Video summary
Britain is facing a looming food crisis driven by severe droughts that have devastated wheat and oat yields, forcing livestock farmers to rely on winter feed rations prematurely due to a lack of grass. Extreme heat reaching 35°C combined with dry conditions has damaged crops significantly; while elevated CO2 levels might theoretically support growth, they actually reduce the nutrient content without substantially increasing harvest volumes. Consequently, consumers are likely to encounter rising prices for fresh produce characterized by smaller portions rather than empty shelves, as planting on arid land becomes increasingly difficult and could lead to shortages in 2027 according to the National Farmers Union.
Beyond agricultural challenges, the UK government has faced criticism for failing to implement serious policy responses to this environmental crisis, instead focusing attention on minor regulatory issues such as subscription cancellation rules. Meanwhile, students in England are confronting what experts describe as a "ticking time bomb" regarding their loan plans due to shifts between Plan 2 and Plan 5 systems. These changes have lowered repayment thresholds, allowed interest rates to rise significantly based on income, and extended debt write-off periods from thirty to forty years for newer borrowers. This structural shift means that low-income graduates may end up paying off their full debts over a much longer duration, whereas high earners benefit from faster payoff times that reduce total costs, exacerbating intergenerational inequality alongside shrinking salary premiums caused by increased university participation without corresponding job creation.
In the United States, political discourse is intensifying around socialist candidates like Francesca Hong and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) as they navigate the tension between radical social movement rhetoric and electoral pragmatism. Critics have pointed to past statements from 2020-2021 calling for defunding or abolishing police, but AOC has clarified that her previous support for "abolition" was a rhetorical stance within movements rather than an immediate policy demand, noting the difference between protest slogans and electoral platforms. She explained that she evolved in her thinking after witnessing family incarceration experiences which led her to realize some level of state intervention is sometimes necessary, while Francesca Hong explicitly stated she will not defund police if elected governor but instead focus on practical measures like removing guns and providing after-school programs.
Simultaneously, the football world is embroiled in controversy surrounding FIFA president Gianni Infantino amid allegations of corruption related to plans to spin off FIFA into a private company led by Jared Kushner, which would have allowed him significant pay raises and investments. Multiple federations are calling for his resignation over these issues alongside scandals involving UEFA paying an employee accused of being Infantino's lover, though Infantino denies wrongdoing. Hosts discuss the deep-seated corruption in football history dating back to Devalange era commercialization that prioritized European control over global development, questioning whether current actions against Infantino stem from genuine ethical concerns or personal agendas, while mocking UEFA for selectively revealing information about employee payments as dishonest behavior.
Read the full video transcript
Welcome to Navara Live. Coming up
tonight, UK farmers have warned that
food shortages are likely following very
poor crop yields caused by droughts. Um,
student loan holders face a ticking time
bomb of debt and higher taxes.
Alexandria Accassiocortez weighs in on
woke 1.0, which she says was crazy. Um,
and several football federations are
calling for FIFA president Giani
Infantino to resign. Um, I'm Michael
Walker and today I'm joined by the
original woke one was crazy [laughter]
thinker. Um, Ash Saka. I don't know.
Maybe maybe you don't like that
description.
>> You know what? I'm just so happy to be
here. Call me what you like. Just call
me.
>> Perfect. Love it. Um, before we get
started, oh, tickets are on sale for our
next downstream IRL event at the Earth
Theater in Hackne. Um Ash Sarakar and
Aaron Bastani will be joined by cultural
theorist Katherine Louu and writer
Darren McGarvey um which is on the 21st
of September. Darren McGarvey I
understand is is the name of Loki
>> L O K I. Um Ash, what can we expect from
that event?
>> Um basically this is going to be a mega
blockbuster event digging into the
commodification of trauma and the way in
which institutions as well as sort of
cultural changes and the attention
economy and all this kind of stuff. um
incentivizes a way for us to lead with
the worst things ever happened to us in
a sort of race for you know resources or
funding or even just attention and
status. So where Darren McGarvey is
coming from and I think this is a really
interesting thing is that he's looking
at the way in which systems including um
you know recovery rehabilitation
welfare system the way in which it sort
of makes you perform a certain kind of
trauma in order to navigate access to
care. Um and Katherine Lou is looking at
it much more in terms of the way in
which I suppose therapy speak um and a
sort of uh you know misapplied culture
of self diagnosis and this sort of like
relentless interest in the self um is a
part of neoliberalism. It's part of a
way in which people navigate
neoliberalism. So I'm really excited. Me
and Aaron Bastani will be interviewing
Katherine and Darren. Um, I had the the
pleasure of speaking with Darren when I
was on my first book tour and he's just
he's a really rigorous thinker and
Katherine's book is phenomenal. So, get
your tickets. I think you can get
tickets at Dice.
>> I think I mean or there's presumably
going to be a link in the description.
Is there
>> There will be a link in the description.
>> Um, and the event is at Earth Hackne I
believe on the 21st of September. So,
get your tickets. I think it'll be good.
>> Fantastic. It sounds brilliant.
Britain is facing its fifth heat wave of
the year with temperatures expected to
peak at 35 degrees C on Thursday. Now,
this year is already the first time ever
that a temperature of 35° has been
recorded somewhere in the UK in three
consecutive months. So, obviously May,
June, and July. All of them um had a a
day that was 35° or more. First time
ever. Um but of course, if we hit that
threshold again this week, three in a
row will become four in a row. So,
completely unheard of. Um, of course,
just as significant as the record
temperatures is the drought across huge
parts of England and Wales. Um, this
afternoon the government's drought group
have updated their analysis and declared
that more than twothirds of England is
now suffering from drought conditions
about 70% I think. Um, we can all see
just by looking out the window basically
the consequences. This weekend drone
footage showed uh parched parkland in
Bristol. Um, and as well as the yellow
grass, you can see the river Avon under
the Clifton suspension bridge looking
extraordinarily low. Um, this is
something I hadn't even heard of before,
let alone seen. So, it's it's called a
dust devil, which is a small whirlwind
visible because of the dust it picks up.
Now, they're typically found in deserts
and semiarid areas, but this was in
Greenwich Park. It's kind of got crash
bandicoot vibes. Um, meanwhile, over 120
firefighters have been deployed to
tackle a fire in the New Forest in
southern England. The fire was started
when a van set a light and it has burned
a section of Heathland the size of 140
football pitches. Police say 23 cars
were abandoned on the A31 after the fire
broke out on Sunday evening.
What might have even longerlasting
consequences though are the effects of
this drought on food production. The
National Farmers Union has warned food
shortages are likely. Their president
has said yields of wheat and oats were
quote very very poor this year. Um they
warned that livestock farmers have had
to use their winter feed rations because
they have been unable to grow grass. Um
and because of difficulty planting in
dry land this year. This is the key bit.
Um the drought this year could affect
food supplies next year. So in 2027
um for today's show I wanted to focus on
the drought and food production because
I think it's under discussed um and also
because food prices have the potential
to be so politically explosive. Um, and
so I caught up with someone who has
thought a lot about the impact of
climate change on our food supply. Paul
Barren is the British Academy Global
Professor at the University of Oxford's
Martin School where he studies food
system transformations. I spoke to him
earlier today and started by asking him
to lay out the challenge this summer's
drought poses to the UK's food supply.
It's really a challenge for so many
different farmers in different areas. So
you've got the serial farmers who are
really struggling with the drought
making that harvest bringing it in. It's
lower than we expected. The yields per
hectare is much lower than we usually
get. It's a struggle for the people
growing fresh fruit and veg. We need
lots of water for that and obviously
that water is not there and that's one
of the main reasons why we're seeing
price prices increase now for things
like potatoes uh for veg um and will
continue to do so into the into the
summer. And and it's also a struggle for
the livestock farmers because there's
been such little grass that's been
growing. We're way down on what we
normally have. And now the farmers are
having to open up the stores that they
normally feed their livestock during the
winter. And they're doing that now. So
they're storing up a huge problem for
themselves in the future as well. So
across the board, the lights are turning
red. I'm also very worried about what
this means for next year because
actually a lot of arable and crop
farmers should be bringing in and
putting in their seed for next year's
harvest for some crops and it's going to
be so so dry it's going to be difficult
to get that seed in.
>> And is the problem the heat or the lack
of rain? Cuz both of those have been
exceptional this summer.
>> It's actually both. It's the combination
of both that really hurts the yields. Um
so you know the the heat can cause
damage to the plants themselves. things
like the grass, they stop growing over
about 29 30 degrees. Um, and then that
drought, we really rely on water
availability to get us through bad
temperatures. So, that's one of the main
ways in which we can help the crops out.
It's like giving them a lifeline. But if
you don't have that water in the soils,
uh, if you don't have that water on the
land even, because in the UK we don't do
a lot of irrigation. We've not needed to
do an awful lot of irrigation, then
you're really in a sort of danger zone.
And what are we talking about here in
terms of the risk? Are we are we
imagining supermarkets with empty
shelves at some point down the line or
are we talking an increase in in food
prices but basically the supply holds
up? It's just sort of eats into
everyone's income predominantly eating
into people's income. So prices will
continue to go up and we know this is
the case. This will continue with
climate change. So the academic studies
on this show that we will have acute
sort of sort of and chronic inflation
over time as as climate impacts hit
around the world. I I think some areas
of the shelves might get a little bit
patchy, but we're not going to see empty
shelves. And what we will see is we'll
see smaller versions of the fresh fruit
and veg, especially uh as that comes
through to the stores because those
plants won't have grown as much.
>> And I'm not going to be able to offer a
citation here, but I have a vague
memory. um in the past of reading or
hearing about people saying that
actually climate change in Britain sort
of a temperate climate might increase
crop yield sort of increase temperatures
increase carbon dioxide in the air. Am I
imagining that or or is there something
to that that people had imagined that
climate change wouldn't be such a
problem for for UK agriculture?
>> Yeah, there were those studies looking
further into sort of the higher
latitudes in areas like the UK and
northern uh Europe. The issue with those
studies, there's a number of them. First
of all, it turns out that we've been
underestimating the damage from climate
on food systems over time. So the crop
models which were used to explore that
have typically underestimated what
what's actually happened. Uh and the
community is very clear about that that
that's something that the scientific
community has underestimated. There's
things like the idea that CO2 is plant
food. So as CO2 levels go up, surely the
plants are able to grow faster. Turns
out that's not so true in practice
either. There's other limit limitations
for that. Also, the nutrients go down in
the in the crops as the CO2 levels go
up. So, you're sort of double whammy
really. You're not getting the extra
growth that you thought to the same
amount, but you're also reducing the
nutrients in the foods as well. So, for
all those reasons really, there's been
this underestimation of how much climate
change can impact. And broadly it's
because we typically estimated on annual
averages sort of over countries in sort
of big scale sort of uh models and then
not realize quite how much seasonal
impacts quite so much the climate
impacts can act together to bring down
yields.
>> And in what sense is this a transitional
problem? I know you said sort of to a
previous question and you said we don't
do much irrigation because we haven't
needed to because we've we've we've
generally had quite rainy summers. Now
presumably there are lots of adaptations
we could make now we have this different
climate. I suppose more speculatively um
there are countries which are much
hotter than our own that do successfully
grow crops. I presume they just grow
slightly different crops. When you go to
Spain it's full of olive trees and
almonds. Um, I is it the case that
farmers just need to get used to the
fact that we now live in a different
climate, change the types of crops they
plant and invest a bit more in, well, as
a society, we'll have to invest more in
reservoirs, but then also invest a bit
more in irrigation. I mean, that's part
of it. We're going to have to get used
to an ever changing climate. This idea
of a new norm, you know, normal is one
of the most upsetting to climate
scientists that, you know, we hear
because there is no new normal. It's a
it's a new abnormal because every year
gets stranger and stranger and harsher
and harsher and it's a question of
whether we're going to keep up with
that. So to some extent farmers are
already running to stand still if you
like. So they're putting in more effort
and more investment to try and deal with
some of these effects. Um but then the
climate impacts will get worse and
worse. So definitely we need some of
this. It's going to be very expensive.
That's one of the issues. And
ultimately, one of the biggest issues
that I see is that as things get more
expensive, you're going to have to bring
cooling for livestock, for example.
You're going to have to bring in those
onfarmm reservoirs for the water. And
they're, you know, the onfarmm
reservoirs, that's an important
intervention, but it's going to get very
expensive. Now, one of the ways we can
deal with this is actually thinking
about food and farming in a bigger
picture. And there we like to call talk
about the great food transformation,
which is not just about changing what
happens on the farm. It's about changing
what we eat, what we waste, and how we
think about food as a whole.
>> What is the food system revolution that
you're talking about? Give us sort of
the the basics.
>> Yeah. So, there's there's there's four
main pillars really. There's a a shift
to eating far more plants in our diets.
We're actually eating too many animal
products for our own health and
definitely for planetary health. It's
reducing the waste uh that we have in
the system, the food system. It's
improving the production. So we talked
about some of the things that you might
want to bring in on the farm. You might
also want to have precision agriculture.
You might want to also have lots of
different interventions on the farm
itself in more nature bringing in
multicropping intercropping where you
bring in different crops to grow
together and they all benefit from the
diversity. And we really need to address
this community resilience. So the food
environment at very local levels so that
people have good nutritious food
available for them even when climate
change hits and make these costs higher.
>> And and I've watched a talk um today as
part of your national emergency briefing
which we'll actually talk about sort of
a bit later in terms of what that is.
But one of the things that stuck out to
me there is you really do think that us
moving to a more plant-based diet, not
necessarily all becoming vegetarians or
vegans, but eating much less meat is
essential. Um I suppose because meat
uses up so much land, so much water
compared to to vegetables and grains and
whatever. Um [snorts]
yeah,
>> that is you know there there doesn't
seem to be any politician in the world
actually that wants to stand up and say
you guys need to eat less meat. It seems
to be so politically toxic that no one
will go there. I wonder what your
analysis of of why that is. Why do you
believe that this is something that no
one wants to touch?
Well, I I think first of all, it's
important to sort of mention that it's
not just myself. It's not just uh all
sort of the consensus of the science out
there about where we need to go. Um it's
also people like MI5, MI6 and the joint
intelligence committee report earlier
this year that uh actually found that we
could no longer feed ourselves with the
amount of livestock in the country and
that a wholesale change in consumer
diets would be required. And when we do
our modeling the just to sort of put
that in perspective what kind of diet
that looks like. That's a beef burger
once every two weeks. It's a chicken
fillet once a week. It's a bit of dairy
a day. So, you know, we're not modeling
any sort of vegan diet here. You know,
we're modeling something that is a
reduction a big reduction in red meat
for sure. Um, but it's something that I
think people can get their their heads
around. And if we were to do that, we
would reduce our dietary emissions about
61% in the UK. uh we would save an area
almost the size of Scotland and we could
bring that back to nature and then be
able to absorb some of the climate
impacts that we're seeing in terms of
flooding, heat and drought. And really
it's a little bit of a no-brainer except
as you say the fact of the politics on
this. Now one thing that I should also
mention is this that these reductions in
livestock are actually part of our
carbon budget system. So we actually
need these reductions as part of our
climate targets as well. And so if you
think about sort of the areas of the
government talking about it, they're all
talking about it except for the
politicians. And I think there's a
couple of reasons. Um one is that we
seem to have this idea that the food
system is providing food that we have
some sort of free choice over that is
down to personal choice. But I don't
have the personal choice to go in and
choose any one of the 150 types of
potatoes for my chips in the evening.
Like I've got the choice of maybe two
types if I'm lucky at the at the
supermarket. None of us have have free
choice. That's never been true and it
never will be true. And actually it's
heavily shaped by all of the vested
interests, the different groups that are
involved in producing this food system.
Uh and so when you think about that then
the politicians are also having to grasp
not only with what the political push
back might be uh but they're also having
to grasp with all these different
interests in the system as well. So
that's that's a real challenge. But what
we do know report after report after
report shows is that if we are able to
grasp onto this to do some joined up
assessment and a joined up policy across
food and health and farming that we'd
actually all be a lot healthier for it
and actually the country could be more
productive. I mean it would save us a
huge amount of money if we were able to
do this.
>> Um and I want to go really big picture.
I know you're at the Oxford Martin
School and that's all about you know big
picture global challenges sometimes from
a historical perspective. I suppose food
is one of the issues where if you look
at the 20th century, it's a real success
story. You know, there were lots of
people were saying with this kind of
population growth, we're not going to be
able to feed anyone. Then what comes
along? Um the revolution of sort of the
industrial production of nitrogen. That
was in the first half of the 20th
century. In the second half, you get the
green revolution um where more sort of
productive productive plant types are
being cultivated. And so there was often
people sort of saying, "God, the
future's going to be terrible." and then
some kind of ingenuity comes along and
makes it all okay. Um I suppose I want
to know from you it's big question. Is
that a reasonable assessment of what
happened in the 20th century? And should
we not sort of relax and hope that
something comes along in the 21st as
well? That is a that's a great question.
Uh there's a lot to get into there.
First of all, this is called this the
green revolution. This idea that we were
able to produce all of this food for a
growing population. What we did there
was yes uh remarkable um and in fact uh
sort of roughly two out of every five of
us are on the planet now because of this
uh extra fertilizer often that was uh
that was produced in terms of artificial
fertilizer. What it has stored up for us
is a number of different environmental
problems later down the track though. So
one is for example too much fertilizer
on the soils which can run off and kill
water life and land life. Uh, another
one is the monocultures that we see in
different cereals around the world.
Treating the soil and the land like
factories in terms of we're interested
in massive outputs of yield as m maximum
possible and then running down the soil
quality, running down the foundations on
which the food supply is based on. So
actually what we've done is we've sort
of cut away at at the foundations of
these systems for us to sort of continue
on as climate change as ecosystem
collapse hit. So while I'm actually sort
of pretty pro- technology, I think
things like precision fermentation um
basically where we used sort of genetic
modification to produce uh foods in a
sort of brewing type container a little
bit like what we do with insulin today.
I think there's huge opportunities for
that. I think there's opportunities for
technology in the fields. Um, but
fundamentally we've driven this system
whereby we are producing too much of the
wrong stuff that's bad for us in very
monocultural ways. And we're going to
have to get around that. I mean, just to
give you an example, all of that extra
yield that's gone in and all of those
extra crops that we've gone in, I mean,
in this country, we feed about 50 50 to
60% of our cereals through to animals.
And so, we're sort of losing the vast
majority of those calories and nutrients
by going through animals in the first
place. So, I don't think that there's
any way that we can really continue
without rethinking what we're eating and
the health of what we're eating as well.
>> Um, and finally, you're part of the the
national emergency briefing on climate
change. Um, explain to the audience what
that is.
>> Yeah, so this is a event that we had in
November last year. We had 1,200 people
in Westminster Central Hall, leaders
from across businesses. We had a couple
of hundred MPs and peers there. And the
idea was to have nine experts explain
what it is that the UK is facing in
terms of climate and ecosystem
emergencies. And we had people talking
about extreme weather economics. We had
a general there talking about national
security. We had an emergency room
doctor and they all made points. I spoke
on food. We all talked about what it is
that we're facing. This has now been
turned into a film that people can look
up online and go and see in their local
community. The interesting thing about
this is you can't sit at home and be
worried and concerned and just sit there
and get really depressed. The idea is
that you get to your local community
center, your local church, wherever it
be, and then you watch it together and
then you talk about what's happening in
your community and how to address it.
And the ultimate call is to have a
nationally televised briefing about
exactly what we're facing. Because I
think right now people are really
worried, people are really concerned.
And this idea that there's no hope, it's
just doom and gloom is really
disactivating. And what we really need
to do is make sure that politicians come
clean and talk about what it is we're
facing. Talk about what some of the
joint intelligence committee, the
military establishment are talking
about. Talk about what the people who
are running the major supermarkets in
the country are talking about. and then
give people a plan by which they can be
involved and they can be invested in
addressing this problem because it will
get so so much worse and we need to get
ahead of this now so people know what
we're facing, know what we need to do
and we can start acting towards it and
that's how you get hope. If you want to
have parliament talk about this, then
there's a petition online that you can
sign to say, "Let's have a national
emergency briefing. Let's have experts.
Doesn't have to be the one we were part
of. It can be anything. And let's have
Parliament talk about this seriously and
take people seriously because I think
there's a lack of trust here. There's a
sense that the public don't trust the
politicians." But I think that goes both
ways that the politicians don't trust
the public with this information. And
every single time we look at the surveys
on this, we know that we underestimate
one another and we underestimate the
public. The public are often far far
beyond where the politicians are at. And
so what we need to be doing now is
trusting the public and trusted then
builds both ways.
>> That was food systems expert Paul Baron
speaking to me earlier today. We'll link
the petition he mentioned there in the
description. Um Ash, I want to come to
you on the politics of this. I mean in
Navara in our internal meetings on the
show we've all been talking about
climate change a lot more than usual
>> I think because of the hot weather. Um
in Westminster still not really
happening. So this was what I wrote
about in last Friday's Cortado which is
Andy Burnham has said that he intends
his government to be a cost of living
government and we know that this you
know heat wave upon heat wave that we've
been experiencing has pretty big
possible implications for the cost of
living particularly with food. If you
couple that with the interrupted
shipping in the straight of Hormuz, what
that means for fertilizer as well as the
cost of energy overall, any medieval
peasant can tell you price of food going
up, baby.
>> And yet the government has been
remarkably quiet about this heat wave.
So I did some looking into it first. I
couldn't find direct comments from Andy
Burnham himself. Um Angela Eagle went
and met with the National Farmers Union,
but there weren't any public policy
announcements. In fact, you could see
about it on the National Farmers Union
website, but there wasn't really much
public coms that was coming from uh DERA
about the matter. And as of last week
when I went to have a look at what Miata
Fanbula had been saying who's the uh
minister of state for net zero it was
sort of look on the bright side of the
heat wave because record levels of
sunshine means record levels of solar
power. So
I think we can talk about you know the
sort of dereliction of duty right that
that implies right what you want is a
government that's on the front foot
that's treating this with the
seriousness it deserves but for me that
tells you that in so many ways Andy
Burnham despite all of his sort of
studied casualenness you know very
buttoned down you know happy to chat
just like a normal bloke it's a tightly
controlled comm's operation it's a
government which really doesn't want to
stray very far from the grid. So his,
you know, first however many days in
office, you can tell that day by day
plotted out is, you know, a calendar
with optimistic little announcements
being peppered all the way through. So
you had uh bus fairs, you had uh the uh
VAT on electricity bills being scrapped,
and today you've got this thing about
the subscription trap, which is I think
also um nicked from some American
progressive policies. Now, I'm not
saying these are bad things. Um and I
think that they contribute to um a
change to mood music around this Labor
government, but I think it's quite
telling that we haven't seen Andy
Burnham really tackle any big problems
so far. And in fact, when it comes to
the biggest problems facing the UK
today, whether it's the sort of big
geopolitical headwinds or whether it's
this drought and the climate crisis,
we've really got no idea of what he
thinks. I mean, he's sort of left the
door open to expanded u you know, North
Sea drilling. His spokesperson today to
the Guardian was saying, well, you know,
we do want to encourage um more
reservoirs. I think he said back new
reservoirs.
What does that mean? What does that mean
practically about what you're going to
do? So, in many ways, this question
about who is Andy Burnham, who's the
Andy Burnham that we've got as prime
minister, we still don't know. [snorts]
>> It's a good point about the
subscriptions because the subscriptions
policy, if you haven't sort of read
about it yet. I mean, we're not really
covering it on today's show because it
doesn't seem that significant in the
middle of a sort of record-breaking
drought.
>> Don't cancel your subscription to us,
though, you know.
>> Yeah. Well, I think we already make it
easy enough to so so that the issue as
far as I understand it is that there are
some subscriptions and this has really
frustrated me where you can sign up with
one click.
>> But to cancel your subscription, you
have to call up the provider like on a
real phone and have a real human
conversation and then they say, "Well,
what if we gave you half price?" Yada
yada yada.
>> I think Mani did this first actually. I
think this is a Mandani policy that
they've taken on. And again, not saying
it's bad and I think that that feeling
of, "Yeah, that is really annoying.
You're doing something about it. That's
exactly what Bernham's government wants.
I just don't think it's the biggest
issue facing us. So, it's it's it's
clever in terms of strategic coms, but
strategic coms alone won't won't
>> Yeah.
>> being mutually exclusive, I mean, we
could maybe deal with the oncoming food
crisis as well as making it easier to
cancel your time subscription
>> luxury.
>> Yeah. Uh maybe we can have it all. Maybe
we can have our cake and eat it.
Thursday is Alevel results day, meaning
university will be on the minds of
hundreds of thousands of young people
across the country as they find out how
they've done. Um, but unless you're
resident in Scotland and planning to go
to a Scottish university, lucky you, um,
the cost of your education will likely
be weighing pretty heavily, too. Um, and
that's with good reason. analysis for
think tank, the intergenerational
foundation, has suggested students face
a ticking time bomb of debt and higher
taxes with successive governments
increasing the share of the cost of
education that young people are expected
to shoulder. All that's happening
through student loans of course um there
are two different post202
student loan plans in England um with
important differences between them. So,
if you started your degree between 2012
and 2023, you're on plan 2. Um, students
starting degrees after 2023 are on
what's called plan five. Um, I think
three and four were variants on plan two
that you paid at the same time, but if
you sort of had different
characteristics, um, both plans take 9%
of your earnings. Um, so after a certain
amount, but if you're on plan five, you
start paying it off when you're earning
£25,000 a year. Those who took out plan
two loans in 2022 only started paying
their loans off when they were earning a
little over £27,000
a year. So the threshold has gone down.
Um the interest on plan 5 is lower. So
that's where plan 5 is a little bit
better. It's pegged to the retail price
index and that's a measure of inflation
currently at 3%. So it's the higher
measure of inflation which is um always
very frustrating for students. Um, for
plan two, that's the interest rate if
you're below the threshold and but as
soon as you start repaying the loan, the
interest rate starts going up, rising to
as much as 6% for those earning over
£53,000.
Um, crucially though, and this is a big
difference between the two, plan two is
written off after 30 years, whereas plan
5 isn't written off until after 40
years. So potentially on plan two you
have a higher interest rate, but on plan
five you will be paying it for longer.
Now, the older plan twos were the ones
that caused lots of controversy earlier
this year. Um, that was because lots of
young professionals, so potentially
people on higher incomes, realized they
were paying off lots of their student
loans. All while the interest rate meant
the total amount owed was going up
because if you've got RPI inflation,
which for a while was about 20 12%,
wasn't it? Then you add 3% on it. Just
your amount, your principal as it's
called, is just going up um by
extraordinary degrees. Um there was one
positive aspect of that older system
though. Um it meant that richer
graduates paid much more than poorer
ones. Um so you can see here that
between 2012 and 2023, so that's people
on the plan too. Um the cost of
university education over one's lifetime
was much higher for high earners. So in
dark blue there and that was due to the
higher interest rate on those um on high
income. So an upper earner could expect
to pay £80,000 over the course of their
lifetime to pay down their loan. Um for
those on lower incomes, they'd only pay
£20,000. Um so very progressive even if
it was very expensive. The introduction
of plan five in 2023 radically changed
things. So the cost of a higher earners
degree suddenly dropped by around
£20,000 to just under £60,000 whereas
the cost to low earners um the brown
line um rose by the same to just over
£40,000.
Um median earners in light blue saw the
cost of their degree go up by around
£15,000 making it actually slightly more
expensive than high earners. Um, that's
because the high earners will pay it off
quicker. Um, and the key difference here
is, as I said, because the interest rate
is no longer progressive, meaning high
earners um can pay less in total if they
pay it off quickly. Um, and because the
write off date has been extended, many
more low earners than before will pay
off their loans in full. So, when it was
a 30-year cutoff, hell of a lot of
people don't pay them off in full. I'm
not even sure I'm going to pay mine off
in full, actually. Um, but there are
lots of people now. If you're paying for
40 years, you probably will. Um now when
the current university fees were
introduced by the coalition government
in 2012 one argument for them was that
graduates earn graduates sorry earned a
significant premium as a result of their
degree and so they should bear the cost
of that education. You've got something
which means you get a higher sort of
income later in life. So you shouldn't
force non-graduates to pay for it. Um
that premium so the graduate premium
does still exist um but it isn't nearly
what it once was. So this is a graphic
which sort of on first look looks very
confusing from the FT but it's actually
quite simple once you get um a hang of
it. So in 1997 graduate salaries um in
the UK had an 80% premium over
non-graduates. Um back then though only
around 20% of the workforce had degrees
but as participation in higher education
increased that premium dropped um to
about 45% in 2022. Um so lots of people
thought that's just because there's more
graduates that means there's a lower
premium. However, and that's why the
other countries on this graph are sort
of relevant is because the same pattern
hasn't held in countries like France,
Spain and the US. Um there the graduate
premium has increased even though just
like in the UK lots more people are
going to university. So this is a John B
Murdoch graph and he's sort of saying
something else is going on um which is
that there aren't the jobs there for
graduates to do. Um the government is
also paying a smaller portion of the
cost of higher education than ever
before. Before in 2015, the government's
combined contribution was almost half of
the total cost of a graduate's
education. But now just 8% of that cost
will be met by the government. So
basically all of it is paid for by the
students before a lot of it was paid for
by the taxpayer. Um, student loans
operate on terms as well that might make
a payday lender blush. So according to
the Telegraph, from 2017 onwards,
interest began being added to loans
faster than people were able to pay them
off. And over the last two years, almost
30 billion pounds of interest has been
added to the country's collective
student debt um with those holding
managing um to pay off only around 10
billion pounds in the same period. So
the total amount owed is is constantly
going up even though people are paying
it off. Of course, the interest
compounds over time. So it's no wonder
students are starting to conclude it's
just not worth it. In June, a survey
conducted by the National Center for
Social Research found that a third of
people fought a university degree wasn't
worth the time and money. Um that's a
proportion that's just about doubled in
the last 7 years alone. Um so all pretty
depressing so far. Um for hope we're
going to look to um a former education
minister under Theresa May. Who would
believe it? He was also a cabinet
minister under Boris Johnson, a man
called Lord Agnu. So referring to the
student debt disaster, he's proposed
banning the triple lock to abolish
interest on student loans. At present,
pensions rise annually at the rate of
inflation, average wage growth, or 2.5%
whichever is higher. Now, Agnu wants to
get rid of the last option. Um, makes
sense to me. Why should pensions go up
by more than wages or prices in a given
year? Um, he uses OBR projections to say
this could save 15 billion pounds a year
over the cost um of sort of a simple
link. So, if if you move to just a link
to wage rises, you save 15 billion
pounds compared to the triple lock. Um,
Agnu writes this, "Ending real interest
would cancel nobody's loan. Of course,
it would freeze the balance in place so
that a graduate repays what they
borrowed and no more. And no pensioner
would be a penny worse off than today.
Their pension would still rise every
year at a slightly more sensible rate. I
am on the winning side of the present
settlement. It is my generation that
pushed up house prices until our own
children cannot buy." We then ran up the
national debt and posted the bill to our
grandchildren. And although I never went
to university, I saw friends enjoy free
education and free living grants
provided by the local authority. Um, he
goes on, "This isn't about pitting young
against old, but about asking both to
pay a fair price for a system neither of
them designed. A double lock and a debt
freeze would cost pensioners nothing and
save a generation of graduates interest
they can't escape."
Ash, all seems very sensible to me. Are
we in favor of Theresa May's education
minister's plan? Well, look, it's it's a
really interesting idea because the UK
is pretty unique when it comes to the
triple lock. So, most countries for the
state pension will have some kind of
indexing. So, tying state pension
increases to inflation, sometimes to
wages. But from what I can see, nobody
has this sort of discretionary 2.5% no
matter what increase, right? no matter
what else is going on with the economy,
no matter what else is going on with
wages, no matter what else is going on
with inflation, your pension will go up
by this much. So, the UK is pretty
unique in that regard. Um, I don't mind
bringing in some sort of age-based
redistribution because I do think that
while it's a mistake to look at the
economic settlement purely in terms of
age because we do have really high rates
of pensioner poverty in this country,
you do have to admit that free
education, house prices, um, you know,
all of these things benefited certain
age groups more than others. it doesn't
mean that you don't have um you know ex
pretty extreme forms of class inequality
within those generations but but it
exists. So I'm always in favor of
thinking about you know what is the
sweetener going the other way. So if you
go okay you're going to get rid of a
triple lock and you're going to go to a
double lock but what you're going to
then do is maybe have a social care
system which is a lot better and less
expensive. If you have um eradicated the
role of private equity um in the social
care system, you bring costs down that
way. Maybe you have more of a prevention
based model of um elderly social care,
which is often what you find in East
Asia. So you try and bring down costs by
saying, "Okay, older people are going to
have healthier lifestyles overall and we
intervene early and so that's going to
bring down the cost." Um you go, well,
that's the that's the sweetener. You're
going to have to spend less of your
savings. you're not going to have to
sell your house in order to be looked
after when you're an older person. So I
don't mind a bit of age- based
redistribution because I think it is
just a fact that if you are part of a
post financial crisis generation and in
particular if you're post 2012 so I'm
pre202 cuz I started uni in 2010 but if
you're post 2012 and you entered higher
education you got royally and the
higher education system and this is sort
of separate from the points about being
laden with debt and the state of the job
market. Higher education system is in a
state of collapse at the moment when it
comes to the closure of departments,
when it comes to um overcrowding of
classes, when it comes to this quite
like transactional relationship between
um the students and their lecturers.
It's you're being bled dry throughout
your life for this experience of having
gone to university, which is neither
giving you the sort of passport to an
echelon of higher paying jobs once you
get into the labor market, but it's also
not an inherently
beneficial intellectual experience
anymore. It's on both sides.
I mean I I I think we have a weird
>> sort of we kind of punish you for being
young in this country and it's it's
strange because you know my my
uh student debt will run out after 30
years I think since I finished my degree
which is like 2012. So when will that be
20 when will that be? Help me out. 2042
something like that. So, so at that
point in time, I'll get this big boost
to my income, but like I kind of need
that now, you know, if I want to start a
family, I want that money now. I don't
want that. You know, I don't need to be
a rich 50-year-old. I want to be a kind
of guy in my mid30s who's able to pay my
rent without worrying about it or maybe
even buy a house.
>> Well, and also this is the thing is that
you need young workers in the labor
market to pay for pensions. And what we
have is a system which is extracting
from young people at every single turn.
So not just thinking about the interest
on student loans, but you're thinking
about rent, the cost of housing, cost of
transport, when you think about the sort
of um evisceration of entry level
positions, when you think about um say
you take the NHS, the reduction in paid
training places. So it means that you've
got your degree, you've got your
qualifications, but you cannot progress
uh through the NHS if you're a doctor.
you you just sort of think do you want
people to have kids or not? M
>> because I I think that people have
families for reasons which are both
rational and irrational, right? So there
are things which are sort of not to do
with oh reason this out like
fulfillment, love, etc., etc. It's not
just the raw economics, but you can't
pretend that the raw economics aren't
important to when you have children, if
you have children, how many children you
have.
>> Um and and it's no good having a
generation of people who are squatting
on, you know, million pound properties.
um you know and and having their
pensions protected in a way that wages
never have been.
>> Um if you end up just absolutely and and
not to sound quite grim about it,
killing off the flow of new blood into
your welfare system, right? Because
that's what workers are.
>> Cuz also with inheritance, so they'll
obviously the big problem with
inheritance is is how unfair it is
because some people get this windfall
from their parents cuz they owned a home
in a major city and some people don't.
So sort of especially with house
deposits and stuff that's huge. Um but
then also even for people who will
inherit at some point there's all these
people who are going to get this
windfall in their 50s and they're like
oh I would have really used that in my
30s when I was you know again thinking
of starting a family or something like
that go on more holidays this way.
>> That's why when I go to my mom's house
and I go you doing all right are you
well? And she goes yeah fizz a fiddle.
you. No [laughter]
I love you mom. But we should have a
very high progressive property tax
because obviously people will be
watching this and say why are you
pitting the state pension against
university tuition fees which I think is
quite right. You know this the it's the
people with really good pensions aren't
the people on the state pension. The
people on really good pensions are the
people with these um defined benefit
schemes you know especially in the
public sector but also if you work for
like a a big company um which which are
very generous compared to the pensions
that sort of people of our generation
will get. Um so sort of pitting the
state pension against student loans is
not ideal. Like ideally what you do is
tax incomes you know including pension
income when it's sort of from uh private
pensions and massively tax property. I
would just massive I would want to just
massively tax property and pay for all
of this. But if a choice is between the
triple lock and this proposal when it
comes to student loans 100% I would do
that. Socialists are proving competitive
in a number of Democratic primaries
ahead of the US midterms. However, um
some are taking heat because of their
past lives, namely what they tweeted
between the years 2020 and 2021. And
Francesca Hong is the prime example
here. She's currently running to be the
Democratic candidate for governor of
Wisconsin. Um, and networks like Fox
News have been highlighting tweets of
hers um, from 2020 and 2021 calling for
the defunding of the police, the
abolition of the police. And there's
also one from 2026, so very recent,
calling for the abolition of ICE. I
think that policy she does still stand
by. Um, Hong has also been criticized
for calling for Thanksgiving to be
cancelled because she had quite good
reasons for doing it. You know, she
saying it's celebrating the colonization
of this continent, but not necessarily a
populist position. Um, we'll look at how
Hong herself has responded to these past
tweets in this current campaign.
However, first, um, it's another
socialist politician whose response to
this line of questioning has gone viral
this weekend.
>> What do you make of those controversial
statements? I'm sure you've seen. I
mean, she's,
>> uh, you know, the the Thanksgiving dust
up. She says she doesn't, you know,
still believe that. But, uh, you know,
uh, the abolish prisons, abolish police,
which is also positions that have been
taken by a lot of the progressive
candidates who have won.
>> Mhm.
>> How do you how do you get around that?
Those are not positions that are
supported by,
>> right? I mean, I think that a lot of
these races,
even right now, they'll have a tendency
to be nationalized,
>> but
these races ultimately are local and all
politics are local. My understanding is
that um is is that Franchesca Hong has
made clear her present stances to her
election.
>> Yeah, she's moved away from a lot of
>> Right. She's moved away from it. And I
have a local city councilman that has
this uh
>> uh saying woke one was crazy. [laughter]
>> Uh so Ash, that clip has absolutely
divided the internet. So there's sort of
one group of people saying great, you
know, this is showing that AOC has, you
know, become, you know, she's grown up.
Um she's abandoning some of the
unpopular or, you know, not persuasive
positions she once held. other people
saying this is AOC selling out the BLM
movement or people who you know believed
in defunding the police. Other people
saying which to be honest actually is
the most common I think saying oh well
it's easy enough to say this now um in
the years 2020 to 2023 there were people
losing their jobs for this and if you
said what AOC is saying now
>> 3 years ago then AOC might say that
you're not someone who should be
associated with. So I mean is it how
what's your interpretation of this new
position from AOC?
>> Well look I I think that there is truth
in the point that well it's easy enough
to say it now but I don't think that
that's a reason to necessarily dismiss
someone. I think that tells you
something about how a particular set of
politics operated at that time. Now, I
think it's something that you said,
which is that when you look at positions
like defund the police, and I'm sure
that lots of people watching will agree
with the sort of slogan and and
proposition to defund the police, but
even if you look at African-American
voters at the height of BLM, it was a
minority, a real minority of
Africanameans who supported Defund the
Police. And because of the way in which
movements work, I don't think that um
social movements do necessarily have to
be super representative of the
electorate. That's never been how
they've worked. They're often sort of
vanguardist in the in the fight for
social change throughout history. Um but
there was often this sense of invoking
the broader interests and beliefs of
black people in the US in the slogan
defund the police. But actually there
was always this remove. And what's most
interesting about that isn't that um it
was a minority of people saying
something that was unrepresentative of
the wider electorate. Again, that's
movements. Is that there was never much
interest in building any support for the
proposition. There was as you've said
before a sort of mechanism of raising
the social costs of disagreement. So
what you're talking about in terms of
well you'd have you know some people
lost their jobs or you know found
themselves very intensely criticized in
a way which um went beyond I really
disagree with this or I think it's
problematic and here's why and was sort
of you're racist for for disagreeing
with the premise is that that was the
mechanism of trying to get people on
board. And so I I think that it's a
little bit it's you're not actually
escaping from the Twitter mind vortex
when you say, "Oh, I'm leaving woke 1.0
behind," right? Because that is an
extremely online thing to say and to
think about. Um like it's you're just
you've got brain rot in a in a new uh
flavor. Um, but I I do think that there
is something important for movements to
recognize which is the way in which
things were done a few years ago. And I
think that's because of that sort of
like I don't know that like uh hotboxed
sort of you know cauldron you know
really intense crucible of politics
where you had movements and then because
of the sort of poorestness of the you
know the Democrats and the primary
system is that there were expectations
to see that being reflected in um you
know national political campaigning is
that maybe there is a step in between
which is if you say okay we're a street
movement, right? We're a street movement
that that are making demands. Maybe
before you go and we want that those
slogans, we want those demands to be
represented by electoral officials. The
thing in between is to go maybe we
should start persuading people of it.
But there was a jump without any of that
persuasion happening. There was a jump
in saying we want to see our elected
representatives um you know out there
fighting for this, which I think was was
a tactical error.
I'm I've got a lot to say about this,
but let's actually first go to AOC
expanding um on how she looks back at
the demands made at the height of the
BLM movement.
>> Did the movement go too far with some of
those positions? I mean, you you briefly
supported the idea of defunding the
police.
>> Well, um
>> you know, I think I think that during
this time and during especially during
COVID, there was a huge opening of the
overtone window. We were shut down.
there was some of the highest
unemployment rates that we have seen
because of those shutdowns. And I think
that the the doors were really open in
trying to entertain any and every policy
that was going to get us to a better
place. And I actually think that the
discussions that had that were had in
that time were quite fruitful. I think
that when we talk about crime today,
it's fundamentally different than the
way that we talked about crime in
bringing crime down, right? And I think
that we all share in the goals of having
as low a crime rate as possible. I think
that, you know, during lockdown,
of course, rhetoric in that time is not
rhetoric that we would use today. And
I'm grateful that these candidates have
the opportunity to present who they are
to their electorate and what they're
campaigning on in this moment.
I suppose
from what AOC says there and I don't you
know I'm not going to make this about me
[laughter] that would be ridiculous.
>> Enough about you AOC.
>> Uh but I I remember saying at the time
like on Twitter, you know, like defund
kind of makes sense if you're just
saying there are other ways to deal with
crime and that America should maybe be a
bit more like a social democracy, a bit
more European in sort of like how it
deals with crime and punishment. Um, and
it's good that people have moved away
from abolish and they're going to defund
because it seems a bit more reasonable.
And the amount of people online that
would be like, "What the hell are you
talking about? You're speaking over
activists. Um, it's defund as a route to
abolish, yada yada yada." And obviously,
you know, I didn't lose my job. My life
is fine. I'm not really
>> I tried to get rid of you, but I was
overruled.
>> Well, some people did. No, not anyone in
the organization, but there were lots of
people who were sort of like the number
of quote tweets and da da da da da. And
um and the main
consequence for me, which wasn't a
consequence, was was people sort of
saying, you know, why why do you why do
you need your voice to be heard on this
issue? Duh. And so I just stopped
tweeting about it, which is fine for me,
but I feel like both on that debate and
um I mean even more controversial one
sort of some of the trans debates, the
main consequence for I think lots of
people was to just back out of all the
discussion. And what that means is that
the discussion is only ever dominated by
people with quite specific views because
everyone else thinks this is not worth
it. Oh my god.
>> Shall I risk getting in trouble?
>> Go on. All right. So,
>> better than me risking it.
Something which I've I've changed my
mind on is that you know I I would talk
about abolition and abolition of prisons
and abolition of the police because like
a lot of people I was coming from that
position of having
seen the impacts of racist policing um
like fairly close up having also seen
the way in which prisons contribute to
the social wheels that they purport to
be solving because when you take someone
out of their you know family unit out of
their community, you put them in prison,
you're sort of creating a tear, right? A
tear in the social fabric which has all
of these these different consequences.
And something which changed my mind
about it was actually an experience of
incarceration within my own family where
I actually thought this person needs to
be in prison, right? There isn't an
alternative to this person being in
prison. And in a moral society, in in a
just society, that's where they should
be. And whenever I tried to bring this
up with friends of mine who were still
abolitionists, they just couldn't wrap
their head around that part. And when I
would say, "But hang on, like, aren't we
proposing a society where prisons are
eliminated?" Then it would get into
these very semantic arguments of well no
because whatever force we have to
deprive people of their liberty or
separate them off from society be so
different from the police it would no
longer be called police which I just
think is a an argument about language.
It's not an argument about content.
Obviously, I want how policing operates
and prisons work to be really different
or it would be a setting of homework,
right? Well, if you go and read Ruth
Wilson Gilmore and so I would then
started going, okay, but abolition had a
really specific meaning. The abolition
of slavery meant one day you didn't have
slavery anymore, right? It wasn't, well,
we're going towards a horizon where
there is no more slavery. It's like, no,
there will be no more slavery. Um, and
so I I have since come to the conclusion
that abolition is often invoked, and I'm
not saying this about, you know, Ruth
Wilson Gilmore or Angela Davis, who I'm
sure have thought a lot about this, but
it's often used by people in the
movement to make reform sound spicier
than it actually is.
>> And I think that has got something to do
with subculture. I think it's got
something to do with the way people turn
to politics when what they actually want
is either subculture like you're not a
real punk I'm a real punk or religion
which is a certain form of certainty if
this is right and this is wrong whereas
politics is actually about negotiation
and prioritization persuasion coalition
building these things which have various
forms of compromise kind of built into
it because that's what it means to to
negotiate something politically um and
and again I just don't think that
people. And there are good reasons for
this. I think that when you watch the
video of Eric Garner being choked to
death or George Floyd being suffocated
or you hear the 911 call, Trayvon Martin
being killed by George Zimmerman. All of
these things have very visceral effect,
right? You don't really want to think
politically and tactically. you do feel,
you know, so morally outraged and
offended, it is very right and it's very
wrong. But if you're making political
demands actually right or wrong is just
one component of it.
>> Well, I suppose I'd push back because I
I never thought the problem with like
defund or abolish was that they were
politically unstrategic. I thought they
were bad ideas.
>> Well, it's both both, right? It's like
you have to be open to having a
discussion.
>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, you have to be open to
having that discussion. Then you can
hash it out in an openminded way.
>> You can't you can't just sort of be like
um manan about it. There is good and
there is evil and this idea is on the
side of the good. But I can understand
how you feel that way and how you feel
that there is a very clear sense of good
and evil when you watch a video where
quite frankly evil is being done.
>> Um let's look at how Francesca Hong is
responding to the questions about her
old tweets.
>> That's not going to be an easy race.
It's going to be very easy for people to
put up on the board and say, "You said
abolish the Senate, defund the police,
abolish the police." And why should they
not believe that you would want to do
that? That you would try to do that if
you became governor.
>> I believe that people can evolve. We
need Trump voters from previous
elections who now would like to vote for
me who have a sign in their yard.
>> So, who needs to evolve? The voter
cannot defund the police. And I won't
defund the police.
in the things we know prevent crime,
like getting guns off of our street,
making sure there is victims for
justice, that there are, you know,
places where our kids can go after
school and thrive. You know, we can't be
tough on causes. We have to be tough on
causes if we would like to be tough on
crime. And as governor, I cannot defund
the police. And I've reminded folks that
I won't defund the police.
So, so her argument is basically
it's unclear if I believe in it or not,
but I don't have the power to do it
anyway, so don't worry.
>> I
I mean this um you know, in a derogatory
way. She sounds like a politician
[laughter]
both in terms of her delivery and the
sense that she's trying to make you feel
much better about some bad news that
she's telling you. Um and also what
feels like a lack of authenticity. I
think it's perfectly legitimate to be
like, "My views have changed and they've
evolved. I've become older. I've spoken
to more people. I understand that there
are different solutions to social
problems and that's what I'm committed
to." But the slogans didn't didn't
really tell us anything about them. So,
I'm interested in these solutions.
That's what I'm clear about. It's would
also be fine or, you know, honest to be
like, I still believe in this man.
>> Like disco never died. I still believe
that both of those things pull from a
real human place, whereas I just don't
think she was getting there. I I I I
don't really mind in a way um and I
think lots of people feel this way is
that I've got more time for someone who
holds a belief that I don't hold, but
they're sincere in their holding of it
than someone who is constantly
triangulating.
>> All right. Uh that uh primary is
tomorrow. Um,
>> may I set something right though because
I saw something in the comments which is
someone asked,
>> "Am I that girl who said that air
conditioning was racist?" No, [laughter]
that was a different South Asian woman
who I constantly get mixed up for. And I
would actually say maybe not having air
conditioning is racist because I look
shinier than you, right? Shine shows up
more on dark skin. So that's woke 2.0.
Fit AC in the office.
>> Have you heard I still look pretty
shiny?
Uh maybe the contrast is lower. I don't
know.
>> I think the contrast is lower.
>> I was just some comments. I've been
really liking some comments today. So So
Michael went to Oxford and can't add 30
to 2012, which is fair enough. It did
take me a few seconds. Um there was also
a debate about why I'm not a vegan, and
someone kindly pointed out that I had
IBS, so I struggle with with pulses. So
I love I love that you I [laughter] love
that our viewers know about my dietary
requirements. Makes me feel very
careful.
>> That you had IBS. Well, I've got I've
got terri I'm actually going to I'm
trying to get referred to an allergist
because um pulses give like make me
incredibly bloated. Now, I know they
make everyone a bit bloated, but me
really bloated and I have a kind of nut
allergy.
>> Oh,
>> so I'm really struggling with the whole
vegan proteins, but I am going to try
and cut out well not try that's weak.
I'm going to stop eating beef and lamb
for a start because they are the ones
that are really bad for the climate.
Maybe cut down on cheese, chicken, fish,
tofu.
any advice you've got, uh, let them know
in the comments. If you know a good
allergist in the London area, uh, feel
free to let me know. Or if you are an
allergist, definitely let me know.
>> If you want to join Michael's support
group, Hot Boys with IBS,
>> link in the description.
>> Exactly. Today I feel uh,
Qatari.
Today I feel Arab.
Today I feel African.
Today I feel uh gay.
Today I feel disabled.
Today I feel a migrant worker.
Today I feel out of a job. Uh that was
Am I allowed to do that? Anyway, that
was a head john and speaking at the
guitar world cup in 2022. Obviously a
memorable clip and the 2026 World Cup
brought many more. Um but despite his
masterful way with words, Infantino's
days might be numbered. That's because
several football federations, including
those for Europe, North America, and the
Caribbean and Asia, um have called for
Infantino to quit while threatening to
create um their own competitions to
rival FIFA unless he goes. Um in an open
letter, the free associations said this.
Uh leadership in football is not a
possession. It is not about holding or
demanding power to be held. It is a duty
of service to the football family that
entrusts it. When trust is broken
through deception, when an individual
places himself above the collective that
entrusted him with authority, that duty
has been abandoned. Um, deception,
broken trust, the dereliction of duty.
This all stems from Infantino's plans
revealed in July to spin off FIFA into a
private company with billions of dollars
in private investments. Um, the company
would have allowed Infantino to claim a
massive pay rise. Um, and the investment
was going to be led by Joshua Kushner,
brother-in-law, or sorry, brother to
Trump's son-in-law. So, this all looked
remarkably corrupt. Um, and it would
have taken the World Cup even further
um, from the wishes of genuine football
fans. So, Infantino was already under
pressure for the exorbitant prices
charged at the 2026 World Cup. Investors
would presumably want them even higher.
And [snorts] Infantino had already
proven his unaccountability to member
associations by reversing a red card
decision given to a star American player
after a call from Donald Trump. um
selling off the competition to a member
of Trump's extended family would hardly
provide reassurance that FIFA would act
more properly in future tournaments. And
amid this revolt from World Football
Associations, Infantino now has another
headache to contend with. Um, last week
the Telegraph published an exclusive
alleging that UEFA paid off Giani
Infantino's lover, who also worked at
the organization while Infantino was its
boss, giving her a six-f figure payout
when she left the organization and
paying for her to do an MBA. UEFA has
confirmed the payment to the junior
employee, though Infantino strugg
strongly denies the allegations. Um, now
this is um
I I think this is a bit shady from UEFA,
frankly. I mean, Infantino obviously
should resign. he should not be the head
of FIFA. But like UEFA have obviously
had this information for a very long
time because they did it right and then
now they've they want to remove
Infantino. So they're like, "Oh, should
we should we leak the whole thing about
paying off the lady?" Like it's doesn't
doesn't seem like a particularly, you
know, honest and open way to behave.
>> Why are you expecting honesty and ethics
from UEFA? [laughter]
>> That's fair enough.
>> Like I'm sorry. Like do you go to Harold
Shipman for a good bedside manner?
[laughter]
Um I I I sort of I interestingly this
does reveal something about the internal
politic and and how things work. It's
not that um people are blind to
corruption when it takes place. It's
that people store information in their
back pocket and I think it was Tom Wcans
who says you know information is a
broken bottle and you just have to shove
it in their faces at the right time. You
hold on to it, you tend it and that's
clearly something that's happening now.
um in terms of why is it that not every
single um you know uh sort of regional
um conglomeration of football
associations has parted with infantino.
I mean first thing to say is that there
are levels of corruption and bribery in
football the likes of which we can only
imagine. All right. And so whether or
not that might have something to do with
um who's still in alignment and who
isn't I can't say. I don't have that
information. But just if you look at the
history of FIFA, you'd say likely. Um
the second thing is that when it comes
to the commercialization of football and
you go back to De Havalange, who was
kind of the first big money guy who was
the head of FIFA is that that went hand
inhand with developing uh the sort of
football infrastructure
in global south countries. So to have
avalanche is sort of, you know, I think
that's kind of the original sin of FIFA.
But don't forget in terms of his
campaign to lead FIFA, he was partnered
with Pelle. You know, really this was
about why should the game be owned by
Europe. Um so there's always been this
thing that commercialization has been
seen to be better for um regions outside
of Europe when it comes to football. Um
when it comes to UEFA specifically and
you know the role of sep
um I guess just clawing at infantino
from the sidelines is that when I first
got my head around this story I thought
well this is about set blatter being um
a different kind of crook shall we say
which is yes he loves money but he also
loves football. What I didn't realize is
that actually Setlatter has beef with
Johnny and Fantino going all the way
back to 2015 2016 when he was ousted uh
from his role over payments made to um
MueL Platiny and he sort of described it
as you know and Fentino told me one
thing that you know I could always call
him we ate dried meat and we had uh some
wine together and then he said no no no
only through my lawyers he blocked me he
wouldn't even let me collect my
belongings from the FIFA office and
since then it has been like a divorce.
>> Wow.
>> So I don't think that people are
necessarily insincere when they're
saying that this is um a a horrendous
attempt to bastardize the people's game.
I also think that everyone's got their
own agenda and that's what's coming to
the four.
>> Yeah. What's so like um I suppose
frustrating about it is like if you run
the World Cup, you've got like the easy
it's the easiest job in the world
because whatever you do, it's going to
be a success. Like at this World Cup,
the tickets were were way too expensive,
right? Red cards were overturned, you
know, that that there were adverts in
the middle of a half. You know, you you
could do so many fuckups that people
hated, but then the World Cup is going
to be brilliant. Like you can't really
ruin it because like football is amazing
and this is like the world football
tournament. It's going to be brilliant.
But but still like just just coast. Like
I'm a big believer in coasting. You
know, if you're getting if your salary
is high enough, if the product is fine,
just keep doing what you're doing. Like
why does he need to get private
investment so he can get an even higher
salary so that Trump's son-in-law blah
blah blah. just put on the World Cup
every four years and people will love it
and people will love you unless you do
like obviously corrupt fuckups like
this.
>> I just I I think I think it's difficult.
I think people that don't have this in
them find it difficult to imagine greed.
Rapacious greed. And I think it's
because both me and you can imagine a
level of money where you'd go, "God, I'd
be happy with that." And that level of
money for Journey and Fentina would seem
embarrassingly low. He'd go, "Why end
there?"
>> You couldn't even pay off a office
fling. No, with that amount,
>> you know, like you can't even sexually
harass one junior staffer on that kind
of salary.
>> I'm sure he's
>> I'm sure I'm sure
>> there's there isn't even a suggestion of
sexual harassment. Okay.
>> I'm sure it's wholly consensual. I'm
just making a joke about how people in
big corporate jokes uh big corporate
jobs tend to conduct themselves. Um but
yeah, you know, I I think it's difficult
to get your head around that kind of
greed if you don't have it, right? I
could imagine a level of money that I'd
be happy with. But I think what happens
is is that you get that kind of money
and then your your expectations change.
The people whose lifestyle you're
comparing yours to changes. Power
changes. You think you're powerful on
this kind of money. What was it? Again,
I'm quoting succession a lot is that
when um uh Tom is sort of deriding Greg
for his poultry, $2 million inheritance,
he says, "You're the poorest rich man in
America." [laughter]
>> That's a really good line. Um amazing.
Okay. I need to raise my ambitions.
>> No, [laughter] that's that is
>> that's what I took from that I took from
that. I'm coasting. Um Ash, pleasure to
spend the evening with you.
>> Pleasure as always.
>> Um thank you everyone for tuning in. Uh
thank you so much for I feel like there
is some IBS advice coming through. We'll
have to keep this stream up long enough
that I can read them all, Alex, and make
notes. Uh thank you guys for watching.
Uh we'll be back tomorrow at 6 p.m. for
now. You've been watching Navar Media.
Good night.