August 28th Trade What You See with Larry Pesavento on TFNN - 2026
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
In this market analysis from August 28th, Larry Pesavento examines recent price action across a wide range of assets using ABCD patterns and Fibonacci retracements to identify key trading opportunities and risks. Significant moves were observed in gold, which triggered a $170 move after breaking the 382 level before pulling back to a 61% retracement near 4510, while wheat saw a completed ABCD pattern resulting in a sell position at 782. Precious metals faced broader pressure as silver gapped up overnight only to drop nearly $5 an ounce after hitting critical retracement levels, and Bitcoin displayed downside momentum with a substantial drop from its recent high. The analysis also highlighted strong performance in the British pound, which completed a perfect ABCD pattern yielding over $1,100 in profit, whereas the Japanese yen trade was exited early to avoid losses following a breakout that invalidated previous consolidation patterns.
Equity markets presented mixed signals with specific technical warnings for major indices and technology stocks. The Dow Jones experienced a prolonged 50% retracement after an initial pullback, raising concerns that a close below 53,400 could trigger further declines of up to 120 points, potentially putting early August buyers underwater. Similarly, the NASDAQ showed vulnerability with a precise high at 29,820 on hourly charts, suggesting further downside if this level is breached, while the S&P 500 failed to rally from its 382 retracement unlike the Russell 2000 which successfully formed an ABCD pattern. In the technology sector, Tesla retreated after making a higher high to form an ABCD structure with a 61% retracement, Apple continued to rise after gapping higher near the 326 level, and Intel closed lower despite technical feed issues, reflecting an outside day to the downside.
Fixed income markets and currency dynamics added another layer of complexity to the trading landscape, particularly regarding interest rates and global monetary flows. Treasury notes, specifically the 10-year variety, made new lows by breaking below the previous low of 107.31 and are currently trading around 108, with projections suggesting a potential move down to 105–106 if a gap occurs; these levels are critical as they directly influence mortgages, automobiles, and credit card rates. The bond market discussion referenced historical parallels to 1982 when interest rates surged, noting that Japan has become a major buyer of U.S. Treasuries, which adds pressure given fears that a significant strengthening of the yen could destabilize global currencies. Pesavento emphasizes that trading success relies on interpreting price action where buyers drive prices up and sellers push them down, acknowledging that ABCD patterns succeed about 65% of the time, similar to a golfer winning most tournaments, while advising traders not to watch screens constantly during volatile moves as fear often leads to premature exits.
The segment concludes by reinforcing the importance of disciplined execution and risk management amidst these shifting market conditions, noting upcoming coverage of live cattle and corn markets where corn recently hit a high of 541 on a different contract month. Throughout the analysis, there is a strong emphasis on educational resources available through TFN services, including Tiger TV live streams, newsletters like Opening Call and Fibonacci 24/7, and leveraged ETFs from Direction, all of which offer premium subscriptions with a 30-day money-back guarantee to support traders in mastering probability and market dynamics.
Read the full video transcript
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Trade what you see
with Larry Pezventto.
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Now Larry Pesventto.
Okay folks, this is the gold market. Uh
we talked about the last couple weeks.
This is the last two weeks action. You
notice here when we broke this 382 that
changed the trend. As you can see this
morning, we had a 382 retracement with
an ABCD right here. It was very fast.
You had to have your order sitting in
there. If you did, and if it did, it had
a pretty big move. That's $170 in gold
here very, very quickly. And you can
see, move this over right now. And you
can see we're almost at an exact, let's
just draw this in so you folks can see
it from the last low way back here in
August. Uh we're almost at the exact 61%
a 382 retracement here at 4510. That's
down $240 from the high. Okay. Now, we
got a lot of things happening in the
market, folks. And it was a, you know,
very emotional day for a lot of reasons,
but this was one we've had a sell on.
You can see this is a big big thing
moving in the wheat. We were selling
wheat at 782. Our stop is 7 uh 92. Right
now it's trading at 784. That's a
completed ABCD in the uh in the wheat
market. So your stock would be right
above here. Okay. All right. And also if
you remember we covered the position in
the Japanese yen and you can see why the
Japanese yen is moving quite high. Uh
that was a real there. You can see where
we are. See there there was your first
reason that that it was going to be uh
probably a losing trade but it wasn't a
losing trade. We we we sold it, if
you'll remember, we sold it right there
and No, no, no, no. We sold it right
there. And then what we did is we held
it through that and then get a little
bit of a profit. But uh once it broke
above here after all those days and
having this that told us it was going to
go a lot higher and as you can see it
has certainly completed that larger
pattern right up in here as we're
looking at it pretty much here today.
Okay, just wanted to show you what we
were trying to do as we were going
through some of these. I think the most
interesting one today from a uh what do
you call it? Uh support and resistance
and we we we spent a lot of time on the
video last night. Uh
and just to show you, well, of course,
we didn't know what was going to happen
with the Fed. Let's get the we'll get
crude oil out of the way here. Doesn't
mean much right now. as we look at the
uh Dow Jones which is you know it's been
reported all the time all it did folks
and this is what we said what if it I
said if it gets above 5390 it's probably
wrong but there was your first 382
retracement there okay now what we've
done now is we made a 50% retracement
and not only that not only that folks
it's taken quite a while it's taken
about 5 days to do that and all that is
is a 50% retracement with an ABCD. You
went out here early this morning and hit
the stops and you've already dropped
from uh 39. You've already dropped 300 D
points. Now, if we get below here, if we
get below here today, folks, see that
382 right here? That only has to get
below here. Play pay, you listen to me,
boys and girls. I got a lot lot of
experience. I've been through these wars
a lot of time. If you take this low out
right here, it's equivalent of taking
these lows out. Okay? Because you see
how it took 5 days to do that and then
break and if this breaks on if this
closes below 53 write this number down
we'll so we'll talk about it Monday to
see how off far off I might have been 53
53,400
if we close below there that's 120
points in the Dow from where we are
right now you want to be short okay we
close below that level right there okay
there are a lot of reasons for it but
that would be the one you know Everybody
that's bought this thing, you know,
since early August is still underwater
unless they bought it down here and very
few people did that. So anyway, keep a
keep a close eye on that number right
there at 5340. The next one we want to
look at the NASDAQ. You do want to talk
about uh perfection. I have to show you
this because I think you'll really like
this one. Well, I like them all, but
what do I know? Okay, we want to do this
with the early morning when we had this.
I want you to see this number, folks.
Let's get up here and do the hourly
chart cuz that's what we were watching.
There was your exact L to the ticko of
the high right back here exactly to the
tick at 29,820.
Okay. And uh you can see we've come down
300 and almost 400 handles and starting
to move down. The same thing if we close
below this level down in here on Friday,
you want to be short because something
wicked is coming our way and we don't
want to be on the wrong side of it. But
hit the exact number and we broke down
pretty hard. All right. Now, let's let's
let's look at one really really tell the
story. Okay. here has been the bullish
most bullish of all over the past uh oh
four or five weeks I guess you could say
easily because there's the let's get
this up here there is the uh picture of
the uh
this has been the the strongest this is
the second week down if we look at this
on the hourly chart we talked about this
a few days ago the fact that it could
not even make a 382 retracement that's
all it was doing okay This was the one
that was there's your 382 retracement.
It hit it once, hit it once again. Uh
yeah, late last night. It tried to do it
today and then it broke. And not only
that, it's breaking while the rest of
the markets are rallying. Now, I wanted
to show you that's one of the things in
Jesse Livermore's books, he talks about,
you know, be like the leopard, find the
the wounded animal, and because it's
weak, it's a wounded animal. So, if you
went down and looked at this on an
8-minute chart, you would be able to see
the 382 retracement right there. There
it is right there. Went up there and
stayed there for uh just about a half an
hour and then down it went. And let's
just see if how it's going since that
time for the rest of the day. That would
have meant that the ABCD on this one
would have been right about
there. Okay, that means the next
retracement shouldn't be any more than
32. So, we're going to double check that
one. There's your high right here.
Excuse me, folks. There's your 38. It
didn't make it there, but we haven't
made a new low yet either. So, we could
easily get back up into to this level.
So, anyway, I don't know what he said,
but uh uh even if you even if I knew
what he said, I probably wouldn't be
able to understand it. I understand ABCD
is about all I understand, but that's
good enough for what we're doing here
today. If you looked at any of these
things that you're watching today, the
ABCD was just right there helping you
along way. Even the S&P here, folks,
look at this. I had several people say,
"Wow, how can it do that?" There it is
right there. There's a B CD. See that
higher high. So, you just know that
that's it. There's your low. There's
your high. Bada bing, bada boom. Not a
bad thing to know, right? From 85 to 20,
that's 60 handles. And you see there's
no 382 rally in here. We did get one in
the Russell, but we did not get one in
this one right here. The same token.
Now, let's look at this on the 4our
chart to see if we can make some sense
out of it. We went up. We didn't make a
786. Now, we made the 618 in the uh
NASDAQ, but this didn't make it. Okay,
we'll be back.
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Okay, folks. I want to spend a little
more time here on these bonds and notes
because it's really really important.
I've been trading bonds since they
started trading back in 1976.
And uh it been one of my favorites. It
was Mark's Mark Douglas's favorite. But
uh we are at a real critical level.
We're getting ready to take out the lows
of July. And as you can see, if you go
back here, you'll see that we'll be
way below the low. You see how we're
coming down. The problem is this, folks,
and I'll point it out to you again. This
is the monthly chart. All right. Now,
here back here, remember 6 years ago,
they were telling us this wonderful
story about quantitative easing. That's
when the bonds were trading at 182. Now,
we're breaking down from this level.
Now, folks, remember when bonds started
trading, they they came on the board at
56.
That means you could buy a $100,000 bond
for $56,000.
That was including your interest because
interest rates were around 12%.
Okay, that was an absolute no-brainer. I
mean, you're buying government that and
not only that, you could have bought AAA
municipal bonds tax-free in California
at 14%. The problem is they were
callable. So three years, you had three
years of that and then they were called
back. But uh if we start breaking and
remember we've been here now for several
years. This is a triangle that these
dudes have already seen this. Wait till
we start if we start getting down below
here. We could be looking at something,
you know, in the neighborhood of what
happened in 1982,
you know, when interest rates went to 13
or 14%. And and why? If you look at the
when you when you get a chance tonight,
fill out pull out one of your bills and
you'll see that it says on the top up
there in God we trust. And let me tell
you, if uh these people don't start
trusting the US Treasury bonds, remember
the biggest buyer of Treasury bonds is
not China. They've been long gone with
that. That was several years ago. Now
it's Japan. And Japan's got a big
problem because, you know, they've been
putting holding up their stock market
for a long long time. But let's let's
just let's think about that for just a
second here, folks. Hold on just a
minute. Let me just show you what I cuz
I remember this so vividly. I just
couldn't remember. Here we here's where
we are. This is it right here. Okay.
Now, I want you to see here's what this
is what's so important. Okay. All right.
Now, you see the high in the stock
market here was 72,000.
Okay. I want you to go all the way back
to 19. I don't think it'll do that here,
but no, maybe it will. No, it Well, no,
it won't go back that far.
Anyway, back in 1989,
no, they didn't not enough data. That's
30ome years. In 1989 on Christmas Eve,
the Nikkay Dow hit 39,900
on Christmas Eve. Okay? Now, you
remember went from 39,000 all the way
down to 7,000 when it bottomed 02. And
then from O2, it went up and made a new
high at 72,000, 73,000. Now, stop and
think, folks. In our stock market, we
went up 10 times. This didn't even
double. So, it's been much, much weaker.
It's been a bull market. No question
about it. But stop and think. Our old
high back here was at 40,000. You came
down to seven and you came back up here.
It's been much weaker on a on a longer
term basis. So, that's why, you know, I
think it's so important to realize that.
uh and you know the Japanese government
buys most of the stocks to put them in
the in retirement for the old people
because Japan their birth rate is it's
not minus but it's not high and so that
the more people come in for entitlements
and stuff it makes it more and more
harder to do it so they print money
that's why the yen's been so darn weak
so we thought it was going to strengthen
but it didn't strengthen for very long
and now it could be going back the other
way please if you get any chance at all
listen to to the read the letter this
this weekend because ton uh John's asked
to write it again because we're at such
a critical level and all these things.
He was going to try to explain it to us.
You know what he said? So far he's been
absolutely correct. Uh you know he's he
thinks that this yen trade which now
trading at 161 is probably going to go
to 200. Folks, if that goes to 200,
we got big problems because that means
that they're going to hammer the the all
the other currencies in the world, which
is okay because remember, we're short
the British pound. Look at this. This
British pound is working really nicely
now. Oh, this the weekly. Let's get the
daily up here. See, where look right now
5 days now in the British pound. There
was a perfect A B CD. It now has uh
almost uh $900. No, a little more than
that. Yeah. Let me see. Yeah. No, it has
$1,100 profit in almost right now. So,
we're going to find out if it's going to
continue going. We got our stop above
here. That's the perfect ABCD. So,
that's what we're seeing if it's going
to work or not. But that's all we're
doing. There's a lot of ABCDs
everywhere, folks, and a lot of
Fibonacci today. And that's why when you
look at these markets and see what
they're doing, it gets pretty pretty
exciting. Let's take a look at how our
semiconductor is doing. It's started to
turn down now. Folks, stop and think.
The semiconductors coming down. Someone
tell me that we haven't seen the most
bullish news in the whole world in that
stuff. I mean, it's incredible. They do
it every day. This just hammering,
hammering it, hammering it. Now, let's
look at something over here.
Let's take a look and we're going to
come back here. We're going to look at
Nvidia here for a second. People are
talking about it. It is the greatest
country company in the world. Hold. I
want to show you what happened. Here's
Nvidia right now. We'll get the daily
up. Did we make a new high yet today?
No. Now, you can see we reversed
yesterday's high by about $12. Okay. All
right. But on this day, yesterday,
Nvidia had the second largest increase
in the stock in one day, folks, write
this down. In one day, it increased $450
billion in one day. Now, it's, you know,
given that back today, but that's it.
And it's in second place. Do you want to
know what's in first place? The best
stock to own over the last 40 years is
none other than Bill Gates and Softy
himself. We'll get this up here and see
it. Each share, if you'd have bought
this back in uh 82 when it came out,
each share, if you paid a dollar for it,
which was came out at 17, you won't
believe it. Each share is worth $186,000
each share because it's split so many
times. Now, here, let me get back here.
We'll show you. Here's there's this
where we're looking at. Now, I want to
show you here. Let me get the weekly up
so you'll be able to see it. Okay. Okay.
Let's get that over. It's a little bit
higher. Yeah. Right up here. There it
was. This year, right there at this
level right here. That was the biggest
increase in dollar value of any on any
on any particular day was either this
day or that way. I think it's this one
right here. That's when it made 455
billion. So, it was 5 million more. And
so, it still holds a number one spot and
it looking pretty good today. Let's look
at the daily and see how we're doing
here. Yeah, we're making a new high and
stick with the uh fact is it's uh it's
holding up pretty well actually cuz the
others are, you know, getting whacked.
We got all these when you get gaps in
the darn thing. So anyway, I'm just
bringing that to your attention to try
to bring it together and think about how
it is related to money and stuff like
that. So John's going to cover a lot of
that and it'll make a lot easier for us
to look at it as we go through here.
We're going to couple we're going to
cover the uh uh couple other currencies
uh after we get back and also I want to
talk a little bit about the uh
the wheat trade and then we'll uh see
what else we've got going here. Again, I
apologize for missing today, but there's
no way I could have done 4 hours, 3
hours.
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In the world of trading, only a few
names stand out like Larry Pesventto, a
pros pro with over 50 years of
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Okay, folks. Here's a daily chart on
wheat. I had several people ask me,
"Aren't you afraid to sell in a market
that's going straight up like that?"
Folks, I have no fear because I look at
this right here, this ABCD and the other
behind it, ABCD, and all I know is it
works better than 65% of the time. Now,
those of you, some of you are my
students, many of you are not. But if
you've ever sat here side by side and
trade with me, you know what I do when I
put a trade on, you know, the first
thing I do is I stop watching it.
looking at your looking at your equity
while you're doing that is really really
not the right thing to do. Okay? It's
it's not a good thing actually. So any
that's all I do. I I look I look at the
numbers and I don't I you know I've got
a lot of degrees you know don't make any
difference about that stuff. I don't
know I couldn't understand Greenspan but
nobody can understand him. This guy is
legible and he just says I'm not sure
what's going to happen next you know.
So anyway that's all I look at. I don't
watch the fundamentals. I don't believe
in the well fundamentals make the market
move. But you know the the one thing it
does it they can't hide from you folks.
They can lie to you. They can cheat to
you and they can give you all the
information they want. But they can't
lie. If prices are going higher, there's
more buyers. If prices are going lower,
there's more sellers. That's all there
is to it. You don't have to know any
more anything more than that actually.
So that's why it works. But it doesn't
work all the time. You know, there's
little tiny ones in here, they work,
too, but they don't work all the time.
You got to figure, you know, 60 65%.
Show me a golfer that wins 60% of the
tournaments, you know, or a baseball
player that hit 600. Hell, the greatest
the greatest hit hitter ever was Tai
Cobin. He just barely hit, I think, 378.
And next was Ted Williams, and he was
about about the same. So, you know, hit
382, you still do pretty good. ABCDs
work, but they don't work all the time.
That's the key to what we're looking at.
Now, I just happened before the market
uh for we had the break, I pulled up the
live cattle because we were trying to
buy live cattle down here this week at
this level. You could see we just missed
it. Now, yesterday we had the pullback
right here. Looks like it was exactly at
the 786. Let's go to the hourly chart.
Uh this is the hourly chart, Larry. So,
pay attention since you've got it up
here. This pullback should have been
blow it up just a little bit. I like
trading cattle because the funds trade
cattle a lot and it trades quite nicely.
You can see we went a little below the
61. Now we had really strong here today.
Now if we have a really strong market,
what do we look for? The first thing on
a strong market, we look for the 382. So
we're going to go to a 4-minute chart.
And here's where we are today. This is a
this is Friday. Oh, it's on the
downside.
Yeah, cuz Friday had it dropped uh quite
a bit to the downside.
Yeah, it's just now coming back. So,
that might be a 382 sale. Shut the front
door and raise the rent. Let's just
double check. Well, it's actually uh hit
the 50%, but that's that's a uh that's a
bonafide sale. Well, there's the buy
right here today. If you'd have looked
at yesterday and today, that would have
been an easy buy cuz there's your ABCD
again coming down into that uh that one
right here. And then you got the second
one right behind it right there. It
looks like it's exact. Well, not quite.
Then we have a little bit of a rally
here. 11. Well, it's a just a dollar
rally. It's not a big deal, but here's a
here's one where the market gaps up and
just continues to go higher. So, just
look for these. So, no matter what
you're trading, let's go take a quick
look at the corn market cuz remember we
we got tagged in the corn this week for
uh $30 and some dollars. Let's get this
daily up. I think it hit 540 if I'm not
mistaken. Heck uh almost. Wow, look at
this. There's the gap. Yeah, it did hit
uh 541.
541 in corn, folks. That hasn't been a
high since uh you can see now here's
one. Well, the reason is this is the
wrong contract. It it doesn't have see
how see how it marks here U which is
September and here they mark it in
December. They don't change it until
over the weekend. So what I do is I
build my own corn chart and I bring it
up here so we can see it as corn. So
there's no gaps. And there is what we
were watching here. That was a December
corn. Now this was the same pattern like
we had in the wheat. And let me show you
there's your AB CD. Okay. was right
there 25. Our stop was right there. It
went up a lot higher. Now, wheat worked,
or at least it has so far. The corn
hasn't. There's a situation where you're
going to you you don't know which one's
going to work. You never know. But but
the one thing I do do, and those of you
that know me pretty well, I don't look
in I don't stay in front of this machine
all day. Absolutely not. You know, I do
other things that are more important. I
watch uh golf and not do anything, but I
you know, I I just do other things. I
search for other trades and stuff and I
have a few students that I work with
that that I try to help. But looking at
this darn machine is not not your help.
Especially when your equity is over here
going click click click click click
click click click. What you're doing is
when the market's going up you're
focusing on making money and on the way
down you're you know you get scared and
then you get out. Oh, I better get out.
Oh, I better get out and then boom, away
it goes. So if you don't if you're not
watching it, it doesn't make any
difference. They don't care whether
you're watching it or not, folks. They
really don't. So, all I'm doing is
trying to explain to you. It's all
mathematics. It's nothing more than
that. It's a simple question of uh, you
know, trying to find the patterns and
find the ones that work. And that's it.
The more numbers you have lined up, the
better it is. That's why in the wheat
trade, you had so many numbers lined up
here. You had several ABCDs through
here. Probably had a little one here
this morning. Let's just look here.
Let's just double check this one right
here from the other day. There's this AB
CD would have taken you up to there,
too. See, yet another one there. It's
just shortterm, but there's your number
that's worth right now. It's got 350
bucks in it. Okay, let's move out of
here and uh get some other things done.
One second here. We got some questions
about the uh British pound. Now, the
British pound
was just a simple ABCD trade. There was
a 382 here Thursday. Okay, then with the
Fed in there today, it had a little bit
of a rally and then it fell out of bed.
If we look at this on the uh daily
chart, it's a perfect ABCD. Here's one
that absolutely perfect. And now look
how it's coming down. What did we say? I
said we had a chance for this to do this
just like this. Right. Okay. Now, if we
mark that in at the time that it gets
down here, if it does, and we'll be
following, we'll be looking at this
right here as a 135 pattern. Now, if we
sold it at say 13680, we buy it down in
here. If we get there, right now, we're
halfway there. This, but we you'd be at
$2,400. Right now, you're sitting at
about a little over a,000. So, you get
to here, you'll be at $2,400 profit.
You'll buy it. Okay? Put your stop right
below here. And now you have an
asymmetric bet because you're trading
with the trend here. Okay? All right.
You've got a 135 pattern lined up. So
you know what your risk is and you know
what your profit potential is. Those are
things that you want to look for. They
don't always work as I say, but when
they do, they work pretty good. So I
think we got to to pay a few uh
advertisements here for a second and
we'll get back. I want to cover a couple
other things. So stay with us folks.
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Hey folks, someone asked me, would I be
willing to take this uh ABC and E
pattern in the Japanese yen? Yeah, the
answer to that is yes. Uh with the
exception of the fact it happens to be a
Friday. I don't like to be uh short or
long currencies over the weekend cuz
that's when crazy things can happen and
I don't want to be on the other side. Uh
you know, sometimes they're good,
sometimes they're bad. But you can see
here we do have this move right here.
Now if we go down to a smaller time
frame, what I'm trying to do is quantify
the risk. Okay, so here was the pullback
this morning. It doesn't look like it
was a 382 off of here, but you never
know. What would I know?
Hello operator. Why don't you write that
one down, folks? It happens all the
time. Anyway, there's our number right
here that we're looking at it from there
to there up to here.
a risk is sorry it's already above it by
just a hair but I'm not going to take it
because it's over the weekend that's if
it weren't over the weekend I would not
excuse ordinarily these trade 24 hours a
day 5 days a week but you're not trading
on Saturday and you don't get a trade
until half the half a day Sunday's gone
so you got a period there of about 36
hours that you're exposed and I don't
want to
never usually it's never too bad but it
might gap up points, 200 points. You
never know. But it could go crazy
because this one right here is what's so
important about this because this is a
giant number up in here, folks. See,
it's a huge ABCD on the long-term weekly
going back to is the 1989 and stuff. So,
it's a really big one. And we're coming
up to the probably a 61% retracement
pretty soon here. And that would be up
here just a little bit higher. So, I'm
not going to touch it. We covered the
short positions here. We went short
here. We covered both of them here. We
sold another one there and we put
another one in right there. We broke
broke even on that early this morning.
And now it's uh it's not going. Didn't
reverse. I just got out of it. And I
don't reverse very often, but I didn't
reverse. But that's what we're watching.
We'll wait and see what happens over the
weekend to see how this transpires.
Okay. Hey, I want to show you something
else that happened today that's very
important and that's in the silver
market. Silver left a gap last night and
I believe it filled it. Let's just
double check. Okay, here's a daily chart
on silver. Here's where Yeah. My god, it
did.
Okay, here. Oh, shut the front door and
raise the red. Let's blow this up a
little bit here so we can see it. Get
this down a little bit here.
All right. Okay, there was a 382
retracement right here. Now, silver
gapped above this. I think we can see
it. Let's get this up on a smaller time
frame. Uh, doesn't show the gap because
it does the overnight trading, but it
did. It went all the way up here to 70.
See, it's dropped. Holy cow. Silver's
dropped $5 an ounce. Boy, that's that's
a that's going to be a major deal. I
didn't realize that. Wow. Let's get the
daily back up again and see where we
are. Oh, we hit almost the exact 50% of
the high right back there. Okay, so
that's the 50% level. Wow, to give that
much up. We reversed everything in a
week. Everybody that bought in a week
now is underwater. That's a sign that
the gold and silver is under a great
deal of pressure along with some other
things. Okay, that's another one. Okay,
I want to spend just a time here.
Someone's asked a question about
Bitcoin. I'll bring this up here and
I'll show you. I showed it to you many
times, but this level right here where
that dot is right there, that's the
exact 382 of the high from 126 down to
575. There's your 382 retracement. We're
having an outside day to the downside
today. High was 81. We dropped uh 3,000
points up. Try that again, Larry. 4,000
points. And uh so that's what we're
watching here. some type of reversal
going on here with this. Now, these are
these are pretty much equal moves. You
can see that move right there is just
about exactly equal to that one within
just a few pips. So, you can see what
happened after that. So, that's just
repetition market going over and over
again. Now, I've got a couple stocks
here that people ask for me to cover and
I'll try to cover them. We haven't
covered Tesla in a long time, so we're
going to do that today.
If you give me one second and Tesla
starts with the D as I recall
and let's see if it's up or down today.
Yeah, it's actually down a little bit.
Made a little bit higher high here, then
backed off. We look at this on the
hourly basis. It probably wanted to do
it. Just made a 61% retracement on the
run up this morning and then uh yeah,
hit the exact 618. and it starts to to
break to the downside. Giving it an A,
B, C, D down here for the first uh
retracement level. Next one we want to
look at is uh Apple.
See if we're still up around that uh
three I forget the number. It's 310 or
something like that. Starts with an A,
doesn't it? Yeah. I got to get the A's
in here first.
Oh, time out there. Get the A's. You did
okay. Remember, you were only in the
fifth grade for 3 years to try to get
this. But there it is right there. Get
the dollar up. How's it doing? Apple is
still up on the day. It gapped up and
it's still up. Let's just see why it's
doing so good. That's one of the reasons
why the Dow is holding up pretty good.
So, here's a here's the moving apple.
Okay, get it out. We have an ABCD
forming here. There's your AB.
There's your CD leg right here. That
comes in right about there, which is uh
326. We've taken out that high. Let's
just see what the high was from the
high. It's a little more than the 382.
It goes exactly to 50%. So, that should
be holding it a little bit, but we do
have that ABCD here now. It's one of the
Dow stocks.
Time out.
one of the Dow stocks that is uh strong
today.
You see,
hold on. There we go.
Now, if we want to look at Intel one
last time to see if it's broken down
even more than we thought it was going
to. Hold on a second here.
And it's Intel is under eyes. Just a
matter of fact, I've had a little
difficult time with this stuff here this
morning. Oh dear. Hold on. What? What's
wrong here?
Oh, something's wrong.
Oh, something's wrong with my data.
See, I don't know what these things are.
I don't know what's going on. Oh, God,
help me.
That's a IQ feed. Wow.
Wow. There's trouble in River City,
folks. I got a big problem here. I don't
know what the hell it is. Well, here's
No, that ain't intel. Oh dear.
No. Well, sorry. I'm getting confused
here. Oh dear. I'm in a I'm in a strange
place here, folks. I've got Oh, I don't
like this. This is not good.
See, there's no They're not
alphabetical. You see, they're always
alphabetical. They're not uh
Oh, no. Oh, God help me. Look, I don't
even know what these are. What?
Oh, no.
Oh, no. Wait a minute. Wait a minute.
Wait. It's coming back. Hold on just a
second. I jumped out of something.
There's intel. All right. I'm I'm not
panicked anymore. Let's see if we're
still uh Well, it's down today. Had an
outside day to the downside. Let's look
at this on the hourly for a second.
We'll be right back. Hold on.
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TFN, educating investors.
>> In the world of trading, only a few
names stand out like Larry Pesventto, a
pros pro with over 50 years of
experience. Larry has seen it all. A
former Chicago Merkantile Exchange
member, Larry has authored 10 books and
trained over 1,000 traders with his
unmatched expertise. Introducing
Fibonacci 24/7, Larry Pesinto's daily
trading service that turns the
complexity of markets into
opportunities. published every Sunday.
Receive a comprehensive report packed
with detailed commentary, charts, and
videos that illuminate the patterns
shaping the markets. With updates
throughout the week, exclusively for
subscribers, whether through charts or
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map to navigating the markets. You can
sign up now at tfnn.com for just $97.
And with all TFN newsletters backed by a
30-day money back guarantee, you have
nothing to risk. For all the details,
visit tfnn.com. You'll find Fibonacci
247 right under the newsletters tab.
>> Steve RH started his trading career as a
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Hey folks, this is Intel. You can see
today's high was the uh exact 382 of the
high right over there. Now, I want to
show you something important. This is
this the uh Treasury notes. We're making
new lows on the day as we speak right
now. I believe we're taking these lows
out. Not yet. We're there. This old low
was at 8 108. This was at 10731.
So 10731
is the old weight. But here's where we
are right here. Okay. Now this is a
Friday. Okay. We still got a couple
hours to go. But if we gap down
should something happen in the markets
and you know with the way things are
going out there, you know, anything
could happen. If we gap down in this,
I think it'll be very important to
remember. And I might be wrong. Like I
say, I'm often wrong, but never in
doubt. And if you look at this on the
long-term weekly and you gap down below
that, that is not a uh really
interesting one to to get involved with
because that remains to be seen. Looking
at that on the monthly, see if you gap
down below that and that's going to be
there's no gaps on this thing. So, it's
almost impossible to do that. But, uh,
you can see we're breaking below it
right now. And that just, you can see
the ABCD on that one's going to take you
down to about the 105 level. Easy
enough.
And there it is there at the 105, excuse
me, 106. 106 level. Another two handles
lower. That means it's going to take
this out. So, that that that number
there is 105. Right now, we're trading
at 108. So that's what's important about
this today. So be interesting Sunday
night to see how it goes because this
determines interest rates on the
mortgages, automobiles, credit cards,
all that stuff. That's the the the
treasury notes which are the 10 year
10ear notes. Anything more than 10 years
is about less than 10 years. It's a note
until you get down to under a under one
year and then it becomes a bill. Okay?
Live every day in attitude of gratitude
and may God bless.
Steve Rhodess.