Video summary
On August 5th, major stock indices opened at record highs before experiencing slight pullbacks, with the S&P 500 trading near 7820 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average leading gains by rising roughly one percent toward a new all-time high above 54,637. Despite some volatility in tech giants like Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and SpaceX following earnings reports and executive departures, other sectors demonstrated remarkable resilience; notably, gold surged nearly $167 to approximately $2,328 while silver rose over three percent, pushing the broader market above $4,300. This precious metal rally was mirrored by significant gains in mining equities such as Barrick Gold and Newmont, alongside strong performance from pharmaceutical leaders like Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, which both climbed more than five percent on high trading volumes that approached historical peaks.
The technology sector displayed a mixed landscape characterized by massive valuations for key players but also notable shifts in talent and strategy within the artificial intelligence space. While Nvidia reached an unprecedented market cap of $5.33 trillion and Broadcom surpassed two trillion, Google faced headwinds after losing influential AI figures like Jeff Dean and Ilia Sutskever to new ventures or independent firms, causing its stock to fall by about four percent. Conversely, Meta saw a modest rally following the unveiling of its "Muse Code" coding agent with zero-data-retention options, and IBM gained one percent post-earnings, even as SpaceX shares dropped sharply due to insider selling concerns despite Elon Musk confirming exclusive reliance on Nvidia for their operations. The market also witnessed strength in cybersecurity headlines involving major hedge funds and a rebranding success by TGB, which rose six percent after reporting strong earnings, illustrating the diverse drivers influencing investor sentiment across different industries.
Geopolitical factors continued to influence commodity markets as crude oil held steady above $75 amid easing tensions regarding the Strait of Hormuz, while the U.S. dollar weakened further against a backdrop of yen intervention concerns and ten-year yields hovering around 4.62 percent. The day's trading activity was marked by substantial volume in gold equities that had not been seen since late May, suggesting renewed investor interest in safe-haven assets even as equity markets navigated the complexities of AI competition and executive turnover. Although host Tom O'Brien characterized these broad moves as potential signs of underlying market strength, he cautioned that nothing is guaranteed in such a dynamic environment where billions of dollars are unlocking from Tesla-related holdings later this year, potentially triggering future volatility if other employees choose to diversify their portfolios away from concentrated positions.
Read the full video transcript
[music]
The following is a presentation of TFN.
[music]
The Tom O'Brien Show is produced every
business day. Tom takes your phone calls
toll-free at 1877-927-6648
internationally at 727-8737618.
>> Let's go to my man George in Newport.
George, what's going on, brother?
>> Hello, Tom. Good afternoon. How are you?
>> I'm doing great. Yourself?
>> Yeah, great. I've been following you for
the last few years, [music]
listening to your show.
>> Oh, thank you very much. I appreciate
it, Judge.
>> All the hard work you've [music] done
for us over the years. Well, I really
appreciate you calling and saying hi.
>> My pleasure, Tom. Welcome to your show.
>> Thank you, man. Have a great one, a safe
one. Appreciate it, man.
>> Now, Tom O'Brien.
[music]
>> Good afternoon, folks. Tommy O'Brien
coming to you live from TFN. We kick
things off. Markets make a new all-time
high this morning. We pull back a bit.
Gold soaring higher. We'll jump over
that in a moment. Google, they're losing
some of their top AI talent. How's that
for a sell-off to the tune of 20 bucks?
You're down by 4.3%. But all the tech
stocks right now, we jump around before
the indices. You got Amazon off by 2.1%
right now. Just covered Google.
Microsoft seems like they're making all
their AI money from Open AI. Talk about
that as well. And how about gold? Up 167
bucks. We just hit 4328. But we kick it
off with the indices. You got an S&P
right now. That's an all-time high right
on the open of 7820. And then we sell
off a bit. We're still positive by four
points right now. trading at 7770.
NASDAQ 100 as I mentioned tech stocks
now we hit 30,74
you back off a bit we're down by 310%
the Dow man leading the way right now
Dow up by 7/10% as I mentioned in the
top of the hour update how's 10,000
points for you since April 1st 10,000
points in the Dow right acceleration
over 20% acceleration off those lows and
even if you're taking the highs back in
February we're now talking about almost
10% above those highs came into the year
in the Dow at about 48 8,000 475.
There's your 50,000 hat for the first
time. And we're sitting right near
55,000. Update that hat, folks. 55,000
right now. 54637. Not quite at 55 yet.
Not quite. We jump over to yields. You
got the 10ear right now.
A little bit of volatility, but we got a
10-year yield right now of 4.62.
Okay. 4.62.
The dollar continues to be weak, folks.
Okay.
You know, you back it up to I got to
back it up a little bit further. Yeah,
there's Wednesday. I was going to say
you back it up to Fed day. Dollar cannot
find a sustained bid in whatsoever,
right? We're down almost two full points
from that Fed decision when it starts
ripping lower. Now, that is also
when you had some dollar yen
intervention and that's part of it. You
know, you got the that's part of it.
Okay, it's not all of it, but that's
part of the reason you've seen the
dollar weaken. The yen has strengthened
tremendously. We're sitting at 15769.
Little bit of calmness the last couple
of days after quite a wild wild ride on
the dollar yen.
And I saved the best for last, right? Up
4% up $167 4318.
But that's not the best part. Best
part's the equities, folks. Look at this
run, okay? And look at the way you're
breaking away from it.
Look at this break. That's how you do
it, man. All right. And look at the
volume. Today's only Wednesday to check
my math there. And we're at 62 million
on the GDX. It's going to be a big week,
folks, of volume. Okay, that's a weekly.
You take a look at the daily. How's that
for you, right? We're going to do the
most volume we've probably done since
coming up to these highs, June 18th. So,
you're pushing six, seven weeks, the
most volume, you accelerate higher.
That's what we've been waiting for,
folks. Okay? A sign of strength. This is
a sign of strength. Doesn't mean it's
guaranteed to go higher, but on a
probability business, that's what you
like to see. It's what you like to see
breaking out of a channel. It's what you
like to see breaking out of a nice
consolidation area. And that
consolidation area is right here, folks.
Okay. Now, you got highs back in October
of 8509.
We're sitting right now at 8350 on the
equities. You jump over to the metal.
Okay. You got gold volumewise right now.
Yeah. Only 400,000 contracts on the
week, but look at the daily. We're
finally going to do 200,000 contracts,
folks. Okay,
look at this action
and we'll see where we go. It's as in
the volume's still going right now. We
got a day out here of May 26th. What we
do 250 and then you got the lows out
here on March 23rd and that's when the
war was raging, right? Things that was
that was almost a worst case scenario
there on the war and we're right back
into that right now. But that's a nice
volume strike spike and look at how
you're breaking away from this little
consolidation, right?
They say no such thing as coincidences,
folks. And there's no such thing as a
sure sure thing in the market either.
Okay, but this area that we just
consolidated in, it's a perfect
technical test of where you had strength
last October, folks. Perfect. Okay, it's
an art, not a science. You're right in
this area and we're breaking higher
right now. Okay, it is happening. We got
dollar weakness. You got gold strength.
Gold up by 4%. Silver up by 3.6%. And
some of the silver stocks are rocking.
Look at Heckler up by 9%. Okay, you jump
over to copper. Copper makes an all-time
high. Priced in US dollars. Okay, we're
talking about everything priced in US
dollars.
As a gold bull right now, folks, this
matters. Okay, the trend is your friend
until it's not. And right now, that
trend, yeah, we got dollar weakness,
right? Happening again today. Okay, the
yields haven't moved dramatically. And
you got the dollar moving, man.
Look at this move even from yesterday
from 100. We're down 30 pennies just
like that. And no real move on yields.
So that's the context. You got copper at
alltime highs. Okay. And check out the
copper stock. Southern copper. They give
it up slightly up 1.6.
Freeport up 3.6. They had big days
yesterday too. Yeah. Look at Freeport up
20% in the week. Southern Copper.
Yeah, quite a move. Jump around some
other ones. Harmony up 7.4% right now.
We got Vista up 8.6%. That's a highly
speculative one, but I like it, folks.
Getting a nice little run right now.
Okay, up 8.6% on Vista.
You know, we had a question about
Kin Ross, and we got a nice move today
for Ken Ross, up 9%.
We own a few that I just talked about,
folks, in the gold report. Okay, we
don't own this one.
But I like how that's breaking too. You
know, it's you can't deny it. Now, what
I was, you know, yesterday's action in
this though gave me a little bit of
pause because I've been watching this
equity. We had this equity in the last
year for a trade in the gold report and
we made some nice money on it and it was
for the longest time. Okay, this run
right up until about here. Okay,
look at the way this thing was just
driving higher with strength, right?
That's how you want to see a market
drive higher. Okay? And then what
happens? What happens, folks? This is
such a great example of of volume and
strength. So, the move is legit. The
move is legit. You get a slight pullback
and then look at this. Look at this.
What are we doing? We were just going
higher on nothing, man. Nothing. Right
now, the whole market was doing this,
okay? And then kaboom, right? Everything
goes bust. Okay? Remember what these
charts look like, folks. This may be the
best, you know, advice I can give you.
And it doesn't work out every time. And
markets are extraordinary at drifting
higher on lighter volume. Okay. So,
yeah, when this happened, right, I'm
kicking myself cuz we had a nice trade
in this equity. I got to remember where
it was, but of course, we didn't get out
the highs. Okay, I wasn't holding this
thing as you went vapor thin, but look
at the pullback eventually. That doesn't
always happen, right? But look where we
are. We're right back into that
strength. We get a nice test. We got
lows out here in October of 2201.
And what do we get to? 2237
229
2239
and just like that we're up $212 today.
So I like it and you're going to get
some volume. There's your weekly and the
daily as well. But overall metals across
the board GDX up by 7.4%. We're coming
right back folks. We'll take a look at
SpaceX down after their earnings. Come
right back.
If [music] you spend any time online
researching trading techniques on how to
begin your trading journey, you've no
doubt come across many folks who push
forex trading as a way to make big money
quickly. Unfortunately, there are
equally as many stories of these [music]
so-called Forex professionals just
looking to make a quick buck off
aspiring traders without [music]
actually teaching the ins and outs of
the Forex market. This is what sets
Teddy Kekstacks the Tiger [music] Forex
report off the riff raff. Every Monday,
former Chicago Merkantile Exchange
member and author Teddy Kekstat releases
his Tiger Forex report newsletter
[music] where he dives into the complex
world of Forex and takes time to
actually teach you his methods that have
made him so successful in [music] the
fast-paced and rewarding world of Forex
trading. Furthermore, all subscribers
receive access to archive streams of
Teddy's where he provides university
[music] level education to help you in
Forex trading. All first-time
subscribers receive a 30-day money back
guarantee. [music] So, what are you
waiting for? Forex awaits.
>> [music]
>> The reality is that navigating financial
markets [music] can be risky.
Markets can be chaotic and difficult to
[music] understand. Having the latest
market advice can help you turn this
chaos into a key for creating winning
trades. At [music] TFN, we understand
that it can be hard to find reliable
market news. [music] That's why each of
our market experts offers their very own
market [music] newsletter. A must-have
tool for every trader out there striving
to find an edge in today's markets. TFN
newsletters cover every aspect of the
[music] markets so you can analyze the
market before you trade.
Try any of our great newsletters
risk-free with our 30-day money back
guarantee.
Just [music] visit the newsletters tab
on the front page of tfn.com.
TFN, [music] educating investors.
Sharpening your skills as an investor is
like getting better at playing a musical
instrument. You have to practice, sure,
but you also need excellent instruction
from experts. At TFN, you'll get advice
and guidance from the authority in
technical market analysis. And it's not
just dry, tedious text, either. TFN airs
live financial [music] content streamed
live on TFN.com and TFN's YouTube
channel with Tiger [music] TV. Live
every market day from 8:30 a.m. to 400
p.m. Eastern for free. Each host [music]
is an experienced trader and gives their
take on the market while taking calls
and questions live from around the
world. From the moment the market opens
until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV
has eight different [music] shows with
expert hosts to help you make the right
moves with your money. Watch online at
tfnn.com or on TFN's [music] YouTube
channel and become the investor you were
born to be. TFN, educating investors.
[music]
Welcome back, folks. S&Ps right now
trading up four points. We're trading at
7769. And you jump back to this market,
folks. And quite a market. We got an S&P
right now 7820. And we jump over the
heat map,
the Dow, and how about Nvidia, man? Up
5%. But we're going to jump around.
Dow's got quite a number. Okay. Some of
the equities out here. Thankfully for
the Dow, not the most expensive price,
right? As in a price weighted index. You
got Google
down by 4%, Amazon off 2.2, Microsoft
off 410%, and Apple in the red as well.
But on the flip side of that, yeah, you
got Goldman Sachs right up 1.6%, $1,000
equity, UNH up 1.8%, JP Morgan in the
green as well. Caterpillar up 1.6,
Boeing up 1.4.
Let's jump over to IBM up by 1% today.
So, they got Clobberon earnings. We're
going to go to SpaceX in a moment,
folks. We get clobbered on earnings and
look at how you claw it back but no
volume. That's not what you want to see.
Yeah, just trailing off a bit. You want
to see a little bit more strength. IBM
making a bid up by 1%.
Salesforce up by 7/10%. All right. And
SpaceX down by 12.6%.
So,
and yeah, we're going to talk about how
this triggers off the unlocking. All
right,
$101 billion worth of stock becomes
available. If insiders decide to sell
that, the market has to find $100
billion of equity investment at current
prices.
911.5 million shares
become unlocked.
Yeah. Nine stage structure. Let's see if
this links to the to the structure.
This is July 1. Does it give us an easy
one? Yeah, it sure does. Here we go.
Perfect.
Let's just assume
the performance goals are not met. Okay.
because it does not look like they're
going to be met. As of right now,
you get 5.3 billion shares unlocked
regardless as of December 8th.
That's 120 days, folks. 5.3 billion
shares. Now, the market's no fool. Okay?
The market is well aware of this.
There's some very smart investors in
this equity, okay?
But there is a certain amount of bias
when everything is so entangled, right?
The Wall Street banks, everything. But
part of the reason for this sell-off,
okay, from 170 down to 100 is the fact
the market knows. And you know, I find
myself, listen, I was hooting and
hollering out here, okay, about this
unlocking period through the month of
July because not enough people, not
enough retail traders for sure, okay?
They don't understand what's going on.
There's only 367 million shares that are
traded right now, folks. We would kill
kill there's 13 billion shares total.
Okay, the 5 billion shares that are
going to get unlocked by the end of the
year.
Those shares
are not the insiders. Okay, Elon and his
massive whole that happens in something
like June of 2027. So Elon's locked in
and he wouldn't have been selling
anyway, right? Can you imagine Elon
sells within the first 10 months? He
doesn't the the the stock would crater.
it would create rightfully so. Right.
But that is the unlocking period that
you get and it begins right now tomorrow
folks. Yeah.
[snorts]
So 911 million shares.
Yeah. And they say it's 639 million I
guess right now. Thinker Swim has it 367
million is the float.
Musk owns 7.8 8 billion shares, 60% of
the stock and he is tied up as I said.
[snorts]
Normally insiders are restricted from
selling shares for 6 months,
but they didn't go for that one this
time.
Can't wait to see how it happens. You
might get some extreme volatility. Don't
get over your skis. I say it often in
this market and I should. you went into
the close yesterday at 125, you know,
you're down to 110, you're as high as
130, and that's pretty calm compared to
what we've done in this equity. And no
matter how bullish you are, folks, okay,
and there's a lot of money in this
equity in this equity market right now,
as in we got, you know, S&P is at
alltime highs, Dow is at all-time highs.
Gold's doing fairly well right now.
NASDAQ 30,000 right now. We size 31,000.
Nvidia, okay, now up 4.7%. One thing
that SpaceX did say last night in their
earnings call is that they're all in on
Nvidia. So, Nvidia is the best. We're
all in. I can actually even show you
when right there. Yeah. Conference call
began at 4:30 and Elon and I was
listening to it say, "Yep, that's it.
We're exclusive to Nvidia. They're
they're it. They're the best. That's who
we're going with." Nvidia's like, "I'll
take that. I'll take that to the tune.
We'll trade up to 2222
the next day. Now, the flip side of
that, AMD with their numbers, yeah, down
by 6.1%.
Continuing to consolidate near the
highs, almost 100 bucks off those highs,
but just kind of in a nice consolidation
area here. And look where we are though,
right? We're right at the 1 to 1.618
expansion on this thing. Okay, an A to
B, C to D up to the 1 to 1.618. You get
well above there, but then you give it
back slightly. You jump over to Apple
right now.
Still above its long-term channel.
All right, check that out, man. Still
sitting above that channel. Up by
onetenth% today. All right, we jump over
to Google. So, check this one out, man.
Human capital.
Has human capital ever been so important
as it is right now? Now, yeah, probably
has. Okay, in terms of if you own the
human capital, in terms of the
intelligence, the genius, uh, inventing
electricity, right? Whatever it is, but
inventing AI, it's pretty up there. And
you're seeing the battle over human
capital play out and the moves in these
equities when you see this play out,
pretty fant remarkable.
So, yeah, Google AI veterans depart
during a quote unquote seismic
leadership shift.
Google is losing prominent AI veterans,
including Jeff Dean. And so this is,
let's see, here's Mr. Jeff Dean. You'll
never guess what he's going to do. He's
going to go start up his own company.
Man, why not? Can you imagine if you I
mean, the reason why not is cuz these
companies like Google may pay you a
billion dollars just to be their
employee at this point when the market
capitalization will drop substantially
on the day the market finds out that
you're leaving. And it's not only him
leaving, okay? He's departing to to
launch a startup and he's taking several
high-profile employees with him. They
want equity, folks. They want equity.
They want their own startup. The head of
Google Deep Mind is moving to a chairman
role at the lab. In the new structure,
you have this gentleman right here. I
gotta get his name because I can't. Demi
Habibis. probably blew that one away.
But yes,
he will be running now.
This gentleman
will assume dual title of chairman of
Deep Mind and chief scientist of
Alphabet
and he's going to report right to the
CEO.
But a huge shuffle when you got these
big players at Deep Mind, man, and
they're going to start their own
startup. You know, some of the
valuations in these companies and you
know, can you fault them when you have
the gentleman, what's his name, Ilia,
that leaves Open AI, right? And he
starts a competing AI company. And I
think that company's already valued at
like 3540 billion. He just started it
like a year ago. But it's worth it cuz
people will put money when you have that
type of human intelligence in this
market right now. But Google off by 4.2%
on that news. We'll come back and take a
look at Meta, folks. Meta just got a
little pop to the upside. We'll come
right back.
Many trading newsletters attempt to
focus on a narrow set of equities or
commodities. While this works [music]
for some, it often times misses many
opportunities that possess huge gain
potential. But how is an independent
trader supposed to scan the [music]
entire market looking for these hidden
opportunities? One simple answer,
[music] the opening call newsletter.
Basil Chapman, developer of the Chapman
wave trading methodology, has been
trading the markets for longer than most
trading influencers [music] have been
alive. And over that time, he has honed
his methodology in order to [music]
accurately call movements in a wide
range of equities from semiconductors to
uranium [music] to key indices and so
much more. Basil is old school, taking
the time to educate the trader while
also giving his insights into [music]
key indices, selective stocks, and more.
Opening call subscribers also receive
access to dozens of educational live
streams [music] that can be accessed at
any time for your edification. All
firsttime subscribers receive a 30-day
money back guarantee. So, ignore the pop
trading influencers and start learning
time- tested technical analysis.
Steve RH started his trading career as a
student almost 20 [music] years ago and
the student has now become the master.
Steve won the prestigious timer of the
year award in 2018 and barely missed
that mark again in 2019, finishing
[music] at number two for the year. An
amazing accomplishment. Steve Rhodess is
committed to sharing his techniques and
knowledge with anyone who wants to
learn. [music] And he shares his vast
amount of trading knowledge every day in
his Mastering Probability Newsletter.
>> [music]
>> Steve's award-winning newsletter,
Mastering Probability, is delivered
every trading day with updates
throughout the afternoon. Sign up for
Steve's market newsletter, Mastering
Probability, and you'll receive access
to seven of Steve's [music]
educational webinars absolutely free. At
TFN, all our newsletters come with a
30-day money back guarantee, so you have
absolutely nothing to worry about. Visit
tfnn.com [music] and try Mastering
Probability 30 days risk-free today. TFN
educating investors.
Sharpening your skills as an investor is
like getting better at playing a musical
instrument. You have to practice, sure,
but you also need excellent instruction
from experts. At TFN, you'll get advice
and guidance from the authority in
technical market analysis. And it's not
just dry, tedious [music] text, either.
TFN airs live financial content streamed
live on tfnn.com and tfn's YouTube
channel with Tiger [music] TV live every
market day from 8:30 a.m. to 400 p.m.
Eastern [music]
for free. Each host is an experienced
trader and gives their take on the
[music] market while taking calls and
questions live from around the world.
From the moment the market opens until
the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV
[music] has eight different shows with
expert hosts to help you make the right
moves with your money. Watch online at
tfnn.com
or on TFN's YouTube channel [music] and
become the investor you were born to be.
TFN, educating investors.
This portion of the Tom O'Brien Show is
brought to you by Directions daily
leveraged and inverse ETFs. Whether
you're a bull or a bear, you choose the
direction. Visit direction.com.
Investing in the funds involves
significant risk and should only be
utilized by investors who understand the
impact of leverage and actively monitor
their portfolio. They are not designed
to track the underlying index or
security for more than a day. Before
investing, carefully consider a fund's
investment objective, risks, charges,
and expenses contained in the perspectus
available at direction.com. Read
carefully. ALPS Distributors, Inc.
[music]
Welcome back, folks. You got Meta Shares
just in the last one. I was coming on
the the program, folks, at 3:00. So, the
news hits that Meta, they unveil their
new coding agents, their first AI coding
agent to take on Yeah. the big dogs,
Anthropic and Open AAI, they're rolling
out their first coding agent called Muse
Code as they ramp up the investments.
And yeah, they're going to start
offering what? Compute, right? Basically
AI services third party developers can
access Muse code via pay as you go
option. Similar API pricing as Muse
Spark 1.1 release. Not familiar, but
they charge. 125 per million tokens in
input, 425 per million tokens of output.
I'm not up to date in terms of where
that pricing falls for a million tokens.
It's a terminal coding agent like many
other coding agents. You can install it
with one command and then use it to take
on complete software engineering tasks
across a wide variety of use cases.
planning changes, writing code,
validating results,
and yeah, they got the cost in there.
And yeah, the data is going to be a big
part, right? Meta is also starting to
accept requests for zero data retention
in which the company would not retain
developer data to improve models and
other uses.
That's going to be a bigger part of all
of this going forward, right? Is is who
controls that, right? people start using
their models and all of a sudden they're
just using everything that you do
against you and then boom, they take you
out. That's it. You're done.
Why does the model need you anymore if
you're using the model to do everything
and then they just take your data to
train the what they're doing and and
teach you out at your own game? So,
medicates a little bit of a pop on that
news, but we trade lower today with the
rest of the equities, tech equities.
Jump over some of the memory stocks. You
got Micron up 2.5% right now.
Sandis down by 2.7. I believe they have
their numbers after the bell for Sandis.
See if we can get some volume. Not bad.
Only Wednesday. You've done almost 40
million shares right now. Well, we'll
see what they say after the bell. And
Sandis down 2.8%.
Yeah, SpaceX off by about 12.7% right
now. And folks, if you are trading
SpaceX, especially around earnings,
okay, single stock ETFs direction, they
have liftoff, which is the two times
bully
SpaceX ETF, okay? Single stock ETF gives
you two times leverage. They are a
sponsor, folks. But I would promote them
anyway. They're great products and as
traders, active traders. Okay? Now,
remember that the long-term performance
may not match the underlying. If you
hold leveraged ETFs, right? We talk
about it often. you get momentum in one
way or the other. You get a stalled
market. It impacts how those leveraged
ETFs do compared to their benchmark on a
longer term basis, but on a daily basis,
they do a very good job of hitting that
two times or whatever the benchmark is
or the the leverage that they have. And
yeah, you know, if you're thinking about
trading SpaceX in the earnings for like
a very short-term trade, I encourage you
to check out Liftoff. Now,
trading SpaceX, folks, you better be
aware of the risks when you're trading
two times the exposure of an equity that
is jumping around like hot hot pajamas.
Yeah,
a liftoff down by 26.3% today as SpaceX
pulls back to 109. Remember IPO price
135, debut trading price 150, and we're
sitting at 109. And the unlocking period
starts tomorrow. Pretty sure the Wall
Street banks were probably hoping
to have a little bit more room to the
upside as the unlocking started, right?
They didn't want the unlockings to start
with SpaceX down at 100. The other side
of that argument, folks, okay, and
believe me, I've been out here
hollering, is that this could be a
situation as sell the rumor, buy the
news, right? The news is out there. We
know it. That's it. There's going to be
a lot of shares that can be sold. Okay?
All of those insiders that have all
those shares, they are not holding all
of their money in SpaceX. They're not
holding all of their money in SpaceX,
folks. They're going to diversify,
rightfully so. They have vast wealth.
Even if they're selling off at a
discount, they are going to diversify.
Now, that doesn't mean all those shares
are going to get sold, okay? But these
are investors. Some of them have been
working for that company for 20 years,
right? Some of them haven't. Some of
them participated in
much more recent ventures, whether it's
even Twitter, right? I'm not sure who
falls for the insider versus outsider
versus the 5.5 billion shares getting
unlocked by the end of the year
versus the 13 billion, right? But a lot
of that's Elon on the back end of June
of next year. But yeah, SpaceX down by
12.3%. Decent numbers, but the market's
worried about spend period.
All right, you look at this market
giving it up a bit. NASDAQ off by half a
percent right now. And you're going to
have some volume today, right? You get
above this, you give it up. Yesterday
604,000. Today we're at about 500,000
right now. We jump over the ETF
structure. You got the cues. Oh, look at
that. No volume today. Nothing. Nothing
on this pullback. Now, we had a lot of
pre-market action, which is why you had
a lot of volume in the futures. Yeah.
And you jump over to crude. Market loves
this, man. We got a we got a deal.
That's the headline. All right. That is
the headline. You jump over.
Iran says agreement on Humu's shipping
reach with Oman.
They've reached an agreement on a
proposed route for shipping through the
straight. a potential step toward a
reopening of the the critical waterway
for energy supplies. That's one way to
put it. We'll see if it holds.
And where is it going to be? Right in
the middle.
Yeah, they've been discussing for
several days.
And hey, you know, crude holding up
remarkably well. 75 bucks. the market
with the straight been shut down for so
long with with all of this
pressure on prices all-time highs just
like that shakes it off but what's
happening with gold today folks all
right up 160 bucks I like that move
what's happening with the dollar right
now okay the recent weakness in the last
week down two full points 9971 right now
cuz you look it's just not all the yen
right look at the move today on a daily
basis okay continuing the move lower
9971.
That's not the yen today, right? So, the
yen's part of it as in the yen
strengthened, the dollar weaknessed.
That was part of the scenario, but the
dollar's weak right now. And on a
longerterm basis, that's a good thing
for gold.
And the equities like it as well. Up
7.4%
for the GDX and and doing it with some
volume. And that's a sign of strength,
folks. We've been waiting for it. It's
here.
All right. All right, we jump over to
Amazon. Right, we talked about these
channels. You got to be quick sometimes,
folks. It's an art, not a science. And
it looks like the pressure was going to
be a little bit lower to the south,
right? And if you draw that linear
regression, you almost hit it up.
Sometimes it's the top, sometimes it's
the bottom. If it was a science, it
would be solved. Okay,
but yeah, Amazon continues to back off.
Down 2.1% right now. And look at that.
How nice it is, right? Just a general
area. You ring that bell near 290 and
we're trading right now down 2.1%. S&P
is flat. We're coming right back, folks.
[music]
If you're looking for potential trading
setups in the stock market, then Rocket
Equities and Options Report is a
newsletter you should try. Tommy O'Brien
delivers options and equity trades when
the markets present them using a
combination of fundamentals and
technicals. Sign up for Rocket Equities
and Options Report today with a 30-day
money back guarantee, so you have
nothing to risk. For all the details and
to start your subscription today, visit
the front page of tfn.com.
tfnN, educating investors.
For traders who crave risk, directions
daily leveraged and [music] inverse ETFs
provide opportunities to magnify
short-term perspectives with up to three
times a daily leverage. Utilize bull and
bare funds [music] for both sides of the
trade and trade through rapidly changing
markets. These are highly leveraged ETFs
with daily resetting designed for
short-term trading, not long-term
investing. Whether you're a bull or a
bear, you choose the direction for
up-to-date pricing and performance. Go
to direction.com.
[music] Investing in the funds involves
significant risk and should only be
utilized by investors who understand the
impact of leverage [music] and actively
monitor their portfolio. They are not
designed to track the underlying index
or security for more than a day. Before
investing, carefully consider a fund's
investment objective, risks, charges,
and expenses contained in the perspectus
available at direction.com. Read
carefully. ALPS Distributors Inc.
The reality is that navigating financial
markets [music] can be risky.
Markets can be chaotic and difficult to
understand. Having the latest [music]
market advice can help you turn this
chaos into a key for creating winning
trades. [music] At TFN, we understand
that it can be hard to find reliable
market news. That's why each of our
market experts offers their very own
market [music] newsletter. A must-have
tool for every trader out there striving
[music] to find an edge in today's
markets. TFN newsletters cover every
aspect of the markets [music]
so you can analyze the market before you
trade.
Try any of [music] our great newsletters
risk-free with our 30-day money back
guarantee.
[music] Just visit the newsletters tab
on the front page of tfn.com.
TFN, educating investors.
TFN has launched the Tiger Zen hosted at
Discord. TFN has been educating traders
[music] for more than 20 years with live
programming hosted by a variety of
professional traders during market
hours. The Tigers Den available to all
Tigers and Tigresses for just $1 for the
year. There's no cash or added [music]
costs when you join our community of
traders. Sign up today and become a part
[music] of this educational community of
traders. Just visit the front page of
tfn.com.
This program is brought to you by Vista
Gold. Traded on the NYSE American and
TSX under the symbol VGZ.
>> I'm Orion.
[music]
>> Welcome back, folks. And we got a VIX.
Excuse me. Look at this VIX. Right. The
market is not moving right now, folks,
since about 12:30. Look at the Look at
this range, right? as we're just
waiting. We got a potential deal. Irran,
the straight's going to open. Crude
pushing 75 bucks right now at 7522. We
have an S&P that's just stuck basically
at all-time highs. Okay. Yeah, you made
them this morning, but outside of that
run. And we got a fix right now that's
making a run for 15 bucks. 1549 down 6%
right now. Remarkable total reversal.
What was going on this morning? All
right.
This morning on the open, this market
was telecasting. There was some fear in
a possible pullback and you had it
happen
and in a heartbeat though
even the NASDAQ right since noon.
All right.
And yeah, some great conversations in
the tiger stand talking to seco. Is that
what this company is still called? What
is it? TGB
Tor. Is this Did this used to be TCO?
TGB? Yeah, TCO. There it is. That's how
I know it. TGB
changed their name. Ah, just last month.
Huh?
They going for a rebranding here.
They're up by 6% today. So, they got
their numbers after the bell, huh?
Look at this move. That's how you break
away from a consolidation, man. Look at
that. I like that.
We're right at the June highs. June 2nd
835. We're at 828 right now. You did
about 6.5 and 8 million then. And we're
already at 7 million today. Take a look
at the weekly.
There's that bar on the weekly. You did
33 million at the weekly on those highs.
We're at 20 million right now. We got
two trading days left. So, they get
their numbers after the bell.
All right, we take a look at Microsoft.
That's quite a weekly, right, for
Microsoft. How's that for you? We take a
look at the daily now on a weekly.
Actually, before we jump away, right,
look at the volume and we have a lot of
volume already, folks. Now, last week
you did 280. We're at 141. pretty
staggering when you think that, you
know, any other comparison would be
going to blow away the volume that we
did. But we're benchmarking against the
acceleration last week, which was 278.
We're coming in at 141. And yeah, it
turns out that all the money that
Microsoft's making right now, where are
we?
That's not it.
Here it is.
Mostly come from OpenAI. Are you kidding
me? They're not making anything else.
$24 billion in sales from OpenAI during
the year in June.
Open AAI accounted more than half of
Microsoft's actual AI sales. The
disclosure suggests that OpenAI's share
of Microsoft business is about 70% of
its actual AI sales during the recent
fiscal year.
[snorts]
Yeah. So 24 out of 37 billion is coming
right from them. What if they change?
That would be dynamic. That is a
tremendous amount of revenue that is
coming off that one client.
Open AI pays Microsoft for computing
power, cost associated with building AI
models and a share of their revenue. Not
bad.
And yeah, they've tried to diversify
back in anthropic developing its own
model,
but there are some inherent risks
[clears throat] when you're that
dependent off one customer.
Microsoft has only disclosed its total
AI business twice. Once for the quarter
ending in December 24
when it was doing
13 billion in sales over a year
and in March when it said it was on
track to produce more than 37 billion.
But you take the 24 out of there and
yeah,
yeah, you put it against total revenue,
not not as large of a number, but
Microsoft and their valuation and
everyone's valuation right now is not
getting judged off the total revenue
when their expenses that they're
spending, the expenses that they have,
they have to show growth for those
expenses. And those expenses have to
show growth for the money they're
spending on AI.
Jump over to Walmart.
Just can't find a bid recently up today,
but not breaking out of that trend just
yet. Take a look at this weekly. That's
a tough looking weekly.
Some decent volume on last week's
balance. 118 million. We'll see how this
week comes in. Walmart barely in the
green right now.
Jump over to Disney shares. Yeah, decent
numbers for Disney and you're going to
get a nice weekly number. We're already
at 45 million shares. You got two
trading days left in the week. Disney up
3.7%.
There's your daily. Yeah, you're going
to break higher with volume as well.
The experience division for Disney
includes parks and cruises revenue. How
about up 10% year-over-year?
I mean, that's a nuts andbolts business
of you're talking about parks and
cruises
revenue up 10% running parks and
cruises. Remarkable.
Park attendance in the US up 3%. per
capita spending up 4%.
[snorts]
[sighs and gasps]
Revenue up 11% when you look at the
entertainment streaming business.
Yeah, big numbers, man. And in terms of
topline, 25.25
billion.
Quite a number, man.
And they make 206 a share. There it is
right there. 206 a share. All right, we
got 11 minutes to go as we get the S&P
turns slightly to the red. NASDAQ off
about 160 right now. Russell off by 16.
Jump around. What else we got going on
this market right now?
What do we got?
Yeah, how about this one? Right. And
boy, cyber security, AI security,
major hedge fund, hedge funds targeted
in wave of attempted cyber attacks.
They target Wall Street. Point 72
informed investors that had been
attacked, though the heads funge initial
indications were that no client
information was stolen. Still reviewing
the incident, but the fact they had to
let them know, it must have been quite
an attack. Attackers attempted to
infiltrate the information systems and
two others, Millennium, Sigma, and
Citadel, as well as Private Equity. They
brought it all right at the same time.
Right? It makes sense. You hit them all
at the same time. You hit the first one,
they're going to learn from it. You hit
them all.
Yeah. Law firms, other professional
companies, and Yeah. Why not hedge
funds, man? They go after him.
And look at Nvidia. Nvidia is going to
have some volume today, man. I mean,
we're going to do the most volume we've
done probably since the lows back here
in June. You're going to get some good
volume on the close, I imagine. 130
million shares for Nvidia, up by 4%.
Adding 200 billion in market cap today
alone. Almost 25 billion shares for that
equity. Quite a number.
Jump over to Uber on their numbers.
Yeah, disappointing numbers down 5.1%.
They were in line, but the market was
expecting more and not coming in line
right now. It's a tough one with markets
where they're at. One more segment,
folks. We'll come right back. [music]
[music]
Many trading newsletters attempt to
focus on a narrow set of equities or
commodities. While this [music] works
for some, it often times misses many
opportunities that possess huge gain
potential. But how is an independent
trader supposed to scan the entire
[music] market looking for these hidden
opportunities? One simple answer, the
opening call newsletter. Basil Chapman,
developer of the Chapman wave [music]
trading methodology, has been trading
the markets for longer than most trading
influencers have been alive. And over
that time, he has honed his methodology
[music] in order to accurately call
movements in a wide range of equities
from semiconductors to uranium to key
[music] indices and so much more. Basil
is old school, taking the time to
educate the trader while also giving his
insights into key indices, selective
stocks, and more. Opening [music] call
subscribers also receive access to
dozens of educational live streams that
can be accessed at any time for your
edification. All firsttime subscribers
receive a 30-day money back guarantee.
So, ignore the pop trading influencers
and start learning time-tested technical
analysis.
In the world of trading, only a few
names stand out like Larry Pavvento, a
pros pro with over 50 years of
experience, Larry has seen it all. A
former Chicago Merkantile Exchange
member, Larry has authored 10 books and
trained over 1,000 traders [music] with
his unmatched expertise. Introducing
Fibonacci 247. Larry Pesnto's daily
trading service that turns the
complexity of markets into
opportunities. Published every Sunday,
receive a comprehensive report packed
with detailed commentary, [music]
charts, and videos that illuminate the
patterns shaping the markets with
updates throughout the week exclusively
[music] for subscribers. Whether through
charts or videos, Larry's analysis is
your road map to navigating the markets.
You can sign up now at tfnn.com for just
[music] $97. And with all TFN
newsletters backed by a 30-day money
back guarantee, you have nothing to
risk. For all the details, visit
tfnn.com. You'll find Fibonacci 247
right under the newsletters tab.
>> The reality is that navigating financial
[music] markets can be risky.
Markets can be chaotic and difficult to
[music] understand. Having the latest
market advice can help you turn this
chaos into a key for creating winning
trades. [music] At TFN, we understand
that it can be hard to find reliable
market news. That's [music] why each of
our market experts offers their very own
market newsletter. A must-have tool
[music] for every trader out there
striving to find an edge in today's
markets. TFN [music] newsletters cover
every aspect of the markets so you can
analyze the market before you trade.
Try any of [music] our great newsletters
risk-free with our 30-day money back
guarantee.
[music] Just visit the newsletters tab
on the front page of tfn.com.
TFN, [music] educating investors.
Don't forget you can listen to TFN live
on your mobile device 24 hours per day.
Go to tfn.com and hit watch tiger TV.
That's tfn.com and hit watch tiger TV.
[music]
Welcome back folks. And as you see we
got a little bit of a mixed bag. This is
the S&P 500 we're looking at here.
Nvidia, man, 5.33 trillion. Quite a
number. You got Broadcom back above 2
trillion. Google 4.4, right? We got Lily
in the green by almost 5%. Let's jump
over to Eli Liy. What's going on here?
Look at this volume on a weekly basis.
Look at that, man. You're already doing
12 million.
Oh, they got their numbers. Okay. Up 5%
right now for Lily. 1169.
Hey, you got to like that volume, man.
Trading higher with volume on a daily
and a weekly basis. Let's see what we're
coming into for the highs here.
Yeah, that was the big piece of strength
here, June 22nd. And hey, if you could
ever get above it, and you just might.
19 million shares the week of June 22nd
and we're at 12 million with two trading
days left. Man, you take out that high
and you do it with volume and we got an
alltime high at 1249 hanging out there.
But you're up by 53 bucks today. Up 5%
for Ny Lily.
See Novo.
Up by 510%.
Jump around to some of the other gold
equities today. Yeah, look at this run,
man. Look at this run. Bareric up by 8%
right now. Pneumont up by 7%. Chin
Harmony 7% right now. Big numbers.
We've been waiting for a sign of
strength, folks. You've been listening
to TFN long enough. All right, this
could be it. It looks like it. Nothing's
guaranteed life, right? But this looks
like it, man. Nice sign of strength from
gold breaking higher
now. On a weekly basis, we need more
volume. But on a daily basis, how's that
for sticking out, man? We got buyers in
that market, folks. Gold up by nearly
156 bucks. We're above 4,300.
Yeah. And you're at prices we haven't
seen since about June 18th, 6 weeks. and
you're doing it with more volume than
we've seen going back to May 26th.
Folks, thanks so much for tuning in,
spending your afternoon with me.
Couldn't appreciate it more. Enjoy that
time tonight, folks. Time, our greatest
commodity, our greatest. Enjoy that
time. Have a great evening. We'll see
you tomorrow, folks. Have a great night.
Thanks.
build.