Video summary
On August 31st, the Tom O'Brien Show reported that financial markets faced significant pressure following the Jackson Hole symposium, characterized by rising yields and increasing crude oil prices. The ten-year Treasury yield hovered around 4.75% while the dollar retreated slightly, and major indices experienced declines as the S&P 500 dropped about half a percent after bouncing off support levels, the Dow fell roughly 0.6%, and the NASDAQ 100 slipped by a quarter percent. Gold pulled back from recent lows to approximately $4,482, though the GDX miner ETF remained resilient despite a slight decline in its index value. Individual stocks showed mixed performance, with Amazon shares falling nearly 3% due to new Federal Trade Commission allegations regarding misleading advertising practices that could lead to substantial fines, while companies like Salesforce and CrowdStrike demonstrated strength amidst heavy selling volume for McDonald's and light trading activity for IBM and Netflix.
Market analysts highlighted several concerning trends and risks, particularly as Steve Rhodes noted that September is historically the worst-performing month for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. He pointed out a worrying pattern where the Dow reached all-time highs simultaneously across multiple currencies such as the euro and yen, suggesting a potential major market top supported by topping patterns on daily and monthly charts. Technical analysis indicated that a bearish shooting star candle was expected if prices failed to rise within 36 minutes, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming non-farm payrolls data release for August scheduled for Friday before the Labor Day weekend. Furthermore, rising mortgage rates had climbed to nearly 6.87%, significantly increasing monthly payments for prospective homebuyers, while the Federal Reserve was viewed as a two-to-one favorite to hike interest rates at its September 16th meeting, with probabilities suggesting multiple hikes could occur by year-end.
In a major development regarding corporate strategy and investment, Nvidia announced a $3.5 billion investment in MediaTek, a Taiwanese chipmaker, marking its largest direct investment outside the United States. This deal involves convertible bonds that will convert into shares and is part of a broader $3.9 billion convertible bond sale by MediaTek that also attracted investors like Apple. The announcement reflected Nvidia's strategy of leveraging its equity to invest in other businesses, resulting in a 1.4% rise in Nvidia shares, although Google fell 2% and Amazon dropped further before the FTC news emerged. While crude oil prices increased slightly and gold saw a minor lift after its earlier pullback, the GDX index declined by 1.3%, illustrating the complex interplay between sector-specific news and broader market sentiment as the show concluded with an encouraging sign-off for listeners to enjoy their time.
Read the full video transcript
[music]
The following is a presentation of TFN.
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Let's go to Mike in Southern California.
Hey Mike, what's going on?
>> Hey Tom, nice to talk to you again. And
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>> Thank you, man. Thank you.
>> Now, Tom O'Brien.
[music]
>> Good afternoon, folks. Tommy O'Brien
coming to you live from TFN. Thanks for
joining me kicking off the final hour of
the trading day. And we got markets
under pressure right now. Extending some
of the losses we had on Friday following
Jackson Hole. And yeah, we got yields
continuing higher. Now, part of the
backdrop here is you got crude pushing
higher up $2.25.
So, crude is higher. Yields right now.
The 10-year off another seven, we'll
call it six ticks lower at 10722.
How about 4.75%
on the 10-year higher yields persisting.
The dollar right now, dollar actually
backs off. So, 9942 even as yields
persist. That's been a trend recently.
And gold lower but off of the lows. gold
off $47 off 1% at 44.82 and the GDX only
off a buck though. Check out the GDX,
right? You're holding at 98.24 on the
GDX. We started this rally at about 70.
Meanwhile, you got the gold contract at
44.82
and this rally started at about 4,000.
So, you have gold up 12%. From the lows
that we made, this little consolidation
area. All right, we're diverging right
at the beginning. But talking about gold
pulling back and you got a GDX
that is up $28. So 40% from 70, right?
Even if you call it 75. So GDX holding
up leading right now in that market. But
gold under pressure when you get yields
higher and yields are part of the story
right now. But we got a market with an
S&P off by about half a percent right
now. We just bounced from an area of
support of 76.80, but you're off by half
a percent at 76.8. 87 right now. Tech
stocks holding up relatively well, even
with Amazon, we'll talk about it, down
nearly 3%. NASDAQ 100 down a quarter%
off 71 points, 29,419.
The Dow under pressure.
See that escalation this morning. The
Dow off 6/10%
off 338 points, 53,246.
And you got the Russell right now as
yields are spiking again off 9/10% off
26 points at 2952.
And yeah, Amazon. So the FTC as I was
just talking about in the top of the
hour update there. Now quite the
acceleration on Friday. This market is
something, right? $10 up, $10 down. One
day, one day. Even a company like Amazon
not immune to the volatility. And that's
after
you remember this day when we found out
Bezos was selling.
Now, it was part of a planned sell,
right? But they can always
do away with that plan, right? They can
always change that plan if they want to.
So, it's it's like an option that cost
you nothing that you can rewrite at any
time that they have planned sales. You
get a nice acceleration on the earnings.
Bezos moves out some shares as part of
that planned sale. And here we are in
the same month with the FTC
launching an investigation.
Ah, forgive me. Come on. Where are we?
The story just jumped away from me.
Oh, shame on me. Uh, yes. But the FTC,
it's going to be right here. Here it is.
FTC suit claiming it misled advertisers
on pricing. They make a lot of money on
advertising, folks. This could be a big
one. Okay, we'll find out the details.
This just broke at 2:00.
A group of states is also set to join
the potential lawsuit. Now,
Facebook just paid what 16 billion
that Amazon had mis had been misleading
advertising clients
and yeah, they may get billions of
dollars cuz they're taking in so much
money. The ads, sometimes known as
sponsored listings, appearance the top.
Amazon said investigators misrepresented
how
its advertising auctions work and
presented no evidence of harm to
shoppers,
you know,
and they're they're going to push back,
of course, but it's just a little black
box, right? you know, Google ads, all
this stuff. And yes, they got
algorithms, they have all that, but if
you've ever done any advertising on
that, folks, oh man, it's so difficult
to find out what they're actually
charging you for, you know, how the the
efficiency works of everything. And hey,
so nonetheless, you got Amazon shares
down 2.9%. And boy, you know, the way
this thing is moving right now, folks,
wouldn't be surprised if we give up this
acceleration back to like 240. You know,
you're in a exceptional channel right
now.
Okay, look at this beautiful channel on
Amazon from the lows at the start of
20123. You talk about nearly four years
to the upside, but 240 is hanging out
there, man. And you are trading with
some volume now
on a monthly, you're not going to have
the volume,
man. Weekly, you're pulling back on
volume as well. We'll see if that
changes this week. We're coming to, you
know, Labor Day, end of summer, though,
as we trail off. Now, the one thing
that's going to keep you here this week,
though, folks, is we got non-farm
payrolls on Friday for the month of
August, and it's an important one.
You know, look at this on a daily. Now,
this is very short term, but look at the
way you're ripping lower. Now, this news
just broke in the last hour. So, if this
had been a story that the market was
digesting all day, you might get more
volume. But that FTC story just breaking
in the last hour. Amazon with 25 million
shares on the pullback today and you did
almost 50 million on the acceleration on
Friday.
And yeah, look at this 10 year man.
Watch out below. So we're at 10720.
Started the war at 114
and yeah, highest since June 2025.
Right now, folks, the moral trade is
6.87%.
You know what it was when the war began?
5.99.
And to put that in context,
buying a $450,000 home, putting 20% down
on it, you're talking about 90 grand
down
at $27 more, you're paying 2363 as
opposed to paying 2156.
And yeah, that's if you can qualify.
Pretty remarkable just since March,
right? That's a that's a almost a 10%
increase in your monthly payment. And
imagine that's your 10% increase in your
monthly payment for 30 years.
Pretty remarkable. Not remarkable when
you look at this chart though.
And there it is. And look at the volume
we got last week. All right. Yeah. The
10 year trades down with force. You jump
over the 30-year right now. Down another
21 ticks.
Now you actually had some action on
Friday on Jackson Hole. Look at that. So
you actually bounce a bit. We're giving
it back on no volume whatsoever today.
But yield tire, dollar, even with yield
tire though, dollar backs off a bit.
Dollar struggling at a 9942.
S&Ps off 32 points. We're coming back
with Steve Roads folks. We're talking
some markets. Always a great segment. Be
right back. [music]
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[music]
Welcome back, folks. S&P is off by 33
points right now. And right now, folks,
as we do every Monday at 3:15 p.m.
Eastern time, we're going to talk to our
man Steve Rose. You can check out
Steve's outstanding program, folks,
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You can sign up. It's an outstanding
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Steve Rhodess, good afternoon.
>> Hi, Tommy. How are you today?
>> I'm doing great, man. How's your Monday
going?
>> Good. You know, hard to believe end of
summer, right? Supposedly for us, summer
is the year round, but uh you know, the
end of summer.
>> You know what happened, Steve? is that
when Tommy started school, my brain went
haywire and I and I said, "This is not
cool. You stole that was the end of
summer and it was like August 11th and
and I'm from the Northeast and and these
nor you know I I always but hey I know I
had to face that reality on August 11th.
So me I Anyway, yeah, they
>> Yeah, we and obviously down here we've
got a lot of people from the north
northeast and school just started this
weekend and on my my walk that way
>> Yeah. my walks this morning. My walks
this morning, you can tell there's a lot
of people that are no longer, you know,
in the area, so to speak. But
>> I tell you, real real quickly before we
get into this, we had the strangest
weather here this weekend. I've been in
Florida for over 40 years. I can't ever
recall seeing this. And what this is is
from about 8:00 in the morning on, we
had lightning all day Saturday, a good
portion of yesterday. I mean, normally
if you, you know, we get some type of
tropical storm or something, that's
that's different. This was just normal
storms and lightning
>> time. Huh.
>> Yeah. Which is very difficult to play
golf when there's lightning out there.
So, we typically don't. Yeah. Yeah. What
I thought we would do,
>> you know, we talked about this last uh
last uh last week we were together,
which is the seasonal uh uh the
seasonality of September and how, you
know, it really is the biggest fear of
the stock market. We've got this is now
the Dow chart. So, usually I show the
S&P. This is the Dow. This is 129 years
worth of data. We can see again
September is the worst performing month.
We looked at this last week and we saw
that it was a little bit better than a
coin toss, but when September's bad,
it's usually pretty bad. And in the Dow,
in the case of the Dow, the red vertical
line time, that's where we're at.
Typically, on average, it it tops around
the end of next week. Middle middle
middle to end of next week.
>> Right at the end of summer.
>> Good. Yeah. Right.
>> Yeah. Exactly. Exactly. So, um, you
know, I I've been I've been very, uh,
bullish because of what I've seen in the
charts. But even even when I see what's
in the charts, I still go back and say,
"Okay, what have I missed?" Well, the
one thing that, uh, what would be my
biggest concern in the stock market is
this set of charts right here. And this
shows the Dow priced in dollars, euros,
yen, Australian uh uh dollars, Swedish
crron to the great British pounds was
Franks, Chinese Juan, and the Canadian
looney.
What you'll notice is the yellow line
where I've got all-time highs. They all
made the same all-time high. They made
they made an all-time high on the exact
same day with one exception that be that
was the yen. And the yen made its
all-time high earlier. Those folks that
have listened to my show over the years
know that um when we have uh uh the Dow
priced in other currencies that's at new
all-time highs. It's an indication that
we are not near an all-time high in
terms of US dollars because the Dow
doesn't top uh in it doesn't top first
in US dollars and then tops later in in
in foreign currencies at least the euros
uh the euro because of the studies that
I've done. So, um, if we take a look at
what I did was then said, okay, so when
else do we have some all-time highs
where we had, uh, every everything
topped out at the exact same time. So,
I've got January 14th, uh, 2000. You can
see the top uh, on both for the euro as
well as the US dollar the exact same
day. The only difference that I had here
was in in October 2007.
And here there was quite a quite a
difference a huge difference because the
the Dow price in euros had topped in
2001 June 5th 2001. So a huge divergence
but the point here is that again the Dow
tops in dollars first not in other
currencies. Um then we give it because
of because of time zones and so forth
you got to give it let's say a 48 hour
window uh if you will um which is what
we had here in January 5th we had the
Dow top. Oh, actually this was just
before in yours. It was one day before.
So um it's really So how this helps us
uh Tommy is um we want to be paying
attention to the Dow if you want I'm
going to just take come off this screen
here for a minute and we what we want to
be paying attention to shoot is is the
Dow priced in in in euros because if the
Dow makes new all-time high in euros
then we know that there's no new alltime
there's no major top. Does that make
sense? I hope I didn't screw that up too
much.
>> Yes. No. No. I'm following man. And I
was checking out even the dollar this
year. Yes, totally. And the currencies
matter so much when you talk about the
strength, the inherent strength really
under in that index when it's going
against everything, right?
>> It it it does. It does. So, if we go
back if we go back to these charts here,
what uh what I've uh what I've also
shared with with listeners is that when
a major top forms, you're going to get
topping patterns all three time frames,
daily, weekly, and monthly. So, in this
case here, I just went back to the most
recent uh bare market that we had, which
was January 5th, 2022.
um which is in January 2022. On January
5th of 2022, we have a TD9 count top. So
there's your daily top. On January 7th
of 2022, we have Basel Chapman's wave
number seven top. And in January of
2022, we've got Steve Rhodess's roads
dimm indicator topping pattern out
there. So in January of 2022, we had
topping patterns for all three time
frames. That's what led to that bare
market. So where are we at currently?
Where we at currently? And this is kind
of interesting. Um unless there's some
kind of major substantial change in
price in the next uh 36 minutes, the
monthly time frame for the Dow is going
to generate a sell the DOI top. We will
have a bearish shooting star candle and
we have a daily uh roads midum indicator
top. What we don't have for the Dow
Tommy is a weekly top or I should say at
least not just yet right now and we it's
only Monday but right now we've got a
bear sash candle from the weekly chart.
If we do end up with a bearish reversal
candle come Friday, we will have topping
patterns for the daily, weekly, and
monthly time frame. And that would add
to my concern out there because now
we've got tops that took place all in
the same day. We've got topping patterns
for the daily, weekly, and monthly chart
for the Dow. And that says, okay, it's
time to totally pay attention. Make
sense?
>> Yes, it sure does, man. And the Dow's
under a little pressure today. Got down
3 330. So, we'll see. And it's it's
going to be we got a jobs Friday but
coming into that that you know end of
the summer weekend as you said. Yeah.
>> Yeah it is. And and but just as I tried
to find some clarity I then go back and
say okay I want some confirmation. I
want a double confirmation of this. And
for me that means go back and take a
look at the equal weighted charts. And
here this is the equated charts for the
Dow. And if we take a look at the Dow in
its monthly time frame Tommy there's
nothing even close to a top out here.
There's no top
>> whatsoever. Totally. The only thing that
I will say though is we can see that the
equal weight for the Dow and this is
true of the Dow itself has rallied for
five consecutive months. That alone, so
you don't have to have a top, but that
alone is enough to get a one or two bar
type retracement out there. Uh the last
time we saw the Dow rallied, it actually
rallied for seven consecutive months. So
we had one month of a pullback out
there. But the eagle weight maybe what
this is telling us is that the September
retracement isn't going to be anything
substantial out there. That's the best
reading that I've got right now. What I
did was I've got here's the top 10 for
Nvidia, the top 10 of the NDX and the
top 10 of the Dow. Tomorrow during the
show, I'll go through this with everyone
because what I did, Tommy, is I went and
said, "Let's look under the covers of
the top 10 inside the Dow and how many
of those have got topping patterns out
there." So, I'll save that for
tomorrow's show so that the listeners
that are listening now can tune in or
catch the archive.
>> That's awesome, man. I can't wait to
watch myself for sure. Folks, check it
out. Mastering Probability, great
information from Steve as always. Steve,
always look forward to the conversation,
man. Thanks so much. Good to talk to
you.
>> Thanks, Tommy. Take care.
>> Take care, folks. Check it out right
under the newsletter tab. You can sign
up while we go on break real quick.
You'll have mastering probability.
You'll get Steve's updated at the end of
the day tomorrow morning and you'll get
access every day to that great insight.
Great stuff. And yeah, Dow 53,258
from 45,000 right to kick off April.
Quite an acceleration. We'll come right
back folks.
Many trading newsletters attempt to
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[music]
Welcome back, folks. S&P is off by 30
right now as we bounce a bit from that
same area in terms of 7680. But guess
what? Now we bump into that same area on
the top side. We'll see if we bounce
around yet again with the S&Ps down by
4/10% right now. And talking about
yields. So you got the G20 going on in
Asheville, North Carolina for the
finance ministers. Group of 20 finance
ministers meeting in Asheville, North
Carolina.
And you have the Treasury Secretary
pushing back on Drunken Miller and the
opinion piece he put out recently. Okay.
And the Treasury Secretary's push back.
He says that the US bond market has been
the best performing market since the
president came in.
When the reporter noted that yields have
been rising around the world, he stated
not in the US. They're flat since the
president came in.
And yeah, he wrote a op-ed piece in the
journal. And
the point of the one the op-ed piece the
drunken miller writes in the journal is
that it's a mistake.
You can't buy your way out of a solveny
conversation with liquidity tools. You
can only postpone the conversation and
raise the eventual price. They're
manipulating the market to artificially
decrease yields without having an actual
conversation that would inherently
impact the underlying yield and the
fundamentals driving those yields higher
as opposed to
I mean imagine folks, okay, if you have
an Saturday Night Live skit and they all
do it, okay, this is listen and you know
Bessant went after yelling incessantly
because she wouldn't push any of the
debt to the longer end of the curve. And
if you had an SNL skit and we're like,
"Hey, you know what? Uh we're in a lot
of debt, folks. We got like 40 trillion
in debt.
And what should we do?" And you're the
Treasury Secretary. And he's like, "This
is my job, right? I'm the Treasury
Secretary." He's like, "I got a great
idea. It's really hard to get anybody to
buy our debt right now at the rates we
want to pay. So, we'll just buy our own
debt and that will artificially raise
the price and decrease the yield that we
have to play.
Going off a little a little sidetrack in
the sarcasm, right? But that is what's
at play. And there's difficult decisions
that need to be made by that Treasury
Secretary because yeah, we have 40
trillion in debt. We're fighting wars
that aren't paid for. And there's no end
in sight. And that's a problem. and and
inflation is the backdrop of that. And
so anyway, Treasury Secretary pushes
back. You know, one of the things that
drunken Miller stayed in there is that
one of the ways that he's made so much
money
is
right going after when countries try and
manipulate their own currencies because
the market always wins.
and the Treasury Secretary is saying
basically we're exceptional and we'll be
fine. There are real risks to that one
folks. On the short term though,
it's a little bit of a battle between
Treasury and the Fed.
And yes, he is correct. Okay,
if you go back here,
the Treasury Secretary is completely
correct that yields are right where they
were when President Trump took office,
January 2025.
What he doesn't include there
is that yields yields skyrocketed
coming into
the president taking office
with the expectation that inflation was
going to be an extreme problem
and then you got higher price and lower
yield as that did not happen right we
had a definitely a little bit of
volatility out here but so yes now we're
just back to oh no the expectation when
the president did come into office that
yes, we do have higher yields, we do
have inflation, and we do have a debt
problem.
And yeah, pretty remarkable at that war,
you're talking about 5.99% was the
mortgage. And now folks,
yeah, now we're pushing 6.86. And as I
mentioned, you're talking about a
number, someone buying a $450,000 home.
You put down 90 90 grand. You take out a
mortgage
at 6.87. 87, the highest level since
June of 2025, up another 12 basis points
since Thursday. Jackson Hole, baby.
Mortgage prices are going up.
So, check it out. EKS, I was running the
numbers. So, we EKS in the D was talking
about what you would need for income,
right, to qualify for that $360,000
loan. Now that loan,
okay,
at 6.87 gives you a principle and
interest payment of 2363. You got to add
in taxes and insurance. Okay? So asking
chat GPT over the break.
You put that into a number. Let's say
you're paying 5 to 600 bucks a month in
property taxes, maybe. Okay. Okay, 3 to
500 a month in homeowners insurance,
right? You end up with a all-in housing
payment of around 3,300.
Okay, 3,400 something like that a month.
Right
now, if you make a 100 grand a year,
your monthly gross is 8333.
Let's see if I can grab this and slide
it over.
And by making a h 100red grand a year,
folks.
All right, check this out.
Because here's the chart.
By making 100 grand a year,
your housing payment is 40% of your
income. Okay?
Now,
if you have good credit,
the general consensus is, and help me
out if I'm wrong, I'm not a mortgage
broker, folks, but
you're talking about potentially
31% 28 to 30%.
Okay? Maybe up to 40% housing ratio,
right? But it depends what kind of other
debt you have. That's if you have no
other debt.
And yeah, once you get to,
you know, a number where you're talking
about 40%, I mean, look at, you know,
[snorts] I mean, they really want you
at around
40%,
30. I mean, it's just amazing that you
need that type of income. I'm I'm
staggering on it, but yeah, you're
talking about 110 $120 grand and that's
after saving 90 grand. And that's just
to buy a $450,000 house. And I say just
and $450,000 you can still buy decent
houses in a lot of markets, maybe a
little bit away from the ideal spot you
want to live in for $450, but boy, in
some cities, folks, Tampa, Boston, New
York, Chicago,
450. It's a tough order there. We're
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Gold, traded on the NYSE American and
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>> I'm Orion.
[music]
Welcome back, folks. We got the gold
contract down $40 today and quite a
pullback last week. Most of that on
Friday and most of the volume on Friday
as well, but last week you do 933,000
contracts.
You take a look at the daily and yeah,
last Friday, 268,000 contracts.
Now, compare that to some of the selling
we had in the October pullback, right,
to the spike high in February.
Not a comparable sell-off. That was an
important sell-off. And we get non-farm
payrolls for August on Friday coming
into the long weekend. Okay. Kids
getting out of school half a day on
Friday.
And
yeah, it's it's no one's leaving just
yet in terms of we got, you know, the
Fed. The one thing Mr. Worsh did okay
with Jackson Hole is that
he set the stage a bit stronger that if
the inflation numbers come in and they
are as harsh as they've been and they
give no reprieve
then the conversation could shift
to
the potential for him to make those
hikes and get inflation under control.
Now are yields going to rise from here
if that happens? Not necessarily because
the market's already pricing in the
hikes and it's gotten that viciously
wrong before, folks. So, we'll find out
on Friday. We get non-farm payroll
numbers. That's the most important data
point of the month for August. All more
important because they've got a Fed
meeting coming up September 16th.
And right now, the market is a 2 to1
favorite that we get a hike on that
September 16th meeting. You go out to
October and almost a 60% probability
we're higher by one hike
in the next two meetings and add in a
16% chance that we actually get two
hikes. Hike, hike.
And then December,
9% chance we get three hikes by then
over three meetings. 40% chance we get
two hikes over three meetings and a 40%
chance we get one hike. only an 11%
chance priced into the market that the
Fed is not going to hike by year end.
So, they can still hike and that doesn't
mean rates are going up. It's where
we're going from here and that's your
expectation. And right now, the market's
expecting some hikes.
All right,
let's jump around. Mickey D has been
under pressure.
Pull back last week. You know, you got
below this earnings week and you did so
on lighter volume, but you also traded
with more volume than we did over the
prior two weeks.
Not what you want to see. All this
selling coming in and this is going to
be the end of the month. I look at the
last four months selling, selling,
selling, selling. Slightly less volume,
but in terms of context here, doing 93
million shares. That is a strong month
to the downside on McDonald's. You
engulf the prior month. Not quite on the
volume, but it's strong volume
nonetheless.
Cole's up by 1% today.
TJX. Yeah, speaking of breaking out of
channels, man,
I'd be careful on this one, folks. You
got a lot of TJX. Get your spikes up,
man. Okay, this is a decisive break.
It's a break with volume. It's not even
easing up today. Down another 1%. This
thing just traded from 160 to 133.
They've been a darling, but those
channels are powerful, folks.
Look at IBM, right? Almost touches the
top of that channel after breaking lower
and boom.
Look at that volume. How's that volume
for you
now? Nothing like this month. Maybe
maybe that's that's a sign that
times are easing on IBM. You get a
little bit of a lift, but no volume on
the lift. This is going to be the
lightest volume we've done since January
as you catch a slight reprieve. IBM
shares almost flat today.
Yeah, lighter volume month for Amazon as
well. Last trading day of the month
here.
And tomorrow we got a new Apple CEO,
Mr. Turner.
They jump over the heat map. We got
Apple, this is the Dow, right? Apple
down 1.1%. Google down 2.2%. A Amazon up
2.7%.
But yeah, as Steve mentioned, he's going
to go over the waitings and the Dow and
a price weighted index. You better
believe Goldman, man. 1,027 Goldman off
by 7/10% right now. UNH
down by 610%.
Yeah, Caterpillar and $800 equity in the
red.
Let's jump over to Salesforce.
Quite a month for Salesforce. You take
out the entire year and you do it with
volume. Now, you're not taking out the
June lows with volume. But that's
strength, folks. It's strength with
volume. That's your monthly. Take a look
at the weekly.
And yeah, they blew it away on earnings.
Now, it would have been great if you
could have taken out like this high with
volume, but that's a good number, man.
You're up by 1.3% today, continuing that
run. And Crowd Strike, look at it. Up by
5.6% right now. That's your weekly. Look
at that. That's a perfect engulfing,
man. Look at that. Hindsight
always 2020. And then that's a perfect.
Let's take a look at the monthly.
And yeah, you're going to trade with
more volume on a monthly, but the weekly
is beautiful.
Nice bullish engulfing. You take out the
week of a of August 17th. You do it on
67 million versus 41 million.
And boy, what a buying opportunity that
was right when they almost brought down
the entire internet in July of 2024.
when there's blood in the streets,
folks.
And I exaggerate, but there's a great
example, man.
So, Disney with a decent month, but not
with volume. Look at this.
194 million.
Last couple months, you traded 232 and
238 to the downside.
Just can't get out of this
consolidation, man. Been in this
consolidation back 12 years ago. Disney
down by 4/10% today. Jump over to
Netflix.
Yeah, very weak volume on Netflix on the
monthly. Look at that. That's going to
be one of the lightest volume years
months. We're at about 600 million.
Yeah, you're going back in over a year.
Lightest volume month in over a year for
the bounce on Netflix, folks. down 50%
retracement
of the move from the lows.
Now you got some nice support at the
2021 highs here on Netflix though. You
do. But we need a little bit more
volume. That's a light month. August,
right? August in the summer, man.
And yeah, how about that folks? School's
down here. August 11th.
So what's going on now? They get out a
month early. All right. They don't make
them go to extra school. They get out a
month early. But August 11th
doesn't make sense going back to school
on August 11th.
[music]
All right. Got a little bit of bid in
the markets. NASDAQ 100 just made
session highs.
S&Ps right back. Yeah, session highs for
a moment there. We got 10 minutes left
to go in the trading day. Markets
catching a bid. S&P is off by 22. NASDAQ
100 in the green. Come right back,
folks.
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[music]
Welcome back folks. You market straight
a bit higher coming into the close.
Nvidia up by 1.2. 2% right now. And
what's remarkable is remember Nvidia's
got about 25 billion shares outstanding.
So today alone we're approaching right
now as you're hitting session highs
adding almost $70 billion in market cap.
And it puts in context when they come
out with stories that they're investing
$3.5 billion in MediaTek.
It's quite a story of leverage when you
think about the way they are leveraging
the equ excuse me the equity in their
business right in their stock
to invest in the equity of other
businesses. So yeah 3.5 billion in
MediaTek it's a Taiwanese chipmaker.
They're going to buy bonds convertible
to shares
and the transaction will be Nvidia's
largest direct investment yet outside of
America. Now,
they got a lot of special purpose
vehicles, and I don't know how that
classification plays out,
but nonetheless,
this is talking about chips, and it's
part of a $3.9 billion convertible bond
sale by MediaTek.
Apple and other investors also
participated.
Round and round we go. Nvidia shares up
by 1.4% right now. Google shares though,
quite the sell-off some of these big AI
spenders. Google off by 2%. Amazon rip
lower on the open. That was even before
the FTC news came out. Look at it. Get
it back. Oh, what was that?
What just hit? Something hit. Look at
all that volume. Could just be volume on
the close, but
crude up a bit.
And you got gold pulling back. But hey,
oh, there's a little lift on gold. GDX
down by 1.3%. Folks, thanks for tuning
in, spending your time with me. Couldn't
appreciate it more. Time, the one thing
we never get back. Go out there and
spend that time per spend it wisely,
folks. Enjoy it. Whatever you're doing,
live in the moment. Enjoy that time.
Thanks so much, folks. Have a great
night. We'll see you tomorrow 9:00 for
the morning market kickoff. Has a have a
great one, folks. Building wealth.