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Battle for Donbas: Russia is approaching the Donbas "belt of fortresses"

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Russian forces are steadily advancing toward key urban centers in the Donetsk region, specifically targeting Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, which serve as critical components of Ukraine's so-called "belt of fortresses." Military analysts indicate that Russian units have closed the distance to within 15 kilometers of these cities, where drone strikes and guided air bomb attacks are intensifying daily. The situation is expected to escalate significantly this fall, with experts like Michael Kofman from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace predicting that September and October could witness the heaviest fighting of the year. Analysts suggest that Moscow may attempt to leverage worsening weather conditions to launch new mechanized attacks, a strategy aimed at countering the reduced effectiveness of Ukrainian drones during poor visibility. The defense of this fortified region represents one of the first major large-scale tests for the newly appointed Ukrainian military leadership under General Mykhailo Drapatyi. Since replacing Oleksandr Syrskyi as commander-in-chief in July, Drapatyi has been restructuring the troop command system by transferring more authority directly to operational-level commanders. This shift aims to improve responsiveness and coordination on the front lines. However, the pressure remains high, as evidenced by the failed Russian offensive near Dobropillya earlier in the summer, which did not yield the expected breakthroughs despite the slow but persistent nature of the Russian advance. Life in cities like Kramatorsk has become increasingly perilous, with attacks occurring dozens of times a day against municipal buildings, residential areas, and garages. Iryna Rybakova, press secretary for the 93rd mechanized brigade, describes streets that are nearly deserted during morning and evening hours as civilians move cautiously throughout the day to avoid sudden drone strikes. While a rapid Russian breakthrough is still considered unlikely by experts from the American Institute for the Study of War, Moscow is gradually shifting the strategic situation in its favor. In August alone, Russian forces advanced or penetrated approximately 124 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory, though this represents only about a quarter of the area seized during the same month last year. Ultimately, the slow but methodical Russian infiltration poses a growing threat to the backbone of Donbas's defense, which relies on a chain of fortified industrial cities. As the weather deteriorates and drone capabilities are potentially hampered, Russia is seeking to restore mobility and momentum on the battlefield. The coming autumn months will serve as a crucial proving ground for both sides, testing the resilience of Ukraine's new command structure against a determined adversary that continues to chip away at its territorial integrity through persistent pressure and targeted strikes.
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Russian troops are gradually approaching key cities in the Donetsk region, and some of the fiercest fighting of the year could begin in this area this fall. This will pose a serious test for the new Ukrainian Armed Forces Command, Reuters reports. Russian troops are slowly advancing towards Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, the main cities of the so-called belt of fortresses. According to military analysts, Russian units are already less than 15 km from Sloviansk and Kramatorsk. Both cities are being subjected to increasingly intense drone and guided air bomb attacks. The situation is expected to escalate significantly this fall. Michael Kofman, an analyst at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, believes September and October could be the heaviest fighting of the year. He also believes Russia may attempt to exploit worsening weather conditions to launch new mechanized attacks. As weather conditions worsen, drones become less effective, and this is precisely where the Russians are trying to restore mobility on the battlefield, Kofman explained. At the same time, Ukraine has already demonstrated its ability to deter such attacks. In particular, the Russian offensive near Dobropillya in the summer failed to produce the expected results. The defense of the Donetsk region will be one of the first large-scale tests for the new Ukrainian military leadership led by General Mykhailo Drapatyi. In July, he replaced Oleksandr Syrskyi as commander-in-chief and began forming a new troop command system. Analysts estimate that Drapatyi is attempting to transfer more authority directly to operational level commanders. Russian troops continue to slowly advance towards Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, [music] towns that, along with Druzhkivka and Kostiantynivka, form the so-called belt of fortresses of Ukraine's defense, CNN reports. Kramatorsk, long an important logistical hub for the Ukrainian military, is increasingly coming under Russian attack. According to Iryna Rybakova, press secretary of the 93rd mechanized brigade, [music] attacks are occurring dozens of times a day. Attacks happen dozens of times a day. Dozens of cars, municipal buildings, residential buildings, administrative buildings, and garages have been damaged. They're simply setting everything on fire, she said. According to her, the city streets are almost deserted in the morning and evening. During the day, people also try to move as cautiously as possible due to the constant threat of drone strikes. They could strike at any moment, Rybakova noted. Analysts at the American Institute for the Study of War note that a rapid Russian breakthrough is still unlikely. >> [music] >> At the same time, the situation is gradually shifting in Moscow's favor. Russian troops are conducting infiltration operations and are slowly advancing towards Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, as well as in the Kostyantynivka area. According to the Institute for the Study of War, Russian forces advanced or penetrated approximately 124 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in August. This is about a quarter of the area Russia seized in the same month last year. Despite the slow pace, Moscow is gradually creating a threat to Ukraine's belt of fortresses, a chain of fortified industrial cities that form the backbone of Donbas's defense. >> [music]