbles, right?
>> So, over the last 180 years, there have
been infrastructure build-outs that have
bankrupted the economy consistently
again and again and again. In fact,
there's a pattern.
Whenever we spend more than 3% of the
overall GDP of the economy on an
infrastructure build-out, it bankrupts
the economy briefly for 10 years, right?
So, this happened when we did railway
tracks. In fact, it happened twice in
the UK and twice in um the USA. Then, we
bankrupt ourselves putting the
electrification grid in place. We
bankrupted ourselves putting uh highways
in place. Now, there's something that
makes this worse than ever before.
And that is that when we built train
tracks, they lasted for 100 years. When
we built roads, they lasted 50 plus
years. The telecommunications uh
fiber optics, 30 years. All of these
investments were multi-decade
investments that we could get benefit
from and and and leverage for decades.
Data centers last 3 to 4 years before
they need to be replaced.
So, we are building something that has a
3 to 4-year life cycle that costs
hundreds of billions,
and it has to be replaced every few
years. And there is no financial model
attached to this that justifies it at
all. So, one thing that I'm
predicting is that in 2029, 100 years
after the Great Depression,
we will see a a massive financial
meltdown based off the back of these
data centers that have been um developed
at the moment.
>> And for someone that doesn't know what a
data center is?
>> So, it's like a big Walmart or an
airport filled with computers,
and those computers are running AI.
Right? So, every time you go on AI,
you're actually you know, your request
is going off to a big computer in a
Walmart-sized building somewhere, but
those GPUs, those uh computer stacks,
those big ginormous computers, they are
like iPhones. They last about 3 years
before they get superseded. This year
ahead, we're going to spend 650 billion.
650 billion sounds like so abstract.
It's the equivalent of giving every
single person in America an iPhone Pro
with AirPods.
But here's the crazy thing. 95% of
people who have been given the the free
iPhone
are not willing to pay for it.
And the tiny number of people who are
willing to pay for it, they're only
willing to pay $20 a month, most of
them. So, this $20 a month, everyone's
getting a free iPhone effectively, and
then a small 5% of people are willing to
pay $20 a month. The numbers are just
astronomically out of balance.
>> The numbers are astronomically out of
balance. So, what happens next? You're
predicting in 2029 there's a financial
crash.
>> There's not a 0% chance that the
financial model around what the what
we've launched with AI
is catastrophic. It's a huge financial
problem that very few people are talking
about.
>> So, let's talk about in a world of AI,
what are the
skills
that survive? And like what what are the
professions that you believe survive? If
you've got children, Daniel,
when when they come to you and they say,
"Dad, um I'm hearing about all this AI
stuff and I've seen these robots in
China doing backflips,
what should I be learning now to make
sure that the next 20, 30, 40 years of
my career is prosperous?"
>> It's the entrepreneurial skill set that
is the most important skill set. It is
essentially the skills of identifying an
opportunity,
prototyping fast and cheap experiments
to see if you've got something that
people want,
taking it to market, making your initial
sales, scaling up to your addressable
market, and then exiting, and then
coming up with a new idea. Because even
if you're in a big corporate, they're
going to want to prototype things,
they're going to want to spin out new
products, they're going to want to come
up with new initiatives, and we need to
step through that process of is this a
good idea or not? Can we validate it?
Can we scale it? Right? And you want to
go through that process as fast and as
cheap as possible the way an
entrepreneur would.
>> And on that first point of identifying a
good idea,
now, is there any way to know if the
idea that I have is a good idea or a bad
idea?
>> Yeah, this is a step that entrepreneurs
call validation. And the rookie
entrepreneurs that fail, they don't do
this step very well, right? So, they
don't do market validation. They don't
do product validation. They simply get
excited about an idea and then they go
all in on the idea. And what really
experienced entrepreneurs do is that we
come up with ways to do fast cheap
experiments. So, for example, last year
I had two ideas and I I actually kind of
liked one a lot and I liked one a little
bit. And what I did is I set up a
waiting list campaign and I basically
invited people to join the waiting list
for idea number one.
And about 750 people joined that waiting
list and they filled in a set set of
questions so that I knew that 750 people
were interested in this idea. This was
my favorite idea.
And then the second idea, I invited
people to join that waiting list
and 4 and 1/2 thousand people joined
that waiting list. [laughter] So, even
though this wasn't my favorite idea, it
was way more exciting for people and
it was sitting on top of a much bigger
need. So, off the back of collecting 4
and 1/2 thousand people on the waiting
list and collecting all the data and the
information, we went to some angel
investors about a week later after doing
that and we raised quarter of a million
pounds, so about 3 or 400,000 dollars.
And all of that took about a week or
two.
>> With that example, how do you know that
the business itself
and the delivery of that idea actually
meets their expectation? Because I can
think of multiple examples where someone
clicked on an idea that I had, but
actually the delivery of that idea fell
short of expectation. Because sometimes
things can sound good when you you see
the flyer or the poster or the advert,
but the reality of the experience is
actually not that great.
>> So let me walk you through the six steps
quickly. Step one is called founder
opportunity fit.
And founder opportunity fit is finding
something that you want to do. Step two
is validation, right? So this is where
we actually try and see, is there a
market? Could we could we build
something? Could we sell something?
Right? So that's two validation, can we
build it? Can we sell it? Step three is
called product market fit. And this is
the next step where you're actually
trying to figure out, can we actually
make this live up to people's
expectations so that they really like
it? Is there a group of people who buy
this and they're happy with the
purchase? And we want to do that
carefully and cheaply.
And then finally, once people say oh or
the next step, once people say yes, we
can do that, we go to market, and go to
market is making sales.
And then after going to market, we scale
up, right? Step five. And then the final
step is we exit. So we go through those
six steps, and we call that a value
creation loop. And that value creation
loop goes through those six steps, and
each step has its own little job, and
what we're trying to do is just
validate, go to the next step.
Achieve the milestones, go to the next
step.
And and that's how we do it as
entrepreneurs.
>> So in a world of AI, are there any
particular opportunities that you think
are um
new and exciting that anybody listening
right now could pursue to make money,
whether it's passive income on the side,
or to leave their current role and
pursue entrepreneurship for?
>> Well, the starting point is that
everything is an opportunity. Because
what do entrepreneurs do?
We find things that could be done
better, faster, cheaper, or with more
emotional benefits.
>> But has AI created any particular
interesting opportunities in your view
that you think that's a a huge arbitrage
opportunity?
>> one of the best opportunities is a small
SaaS company. So software as a service
was an elite-level business opportunity
that very, very few people could enter.
That was something that only maybe tens
of thousands or hundreds of thousands of
founders at most globally could have a
software company. So, it was very very
elite. And the reason it was elite is
because it was very very hard to
mobilize the talent required to build a
software company. You probably needed,
you know, maybe 10, 20, or 30
developers to build a software product
that would actually be a good software
product. You needed to raise millions of
dollars to get through the costs of
developing software companies.
And you probably needed 10,000 customers
to have a break-even software company.
Now, because of AI, all of those costs
have massively come down. And there are
software companies that are wildly
profitable that have 500 customers or
1,000 customers. They service a tiny
little niche. They attach a community
and some media and some training to
those little software niches. So, one of
the most exciting things is that if you
essentially said
that I would like to take what I know,
turn it into a playbook, take that
playbook, ask AI to advise me on what
software we could create, and then use
AI tools to build out that software,
you're able to get very deep into that
journey for almost no money.
>> I was thinking about this the other day
because in my company we're rebuilding
our entire ATS ourselves.
So, an ATS is basically the system you
use when you recruit people. Everyone's
name goes into the ATS. It's kind of
like a
uh like a search engine. Yeah, like a
database of where candidates who have
applied for your company currently are.
And over the last couple of years I've
paid tens of thousands of dollars every
year for an ATS for my companies. And
this year I thought, you know what,
actually I reckon we could build an ATS
in a couple of weeks ourselves. And it
could be bespoke to us. So, we started
that project. I saw the the first
version of it yesterday. We started a
week ago.
And the first version the the
the version of it I saw was like, "Oh,
this is significantly better than what
we were using before because it's
bespoke." And this made me think about
the the opportunity of creating software
generally, which is that in a world
where it becomes, as you say, like
cheaper, easier, faster, we're all going
to be using more software,
but we're probably not going to be
paying
other people
for their software, especially when it's
these kind of tools, productivity tools
and systems.
>> purely a tool, it's very easy to
replicate. But, if it's a tool that
comes with a community, if it comes with
education and training, if it comes with
agents that
>> Education and training?
>> Yeah, so like for example, if you were
to do an ATS, right? An applicant
tracking system or a hiring tool, and
you had the Doac
system and method that I can go and
attend the training as to how you
onboard people, how you create culture,
how you do things at Doac, I'm now
interested in the software because it
comes with that exciting training. If
there was also a boot camp that I could
go to that was attached to that product.
If there was also an annual retreat or a
dinner series. If there was also some
funding opportunities that came with
that. So, once upon a time, you were
just simply going to focus on creating a
software tool because that was so labor
intensive, and also it had a natural
moat or protection around it that you
didn't have to get creative. But, now we
live in a world where the AI lets you to
build the product pretty quickly. It
helps you to do all these other things
that we talked about.
And suddenly it's actually a quite a a
fun product that you that you can spin
up. What you've already created would
have probably cost 500,000 and 6 months.
>> Oh my god, 6 months, I wish.
>> that long ago.
>> Yeah, it would probably cost it would
have probably taken about 18 months
total end-to-end.
>> And you've done it in a week.
>> Yeah.
And so, everyone else can do it in a
week. And in fact, if anyone if that's
anyone's business right now, there's
going to be a thousand new ATS systems a
day. One's going to trend on Twitter.
You know, people are going to download
that one, then they're going to jump
ship because a new one emerges and it's
better, it's more genetic, whatever. And
so again, I think are we seeing software
generally become a commodity?
>> What we're going to see is we're going
to see all business opportunities be
like YouTube content. I mean, if I went
back 25, 30 years ago and said there's
going to be 10 person unfunded little TV
studios that produce content every
single week for almost no money,
you you would think that's crazy. I
mean, Seinfeld used to cost 5 million an
episode. Um
The Simpsons and Friends, these were all
multi-million dollars per episode.
And we've now replicated that that can
be done
like by a tiny little team for free
every week.
>> It's interesting cuz the minute we say
that the answer is to do these things
that are easy and free and cheap to do,
it's almost like we we then don't
acknowledge the fact that if everyone's
doing it, it's no longer a valuable
thing to do.
>> It's less valuable.
>> Yeah, as it becomes easier, the other
access is the decline in the value. So,
we're saying we're saying to people, "Go
be a content creator." But, the very
fact that they can without needing a
CNN-size skyscraper production equipment
also means everybody can, which means
that that that actually is losing value
at the same rate that it's becoming
easy, theoretically. And And so, what I
continually think about from first
principles is what is it that I can bet
on that is irreplaceably human, which
only I can do and a kid in Mumbai cannot
do. And so, when we say software, I go
kid in Mumbai. And then we say content,
I go kid in Mumbai.
>> Well, uh physical experiences in the
world real world. So,
standing on a stage and telling your
story is something I mean, you already
see that thousands of people show up to
see this and to be part of to be in a
room with other people who are sharing
an experience. See, the thing that the
AI version of you can't do is turn up to
an event.
>> I agree. So,
I I say what I say because I genuinely
want to be challenged here. I I'm I sit
here with these AI experts and CEOs
because I genuinely I hope that they say
something that
tilts the current belief that I have and
like makes me go, ah, actually, you
know, that's a good point. I'm in search
of good points on the subject matter.
So, when I said what I just said about
content software becoming increasingly
commoditized and because it's becoming
commoditized, we're like tempting people
to go do more of it without
acknowledging the fact that the very
fact that people are doing more of it
means it's less valuable
and it's more of a commodity and
>> What I'm saying though is that these
things have to go together. So, simply
like anyone who's doing real-world
experiences, I think you what's going to
happen is you'll go to a conference and
that conference will come with custom
software that lasts two or three weeks
that is really, really interesting and
it relates to that conference and that
software was created as a SAS product
for the attendees of that conference and
it kind of pops into existence very
briefly. These things used to be
separate and now they all cluster
together, right? So, it's a buffet of
things that you all put together.
If we take most successful businesses
now, they do social media. That used to
be a standalone business. It was crazy
to think that a hair salon could also be
a media business. I've met with tens of
thousands of entrepreneurs and the
number of people who want to go big is
tiny. It's a fraction of the
entrepreneurial community. What most
people want is a business that provides
an amazing lifestyle. They want to live
and work from anywhere. They want to be
able to travel. They want to do three or
four days a week. They want to drop
their kids off at school. They want to
uh do non-monotonous, interesting work
that is a little chaotic, a little
creative, a little bit fun, a little bit
challenging. They want to work with a
small group of people that they get to
know and enjoy and travel through life
together.
And those are the types of things that
the majority of people actually want.
Very few people actually want big. So,
one thing that I'm noticing is that it's
probably harder than ever to build a big
business, but it's easier than ever to
build a small, successful business. So,
if we were to say that a business that
does 1 to 5 million of revenue with a
team of 10 people, that is like totally
like super
possible. But once you go beyond that,
it's becoming harder and harder because
you get disrupted more frequently. So
you have to be an elite athlete of
entrepreneurs to withstand the constant
disruption and and
the the constant change that's coming.
So because your natural mindset is to
think really really big,
you're probably missing
that for many people who are working in
a annoying corporate environment and
their job is monotonous and they feel
tethered to a desk or they feel tethered
to a team that that doesn't really care
about them.
You know, a lot of those people are
going to actually end up in small
dynamic little businesses that will
never be big, but they'll be great.
They'll be fun. You know, and people you
know, have flexibility and they'll have
you know, great you know, great
opportunities as a result.
>> I think you're right. I do have a bias
towards trying to find, you know, big
opportunities. But actually, I think the
big blue ocean opportunity, which is for
anyone that doesn't know, I think of red
oceans from the the book called blue
ocean strategy, as very competitive
>> Hyper-competitive.
>> horrible markets where it's like a race
to the bottom. You're all doing the same
thing like
you're all saying the same thing, doing
the same thing, and you all think that
your unique positioning is is unique,
but it's actually not. The market
doesn't value any differently. Like a
wine company saying that their wine is a
year older or that using a fancy word on
the label. It's a red ocean, a
bloodbath. A blue ocean is an
uncontested waters where you have room
to grow, much less competition, and
there is actually something fundamental
to your proposition, your business idea,
the thing that the value you're giving
to the world that is unique. I'm looking
for blue oceans.
And yes,
I will try and build a big boat in the
blue ocean cuz that's my nature. But
also, life is easier when you sail in
blue oceans for everybody. Even if you
want a lifestyle business, I think one
of the great examples at the moment is
if you started a a marketing agency when
I started one in 2014, especially a
social media agency, you were in the
blue ocean.
>> You were, briefly.
>> Briefly. And they say, you know, blue
oceans often last for 10 years. In 2024,
my best friends, I'd say 70% of them run
marketing or brand agencies.
>> Yeah.
>> I'm having the same same therapy session
with them once a month at the moment.
And if you look at the big five, big
four, big five agencies in the world,
the WPPs, Martin Sorrell's business,
they're all
>> They're all competing on the way their
margins and they're struggling, yeah.
>> They're losing their profit, they're
losing their market share.
>> and AI and digital technology means that
this disruption cycle happens in months,
not years anymore. So, you said a blue
ocean can last for years or decades, not
in the world of AI. In the world of AI,
as soon as we've identified that you've
got a blue ocean, we can replicate that
real fast, and we can come and fly out
to your blue ocean with with an with
lots of competition. Here's something
that's interesting.
Throughout all of history, whenever you
find societies that have low social
mobility and hyper competition,
there's lots and lots of festivals. So,
you go into medieval times, they've got
a festival for every season, they've got
a festival for every life event, there's
just constant festivals. You go into
rural Africa, rural India, and it's
festivals, festivals, festivals, right?
Weddings, funerals, seasonal festivals.
It's a huge part of human culture that
we have lost in big cities. Like, we
don't do a lot of festival or rare it's
rare that we do a lot of festivals.
These real-world experiences. But, I
don't necessarily think it's a blue
ocean because
uh as soon as people realize how much
people want to do festivals and want to
do real-world experiences,
a lot of companies can also add this to
the mix. I think what is defensible is
community, experience, and embracing the
constant chaotic change, and coming up
with new stuff all the time.
>> One of the bets I'm making, and it goes
back to what I like again, reasoning up
from first principles,
if the question is, what can I do that
an AI agent or AI could not do, and
especially in the context of what humans
will continue to need.
>> Mhm.
>> When you were born down, you were born
with a bunch of needs. And those needs
like fundamentally haven't changed. One
of them is like connection.
>> Mhm.
>> I think you'll always be able to discern
what is real human connection from
artificial connection. I remember being
16 years old and in my psychology class
at the back when they told me about the
rhesus monkeys experiment where they got
a rhesus monkey, this little small
little monkey. They pretended that its
mother was a wire mesh. So, they made a
wire mesh mother. The rhesus monkey
grows up to be a psychopath
because it's its fundamental human need
of connection is not met. They then did
it with a a cloth and the rhesus monkey
grew up to be a bit more stable.
And then obviously they show the
examples where the rhesus monkey
actually had a physical flesh
mother and it was it was fine. So, I say
this to illuminate the fact that we have
fundamental needs that if not met, there
will be consequences. One of ours is
connection. So, as a content creator, I
can sit here and I can tell you what
happened today. Right? I can say at 6:00
this guy broke into this bank and then
he left.
I think that's a commodity now.
>> Mhm.
>> I think the thing that I can do as a
podcaster, as a behind the scenes
content creator, as a streamer,
>> Mhm.
>> this is why I'm so bullish on streamers,
is they're making irreplaceably human
content. There's no AI that can An AI
can tell you what men what happens in
menopause. An AI can't tell you its
experience of menopause.
>> Yes, we need to find something that only
we can say as humans. And every single
person has this, by the way. But a lot
of us overlook what we can say as a
human. I recently came across a
financial planner and his name is Matt
Pitcher.
And he gave a TED Talk. And the TED Talk
is about what it was like for him to
meet
100 people who'd won the lottery. So, he
had a partnership as a financial planner
with the British lottery and every week
someone wins the lottery and then he
goes in and meets them a week later
after they've discovered they've won the
lottery.
>> Wow.
>> But what he did did is he looked back at
his history and he had lots of different
things that he was doing, but he looked
back at his history and he connected
some dots and he said, "Hey, wait a
second, there's something that only I
can talk about. There's something that
is that is my thing that I've
experienced that I lived through, that
I've sat in those living rooms, I've sat
eye-to-eye with those people and only I
can talk about that." And because of
that TED Talk, he's he's had half a
million views in the first few weeks and
you know, his business is obviously
going to explode and all of those kind
of things because he found something
that only he could say.
I believe that every person has
something that's human that only they
can say that's highly relatable. You
shared with me an interesting philosophy
when we first met. I did my first
episode on Diary of a CEO and it got
millions of views.
And I said to you, "Why is it that my
episode got millions of views, but a few
weeks ago there was a billionaire CEO
who only got a few hundred thousand
views and a few weeks before that there
was a billionaire CEO who only got a few
hundred thousand views." And you said,
"Daniel, relatable beats impressive."
>> Yeah.
>> And a lot of people think that they have
to cure a cancer or launch a rocket to
Mars or that they have to win a Nobel
Peace Prize or float a company on the
Nasdaq. And actually, each individual
person we have to discover what I would
call your personal intellectual property
or your personal intellectual capital.
And your personal story, your personal
playbooks, you know, your your triumphs
and your disasters, the things that
you've done that are interesting to a
certain group of people that you can
quantify, that you can describe, that
you can give me what it was like, those
are your personal playbooks. Now, once
you have personal playbooks, you have
the ability to turn that into all sorts
of products and services through AI. But
you but it starts with having personal
playbooks.
>> I think this is the key mistake that a
lot of content creators are um making,
which is because it's easy to make stuff
now, well, it's tempting just to churn
stuff out.
>> Yeah.
>> Whereas I'm making less content
now in a world of AI. If you look at my
LinkedIn, I used to post
>> [laughter]
>> if you go back like three or four years,
I was just churning stuff out, writing
quotes, pictures, Anything fluffy, like
just fluffy.
>> Full of data.
>> Yeah.
>> Now I go, "What if everyone can do it?"
The reason why my LinkedIn you'll see
almost every post I post now is a human
story about something I've gone through.
You'll see photos of me, you'll see
photos of my family.
>> The same stuff that only you can say cuz
you lived it. Yeah. So, we all have to
find what is the thing that only you can
say.
>> And
no robot, no AI could ever say that
because it hasn't lived that experience.
>> Yeah, it's got all the data, it's got
all the knowledge, but it's got no lived
experience. And also, from a business
perspective, an AI can never stand on a
stage. An AI can never host a dinner
party.
An AI can never meet someone
face-to-face and put their hand on their
shoulder and say, "Hey, I've been
through what you've been through and
you're going to be okay." Right? So, all
of those things AI can't do. So, once
you discover something that only you can
say, it it becomes a superpower.
>> I think my best performing post this
year was actually me proposing to my now
fiance. But
it's a prime prime example of something
that is irreplaceable human.
>> Yeah.
>> Just getting down on one one knee and
telling another human being that you
love them. There's no AI that is ever I
mean, listen.
>> experienced it.
>> Yeah, exactly. So, and there's something
so human about that.
>> It's relatable. It's not impressive,
it's relatable.
>> Um from first principles, I ask myself
which type of content am I making is
creating that the strongest parasocial
relationship with the person on the
other end. If I post on my LinkedIn,
"Everything happens for a reason." Am I
How much have I moved the needle on our
our relationship, my relationship with
you? Probably zero. If I talk about
something more human, some struggles
that I'm having
from a human perspective, if I'm more
honest, authentic, and open, or
vulnerable about the experience I'm
going through. Like streamers who sit
there for 7 I almost said I think Did I
say this last time that I I asked a
streamer a couple of questions?
>> And I asked the streamer, like, "What do
you do?" And he's like, "Oh, nothing. I
just
>> there and stream.
>> 7 hours, watch the duty with the
audience, and we chat." I say, "And this
is a prime example of parasocial." They
actually talk to you. They go, "Chat,
let me know if you think X Y or Z. Chat,
drop W's in the chat." That's a friend.
>> It's what it is, isn't it?
>> thing to a friend. It's the strongest
parasocial relationship.
>> said about the football game where the
loudest cheers in the audience came for
those streamers who were just connecting
with people.
>> They've built friendships, basically,
with their audience. So, of all I think
in a world of AI where just
informational content, which is this
thing happened or this is what the gut
microbiome is, is going to become
commoditized. The thing that isn't
commoditized is content that creates
relationships with audiences. And then,
as you say, then converts that
relationship into stronger experiences
like IRL events and so on and so forth.
I've got a couple more ideas that I
haven't fully shared with the world yet,
but I'm just I'll wait for the right
time
about all of this stuff.
>> So, it's not one piece that is adding
the value. It's the ecosystem of pieces.
So, it's having something to say that
only you can say. Let's call that your
personal playbooks. Let's call that your
personal intellectual property. It's
having the people or your community that
you're going through life with, right?
Let's call that your ideal customers,
your ideal personas, if you want to
click make it a clinical definition of
in marketing speak.
That that gives rise to a personal
brand. When those two things touch, you
then end up with a personal brand,
right? As if by magic, you end up with a
personal brand cuz you've got
intellectual property and you've got an
ideal customer who connects with that.
And then, you you are the person who
embodies it. So, you you give rise to
that. And then, the question is, well,
how do you make money from that? Well,
you productize it. Yeah, you create
products and services.
And it's the product and service
ecosystem that makes money. It's not one
product or service. It used to be that
you could just have a a product or
service that you offer. And now, it's
the product and service ecosystem. The
people that I see making the most money
at the moment, they don't do one thing.
You don't do one thing, right? So, if I
look at your personal P&L,
you've probably got 27 different ways
that money came and hit your bank
account last month. There's speaking,
there's podcasting, there's AdSense
revenue, there's sponsors, there's
shareholdings in different companies
that you've got.
There might be some one-to-one coaching
that you might have done. There might be
an appearance fee, there might be some
book royalties, there's multiple books.
There might be some software that you've
launched. So, there's all this stuff.
That sounds crazy and chaotic in a
pre-AI world, but in a post-AI world,
it's not that hard to create all these
different products and services and to
be launching different things and to be
going on a journey with people and
having a product and service ecosystem.
I'm the same, by the way. I've probably
got 20 different things that
you know, that I'm involved in at any
given time.
>> I was reading yesterday that the for the
first time I mean, I was reading a few
things. One of the interesting things I
read is that Spotify said their best
developers haven't written a line of
code since December, thanks to AI, which
again is a whole another conversation.
Maybe we should touch on that. What are
the
occupations that you genuinely believe
won't exist 5 years from now as we know
them?
People say lawyers are going to be
disrupted.
>> Well, well, I recently had a law legal
case that I had to resolve and it was
going to cost us £50,000,
so $60,000
as I start the process with a law firm.
We took matters into our own hands and
we used Claude and we actually fixed the
process and resolved the process by
spending 20 a month, $20 a month and
Claude gave us a coaching session on how
to handle it, gave us multiple decision
tree pathways, gave us the documents
that we would need, gave us an Excel
spreadsheet of do say this, don't say
this in the negotiation. And it made me
realize, my goodness, what are lawyers
going to do because if all they do is
charge for time for money to regurgitate
contracts, I don't need that anymore,
right?
>> Multiple reports say legacy legal tech
and data firms have lost roughly 20% of
their value so far in 2026.
>> 280 billion was wiped off the value of
publicly traded companies like that in
the last week.
Like it's wild.
Um, because we're not going to need
that. I don't believe we're going to
need these business models as they
currently stand. I think they're going
to have to change and adapt. I think a
lawyer needs to take a completely
different shape, part business coach,
part lawyer, part prompt engineer.
They're going to be the key person of AI
in the room who the lawyer's job will be
to work with you on your AI prompting
and help you get the resolution. You're
probably going to need a lot less of a
lawyer's time.
Blue-collar work has been devalued and
we've seen people who work with their
hands and people who turn up to your
house and fix your house in a devalued
role. And it could be in the next, you
know,
couple of years, these are the roles
that are elevated the most and that
plumbers regularly earn more than
lawyers simply because the nature of the
economy has changed. One thing I've
learned over the last 25 years is the
pendulum swings.
Things that very few things stay the
same. There is always this swinging
pendulum and the swinging pendulum is
like, oh yeah, white-collar work behind
the screen is the high-value thing. Oh,
no, it's actually blue-collar work with
your hands. You talked about supply and
demand.
We dis- the government disrupted the
natural way children go out and find
opportunities in the world by making
university loans come along. They said,
oh, everyone can just take out a
university loan and go to university. In
fact, you must and you should go go to
university, get yourself in debt or else
you'll never get a job anywhere if you
don't do a university degree.
And lots of young people who should have
been plumbers, electricians, and
concrete-ers, and bricklayers went off
and became a mas- got a master's degree
in the mating habits of butterflies and,
you know, some random degree that
doesn't have a job attached and they
ended up in 60, 70, 80,000 dollars worth
of debt to get this degree that no one
was asking for. That market distortion
means that we now don't have many
plumbers and electricians and the blue
ocean is now being a tradesperson.
>> There's a phase a lot of companies here
where they're no longer doing the most
important thing, which is selling, and
they get really bogged down with admin.
And it's often something that creeps up
slowly and you don't really notice until
it's happened. Slowly momentum starts to
leak out. This happened to us, and our
sponsor Pipedrive was a fix I came
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>> Steve, what are you doing?
>> Uh just making myself a delicious
coffee.
>> From the freezer?
>> From the freezer? You've not heard about
Cometeer?
>> No.
>> Oh my gosh. This is going to change your
life.
Couple of months ago, the founder of
this business called Matt sent a big
shipment of this coffee to our office in
London. What most people don't know is
that the processing of coffee takes out
a lot of the taste. So, what they do is
they flash freeze it at the optimal
moment when it's most tasty. And they
send you in the post the coffee in these
little frozen ice cubes. Now, Matt sent
a big shipment to my office. I moved it
to the kitchen. I said to the team,
knock yourselves out. And then I saw so
many messages in our Slack channel of
people going, "Oh my god, what the hell
is that? It's so delicious." All I have
to do is pop it out in the morning using
the little button on the back of this
thing. I pour my hot water in, and I mix
it,
and that is done. You can get $30 off
your first order of Cometeer coffee if
you go to cometeer.com/steven.
Try it and please Instagram DM me,
LinkedIn me and let me know if you love
it as much as I do.
I was looking at the um
top 10 jobs according to AI that are
most likely to to be disrupted and it
said things like drivers with McKinsey
estimating 30% of them will be automated
by 2030, customer service representative
and call center reps, which I used to
be.
>> Mhm, same.
>> 50% head count reductions after AI
rollout according to some estimates come
up go up to about 80%. I actually saw a
tool on my timeline yesterday that is
real human voice indistinguishable from
humans that's just launched and is
causing a huge stir. So that they're
thinking that will replace even more of
the customer service roles. I I did
speak to the CEO of Klarna. TLDR as he
said, we currently have 7,000 employees.
We're going to be able to get down to
3,000. He said after summer because of
um
AI and we'll be using our existing team
members that are in customer service
roles to do more sort of bespoke white
glove VIP
>> VIP stuff will go up in fact Jevons
paradox would suggest that a lot of the
dehumanizing repetitive work will go
away. But actually, if there are AI bots
that are really good at setting
appointments for a VIP human person to
have a conversation, then that work will
go through the roof. Because one of the
reasons that people like right now most
companies wish they could have more VIP
conversations, but the appointment
setting they don't have a lot of the low
level appointment setting stuff
happening. And if the appointment
setting stuff, if the cost of that goes
to zero, then the the the the
affordability of the VIP level treatment
um becomes
you know, becomes uh much more feasible.
>> Retail cashiers, admin assistants,
bookkeepers, and payroll clerks, sales
development reps, warehouse workers with
um Amazon and others reporting that
robots now assist or replace labor in a
roughly 40% of fulfillment tasks. And
that Boston Dynamics video, which I'll
put up on the screen, shows a humanoid
robot working in a factory.
>> What's nice about some of this is that
many of the jobs here are jobs that a
lot of people don't actually like doing.
They are repetitive and dehumanizing.
They're late night, they're early
mornings. So, potentially
provided there is a Jevons paradox that
something happens that's more fun, more
humanizing, more interesting, more VIP,
more chaotic, and you know, all of that
sort of stuff, it could be a very
positive thing.
>> Fast food workers um
>> I I used to be a fast food worker.
>> So did I, in McDonald's. I think it was
2 days.
>> I did 2 years at McDonald's.
>> Oh, really? Because this disruption is
happening at record speeds,
where do all these people go? Because
you you know, even in examples, oh, they
could do AI labeling. They need to be
upskilled and trained. And I worry that
the rate of disruption isn't going to
meet the rate of creation of new
opportunities.
And I really do worry about this. Like,
I think people wonder why I have these
conversations on this podcast over and
over again. My philosophy to talk having
conversations on this podcast is
basically I'll say to my team, I'll say,
"Steve, do you want to have a
conversation about
you know, this particular subject, the
gut microbiome?" I'll say,
"We've covered it."
Which basically means I'm no longer
curious.
>> Yep.
>> I have the answers. I know about the
trillions of gut micro and I know how
the gut brain access. Let's move on.
>> Yep.
>> I keep having these conversations about
AI because I feel like I'm getting no
good answers.
>> Okay, so here's what's interesting.
There is something
which you have, which is this elite
mindset, which is how do I organize
society
so that everyone gets a job and everyone
does stuff, right? And this is this is
the trap that many people have fallen
into. And it's actually at the root
cause of socialism. So, the root of
socialism is that I know better than
everybody else, and I will come up with
a way of running society so everyone
gets looked after. That's the top-down
mindset.
The crazy mindset that actually works is
if we give people education and training
and we make opportunity transparent and
we actually let people know what's
actually happening in the market and we
give them price signal data, they will
self-organize and reorganize and they
will have a bottom-up revolution and
they'll find amazing interesting things
to do.
The money is in the economy, right?
>> true?
>> That's called capitalism.
>> I know, but
>> Capitalism works.
>> In the UK, let's take the UK as an
example cuz we're all just screaming at
each other about brown people. We're not
talking about the the real alien which
is like the fundamental economic
disruption of AI.
>> Yeah. There's a report that came out
yesterday showing that unemployment in
the UK has hit
>> It's 25% up and youth unemployment has
grown by more than 25%.
>> It's like 16.1% of people that are
between 16 and 24 are unemployed now.
>> Yeah.
>> And we're still not talking about the
the economy, we're talking about brown
people.
>> When people feel that they can't get
ahead, they look for somebody to blame.
And this is historically consistent.
What is really happening is that the
government has become so big in the
economy. The The UK government is now 45
to 50% of all spending in the UK
economy. That's essentially a socialist
or it's getting socialist.
Every amount of government spend is a
market distortion. Regardless of what
it's for and I'm saying there are plenty
of things government should be spending
money on, but all government spending is
a market distortion. It's not market
driven and there is a monopoly on spend,
so therefore it is a market distortion.
The more government spending you have,
the more market distortions you have.
>> What do you mean by market distortions?
>> So, a market distortion is where the
markets are not really able to function
because there is some big organization
like the government spending money and
taking away price signals and taking
away the realities of the market. So, a
a great example is what happened with
student loans. So, rather than what in a
capitalist society, what would have
happened is that young people would have
heard, "Oh my goodness, there's a
shortage of bricklayers. Have you heard
that bricklayers are making £300 a day?
Wow, I would love to make £300 a day.
I'm going to go be a bricklayer. I Guess
what? It's a bricklayer's apprentice.
I'm going to go and be an apprentice.
I'm going to get paid to learn this
trade and there would be a market-driven
pull towards being a bricklayer.
A young person would get a job at a bank
and the bank would say, "Hey, couldn't
we please pay for you to do a finance
degree because we need more people
who've got a finance degree and we will
actually pay for you to go through
that." So, that's a functioning market.
It's basically based on needs and wants
and things that are needed within the
economy. What the government did is they
created a what's called a market
distortion. They said to all young
people, "We are going to give you as
much lending as you like to go out and
take whatever university courses you
want. There's no price data. There's no
signaling data. It's just you if you
want to borrow 50,000 pounds, you can go
to any course. If you're really
interested in the breeding habits of
butterflies, go and do a master's degree
in that. And um
you know, happy days, right? You you
could It doesn't matter whether there
are jobs associated with it. You must go
and get a university degree. So, they
set up an entire system that pushed
young people to go get 50,000 pounds
worth of debt and do a degree that no
one was asking for. That's a market
distortion. We now have a bubble of over
280 billion pounds worth of debt that
will probably never be repaid. We have
an entire generation of young people who
are saddled with this debt that takes
away all motivation. There's no point in
working because they pay such high
taxes. Every single time they make a
payment to pay off their student loan,
they they pay 600, but the debt goes up
by 650.
Right? It's It's absolutely insane. And
that's a classic example of government's
meddling with the markets, creating a
market distortion and now we have
hundreds of billions of dollars worth of
people who are very angry, very upset
because they are trapped in a student
debt that will not go away for decades.
>> Rishi Sunak, the former Prime Minister
of the UK, wrote an article last week
which you might have seen where he said
that if the UK fails to fix its
productivity problems and seize the AI
opportunity, the country risks becoming
a tourist theme park.
>> Yeah, and not even a good tourist theme
park. You know, there's there's
you know, there's not a lot, you know,
at least a lot of other countries have
beaches and mountain ranges and ski
resorts and you know, the UK doesn't
have a lot of that. We have to let
markets function. The issue that we
have, and this is this is actually a
trap that you're falling into, is trying
to figure out top-down how do we
organize society, which is socialism,
right? The top-down approach of trying
to fix this problem for everybody is the
socialist mindset. And it does it
doesn't work, right?
>> the Prime Minister
>> Yeah.
>> and you you can see the future that's
coming,
>> Yeah.
>> what would you do?
>> So, the number one thing the UK needs to
do is reduce government involvement,
right? We need [clears throat] to get
the government spending down less than
35%.
>> Where'd you cut?
>> Right. So, the key thing that you need
is that you need Well, there's loads of
places to cut, right? Like getting
involved in trying to do wind farms and
solar farms and all of this 40 billion
and all this other stuff, preventing
companies from accessing natural gas
that is just sitting under our feet is a
crazy thing to do. Spending 20 billion
trying to give away one of our islands
to someone is a crazy thing to do.
There's all sorts of crazy things that
the government is spending money on.
Bureaucracy is a crazy spend. Do you
know that the Birmingham City Council,
they wanted to migrate from SAP to
Oracle.
>> What's that?
>> From a CRM system with SAP to a CRM
system with Oracle, a software system,
right? So, they wanted to migrate from
one software system to another software
system.
They thought that it would cost 19
million pounds, which in itself is a
very high amount to migrate from one
software to another software. It cost
220 million pounds.
>> So, you're saying that that you think
the government should just do less
stuff.
>> They should be involved in less stuff
because what's happening right now
is that there is so
much government spending that the
benefits for succeeding are being eroded
by taxation and people are just leaving.
See, here's the thing. There's
with capitalism, the only benefit of
capitalism is the creative
entrepreneurial process, right? That
creative entrepreneurial process that
produces amazing companies and amazing
innovations and it creates stuff that is
better, faster, and cheaper for
everybody's lives. That comes from
capitalism.
But if you take away the incentives for
doing that, you essentially don't have
that happen within your country and then
as soon as you don't have that, you
don't have any economic growth. And then
as soon as you don't have any economic
growth, all you're left with is the
debt.
And the debt erodes your economy and
kills your economy and you don't have
any growth to counterbalance the debt,
so you enter a downward spiral. And that
is basically the same socialist scam
that happens over and over again
everywhere that it's tried. You're
essentially trying to get rid of the
worst elements of an economy, which is
cronyism and extraction, but that
happens under socialism. You just simply
lose the one thing that doesn't happen
under socialism, which is the creative
process, the entrepreneurial process,
the innovative process that creates new
value in the economy.
So, what we've currently done in the UK,
we've taken away all incentives
for people to be in the UK and to
succeed. I'm sure you know people
personally who are no longer in the UK
as tax residents, who should be in the
UK as tax residents. They like the UK.
They enjoyed living in the UK, but what
happened?
They left. You and I had a a debate with
a guy a year ago and he said, "Oh, no,
people are not going to leave the UK. We
can tax them as high as we possibly can.
We can ramp up the taxes."
>> Gerry Stimpson?
>> Yeah, Gerry Stimpson. And Gerry's
prediction was that rich people are not
going to leave and he also predicted
that the house prices are going to
explode and that we're going to have
these horrible house prices. What's
happened? Housing market has gone flat
because people are leaving.
The economically active, producers,
providers, they have left in their
droves and the economy is now in real
trouble. If you ask anyone who has left,
what do they tell you is the reason that
they left the UK?
>> Well, it's one of two things. It's
generally I think they feel a sense of
pessimism about building their future in
a place that it that feels like it's on
managed decline to some people.
And then the other cohort will say tax
reasons.
>> High taxes and and it just feels like
you can't get ahead.
>> And also the third I'd say is they they
think that talent is elsewhere. So they
think they have a better chance of
getting capital and talent employees if
they move to America or Dubai or
whatever else.
>> Yep. And if you go to Dubai, low taxes.
And if you go to America, lower taxes.
Um more opportunities. So we are living
in a time where, you know, a lot of
countries are exploring this socialism
thing and unfortunately it's a scam. But
even what's interesting is that even
your mindset is we need to fix this
top-down as opposed to fix it bottom-up.
With AI, we need to give people price
data, price signals.
>> What does that mean?
>> It means that they need to be able to
see what's happening in in the economy.
A young person needs to know that
someone's making a lot of profit. They
need to be able to see there is
opportunities to do this, there's
opportunities to do that. They need to
also see, oh this is no longer an
opportunity. So this was great This was
a great opportunity 5 years ago but it's
not such a great opportunity now. A lot
of young people are going to discover,
oh wait a second, I could get into house
renovations because a lot of houses need
renovating and they go, oh cool, I've
heard about someone who's making money
doing that. I'm going to go do that. So
that's just having access to price data.
>> When I look back [snorts] over the last
couple of years data from Henley and
Partners in 2023, it says 3,200
millionaires net left the UK. In 2024,
9,500 millionaires net left the UK. In
2025, projected 16,500
millionaires are expected to leave the
UK which is a record outflow. And
[snorts] predictions that have not yet
been published warn that the trend is
likely to continue into 2026.
When you think about this, like I guess
there's two questions which is, why does
this matter?
>> Mhm.
>> And then the next question is, what
should I do about it? On an individual
level.
>> Um so, why does it matter is because 1%
of people pay for 30% of the bills and
uh 10% of people pay 60% of the bills.
So, if those people leave, then those
bills get passed on to everybody. We've
seen this here in New York. So, we're at
the moment we're in New York and this
socialist mayor, Mandani, has basically
just come out today and said we need to
put everybody's taxes up because we need
to spread the bills of the city across
all the residents um because people are
leaving, right? [laughter]
So, he wants to propose a 9.5% tax rise
on all people uh who are who own homes
regardless of the value of those homes.
So, essentially, when rich people leave,
they leave behind a lot of bills that
everybody else has to pay that they were
previously paying.
>> In his February 2026 preliminary budget,
New York Mayor Sorohan Mandani proposed
a 9.5% property tax increase to address
a projected 5.4 billion budget
shortfall. This proposal acts as a last
resort alternative to his preferred
plan, which was increasing taxes on top
earners and corporations to fill the
revenue gap.
Hm.
>> He [clears throat] promised free stuff
and he promised that everything was
going to be paid for for free.
Nothing is free. Someone has to pay for
everything. If the rich people leave,
there is not people who can pay for all
the free stuff and that's what New York
is suddenly discovering.
So, why does it matter? Because rich
people essentially create the growth.
They are the high tax payers.
Whichever way you want to say it or
discover or discuss it, it is a small
group of people who pay a lot of the
taxes. You don't want those people to
leave the economy. What do you do about
it? The number one thing to do about it
is you need to identify the the
that's right for you. That's called
founder opportunity fit. What you're
looking for is an opportunity
where you can earn money no matter where
you are in the world. If you're
somewhere that you don't perhaps like
being for any reason, you can pick up
and move. Um so, the best kind of
businesses and the best kind of
opportunities at the moment are the ones
that are not geographically limited to a
particular city.
>> It says that in New York, personal tax
income remains pretty strong, but
business tax collections have started to
soften. Recent reports show they are
roughly $378 million lower than
initially projected as business
formation slows down in New York.
>> Yeah. It's the same story. We've seen
this
over and over again. Um socialism is
like a hot stove that every generation
has to touch for themselves.
That essentially every generation of
young people, they think they've
discovered something new. They think,
"Oh my goodness, what if we just go to
the rich people and take it off them and
give it to everybody else, and we'll
redistribute the wealth?" And even
though it's been tried for 180 years
since uh Karl Marx came along, uh it
just doesn't work. It it it is a
disaster, and it ruins economies over
and over and over again. And trying to
offer lots and lots of free incentives
without any productivity gains is a
downward spiral.
>> What's your bear case for the future of
AI?
>> Well, the bear case is that we have
something called the Engels' pause. The
Engels' pause is what happened in the
industrial age, where for 50 years all
the wealth went to the top uh because of
the new technology of the
industrialization. When we went from
agriculture to industrial age, that new
technology displaced so many people that
there were revolutions off the back of
it.
>> I mean, this is going to be even faster
and more disruptive.
>> Yeah, it's very disruptive. Yeah.
>> I said this once before in a
conversation I had about AI, but I went
to my friend's accelerator in San
Francisco,
which used to be a software accelerator.
And when I walked in there and went
around, he has, you know, so hundreds of
entrepreneurs in there building stuff. I
was like, "Why is everyone building
robots?" He was like, "Oh, because" and
he showed me this I said this on a
couple of episodes ago showed me this
frying pan, which had an arm of arm
attached to He's like, "I could cook you
your dinner for you."
>> Yeah.
>> And I And he was like, "So, 10 years
ago,
the
expensive thing wasn't actually the
robotic arm." He's like, "All these
pieces, all these They've been around
for for decades." He goes, "The
expensive thing was the intelligence."
He goes, "Now it costs cents. Back then,
it would have cost me tens of thousands
to to build by the intelli- intelligence
that would know how to make your omelet
for you." So, he goes, "What you're
seeing now is we're actually in the the
Renaissance age of robotics."
>> Yeah.
>> And I looked around and I was like, "Oh,
there's What's that machine over there?"
He goes, "That makes your perfume for
you in the morning."
>> Yeah.
>> You tell it how you want to smell today,
it mixes It has all the scents loaded
in, and it'll make you And you can see
the making of the
>> Well, everything that is currently got a
Bluetooth in it will have intelligence
in it. So, your toothbrush will tell you
whether you've brushed your teeth well
enough and book it It'll probably be the
thing that books an appointment for your
dentist uh and all that sort of stuff.
>> I'll go even further. I'd say even
things that don't, like my bed sheet. My
bed sheets, my pillows, my mattresses.
>> And they they will all have access to
agents and all that sort of stuff. My
bear case for AI is not about the
intelligence side of things. I generally
believe that more intelligence means a
better society. Um there's never been a
situation where lots of intelligence was
a bad thing. Um so, I think intelligence
has a pretty strong bull case to it.
But, financial bubbles are a real thing,
and I've lived through a couple of them,
and what I've discovered is that they
have widespread massive impacts on all
sorts of areas of society that you
wouldn't even expect. And my real bear
case for AI is that we over-invest in
these data centers, we cause a massive
financial collapse, uh and that we wipe
out pension funds. I don't know if you
know this, but they're packaging up the
debt for these financial uh assets, and
they're selling that to um pension funds
as private credit. So, all of these huge
data centers, what they're doing is
paying 6% above inflation as a
packaged-up debt. They send it over.
Now, when they go to the pension funds,
they say, "Oh, this is backed by Google
and backed by Microsoft and backed by uh
Amazon."
And then they say, oh, you you know,
it's a 6%
financial instrument backed by these
huge companies. But unfortunately, the
mathematics of spending 600 billion a
year on something that only has a three
or four-year lifespan,
every single time in the last 180 years
that we've spent more than 3% of our
economy on an infrastructure build out,
we've ended up with either a massive
recession or a depression.
>> Did you hear the Anthropic CEO? For
anyone that doesn't know, Anthropic is
one of the large AI companies.
>> Claude.
>> Yeah, they're they're the maker of
Claude. Did you hear what he was saying
the other day in the article he wrote
about his concerns?
>> Yeah, yeah, I I saw at Davos.
>> Yeah, he wrote it just after he left
Davos.
Um, Daria Amodei?
>> Yeah.
>> He said, humanity is about to be handed
almost unimaginable power, and it is
deeply unclear whether our social,
political, and technological systems
possess the maturity to wield it. I
believe we are entering a right of
passage, both turbulent and inevitable,
which will test who we are as a species.
We are considerably closer to real
danger in 2026 than we were in 2023.
If the exponential continues, which is
not certain, but now has a decade-long
track record supporting it, then it
cannot possibly be more than a few years
before AI is better than humans at
essentially
>> everything.
>> everything. The same AI-enabled tools
that are necessary to fight autocracies
can
be turned inward to create tyranny in
our own countries. There is an alarming
possibility of global totalitarian
dictatorship. AI is so powerful,
such a glittering prize, that it is very
difficult for human civilization to
impose any restraints on it at all. And
he said this remarkable thing about in
that essay about imagining if there was
an island with 50,000
>> of geniuses on it.
>> A billion
>> geniuses on it.
>> Yeah. What would happen to society? And
I think there's I don't know. Like, you
know what? I hope I'm really wrong about
this, but when I think about this idea
that there's 50 million geniuses on this
brand new island,
and I ask myself
>> to work for free.
>> Willing to work for free. When one
learns something, they all learn
something.
>> You just take that as a first principle,
you go, "Hmm, society [clears throat] is
going to be very, very, very, very
different." And maybe all of the advice
we've been giving for the last 5 10
years about how to be successful, how to
be an entrepreneur, how to succeed in
business,
>> It's for an economy that no longer
exists. Yeah, we're we're going through
we're going from a fundamental
industrial age economy to an AI age
economy, right? That is that is
different. We will have different
economic models. We also have a problem
of aging. For all of human history,
we've had a small number of old people
at the top and a lot of young people at
the bottom, and we now have 65% of all
wealth in the economy is held by people
over 65. And then you've got the
financialized economy and the government
economy, which is inflationary. And that
they pump money in as stimulus.
So, while the entrepreneurs are making
everything cheaper, even free,
the governments are actually inflating
the economy and the financial system is
inflating the economy slightly faster
than productivity gains, right? So,
what's happening is the entrepreneurs
bring down the cost of everything, and
the governments and the financial system
top it up with new stimulus. According
to the rules that the government runs
by,
as AI creates huge deflationary impacts,
they can actually just inflate the
economy like unbelievably. They can pump
huge amounts of stimulus into the
economy. So, this whole idea of um
UBI, universal basic income, it actually
stacks up from a economic fundamentals
basics uh principles,
uh where you can actually, provided
you're getting the productivity gains
where things are costing zero because of
AI, you can actually just pump money
into the economy and give give money
away for a period of time while we're
going through that transition.
Hopefully, that prevents massive
craziness from unfolding. And hopefully,
as a result of having a huge amount of
intelligence,
we find really interesting, fun ways to
structure society and do things
we're not necessarily leaving utopia. We
shouldn't necessarily be grieving the
loss of shitty jobs and grieving the
loss of dehumanizing,
low connectivity jobs.
We have ruined
the way that we pair bond, we've ruined
the way that we do community, we've
ruined the way that families run, we've
got people working two jobs just to
survive.
Like, that's not something to be
grieving the loss of. We need a new
system. Maybe AI is going to actually
give us the breathing room that we need
to actually create a system that gets us
back to a little bit towards the way
that humans have flourished.
>> Are we going to go towards UBI?
>> It seems like in the short term that
would have to be the case.
>> So, Sam Altman's over here working to
build OpenAI, working 24 hours a day,
let's just say theoretically. Um we're
going to have to take some of his hard
work away
and give it to theoretically, we're
going to have to give it to someone who
is maybe not working.
>> Yeah.
>> And I mean Sam Altman, funnily enough,
he actually backed a study called Open
Research in 2024 that looked at the
impact of UBI and it showed that
recipients who received UBI, which is
money basically given to them, worked
fewer hours and earned less money than
the control group. Instead of using the
freedom to find better jobs or improve
their education, many participants
simply dropped off the workforce or
reduced their hours for leisure,
resulting in a net decrease in household
income despite cash payments.
>> Yeah. Humans want stuff to do. We need a
We need a meaningful struggle. We need
something that we that we're up to in
the world. And that is that is a very
difficult thing. The likely thing that I
think will probably happen is that these
data center investments will be so
catastrophic financially that
governments will have to bail them out
and then the governments will have to
own all the data and all the data
centers and then the tech companies will
have to essentially pay royalties back
to the government over long periods of
time to manage this kind of
infrastructure build out. So you'll have
to have something where the government
actually owns the primary asset and that
is the thing that pays for the UBI. I
mean we're we're kind of theorizing and
just kind of
>> We're going to find out.
>> We are going to find out.
>> It's going to be on the internet
someday.
>> The mathematics bend reality at about
2029. Once you the financial engineering
required to make this thing work, you
need something like a 45 times growth in
the number of people paying for
subscriptions and the number of
businesses like
take something that is over the last
5 10 years, there's been a product that
has gone exponential which is a Zempic
and GLP-1 weight loss drugs.
The amount of spend to build out and
satisfy that demand is actually
pretty minimal. Those companies spend
about 20% of their revenues building new
factories to produce new GLP drugs,
right? So CAPEX is about 20% of revenue.
We're seeing with the AI stuff, CAPEX is
hundreds of percent of revenue.
Right? So it is a financial feat that
we've never attempted before.
>> I've had so many founders speak to me
and say, "Why didn't this particular ad
that I ran on this platform work for
me?" Maybe the copy wasn't good, the
creative wasn't strong, but usually the
problem is they're not having the right
conversation because that ad never
reached the right person. And if you're
in B2B marketing, that is much of the
game. And this is where LinkedIn ads
solves that problem for you. Their
targeting is ridiculously specific. You
can target by job title, seniority,
company size, industry, and even
someone's skill set. And their network
includes over a billion professionals.
About 130 million of them are
decision-makers. So, when you use
LinkedIn ads, you're putting your brand
in front of the right people. And
LinkedIn ads also drive the highest B2B
return on ad spend across all ad
networks in my experience. If you want
to give them a try, head over to
linkedin.com/diary.
And when you spend $250 on your first
LinkedIn ads campaign, you'll get an
extra $250 credit from me for the next
one. That's linkedin.com/diary.
Terms and conditions apply.
We have finally caved in. So many of you
have asked us if we could bundle the
conversation cards with the 1% diary.
For those of you that don't know, every
single time a guest sits here with me in
the chair, they leave a question in the
Diary of a CEO. And then I ask that
question to the next guest. We don't
release those questions in any
environment other than on these
incredible conversation cards. These
have become a fantastic tool for people
in relationships, people in teams, in
big corporations, and also family
members to connect with each other. With
that, we also have the 1% diary, which
is this incredible tool to change habits
in your life. So many of you have asked
if it was possible to buy both at the
same time, especially people in big
companies. So, what we've done is we've
bundled them together, and you can buy
both at the same time. And if you want
to drive connection and instill habit
change in your company, head to the
diary.com to inquire, and our team will
be in touch.
Let's bring this back to back to
reality. The reality of the person
listening and the pressing questions
they have about all this stuff and what
they should do. Is there anything else
that you would give people that are
listening right now in terms of advice
to be able to weather the incoming
turbulence that the CEO of Anthropic
describes there?
>> Yeah. Look, the things that I know are
good for people is I really believe that
everyone should build a little bit of a
personal brand. So, a personal brand
means that two to 20,000 people know who
you are, they know what you do, they
know you what your experiences are like.
They could approach you about an
opportunity that would be a good
opportunity. So, build a bit of a
personal brand. Don't be invisible in
this particular time because, you know,
it is one of your assets, which is to
take some of your knowledge, some of
your playbooks, and to let people know
that that exists. So, I think build a
bit of a personal brand. Second one is
have a go at entrepreneurship, right?
Join an entrepreneurial team, do an
entrepreneurial side hustle, read some
entrepreneurial books, watch some
entrepreneurial
videos that are out there. Start the
process of thinking, "Okay, the school
system taught me to be a standardized
employee, a standardized labor.
The school system wanted me to fit in
with an office or a factory, but
actually there's this whole other way of
creating value, which is
non-standardized, called
entrepreneurship. This is spotting
opportunities and coming up with
solutions to it." So, you know,
play around with the game, even if it's
a small game. Like, you might notice
that there are dirty cars on the street,
and you might say, "You know what? I'm
going to go and knock on doors and wash
the cars and see if I can make a couple
hundred bucks in the day because I've
seen an opportunity, I've seen something
that's wrong, and I'm going to go and
have a go at fixing it."
>> A lot of founders are telling me, Mark
Cuban said the other day that one of the
great opportunities now is
catering for the gap between small
business owners that don't know how to
use AI and helping them learn how to use
AI.
>> Yeah, huge, right? Join a join a join a
founder team and help them do that.
As I said as well, 65% of all the
businesses by valuation people over
[clears throat] 65 now. So, there is a
mathematical certainty that 2/3 of the
businesses that run the economy by
valuation have to change hands in the
next 10, 15, 20 years. So, this is a
massive business opportunity.
Baby boomers want to get rid of their
businesses. They want to retire. Baby
boomers are willing to fund you to buy
their business if you present yourself
well, if you've got a little bit of a
personal brand. So, that's a that's a
huge opportunity. So, look into that.
You know, Cody Sanchez, a mutual friend
of ours, she talks to people all the
time about how to buy a baby boomer
business and and take it over and run
it. So, um, you know, that's a that's a
great opportunity. Play with these toys
called AI tools. Someone has given you a
free iPhone, which you can just use
called AI tools, um, on the free
account.
>> That is such good advice that we don't
hear enough. Because I think people
think there's where I am right now in my
life and what I do, and then there's
like Sam Altman and Elon Musk. And I can
either I'm one of the other. But
actually,
what I'm seeing as an employer who's
employing we probably employ I'd say 20
people a month at the current rate.
We're hiring 20 more people a month is
increasingly on our culture test when
we're screening who the right candidates
are, we're looking for some kind of
evidence that they're playing or messing
around with AI.
>> Yeah.
>> One of my team members
is she was trying to figure out how to
get
100 different documents
to synthesize and understand the data
within these documents.
Now, there's two types of people I can
hire to do that. There's the
old-fashioned way of doing that, where
someone might sit there for four or five
weeks and try to figure out how to get
an Excel document to have the right
formulas. And then there's her, who we
hired.
Even though she doesn't have skills in
that particular thing, she has no
experience in it.
But because of her mindset and her
agency, she went, "Hmm,
>> [clears throat]
>> maybe I could put this into Claude
co-work and ask except an agent to write
this for me."
>> By the time dessert came,
she pulled her laptop over to me and
showed it to me, and she goes, "Steven,
I ran all those hundreds of documents,
um, into this file, and I can see the
sentiment on every single post you've
made on every single social platform,
including every LinkedIn post you've
made over the last couple of years, and
we can see that actually, even though
these posts get more likes, these ones
are actually the best posts you're
doing."
She did that by dessert.
>> Yeah.
>> The And I thought there and I "Ah, isn't
that interesting? How do you find people
who have that bias in the modern world
where they lean into change?"
>> She's got curiosity, isn't it?
>> Yeah. It's curiosity, but there's also
something which is like I'm being fluid
about your identity and what you know.
>> Yes.
>> Which is she has no experience in that.
>> But I can try.
>> I can try.
>> And the one thing for anyone watching or
listening is that don't use AI as a
search tool. Don't use it the way you
used it a year ago.
Give AI your hardest problem.
And say, "Hey, help me to solve this
problem." So, for example, you might
say, "I'm really struggling with these
areas of my life. Here's all the data.
Here's all the information. Here's the
PDF documents. Here's the, you know, the
the backstory. Help me solve this. Help
me write it. What kind of piece of
software might I be able to use to to to
build here?" I'll give you a real
example. One of our team members used AI
to analyze all the sales calls for the
last 3 months and discovered a huge
opportunity. What they discovered is
that 75% of all of our sales calls,
the person who we're on the phone to
mentioned that their spouse was a
decision maker and that they needed to
talk to their spouse and that decision
making, because it was a family business
and that there was either a spouse or a
family member.
There was no point in our process where
we invited collaboration with other
family members. So, none of our sales
calls said, "Do you want to bring
someone along to the sales call?" Like,
"Would you like to have someone do
that?"
The AI analyzed it, discovered that
opportunity, wrote a script as to how to
invite people onto the call so that that
you get all decision makers on the call.
And now our sales conversions are going
up dramatically.
>> I think this is the
the real bifurcation in terms of the
employment market of what we're seeing
is certain people have a a positive
relationship to disruption and
technology and change. They get excited
by it. Whereas the others fall into
cognitive dissonance where they they get
so concerned that it's going to take out
their business that they ostrich head in
the sand.
>> Mhm.
>> And then these these other people
have this an
figure out ability. I could say to a
certain team member of mine, here's a
big problem
and they would grab onto this big
problem and even though they have no
proficiency in data or technology or AI
or claw, they will just they'll plug
away at it on a computer and they'll
figure it out and they'll use all
available tools, not their identity,
what they learned in university or their
experience as the only tool in the
toolbox.
>> That's the difference between employee
mindset and entrepreneur mindset.
Entrepreneurs see problems as
opportunities. They get excited by
problems and they apply the
entrepreneurial process
and employees say, "Hey, wait a second.
I was never trained for this. I was
never told uh how to do this. I was not
given the rule book for this. So,
therefore, I'll just ignore it. I'll
stay away from it." Because problems
it's not my problem. And this is the big
fundamental shift. We need to say, "Hey,
problems are great. We want problems
and is this problem for me? How would I
test my assumptions? How would I build
something quickly and cheaply? How would
I then test that? How would they I then
scale that?" Right? And it's just those
kind of few steps that if you embrace
those entrepreneurial steps, then life
becomes great.
>> I have a contrarian take that I think
writing is actually more important now
than ever before
because writing is a proxy of
understanding. And in a world of AI,
what I'm finding when I look at like my
innovation teams where breakthroughs are
coming from in my company, it's actually
someone had a really good question.
>> Yes.
>> So, they were like, "Could we
theoretically analyze all of our sales
calls using Claude to see if there's
something interesting in there?" Now,
that starts with someone understanding
sales calls, understanding the tools
that allow you to analyze them. They
have lots of reference points. They
understand lots of um variant things.
And that means they ask a really great
question. So, for me, one of the ways
that I've been um they've been able to
understand more things is just to write
more often about them.
>> Can I go one step further?
>> And that is a process called pause,
reflect, document. And pause, reflect,
document, if you do it correctly, you go
into nature
away from noise and away from technology
and you take a pen and a paper
and you sit in nature on a bench and you
just pause and just let some boredom set
in. You reflect on what's going on. You
try and zoom out to the bigger picture.
You do some journaling and you do some
dot connecting where you say, "What are
some of the dots that have happened in
the last 5 years? What are some of the
bigger picture impacts that I've made?
What are some of the problems that I've
struggled with? What if this was
possible? What if that was possible?"
We live in this incredible fast-paced
world where the one thing that no one
allows themselves to do is to pause,
reflect, document with a pen and paper.
And those people who I know who are
doing incredibly well are doing more and
more of this.
>> Yeah.
>> Yeah. Same. Same. See I mean, you're one
of them. You're a person who's I mean,
look at this.
>> Yeah.
>> Yeah. That this is a lot of books.
>> That's my head.
>> But you tweet every day. You post every
day. You're constantly experiencing
something in the real world, writing it
down to develop your thinking which
Richard Feynman talks about the process
of understanding where you learn
something, condense it so an average
person can understand it, then you share
it with the world to collect feedback on
that thought. He said that's the like
the fastest, best way to learn.
>> Yeah.
>> But actually in a world of AI where
ChatGPT can do all of that for me, we're
deferring our ability to sort of
condense, compress, and understand to an
AI cuz we think it's creating an
efficiency gain or a productivity gain
in the near term. Like maybe today's
email will will save you 30 seconds, but
the the tax you're paying I think is an
understanding.
>> Mhm.
>> And understanding is the is a proxy of
therefore, you know, writing great
questions. I find myself writing more.
>> Mhm.
>> I wrote a memo this I was up till 2:00
a.m. last night writing a memo
>> Yeah. Which means you were you were up
late thinking.
>> Yeah.
>> You were thinking clearly and that was
what you were really doing. A great
question I want people to reflect on. I
want them to think about the last 5
years and ask the question, "When did I
do something special
that impacted a certain type of person?
I can explain how I did it step-by-step
and how it felt,
and it would be of interest to plenty of
people."
All right? And that question contains
what we talked about earlier, which is
lived experience, feelings, playbooks,
and connecting the dots looking
backwards and actually coming up with
some things that only I can do, things
that only I can say. So, that that
particular prompt, that particular
question to sit in nature and think
clearly and memo and and document and
write a memo about it. You know, I I see
so many people and you and I have done
this over the last couple of hours. We
think so much about the future and the
uncertainty of the future, but a lot of
value comes from just looking backwards
and connecting the dots and then
thinking, "What What is it that I now
know that I want to take forward and add
value to others?"
>> Sort of adjacent to that, but related is
another thing I think a lot about, which
is
trying to get more information and
experiences from
a wide set of reference points. Because
when I think about innovation generally,
innovation is the connection of like two
ideas or thoughts or principles that
someone else hasn't put together. So, I
think about the like nonstick frying
pan. It was a guy who was fishing and
was trying to make get a material so his
tackle, his fishing tackle, didn't stick
together. And his wife walked past,
allegedly, and says, "I'd love some of
that stuff on our pans."
And that ends up selling tens and tens
of millions of nonstick pans. And even
the Even when you think about the
iPhone, that was a combination of a of
an internet device,
>> Mhm.
>> a music device, and a telecommunications
device
>> Yeah.
>> put together, which you rarely found
those three things in one space. Three
different reference points. To achieve
that, someone would have had to
understand music, the internet, and
phones. And even Steve Jobs himself, his
skill stack contains typography and
design,
>> Typography.
>> which is why why he was able to disrupt
Black Friday.
>> into a calligraphy class at university
and loved calligraphy and he was the
first company to ever have fonts and
those fonts became a huge differentiator
on the first Mac and it was only because
he had like combined calligraphy with
with with computers. He created the font
idea.
>> So maybe the future's owned by the wide
not the narrow in this regard.
>> Definitely. Become more of a generalist,
become more curious and go out of your
comfort zones, right? The the industrial
age asked us to simply specialize and do
one thing over and over. The grandfather
of capitalism is guy called Adam Smith
and he said ultimately efficiency is
about doing one thing in the process
over and over and over. But he said it's
going to destroy the human spirit. He
actually wrote about the fact that that
destroys the human spirit having to just
twist this knob over and over. That
creates the most value in the economy
but it's horrible for you as a human.
And what and he recognized that problem
from the very beginning. What we've been
trained to do is just twist the knob,
twist the knob, twist the knob, do the
same thing over and over. What we need
to relearn how to do is allow us to
become more human and say actually I'm
going to explore nature, I'm going to
explore this weird passion that I have
for
you know particular theater companies
and how they run. I'm going to go and
explore this thing about like
entrepreneur accelerators.
You know I'm going to combine things.
It's those rare combinations and you
need to trust your instincts that you're
actually pulling on a few threads and
bringing them together.
>> I
do that while still focusing on a job
etc. because I do this for a living.
So I get to sit here, you know,
someone walked in before you and they
were talking to me, you know, Alex
Honnold was talking to me in that chair
before you. That's why the little Taipei
statues behind us about you know then
you've talked to me today about this
then the next person will talk to me
about neuroscience and bringing a human
brain and that's allowed me to kind of
connect these interesting reference
points. What I'm saying here is you
don't need to like
quit your job and go and live in Peru to
to to orchestrate your life in such a
way. I think you just need to be really
intentional about resisting the urge to
be a narrow person and to identify too
much with one's identity.
And so when I left my former business,
one of the chapters I wrote in my book
is how do I now resist all my labels?
Because now I'm a social media CEO and
it's so tempting
>> Yeah.
>> to gather around social media people, go
to social media parties, put it in my
bio, get social media opportunities and
just go further and further and further
down that narrow So that's why I went
and worked in psychedelics and biotech.
I worked in cancer biotech.
I started to DJ. I started a podcast
called The Diary of a CEO. I tried to do
as many things as I possibly could to
remain wide.
>> Yeah, and your [clears throat]
superpowers are extra superpowers when
you take them somewhere new. So if
you've got social media superpowers,
within the social media bubble,
everyone's got those superpowers. But if
you go and take them into a completely
new place, you discover that actually
what you what you learned over here
becomes a massive differentiator over
here.
>> Is there anything else the audience need
to know about the big opportunities you
see as we head into the future?
>> We all want the future to be bright. We
all want the future to be amazing and we
love the idea of trying to improve the
world. One of the best ways to improve
the world is to improve your own
situation. Because the world is made up
of people who have their own situation.
You know, when we try and fix every
problem on the planet, it feels
completely crushing and feels so much
weight on your shoulders. When you
actually say, "What's my opportunity?"
Like if I could if I improve the world
by building myself a really great
business that helps a few people, it
helps 500 clients do something and if
I'm actually out there adding value in
my unique way and I'm finding a way
through this AI weird adventure that
we're going on, that's actually helping
the world, right? So you're bringing
yourself forward, you're discovering
something. I really want people to
resist the trap of trying to fix
everyone and fix everything. Try and
figure out what is your opportunity,
what is your way of adding value to
others, what is your way of getting
paid, what is your way of doing creative
entrepreneurship, what's your
contribution to the world, and that is
actually a contribution.
>> Is that
difficult to do?
Because I think it assumes some level of
self-awareness that is not always
easy.
>> If you find it difficult to do, find
someone who inspires you and see if you
can join their team.
So, that's totally a valid way to live
as well, right? Just get onto a team
where someone's figuring this stuff out.
Um, you know, follow your inspiration,
and sometimes your inspiration is to
start something, sometimes your
inspiration is to help propel something
forward. Being part of someone else's
team who does inspire you.
Self-awareness is is a skill that we all
have to learn. We're all on a crash
course with reality. Every single one of
us is on a crash course with reality.
>> There's a lot of narrative on on the
internet that everybody can live their
dream.
You know.
And I
wonder
whether every
it's good I wonder whether it's good
advice to tell everybody to like quit
their job and pursue their dream.
>> I believe that the new size of business
that makes the most sense is small and
dynamic and lean and is probably close
to 10 to 50 people.
And that is the new size of company that
is really shaking things up and doing
stuff. In fact, it's probably two to 20
people. I think that being part of a
small, dynamic, vibrant, entrepreneurial
team is a great place for people to go
and have a look and explore. Does that
mean that everyone's suitable to quit
their job and go start something from
scratch with a blank piece of paper?
Probably not, right? That's that's a
particular role called the founder. Not
everyone's ready to be a founder. In the
same way,
everyone could probably get a black belt
if they if they joined a martial arts
and stuck with it, but not everyone can
start as a black belt. That's not where
you start.
>> Even in those numbers, so if we said
everyone's going to have, you know, a
team of 10 to 50,
those numbers suggest that one in 50 or
one in 10 people are going to be a
founder.
>> Possibly, a lot more people are going to
be founders. I really believe a lot more
people are going to be founders. I also
don't think it's a wildly unnatural to
be a founder. If you go through all of
history, most people worked in little
family businesses. That was actually the
vast majority of people. But, you know,
most businesses never got past 30
people. The our natural way of being is
in family groups and tribal groups and
little groups of less than 150 people.
We've built up this idea that it to be a
founder means Steve Jobs, Elon Musk, or
something massive like that, and that
you're trying to build something that
changes the world. I've got so many
friends and clients who it's them, their
assistant, and uh someone who's like
head of customer development, and
there's three or four of them, and
they're having a great time, and they're
doing 6-700 grand worth of revenue, and
they've got loads of flexibility.
Everyone takes their kids to school.
Everyone finishes up at 4 4:00 p.m.
Um they can travel. They can live and
work anywhere. Um you know, that's
really cool.
>> This is your most recent book, Lifestyle
Business Playbooks: How to Have Fun,
Freedom, and Fulfillment with Your Own
Business.
You've written a lot of books. You could
have written a book about anything.
What's this book about, and who is it
for?
>> This book is about the times that we're
living in, right? So, what I'm trying to
do, I'm trying to give people some hope.
There's such a negative narrative that
AI is going to wipe out everything, and
that technology is going to destroy
everything, and that, you know, all all
this negativity about the times that
we're in. I'm trying to create a counter
narrative that actually, more than any
other time in history, you could live
and work from anywhere. You could have a
group of 500 to a few thousand clients
all over the world. You could add value
to people in a unique and interesting
way. You could have a career that's
based on randomness and creativity and
fun. And that there are some new rules
to play by. And that if you learn the
playbooks of entrepreneurship, and if
you learn the trends that are unfolding,
that actually, it could work out really,
really well for you.
>> A lot of people want to, you know, they
want to side hustle, they want passive
income.
What's your general perspective on the
reality of being able to generate
passive income and a side hustle?
>> I think passive income reflects people's
desire that they currently feel that
they're working really hard and they
hate work and they hate going to work
and that earning money is a horrible
thing and therefore they just wish it
would just kind of take care of itself.
The truth is that when you discover what
I call a lifestyle business where you
work a reasonable amount of time and you
have a lot of fun with great people, you
don't necessarily
as if by magic the desire for passive
income just evaporates. You go, this is
this is better than passive income cuz
I'm on a creative journey and I'm making
great money and I'm having a lot of fun
and I'm expressing myself. I think
passive income ultimately comes from
assets. It's not it's not passive
income, it's asset income.
Um, you're either going to have to
create an asset which could be a
business that is a digital asset um, or
you make so much money in your lifestyle
business that you own traditional assets
like houses or stocks and shares and all
that sort of stuff. Um, but I'm not
really focusing people on the idea of
passive income. I'm focusing on the idea
of having a lifestyle business that
supports the way you want to live
anyway.
>> A lot of people would would want that
but they're scared, right? They're
scared that they have to quit their job
and I've got a mortgage to pay, I've got
kids, so it's easier said than done,
Daniel.
>> Yeah, so that that's why in the
playbooks, playbook one is called a side
hustle or an apprenticeship. So an
apprenticeship Let's say let's say you
currently earn $100,000 a year for uh, a
really big corporate but you know that's
not your future. An apprenticeship might
be that you join four boards for 20
25,000 per each and you actually work
with some startups that are more
entrepreneurial and you take a position
where you have four companies that are
paying 25 grand. So you still earn 100
grand a year but now you've got four
smaller startups that you're you're from
and they're learning from you and you're
learning from them. So, that's that's a
version of an apprenticeship. Um an
apprenticeship could also be that you go
from working for a big traditional
company to getting a job that pays
almost as much, but with a smaller, more
interesting business that you can learn
from a founder.
A side hustle is where you do stuff on
the side, and it's open and shut. You
build your entrepreneurial confidence.
So, those are like starting points. And
then, after that, and these are not
designed to make a big leap financially.
After that, we talk about a two-person
scout team scouting an opportunity. We
talk about a four-person fire-starting
team getting something started. We talk
about an eight-person core team running
a really cool little lifestyle business.
So, it it it's not like people think
that they have to go from zero to 100 in
one jump. And it's like, "No, there are
little steps along the way that make
this really easy."
>> I think it's really important with all
of this advice to like know your nature
and to know who you are. And kind of
honestly to like know what you want from
life, which a lot of people don't. And
they're handed what they want from life
from like scrolling on Instagram or
LinkedIn.
>> Or school.
>> I need to build a $5 billion AI company,
etc.
I think I've I've noticed with myself
that I started a business,
I was really I was ambitious about the
goals for that business. And then,
you know, I ran that business for some
time.
I left that business when I was what,
20?
Maybe 20 years old, went to work in
Silicon Valley as basically a
consultant.
>> Mhm.
>> And that was okay for a time being.
But then eventually I realized that
the money really doesn't matter It's
really about like doing it with people
you like.
>> Yes.
>> And and having a challenge. So, that
then led me back into the ambitious
building businesses. Did that for 6
years, built big big business around the
world. And then left that, and then I
went through a period where I guess I
was kind of a consultant freelance-y
type guy for a while. Again,
fundamentally unfulfilling for me.
>> Yep.
>> Because going on a mission with a group
of people, an audacious mission, really
regardless of what it is, that filled me
up. It was never really about the money.
>> A lot of people discover this. A lot of
people discover that more is not better.
Uh a lot of people discover that bigger
is not more fun.
>> Do you know what else they discover?
They discover that
their idea of independence and freedom
is also not what they thought. And this
is like a quite contrarian take, but
I have more responsibility now than I've
ever had.
>> Yeah.
>> I could choose less responsibility and
more freedom, and I'd be less satisfied
and less fulfilled in my life.
>> Totally. Totally. Look at rich kids.
They've They've got everything taken
care of, and there's all this financial
resource around them, and there's
nothing for them to do. They live in a
constant state of depression. We love
responsibility. We love creative
tension. Uh we love being up to
something in the world. There's nothing
greater than being up to something, to
being on a mission. Especially with a
great group of people that you're
traveling through life with, that you're
on this rock with. Um and you find your
group of people that you want to be up
to something with, and you nurture, and
you solve, and you
get curious, and you run ideas past each
other, and you voice note it 2:00 in the
morning. You know, that's that's where
the juice is. That's where the joy is.
Um there's a chapter in there that says
know when enough is enough.
And it says that a huge part of the
times that we're in is, you know, we
live in a time of endless scrolling.
There's no queue that says you've been
scrolling long enough.
You know, go to bed. And it's same with
business, that we think bigger would be
better. Having a big bigger business,
another, you know, another product,
another thing, another uh
million would make you happier. And the
truth is it's it's not the it's normally
not the case.
>> Well, what is the case though is that we
all need increasing levels of challenge,
it seems to me. You know, this is why
crosswords get more difficult, and video
games get have levels, because they
realize through the studies that when
something becomes incrementally more
difficult, you drop into a flow state,
and motivation increases. And if it
doesn't, [clears throat] then you lose
motivation. And so I think this is why
even in my life, like, I'm striving to
make things bigger and better, because
it's actually just a proxy of like, I
want to be challenged.
>> Well, there's a couple of things. You
can either go really big with one thing,
and just be really, really focused or
you can have challenge across a
portfolio of interests. One thing that
is happening to your generation, if I
can be so bold cuz I'm just 15 years
older or whatever,
is that
you've taken all the energy that
normally went into kids
and you're putting it into business,
right? And the normal natural thing that
is meant to happen around this age is
that you're meant to struggle with a
business or struggle with a way of
providing and also struggle with raising
kids and all that sort of stuff. So
there's this reservoir of creative
energy that is
meant to be divided amongst a few
projects
and I'm seeing a lot of people that that
misplaced maternalism or paternalism
goes into just one thing and then we're
expected expecting to get the joy and
the fulfillment that would normally come
back from family and we wonder why
that's missing. You know, it's like,
"Oh, I'm pouring myself into the
creation of these companies and they're
proxies for kids." And it's like, "Why
don't I feel this warmth back?" Cuz your
biology's not wired to receive warmth
back from something other than a kid. So
this is happening because we're not
having we're not having kids. So one of
the things that
uh well, one of the things I encourage
everyone to do is have kids cuz it's
best thing ever
and to have a portfolio of interests
that you don't have to struggle to get
to a billion. You could say, "You know
what? The business bucket's full at 3
million and I'm really really happy with
a revenue of 3 million and a team of 10
and now I want to have a portfolio of
interests that includes health and
fitness or travel or teaching at a local
uh you know, youth group. You know, or I
want to play a bigger role in my
church." Like there's all these other
things that you say, "Okay, these are
the portfolio of interests that that are
are more human."
>> Lifestyle Business Playbook. Going to
link this book below for anyone that
wants to give it a read who is compelled
by the lifestyle that Dan has described
there where you can have fun, freedom,
and fulfillment with your own business.
As you know, Daniel, cuz this is I think
is your seventh time
being on this podcast, record breaker.
We have a closing tradition.
The question that has been left for you
is what fear have you overcome to become
who you are today?
>> You know, I grew up on the Sunshine
Coast. Uh
I dropped out of school or or I dropped
out of university. I've got zero
qualifications.
Um
I'm not particularly good at anything in
particular. I've got no skills.
Yeah, there's me at 21. I tell you, this
was a huge fear. Running my first ad in
the newspaper, I put everything on a
credit card just to run an ad in the
newspaper for $8,000, and it had to work
or else I was in serious trouble. I've
had a weird
25 years. I've boom busted over and over
again. Um so, I had a
massive boom in my early 20s, built a
$10 million company rapidly, and then
lost it, and then I built another
multi-million dollar business, and then
lost it, and then I got wiped out by uh
a COVID experience and had to reinvent
the business, and then I had a negative
experience with a co-founder and had to
reinvent the team. So, I've had these
kind of like huge for for the first 15
years it was boom bust boom bust boom
bust. And the fear was is that it would
never feel a sense of fulfillment. I'd
never get to a place where I I could
actually say it was all worth it.
Um and to just keep going and going and
going when I felt exhausted uh was a
massive thing.
>> And you have a family?
>> Yeah, and the fear of will I be able to
provide for the family, and the fear of
uh will my business ideas be valued by
anyone else other than myself? Am I
doing something stupid? Am I doing
something
um that will fail again? So, it's been a
lot of fear. Um
but
you know what? It's been a wonderful
journey that every time I've pushed
through that fear, we get to the other
side, and actually it's better on the
other side. It's even better.
>> Had you known how hard it would be,
do you think that 21-year-old Daniel
would have done it?
>> [sighs]
>> I don't think I had any other choice.
>> But if I'd sat that Daniel down and I'd
say, "Daniel, this is what's going to
happen in the next 20 years. You're
going to go up, and then you're going to
lose it all, then you go up, you lose it
all. And you're going to feel like this
at this moment. It's going to be the
worst day. And you're going to feel like
this, and then this, and then this.
You're going to be working hard the
whole time. Then you're going to lose
faith."
Would you have done it?
>> Secretly, yes.
And the reason for that is I kind of I
kind of like the roller coaster.
Feel like I needed to go through boom,
bust, boom, bust, boom, bust because I I
secretly didn't want a straight line.
I think I think I actually want the the
the I want the more interesting story.
At 24, I was offered $14 million for my
company,
uh and I blew it. I I screwed up the
negotiation, and we ended up all walking
away from the deal.
I think it would have been the worst
thing possible had I had $14 million at
uh
at age 24.
>> So, I've drawn a a little graph here on
this iPad. One axis is your success, and
the other axis is time.
Could you draw for me what your career
looks like in terms of success over
time, including the ups, the downs,
etc., etc.?
>> Well, if we just talk objectively, what
other people would have seen, um I do
this nightclub party, and that's
amazing. And then I go and I get a job
with a mentor, and then we build this
business that's like 6 million in its
first year, and I'm like right close to
it. And we go from zero to like 60
employees. And then I have a fight with
my mentor, and he uh tells me, "Go start
your own business." So, I go right down
to start from scratch again, and I'm in
I'm in a really negative place.
And then we get started, and suddenly
I've got myself a multi-million-dollar
business. And then the government
changes the law, and we have to reinvent
that business. And then we get a new
amazing contract and now we do a million
a month and this by the way, this is
only like age 24.
And then we screw up the negotiation and
it's right back to the start. And then I
go to London and I start a new business
and that goes really, really well,
really quickly and like one year in
we've got the Palladium Theatre and
we're doing hundreds of thousands a week
worth of sales.
And then the global financial crisis
resets the whole business and I lose the
major contracts that we have. And then
>> [laughter]
>> and then I relaunch the business and
then COVID comes along and we're by by
this stage we're in uh 11 cities doing a
couple of million per city and then I
relaunch the business as a digital
business and it goes off the scale
again, right? I'm running out of space
here. And now we've figured out, okay,
we own the assets, we own the brand, uh
we've got a great team, we've got
multiple businesses. And at the moment,
and this is around the time I have kids
as well. And it and it starts to really
uh become more stable and more fun and
uh less up and down. But that was my
starting point, up, down, up, down, up,
down.
>> And this is over the period of how many
years?
>> Uh this is this was from 20 to 35. It
was just boom, bust, boom, bust. Punch
in the face, get back up, punch in the
face, get back up. Uh zero millions,
zero millions, zero millions.
>> I say all of this
because I think
it's important to people for people to
realize the reality of what it takes and
how hard it is. And you know, often
times if we want to get you know, have a
high-performing podcast or write a great
selling book, we kind of describe it as
a linear journey. You're going to do
this, then you're going to do this, then
this is going to happen, then you do
this, stick at it for long enough and
then and then why? But actually in my
experience, the graph either looks like
a boom and bust cycle, which is kind of
what I'm seeing here in your graph, or
it looks like
nothing, nothing, nothing, nothing,
nothing, nothing, nothing, something
exponential.
>> Yeah. Yeah. [laughter]
Yeah.
>> I mean, even this podcast, if you look
at the graph, it is nothing, nothing,
nothing, nothing, nothing, nothing,
nothing, then
>> 1 million, 2 million, 4 million, 8
million, 16 million, boom.
>> Yeah.
>> And so, the question for me always
becomes like,
what would it take for you to survive
either in your story, this boom and bust
scenario,
or in many of the things I've done in my
life, this
no man's land.
>> of no feedback.
>> It takes a certain something in someone
>> Yeah.
>> to be able to weather such a storm. And
I would guess what the what is that?
You said that you said a second ago, I
had no choice.
>> Yeah, I had no choice cuz I have no
skills. I'm not good at anything. You
know, I've got friends who are good at
coding or good at editing or they're
good at designing. They've got
accounting or they've got dentistry or
something like that to fall back on. I
have no qualifications. I've got a
driver's license as my only
qualification.
Um and I'm
all I'm good at is organizing teams and
getting people in the room and getting
them excited and essentially
encouraging them to work with me and and
build something together. So, I kind of
didn't have a choice
but to keep playing the game, keep
trying.
>> And
>> And by the way, I wouldn't change any of
that. Like, there's there's no point
there where I'd go back and say,
"Actually, cuz where where where I am
now, every single one of those crushing
drops is where I really learned
something that I leverage today."
>> Actually, something I said to
someone who works in my team as my
business partner now, Jodie Gibson, when
she emailed me 2 years ago asking me to
invest in a startup,
a startup that I myself had failed at. I
basically was trying to say, "This is
not going to work,
but do it anyway,
because the actual thing of value here
might not be the million-dollar exit.
It's going to be the lessons you learn
from the failure are going to then be
leveraged, as I did at 20 years old when
I went to Silicon Valley and started
talking to people about this thing I'd
spent 2 years failing and was getting
paid $70,000 a month to talk about this
thing as a 20-year-old with no
qualifications, because I was one of the
very few people who had failed in social
media and therefore had a deep
understanding and a rare skill. You're
no longer going on BBC Newsnight or in
Forbes as the person who did this. But,
of all the things you've done in your
life, this great failing is going to be
the most valuable asset you have. And
this is what your story proves cuz every
time it goes higher
>> Yeah, it really does. Yeah, it was it
was amazing. Like
the the like I can tell you what the
moments feel like at the bottom and
they're horrible and alcohol's involved
and
you know,
like wanting to just completely hide and
you know, never be seen by anyone ever
again.
And then suddenly you go, "Okay." I
mean, I've got this friend of mine who
who's an entrepreneur who's failed
several times and he says, "You feel
like you're on a tightrope and then you
fall off the tightrope and you realize
it was only 6 in off the ground.
You know, it's not as bad as you think
and you can hop back on the tightrope
and go and you can go again." But,
every single [clears throat] time it's
just gotten better and better and better
and bigger and bigger and more more
stable and more like reliable.
>> There is another story which is
one that doesn't have the survivorship
bias cuz now Daniel, you've been wildly
successful. People walk down the street,
people know who you are. They you know,
you've got millions of people that tune
in to watch you give advice. But,
there's also a version of reality where
that wasn't the ending.
And I actually know someone who
has fought for 15 years to build
businesses all across the world
and they
they just don't have that self-awareness
piece.
>> Mhm.
>> I don't know if I'm self-aware. Like
none of us can actually know cuz that
requires self-awareness.
>> We've all got our blind spots.
>> They'll continue to stop businesses and
it's putting their family at risk now.
They go through the same boom and bust
cycle, but it never goes higher.
>> Yep.
>> And if you were to ask me objectively,
do I think they'll ever have the moment
you've had now?
You have a survivorship bias that I
have. We did something, it was hard
and then it paid off.
>> Here's the thing, there are no happy
endings.
Uh life ends
abruptly.
One thing that happens when you get a
little older
is you start discovering that actually
when when you're under 40, you think
everything ends well.
And then later on you discover there are
no happy endings. Everyone dies.
You get a phone call one day and someone
who is an amazing person has a stroke.
And that's them. That's them hit. That's
That's it. What you thought of that you
thought they'd have 20 more years and
they don't. You know, their entire life
changes.
You you're you're left with the
realization that it's just an adventure.
Sometimes
sometimes the happy ending that other
people would call as a happy ending or
an objective happy ending
is actually pretty miserable in the
middle of it. There are people who have
everything. You've met them. And
objectively they have the houses and the
cars and the private jets and all that
sort of stuff and they're not
particularly happy. They're miserable.
And then there are some people who
they lose all of that stuff, but then
they reconnect with a group of friends
and they're like happier than they've
ever been.
>> Something's
given you this insight.
>> Yeah, so someone very close to me, very
dear to me, recently had a stroke, you
know, and
>> [clears throat]
>> yeah, you realize that that happy
ending's not guaranteed. In fact, the
opposite is guaranteed. You realize
everyone everyone dies. Everyone decays.
Everyone gets old. If you're lucky, you
get old. Uh and if you're unlucky, you
don't get old. Um so you have to There
comes a point where you have to release
the idea that you're going to have this
happy ending. You're going to have
moments of triumph and moments of
disaster.
You're going to lose people. You're
going to
have everything taken from you. It's
guaranteed. Everything Everything is
taken from you.
>> How did that change your perspective,
this loved one going through this?
>> You you realize that uh
you real or I realized
that
the mental timeline of endless decades
spreading out ahead, endless amounts of
health, endless amounts of relationships
is not
it's a it's a nice fantasy that keeps us
together. But it's not guaranteed. And
then the impact for me is to treasure
relationships.
Um there comes a moment
where
I don't know if this has ever happened
to you yet but you go, "Wow, I didn't
know that was the last conversation."
Um
you don't realize this, but one of the
legacies that you leave behind not you
because you've got this body of work,
but one of the legacies that people
leave behind is little voice notes
that they leave in your phone, that they
leave in your WhatsApp.
And [clears throat]
you listen back to some of these voice
notes and you go, "Wow, I didn't know
that was a treasure. Didn't know that
was a special thing."
Um
and this particular person who got
impacted with the stroke, he was
wonderful at voice notes. He he had this
thing that he would do called "It's not
lost on me" voice notes.
And I don't even think he knew he was
saying this, but it was his one of his
favorite phrases, which was "It's not
lost lost on me." So, he'd he'd leave a
voice note and he'd say "Steven, it's
not lost on me how much you're dealing
with at the moment. And it's not lost on
me that you are responsible for a lot of
people's lives and all this and I just
want to acknowledge you." So
>> [clears throat]
>> So, he would leave these voice notes and
he did this with everyone. Like it came
out of the woodwork that everyone got
these lovely voice notes from this guy.
And um
yeah, you you don't realize, but like
literally that is a huge part of
people's legacies. You think you're
going to leave behind all this money,
you think you're going to leave behind
all of this big stuff, you think you're
going to leave behind some huge
financial structure
and in the end you leave behind some
really touching voice notes
as as one of the things that will be
most treasured if you're lucky.
>> You've been listening to the voice
notes.
>> Yeah, I have. Yeah. Yeah, really really
nice. Really really nice.
>> What is that emotion in your face,
Daniel?
What's the range of emotions?
>> Um
it's just the deeper awareness that
the the the real you know, we talk a lot
about technology. We talk a lot about
business.
But it the whole game is relationships.
>> It's very easy to get that wrong.
>> Isn't it?
>> Mhm.
>> Very easy for you to get that wrong.
>> Mhm.
>> Because [clears throat]
um
you're surrounded by such a whirlwind.
>> Mhm.
>> And
you people want so much from you.
You know, a lot of people want a lot
from you and
you think you have to lift people up
around you and you have to do this
heroic effort.
Actually
little text message, little voice note
means a lot. It's interesting.
You you for me I figured out that we're
that we're on a rock. We get a few
little laps around the sun.
That's it.
We get this we like literally pop into
existence like an electron
spinning around a a neutron, whatever it
is
and we we get we're we're on the rock.
The most valuable thing is that we're on
the rock together. Like you zoom out
enough, we're we're all just little
dots.
We're all just little dots trying to
figure stuff out. Um and we're all
trying to make sense of our own lives
and we're all trying to ignore how you
know, difficult things can be and
um but then you realize that it's just
the fact that we are moving through time
together.
But yeah, you you as I said, you hit a
point where you realize that there is no
happy ending. Unfortunately, there's
not. Uh you you you know, the the ending
is sad.
When you hit a certain age, people that
you really love get old and get old and
die. Or they get illnesses, they lose a
big chunk of themselves in one fell
swoop.
So,
um
while those moments are happy, while
you've got those happy moments, treasure
those happy moments. Really really
embrace them. Do you have any regrets in
this regard?
>> That might help me avoid having similar
regrets.
>> I really don't.
I'm really really happy that thing like
I'm really
the biggest relationships uh with my
kids
and with my wife.
And family formation
I've I've had unbelievably high highs.
Like I've been on the big boats, I've
flown on the private jets, I've had
parties in my honor, I've had big
paydays.
All of that cool stuff that people dream
of.
Family formation is where like the core
of the core of it. Like that's the core
of happiness for me.
You know, the the the intergenerational
passing of life.
Uh
which is which is kind of like, "Wow,
like that that we I think we've
forgotten how cool that is.
I think we've forgotten the idea that
you're passing on consciousness.
And that this being has their own
consciousness. They do their own thing.
They come up with their own ideas. They
have their own challenges.
Um yeah.
It's wild.
>> Daniel, thank you. We're done.
>> That was great.
>> YouTube have this new crazy algorithm
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