Centrists Fear Socialist Wins in Swing States Will Lead to a DSA President in 2028
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
The video argues that while recent electoral victories for socialists are encouraging, the left should not become arrogant or assume an inevitable path to victory by 2028. The speaker highlights a growing trend where one-third of Democratic voters identify as democratic socialists, driven largely by younger demographics, but warns that this progress faces significant headwinds from the political establishment. Specifically, right-wing factions within the Democratic party, such as Third Way, are reportedly spending millions to discredit the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) movement before 2028. Their primary fear is not a socialist losing an election, but rather winning one in swing states and subsequently seizing control of the party apparatus, which would marginalize moderate Democrats who currently hold power within the DNC and financial resources.
To prevent this shift, conservative Democrats are allegedly engaging in self-sabotage by funding campaigns designed to make progressive candidates lose midterms or primaries, thereby blaming electoral failures on the left rather than accepting responsibility for negative outcomes. The speaker draws a disturbing parallel between these modern tactics and historical efforts like COINTELPRO, where intelligence agencies used surveillance, misinformation, and infiltration to dismantle radical movements in the past. Today's establishment is adapting these old strategies to the digital age by using bot accounts to drive wedges between diverse groups on issues such as Palestine and Black Lives Matter, aiming to destroy solidarity among regular people before they can consolidate power within the Democratic party.
Consequently, the transcript emphasizes the urgent need for leftists to recalibrate their skepticism detectors and become more savvy about vetting candidates who suddenly emerge without a history of organizing or labor involvement. The speaker uses William Lawrence as an example of someone who pivoted away from DSA affiliation after winning a primary in a swing district; while some view this as strategic, the narrator argues it is dishonest because it abandons organizational support and betrays voters who helped elect him based on his socialist platform. However, the video also cautions against excessive cynicism that leads to purifying oneself into oblivion, noting that not every headline or suspicious behavior indicates a malicious plot by an intelligence apparatus or corporate lobby.
Ultimately, the speaker advocates for finding a balance between healthy skepticism and offering grace to allies who may make mistakes while learning in the public spotlight. Constructive criticism is presented as essential for growth, distinguishing it from destructive attacks fueled by social media algorithms seeking engagement through infighting narratives. By refusing to automatically assume every ally's ulterior motives or every headline represents an attack, the movement can better withstand a coordinated campaign of subversion and division. The conclusion reinforces that while the establishment will likely deploy innovative and ruthless tactics to crush socialist ambitions in 2028, the left must adapt by being more discerning yet charitable enough to hold each other accountable without fracturing over minor errors or misunderstood contexts.
Read the full video transcript
As incredibly encouraging as it is to
see so many electoral victories for
socialists and socialist adjacent
leftists, I don't think we should be
arrogant enough to conclude that we're
unstoppable because obviously that is
not the case. Now, don't get me wrong,
we should be proud of the progress that
we've made because the progress that
we've already made has been genuinely
shocking. A poll conducted by SSRS found
that a third of democratic voters
already identify as democratic
socialists. And this trend is being
driven primarily by younger people. But
that doesn't necessarily mean that
socialism is the future or is inevitable
obviously because trends change. And my
expectation is that things are only
going to get more difficult for us here
on out. especially because the
establishment is already [ __ ] their
pants about the prospect of a socialist
becoming president in 2028. So, I wish I
had the confidence in our ability to win
as they do. But, I'm going to be
cautiously optimistic because things can
change and we do live in a latestage
capitalist hellscape after all. But the
reason why I'm not going to be overly
confident or the reason why I'm less
confident than they are, we'll say, is
because these people are not just going
to let us steamroll them. The New York
Times reports that Third Way, the
right-wing flank of the Democratic
party, vowed to spend $15 million to
discredit the DSA movement between now
and 2028 because they fear that Dr. Elsa
is paving a path for a progressive to
seize the party's presidential
nomination in 2028 and then go on to
lose the general election. Now, Jonathan
Cowan, the president of Third Way, says
it is deeply troubling to see radical
far-left candidates winning in places
that are potentially presidential swing
states. Now, to be clear, their fear
isn't that a socialist or progressive
would lose a presidential election.
Their fear is that they'd win because
they've made it abundantly clear that
that is the worstc case scenario. They
prefer fascism to socialism. Literally.
I say this because as the Times
explains, Cowan said that the effort
would include opposition research into
DSA polling, social media programs,
whatever that means, and educating
democratic activists and leaders. It
would target both proud Democratic
socialists and those such as Dr. Elsed,
whom he derided as performing the DSA
dodge, flirting with the Democratic
socialists enough to get their
organizing manpower and support while
remaining distant enough to avoid the
explicit label. They add how this
discrediting campaign will affect the
current midterm cycle, potentially
undercutting Democratic nominees in
swing state races and undermining the
party's chances of retaking Congress
remains unclear. So, it's easy to see
what's happening. It's an act of self-
sabotage. These are conservative
Democrats spending money not to elect
more Democrats, but to make progressive
Democrats lose so they can blame a
potentially negative outcome in the
midterms on the left. This is the
calculation that they're making. Lose
the midterm election to snuff out this
movement in its crib in order to better
position a moderate to win the
Democratic party primary for the
presidential race in 2028. And I don't
think it's hyperbole to call these
Democrats fascist collaborators because
that's exactly what they're doing. At a
time when authoritarianism and fascism
has taken control of our entire
government, these people are focused on
bolstering the narrative that it's
actually the left who's gone too far,
not the far-right extremists who are in
control of everything. Anyone who
contributes to this particular
narrative, and I mean anyone, is a
useful [ __ ] idiot for fascism,
period. But to be real, $15 million
isn't really that much in the grand
scheme of things, especially considering
how we already have millions and
millions being spent against us by Apac
and, you know, corporate lobbies. So 15
million over two years is chump change
comparatively speaking. But this story
speaks to how terrified they truly are.
Because if AOC or Roana can win the
Democratic nomination in 2028, then it's
game set match for the moderate wing of
the party, at least in the short term,
the left gains control of the party
apparatus. It gains control of party
operations within the DNC. And more
importantly, it gains control of the
money faucet. and moderates probably
fear that the left would marginalize and
sideline them in the same way that they
marginalized and sidelined the left.
Hence why they're trying to team up with
fascists to stop the left from ascending
because to them a short-term electoral
loss in the midterms is preferable to an
alternative situation where the left
actually has some real power within the
Democratic party. But I say all this to
say that they're not just going to stand
back and let us crush them. They're not
going to allow themselves to be
steamrolled. And that's the point that I
really want to drive home with this
video. If they can't defeat the left by
running moderate candidates with the
message to compete with what we're
pitching to voters, then they're going
to find different ways to undermine the
movement. And when they have the entire
political establishment and capital,
every corporation, foreign governments
and Republicans on their side, they're
going to be able to concoct a bunch of
different ways to rat [ __ ] the left out
of power. I mean, all we have to do is
look to the past to see the types of
strategies deployed against the left
that crushed the left. They worked.
There was Cointelpel Pro, a covert
initiative initiated by the Federal
Bureau of Investigation in 1956 aimed at
surveilling, infiltrating, and
disrupting various political
organizations deemed radical in the
United States. Initially, they focused
on the Communist Party. The program
expanded throughout the 1960s to include
a range of groups such as the Black
Panther Party, civil rights
organizations, feminist groups, and
various anti-war factions. Cointel Pro
employed a variety of controversial
tactics, including misinformation,
illegal break-ins, and harassment to
discredit and undermine these
organizations and their leaders. Now, as
many of you know, organizers like Fred
Hampton, the chairman of the Chicago
chapter of the Black Panthers Party, was
assassinated by the FBI after he managed
to bring together a working-class
coalition of people across racial lines.
Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. was spied on
everywhere that he went. His hotel rooms
were even bugged. And in an effort to
splinter the movement, the FBI actually
sent him an anonymous letter pretending
to be a black man who called Dr. Martin
Luther King a fraud and told him to kill
himself because his movement was
supposedly hurting black people. And in
a book by Aaron Leonard and Connor
Gallagher called a threat of the first
magnitude, they explain at length how
FBI informants actually managed to gain
leadership roles in the Black Panthers
in the Communist Party as well as the
Revolutionary Union all throughout the
1960s and 1970s. And things haven't
really changed that much since the days
of Cointelp Pro. Trump's McCarthyist
NSPM7 is treating all of his political
opponents on the left and in the center,
mind you, as potential terrorist
suspects in a blatant attempt to crush
all of his political opposition. But a
key difference from the Cointtail Proday
is that leftist organizing now isn't as
strong as it was back then. Thankfully,
that is starting to change, but there's
a lot less political and labor
organizations now that the intelligence
apparatus is able to infiltrate because
I mean, let's face it, we're all kind of
in our own digital little bubbles and we
just don't really talk to each other in
the real world anymore. But that doesn't
mean that they're not able to still
divide and conquer because you can bet
your ass they've adapted to the digital
age. And this Tik Tocker gave us an
example of clever new ways that the
establishment is going to try to
splinter the left. Castro's in for the
surprise of his life when he tries
signing something with my poison pen.
Well, what have Palestinians done for
the Black Lives Matter movement?
>> And it's a humorous example, but we've
all seen this kind of [ __ ] online from
bot accounts who are deliberately trying
to drive a wedge between groups to pit
people against each other. How many of
my queer viewers have been told that
they shouldn't support Palestine because
if they went to Gaza, they'd be thrown
off a roof? I've heard that like three
or four times. Now, not everyone who
parrots that line of horseshit is some
secret CIA or FBI plant, but I think
that we need to be mindful of a
deliberate attempt to destroy solidarity
among regular people, especially now
that the progressive left is fostering
solidarity across diverse groups of
people again. And my goal isn't to scare
people or conspiracy monger. The
takeaway is that we all just need to be
a lot more savvy going forward because
the establishment isn't just going to be
like, "Oh, well, shucks. we lost another
election to the socialists. We'll just
have to try again. They're not going to
do that. Okay? They're not going to play
by the same set of rules that we play
by. They're going to engage in subtuge
and rat [ __ ] to stop us by all means
necessary. That doesn't mean that we put
up walls and express skepticism towards
everyone. It just means that we have to
recalibrate our [ __ ] detectors a
little bit. If a large anti-left account
like DSA Watch, for example, just comes
out of nowhere and gains 176,000
followers on Twitter, even though its
account was only created in June,
perhaps we question whether or not
there's money or some sort of
intelligence apparatus behind that
particular account. That doesn't mean
that we should engage in bad jacketing
and start accusing each other of being
spies. It just means that we make mental
notes of certain things and be more
cautious. We don't just tweet out
everything that we're thinking these
days because odds are there is somebody
that's watching. Big brother is always
watching and I need to take my own
advice because sometimes I uh I meme a
little bit too close to the sun and I
say things that could be used against
me. Not in the court of law per se, but
just to discredit the movement which I'm
a part of. Now, here's another example.
If somebody like David Axelrod is
defending us on CNN all of a sudden and
pretending to be an ally, maybe we
should question whether or not he's
offering the advice he's offering us in
good faith because he tweeted, "It would
be good for Abdul Elsa if Francesca Hong
loses her bid to become the Democratic
nominee in Wisconsin next week. He is a
serious person. She is a font of zany
liberal faculty lounge exotica." But the
Republicans hoping to deflect attention
from an unpopular pus who hangs from
them like an anchor would surely try and
link Abdul and Hong as philosophical
kin. So this is suspicious as [ __ ] and
it's not unreasonable to question
whether or not he has ulterior motives
because he has never been an ally to the
left. And all of a sudden I don't think
that him offering us this advice is
being done in good faith. and we're
going to come across a lot of fake
friends like this who conspicuously get
on board with a cause or a candidate and
then suddenly start to make us draw
arbitrary lines. That right there is
conspicuous. That right there needs to
be sused out. Like this is somebody who
you should not trust. Now whether it's
deliberate or not, it's still an attempt
to divide the left and we should reject
that. Another thing to look out for is
candidates who just kind of come out of
nowhere who try to represent the
movement even though we don't really
know much about them. If they don't have
a history as an organizer or in labor
and there's not even a record on social
media of them professing their leftist
ideals, that doesn't necessarily mean
that they can't be part of the movement.
But it does mean that we're going to
need to have some additional evidence
that they are who they say they are.
They're going to need to acquire some
bonafides if they want to be
representatives of the movement they're
all of a sudden claiming that they want
to be a part of. And this is especially
important these days because Apac was
buying ads on behalf of anti-ionist
progressives in an effort to get the
left to split votes in the ninth
congressional district of Illinois. This
was Kat Abu Gazelle's race. And it
worked. They were calling Bushra
Amiwala, who was also a progressive
running in the same race that Kat Abu
Gazella was running in, somebody that
was a progressive champion who supported
Medicare for all. Apac doesn't give a
[ __ ] about Medicare for all, but their
goal was to split the votes between
leftists. So, if they can do that and if
they're doing this already, it wouldn't
also be beneath them or any other
corporate pack to hire someone to just
run as a progressive in a particular
race where you see a DSA backed
candidate gaining steam so that way they
can split the votes between the left and
pave the way for a moderate victory.
It's deceitful, but like it's not
illegal for them to do something scummy
like this, right? So, if they have the
ability to do this, they will do it.
That's all I'm saying. Which is why I
think we really need to get better at
properly vetting every single candidate
that we come across. And more
importantly, we take red flags
seriously. And look, I hate to beat a
dead horse, but if a candidate comes
along and we don't really know much
about them, but we do know that they
have a Nazi tattoo and they used to work
for Blackwater, I think that we should
exercise more caution in the future.
Now, I'm not saying that Graham Platiner
was an OP. Maybe he sincerely did change
aside from the rape that he did, but
like maybe he thought he was
progressive.
Simply saying that we need to end the
genocide and that you support Medicare
for all is not sufficient anymore. Okay,
candidates are going to get more savvy.
They're going to want power and that's
all that they care about and they're
going to say what we want to hear. We
need to make them prove themselves
before they become leaders of the
movement. That's all that I'm saying.
But even if you are a movement leader,
it doesn't mean that you're infallible.
You can [ __ ] up, too. So, we also have
to know when to cut our losses, at least
temporarily. For example, William
Lawrence, the co-founder of the Sunrise
Movement, who just won his primary on
Tuesday, already pivoted away from the
DSA.
>> When did you leave the Democratic
Socialist of America?
>> It was within the last month I let my
membership lapse. I've got a lot of
respect for DSA um and the work that
they're doing around the country, but uh
I've felt a need to make it very clear
that uh the platform we're running on
here is the one that has um come up uh
based on the conversations we're having
across the seventh district.
>> So, did you let that membership expire
because of the general election?
>> No, it's just because I want to make
clear to my constituents that I'm here
to represent them. Now, he's very
clearly doing this because he's running
in a swing district that Donald Trump
won and he is afraid that his DSA
affiliation is going to bring him down
in the general. So, some might think
that the strategy is logical, but quite
frankly, the opposite is true because as
Charlotte explains, Republicans are
still going to call him a socialist, but
now he's just not going to get any of
the benefits that come with being a
socialist. Meaning, he's not going to
get the organizational support that
comes with their endorsement. And DSA
members who helped him get elected might
feel betrayed. And voters across the
political spectrum, regardless if
they're DSA or not, are going to view
what he did there as dishonest. Because
if you're able to get elected and then
you immediately shapeshift like that
after winning your primary, people are
going to think, okay, this guy is just
an opportunist. He's just seeking power.
And it also doesn't help that William
Lawrence once said that he wouldn't
support Hakee Jeff as speaker, but he
also changed his tune with regard to
that as well.
>> And one of the members of the
Congressional Black Caucus is Hakee
Jeff. Have you spoken with him since you
won? Do you plan to vote for him to be
the next speaker of the house?
>> I do plan to vote for him to be the next
speaker and I look forward to speaking
with him soon.
>> Jesus Christ. Now, to be fair, I fully
expect every single socialist that was
just elected to fall in line and vote
for Hakee Jeff. As nauseating as it is
to see them do that, I fully expect it.
But you gain nothing by giving up your
leverage before you even [ __ ] talk to
him. at least have a conversation with
him and get him to promise you a
particular committee assignment or a
vote on some bill before you kiss his
ring. But now he could just sideline you
because you already fell in line before
getting anything in return. And I'm not
saying that this guy is going to be the
next Julie Gonzalez or Shri Tanadar. But
I've already seen enough to say peace
out. I wish you luck in the general. I
hope you win, but you're on your own.
the money and resources that we'd
otherwise use on you can go elsewhere
because we simply have seen enough to
conclude that you're at least an
opportunist. I hope that you really are
as progressive as you say you are, but
this immediate pivot is a really bad
look and it fments a lot of distrust.
Now, I'm going to contradict what I said
because even though I think that it's
reasonable to have a healthy dose of
skepticism towards new candidates, it
doesn't mean that we should be overly
cynical and purify ourselves into
oblivion because I don't think that that
would be wise. We really have to do a
balancing act, right? Find the right
balance between skepticism and offering
allies grace. And I think that we should
air on the side of being more charitable
because even though I said what I said
about William Lawrence just now, I think
that we should try to do our best to be
graceful where we can. For example, Mad
Curios was criticized by journalist Sana
Sahed for an interview that she did with
PBS where she said that her biggest
concern was how Israel was losing
support across the political spectrum,
which is obviously a very bad thing to
say if you ran on your opposition to
Israel. But thankfully, she responded to
criticism by admitting that she [ __ ]
up, writing, I fumbled this line, plain
and simple. To be clear, my foreign
policy priority is ending Israel's
occupation, apartheid, and genocide in
Palestine. I also reject the notion that
anti-ionism is anti-semitism and it's
important that we distinguish the two in
order to combat actual anti-semitism.
She later says, "I was being asked about
rising anti-semitism in this interview
and I was trying to say that my concern
is while voters across the political
spectrum wake up to Israel's atrocities
and our government's complicity in it.
The Democratic Party is failing to meet
this moment. And when the party refuses
to lead morally on this issue, they are
letting anti-semmites on the right
co-opt the movement for Palestinian
liberation. while giving fodder to Apac
talking points. But Sana is right. A
movement for liberation must center the
Palestinians being oppressed, occupied,
and systematically exterminated. And the
Islamophobia and anti-Palestinian racism
used to justify genocide is too often
ignored. And that's enough for me. I
think sometimes we need to take yes for
an answer. And that right there was
phenomenal. We have to acknowledge that
nobody's perfect. And I think that these
candidates deserve time to learn and
grow. and you know, understand just from
a human perspective, these kinds of
interviews are very intimidating if
you've never done them before. So, I
think that everybody needs a little bit
of time to adjust to being in the public
spotlight because it is a very weird
thing for a human to experience. Now, I
would extend that same level of grace to
William Lawrence if he came out and said
that he was a little too hasty in making
his general election pivot and he was
just trying to make sure that he wasn't
alienating voters who would be turned
off by the DSA. Like I'm fine letting
people grow and giving them space to
[ __ ] up and learn from their mistakes.
Like even though I'll never not be
critical of politicians because that's
my job. Part of us growing and
insulating ourselves from subversion is
just not automatically going on the
defensive every single time, especially
if we see a headline about one of our
own that seems a little bit suspicious.
For example, politics and poll tracker
tweeted Bernie Sanders to pod save
America on whether he'll endorse
Franchesca Hong for Wisconsin governor.
I don't think so. Now, if you see this
headline, you would think that Bernie
Sanders is being a little bit [ __ ] and
deliberately snubbing Hong, but when you
get the full context, that's not
necessarily the case.
>> I noticed um you haven't yet endorsed in
the Wisconsin governor's race. Uh what's
your thinking there? And and might you
endorse or
>> I don't think so. I met Francesca
a couple of years ago. I was in
Wisconsin
uh and she seems very very nice. But
again, this is a race I just am not that
familiar with. We have not gotten
involved in many governor's races. I
think we did one in Maine with Troy
Jackson. You know, obviously my major
concern right now is seeing that we have
a Senate and a House uh that is going to
stand up to Trump. That's really where
my focus is. So, as of now, we have not
been involved in that race.
>> Now, to be clear, I think he's making a
mistake. It doesn't take much to offer
an endorsement. You don't have to stump
for her. Just give her your credibility.
That's the bare minimum. But it's very
clearly not the disc that you expected
it to be based on the framing from that
account. And I don't want people to
think that I'm putting on a tinfoil hat
and assuming that every single comment
uttered about the movement is in bad
faith by somebody who's not part of it
as some sort of, you know, attempt to
divide us because that's not always
going to be the case. But just be
cognizant of the things people say and
the motivations behind them. Social
media accounts in particular would love
to publish salacious headlines about
leftist infighting because that would
get clicks. But we need to not be so
quick to take the bait. And I'm trying
to take my own advice here too. Like if
you see a headline about AOC or Daria
Alisa that makes it seem like they're
betraying their principles in the
movement, all I'm asking is that we go
one step further and we read the article
to get the full context before jumping
to conclusions because we don't want to
attack each other if it's not warranted.
All right? Because we owe that to our
allies. But on the other hand, that
doesn't mean that we should refrain from
criticizing each other because I think
it's important that we do hold each
other accountable. So, I'm kind of
contradicting myself again, and it kind
of speaks to the balancing act that we
have to do. But I think that there's a
real difference between constructive
criticism and destructive criticism.
Hassan, for example, offered a better
way for Franchesca Hong to respond to
her old tweet about wanting to cancel
Thanksgiving that the media is currently
beating her over the head with. He says,
"I love Fran. This was an opportunity to
turn this back on how Thanksgiving is
about to be unaffordable due to Trump's
wars." And I think that that's really
good advice. Social media has
conditioned us to just call people dumb
[ __ ] if they say something that isn't
necessarily savvy or politically astute.
But I think that especially when it
comes to our allies, we need to be more
constructive in our feedback. And on Pod
Save America, Bernie Sanders, he was
asked about some of the more extreme
positions of the DSA like defund the
police. But he offered a very norm
friendly approach where he basically
said defund the police without defunding
the police. He said, you know, rather
than defunding the police, I want to
divert resources into mental health and
elsewhere so the police aren't forced to
be pseudo social workers. I'm
paraphrasing, but like basically he
said, I don't support defund the police,
but the policy prescription he offered
was effectively defunding the police.
That's great. Zoron also spun the same
policy as pro police by saying, "Look,
it's really unfair to overburden police
with so much work when social workers
should be the ones to respond to mental
health health crisis and housing should
be how we respond to homelessness."
Like, police have too much on their
plate. They don't have to police
everything. We don't have to criminalize
everything in society. We can shorten
the burden that they already feel by,
you know, expanding our repertoire of
responses to societal issues. And I
think that's the kind of things that we
need to come up with. And uh that's how
we're going to grow. We're not going to
be able to focus group test certain
slogans. Okay? It's got to be a group
project. And that means that we're going
to have to get comfortable with
constructive criticism even if we feel
strongly about a particular approach.
Like accepting criticism is going to be
how we grow and become more savvy
because if we stop viewing every little
thing as an attack, then I think that
makes us much more stronger in the long
run. But please don't assume that like I
view myself as some sort of oracle of
wisdom because I'm not an oracle of
wisdom. Just because I have a platform
doesn't mean that I know more than the
average person. Okay? I'm just as liable
as anyone else to get duped by
propaganda. I'm not insulated from, you
know, all the things that I'm talking
about because I'm bringing them to your
attention. Like I just want people to
know that if the establishment thinks
that a socialist presidential candidate
is a possibility in 2028, they are
gearing up to rat [ __ ] us like they have
never ratfucked us before. We're about
to see something that we've never seen
in the modern era. And that is a
campaign of subturfuge to divide and
conquer the left. And I'm not creative
enough, nobody is, to anticipate all of
the innovative new ways they're going to
try to crush the movement. But I'm
confident that they are going to try as
hard as they can to do just that. So
that means we've got to wise up and be
capable of adapting if we want to
solidify our place in American politics.