August 26th Trade What You See with Larry Pesavento on TFNN - 2026
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
In this episode of TFNN's August 26th trade session, Larry Pesavento and guest analyst Mike Moore provide a comprehensive technical analysis of major markets using Fibonacci retracements and ABCD patterns to identify key trading opportunities and risks. The discussion highlights that the S&P 500 has recently broken down after forming an AB=CD pattern at the 786 level, with analysts watching for a potential retest of support around 84, while natural gas showed significant bullish momentum following breaks above critical levels like 27920 and 28630. Conversely, the segment warns that a failure in natural gas below its current formation could trigger downward pressure starting at 28120, emphasizing the importance of monitoring specific time-based triggers such as seven ticks per hour beginning at 6:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time.
The analysis extends across a diverse range of assets, including commodities and currencies, where distinct patterns dictate potential price movements. Gold is currently correcting after a major rally, with an identified ABCD pattern suggesting targets between 420 and 435, while soybeans display a strong bullish structure that could push prices toward $1,296. In the energy sector, Mike Moore stresses the strategic advantage of trading spreads, noting that shorting heating oil rather than crude oil alone generated superior returns during specific periods. Other notable observations include the Dow Jones stopping at the 38.2% retracement level, the German DAX making a deep 78% retracement, and Bitcoin's recent move aligning perfectly with historical patterns dating back to 1987, illustrating how market moves often repeat predictably within established limits.
Risk management remains a central theme throughout the broadcast, underscored by a cautionary tale where a corn trade resulted in a $300 loss because prices rallied contrary to expectations based on crop reports. This incident serves as a reminder that strict adherence to risk protocols is essential over chasing profit potential, especially when trading against unexpected market drivers. Larry Pesavento also advises traders to watch gold closely between the 4640 and 4620 levels, identifying this zone as part of a strong ABCD and 3A2 pattern within the broader market context. As the segment concludes, both analysts promote educational resources such as the "Fibonacci 24/7" newsletter and the "Opening Call," encouraging viewers to master probability and structural strength in their own trading strategies.
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Trade what you see
with Larry Pezventto.
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Now, Larry Pesimento.
Okay, folks. Now, I'm going to show you
this picture of the S&P 500 on a 4hour
chart. As you can see, everybody that
bought this since the uh 4th of August
has now have a loss. As you can see
here, when you look at this, it doesn't
look very bearish at all. Looking at it
on a little shorter time frame, of
course. Uh-oh. What happened to my
mouse? There it is. Hold on just a
second. Got it back. We look at it on a
little bit of shorter time frame like
the one we were looking at just a minute
ago. See, it looks a lot worse. But look
at this. There's just no bounce here
over the last six or seven days. This
shows you that there's a lot of uh what
we call um resistance coming in. Today's
action, we did make a typical AB equals
CD pattern that we always look for.
There's your AB. There's your CD pattern
right there coming in exactly at the
786. We broken down and now we're
binging back. We taken out the lows. So,
you'll be watching for the first 382
retracement here and that will come in
very shortly up here. We're almost there
at 84. So, take a look at that one.
There's your ABC down. And if it's
turning, it shouldn't get much higher
than that and then should start to roll
over. All right, let's talk about
something that's really in the news
today, folks. And that is crude oil. We
were here yesterday talking to you about
this that we was coming down. This is
where we were yesterday. As you can see,
here's today's low. We made a slightly
lower low just as as we sort of expected
because you can see, look at the 382,
folks. There's your first 382. There's
your second 382. There's your ABCD
coming in here. And then all you had to
do, and this is what we did in the video
last night, is to remind folks that
look, you're sitting right at the 61%
retracement. So what happens? You get a
big move, big move to the upside. What
we'll do here, we look at this. I think
I set this on the 8 minute. Nope. Yeah,
here it is. Here was your first 382
retracement this morning, folks. right
around the opening of the stock
exchange. Right around nine o'clock
makes a p perfect 382. It makes another
one right here. It makes another one
right here. I think I did those on the
smaller time frame just so you could see
them. Yeah, I did. There they are.
There's your first one. Second one. This
one didn't even make it this time. And
now look, we we're finally backing off a
little bit, aren't we? And this, of
course, was the 382. The whole move was
right up here, just about where we're
trading right now. Now, we'll look at
this on the daily and you'll be able to
see it. Uh well, let's go to the hourly
cuz then you'll see it for sure. Yeah,
there was your 382 was right here.
That's where we're trading right now.
So, just in one day, you rallied four
bucks a barrel. Uh and here you're back
up to the 382 uh already right now.
That's where we are right now with the
crude oil. Okay. So, now if you're if
you're bearish crude oil, you got a good
place to look at it here. The the high's
been made in. You're now trading below
the 382. But if this is really good,
folks, and it might be, you want to
watch for the first 382 because that
could be a spot here down about another
dollar. If it holds that level, you
don't want to be short. So, that's got a
chance because this is a big move. It's
a 618 on the daily. It's an ABCD on the
downside. So, it might have a lot of
money in it or not. May may not have
much money. Now, let's look at the bad
part, folks. All right, this is when
you're totally wrong on something. Here
is the corn, folks. We really had this
one lined up perfectly, but guess what?
It didn't like us at all. There you can
see we sold this thing here at 25,
risking uh 6 cents. We lost a quick $300
today. You can see it went up here,
stopped just for a cup of coffee here at
24 to 25. We got all the way up here to
37 on the action today, folks. Just
looking at this. Look what happens. It
backs off from that level and boom, away
it went. Now, this was due from what I'm
understanding was due to cuz some crop
reports coming in that the December corn
was not doing very well. Now, I don't
know if that was a 382 this morning. No,
didn't even come close. But that was a
losing trade. We did everything we could
and it just didn't work. It had
everything going for it. ABCD. See how
it stopped right there? And when it
fails, you're out of dodge. That's what
happens. Sometimes they work. But
remember folks, we became a farmer. It
only cost us $300. We sold it at 25. We
got out at 31. You know, so there's not
a big deal. 300 bucks is not going to
break your bank. But if you didn't get
didn't get out, now you said with
another Now you're saying with an $800
loss and you don't want to do that. See,
that's the thing. You got to consider
about how much money you're going to
lose, not how much money you're going to
make. Okay, so we got the corn out of
the way and Mike Moore is hopefully
going to be our guest today talk to us
about the crude oil and the gasoline and
the um heating oil and we'll watch to
see where we are. Now we have another
trade that's working that's doing very
well and that is if you take a look at
this. This was our uh sale right up here
at 36 130 13680 and now we're trading
100 points lower and we were risking
300. We've already made 600. So that's
that's a good sign. So now you want to
have your stop at the break even point
and see what's going to happen cuz you
might get a move like this and that's
quite acceptable because if you get down
to that level, okay, you'll see you'll
be at the 134. Okay, you've locked in.
If you do that, you lock in $1,200
and you'll be able to look at it from
the long side because the trend could
still be up and you'd be looking at a
perfect 1 35 pattern. And that's what
you'd like to see. You see how those
match up like that? This is what we'll
be watching. And that's what I try to do
each day is to find out what these
things do and how they go like that.
Whether it's up or down doesn't make any
difference to me. That's what I'm
watching. But that's one that's worked
out relatively nicely. Now, we got
another one that we're fighting cats and
dogs with, and that is the uh Japanese
yen. Let's just get this out of the way
here, and I will bring these together,
and then we'll be able to see it. Here
it is. They're trying its best to knock
us out
with a $4,000 profit, but so far, they
haven't been able to. Boy, they're sure
coming close. Here's today's action.
Remember, we resolded it back up here at
on a retrace. Remember we did that ABCD
up here at 66 uh 5966 is where we sold
15966. So we got a 20 point C stop is
right above here. If we get back to
break even, we're out of there. Now
today looked like it was going to be a
pretty good move to the upside or to the
downside. And look where it stopped. It
stopped exactly at the 382 of this level
right back here. Okay. Now, if you're
trading short term and you see that cuz
you're you look here, folks, you're here
for 5 hours and uh it didn't do
anything. So, you know, but if you're
trading for a longer term, you've got to
decide, look, this is the play that I've
made. Rightly or wrongly, that's what
I've got to try to do cuz sometimes
you're going to get it right, sometimes
you're going to get it wrong. When you
get it wrong, you're taking little bits
and pieces and shaving it off. It's
hardly anything cuz you're focusing on
how much you're risking. You know what?
If you're really bearish here and you
just sell some and then it just keeps
going up, it's going to kill you. So,
you got to focus on how much you're
risking. That's the whole secret of the
trading. It's not how much money you
make. I wish I could have my good friend
Mark Douglas sitting here telling you
day after day like you did to me for 6
years as we worked together. Every day,
that's all I heard. It's how much money
you have to risk. The rest of it means
nothing. We'll be right back, folks. So,
stay tuned.
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Okay, folks. We'll quickly cover two
stocks. That's Intel still going down.
We considered that a closed trade. If
you remember, we were down 8 days
yesterday. So, we could consider that a
closed trade. The next, of course, is
Apple. And uh we've been out of
position. Oh, shut the front door in
just a second here, folks. There's
Apple. We'll just get up here for just a
minute. And uh you can see we sold it up
here and uh it came down which would
certainly be the first profit objective.
So where we are right now uh with Apple
you had the ABCD up here 320. We got all
the way down to 306. So it dropped $14.
We were only risking four. So that would
have been four times what your risk was
right in this level. And that was
exactly at the 50% level as you can see
here uh 2 days ago. Here's where it is
right now. But if you wanted to still be
in there, there's nothing wrong because
you sold it here at around 16 or 17. So
you still have a $5 cushion in this and
it could still go lower. So you could
either play it either way. All right,
just giving you a heads up. Okay, now
let's get that out of the way and we'll
move over to something else. We've
covered that. Now we're going to cover
the gold market, folks,
cuz the gold market gave us some good
information today. Let's get the hourly
chart up to show you what we were
talking about. We covered this in the
video early this morning. Okay, here was
the video that we had. If you just get
this out of the way here, move this over
just a little bit. Okay, move that over.
See, it's been going all this way. We
finally broke the 382 right here. We
broke the 382. Now, I said in the video,
I said, "Look, after this 382 is broken,
you got to look for a 382. That tells
you that the trend has changed. All
right. So, if you're looking at this,
this is a 60 minute. So, you go down to
an 8 minute. So, you can see what you're
looking at. And here's where it was. You
see it broke the low, it rallies back,
it doesn't quite make it, folks. It
misses it by about uh three bucks. And
now you're starting to come down. But
even the earlier one, you can see from
the other highs, it just barely made it
382 on those. And you'll see there was
the first one right here. That was just
about exactly at the 382. That means
this one is going to do exactly the same
thing and it's still moving lower. So,
it's giving you an idea. Yeah, gold is
in some type of a correction. But if we
look at this on a long-term basis, let's
look at the daily. Okay, we've had a
monster move up here, folks. Okay, a
monster move. We went up to the 786.
Now, our what what is going to be our
pullback to give us the real skinny on
whether that's going to be a 382 off of
here. So, we need to follow that because
this is a big move, folks. We've moved,
believe it or not, folks. You can see
here, we rallied $700 in gold. For God's
sake, that was that's like we did back
in here. Look, see that one right there?
See how they're equal? You think these
markets don't repeat? Hello, operator.
There's nothing mysterious. Now, since
let's say you worked for MIT or uh DE
Shaw or maybe Goldman Sachs and you had
access to a guy that's can sit down and
work with numbers on the computer and
just ask it all kinds of questions or
what's this, what's that relationship?
They can give you these numbers and spit
them out to you. And do you think they
don't know these numbers, folks? Of
course they do because they do repeat.
Do they repeat with perfection? No. But
they they repeat enough that they are
predictable within limits. That's what
Andrew Lur talked about in his book. And
that's all I try to do as a short-term
pattern recognition trader. So here's my
plan. We've had a pretty good run here.
We backed off here for 4 days. It
couldn't even make a retracement here,
folks. Look, it couldn't make even a 382
retracement there. And it, you know, it
just was difficult. All right. Now,
let's go look just just to show you how
difficult it was. There's your hourly
chart. Okay. And you got to go back to
where we were trying to try to find what
it was trying to do few days ago. Okay.
And you can see all it was doing was
this little thing right. Excuse me. This
this right here. That's all it was
doing. They had another move up. So all
we've done now and we're going to watch
this as we're we're doing it right now
because this is important. This is going
to be our first major ABCD in gold in
well over three weeks. There's your AB
leg. There's your CD leg and it's coming
in right here. All right, that's going
to be the 50% level. 4530. Keep an eye
on that. That's 25 bucks. And where we
are right now, you move it over like
this and bring it down to try to find
out. Okay, we we we know what these
numbers are. So, we're just going to
take these out so you can see it
together. And I I think it's important
to do this because repetition is the
mother of knowledge and we want to be
able to re repeat these things. So, if
you go back and take your last major
low, which was right back here, you see
that has got to be at the 50% level. If
you take it from the low right back
here, okay, look where it is. Look where
it is, folks. It's coming really close
to the ABCD here. So, you're looking
between 430 and 420 in gold is your
first ABCD.
And this has been a hell of a run. So,
you want to be able to keep a close eye
on it. This is that's the last 11 days,
folks. It's had a you know, it had very
little corrections. In fact, each of
these corrections, you can see they were
correct. They're they're identical. See,
there it is right there. It did it again
right there. I mean, within a few
dollars, but that's that's how it works
out. So, you want to watching this gold
here between 435 and 425. That's where
you want to be watching. It's coming in
and it's got a really good chance. And
this is a bullish market. There's
absolutely no question about that. Well,
there could might be some questions, but
we could try to answer them if we could.
That's what we're trying to do here. All
right, let's get out of the way here.
See, we're having a nice little rally
here now in stocks for a little bit.
We'll get back and take a quick look.
See how the Dow Jones stopped exactly at
the 382 again. We've already rallied 130
bucks right off the top. So, I'd tell
you that's a real key number. There it
is right there. There was your 382 just
when we came on the air. We've rallied
from 430, rallied 100 D points already.
But going below here, that's going to
tell you, uh-oh, trouble in River City,
and that's what we think is going to be
coming here uh very, very shortly in
some of these things. Now, there was a
tip off in one market today, and I been
a little bit under the weather, so I
missed a bunch of stuff. But this
morning, someone pointed something out
to me that if id have seen this, I would
have been scared to death to be short
corn. And that was in the soybeans.
Let's get the soybeans up here. And
you'll see them on the daily basis. And
here was the here was the real key to
this, folks. This is November soybeans.
That's a new crop soybeans. You can see
they're on Fuego. They're all fuego
today. And why wouldn't they be? Look,
you got a 1 2 3 4 day retracement that
stopped yesterday exactly at the 382 and
closed 20 16 cents higher. Now, you're
wondering why it's going up. Well,
there's the reason. You know, this tells
us that we're going we're going much
higher in the beans, folks, because
look, you've got a a big pattern right
here. You don't want to stand in front
of it. You know, at least when I got out
of the corn, I got out pretty quickly.
You got a number way up there that's at
96. That's up another uh 1,800 bucks.
And besides that, you've got the other
one right here. There's your 382 pulling
in. And where are we going in soybeans?
Well, there it is, folks. We're going to
$1,296. That's another uh $1,500 higher.
So, it's a it's a big move, folks. And
we've have a straight up move today.
Let's quickly uh for kicks and giggles
look at this on a short-term basis and
see if we see anything. Well, it doesn't
give you any chance at all here today,
folks. There's nothing but buying here.
There. You don't see any 382s or
anything on the way up since early this
morning. It just boom. It took off. You
have a little tiny pullback. These are
nothing. Anyway, let's take a little
break and hopefully we'll have Mike
Moore of more analytics on the line. So,
stay tuned.
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Okay, folks. Mike needs a few minutes to
get hooked up here. Let's go through
across the board here and across the
globe and see what's happening. New York
Stock Exchange Index making a 61%
retracement on a 4-day move. Uh if we
look here at the German DAX, it went up
and made a little bit, you know, about a
78% level right here, we've already
talked about the Dow, it's made
basically a 5day 382 pattern. Uh if we
take a look at the that's the German
cash news doing using the same thing as
cash market as the futures. Uh okay,
next one is the uh Japanese market.
Well, look at this folks. This had
stayed here for 3 or 4 days with no
rally at all. So, all the made was a 61%
retracement. This was a three drive to a
top pattern that we had here. And we
looked at the Nifty50. It's just had an
ABCD gardley right here today. So far,
is now reverses down on the day. And
then we have the Philadelphia
semiconductor index. And as you can it's
doing very little. It's uh it's actually
unchanged right now as it says it's
basically unchanged with no rally. So
great news but it's just not going. And
if we take a last one which is the
Cosby, you can see here we had a 50%
retracement here and it's done very
little since that time. Bitcoin is had
we've doubled this and showed you just
so we can get it together. So put it
together. Look and see here. This is on
the whole move, folks. Way back here
when it was 126
is comes in right here at the 382 is
right there. These these moves are
equal. Talk about equal moves. There
they are. Watch those. That's what
Andrew Low always talks about. So, that
lines up just absolutely perfectly with
that. So, this thing's uh hasn't turned
over yet in some of these markets, but
some of them are turning over. And as
Basil Chapman would say, it's a
bifurcated market. And I certainly have
to uh uh agree with that.
All right, give me one other second here
to take a look. I've had several people
ask about that similarities that we're
talking about in the DAO over 1987. This
was given to us by John Shony and I will
show it to you right now just to repeat
to what it is and that's this you'll see
the relationship. What he did was he
lined up 19 uh 87. Okay, there was the
high of 87. There was your October
rally. There was your solar eclipse
right here. There was your rally. Then
boom, this is what happened. And nothing
like that has happened so far. But all
we've done in this move here and we've
it's taken a long time to make the 382.
And we did do we made the 382 yesterday
and it's been a 4-day rally. And so
that's telling us that maybe you can see
here there's where we were. There's
where we are now. And all we've done is
make a 382 rally. So that's a that's
could be a very negative sign uh of your
if it's if it's working that way. Now we
still haven't filled this gap. You see
we filled this one easily. We haven't
filled this one. All gaps will be filled
in the Dow Jones, but it'll just take a
little time uh to do them all. Okay,
let's just go back and make sure we
don't miss anything in that because this
is one of my good I watch what's going
on in the world because there could be
some crazy things that you got to it'll
factor in because there's a there's
enough news out there to give you
bullish or bearish no matter any way you
want to look at it because it's it's not
too hard to to to interpret it because
well that's that's a misnomer folks.
It's very hard to interpret it because
they say one thing and a few minutes
later and I'm that's everybody folks not
just not just our administration.
They're all doing the same thing whether
it's Canada, Mexico, United Kingdom.
It's all stuff. And boys and girls, we
have a real treat for you right now. We
have Mike Moore of Moore Analytics in
the house. So give us what you're
looking at my friend. We've got a lot of
things happening. What do you think
about this crude doll up here?
>> How you doing, Larry? Can you see my
screen?
>> Hanging in. Yep. Coming in great, buddy.
Coming in great.
>> Let's take a look at the crude.
Crude coming back a little bit today. We
left a minor bearish reversal above two
days ago.
Let me just pull this up here.
Okay, we're in the October contract. The
trade below 8663.
I brought in $7 and one set of pressure.
That was the break below this line. We
saw this roll back over into here. And
on the 24th, we left a
minor bearish reversal above here. So,
we rolled over a bit on the day.
Obviously, fairly bullish in here. We
popped up above in here. And let's see
here if we just broke below this or not.
8331.
Not quite. Yep. Well, it just held 8331,
I guess. which we had right here at 8331
to 45. We had a sell suggestion right
there and we're pulling back off of
that. We leave a maintain gap higher
tomorrow that'll leave a minor bullish
reversal below. Uh one of the key things
um in the
heating oil we'd fail to build a very
key formation that we're under pressure
and that's kind of what's bringing in
some of this pressure as well. Let me uh
jump over to the arb for a second which
also left a minor bearish reversal above
uh 3 days ago.
The arb I said uh below three even 44
projects this downward 7.5 cents. We saw
14.12 cents of that coming into today.
We broken below this. We'd also broken
below this formation right. Oh, I said
Monday we left a minor bearish reversal
above. We saw 11.6 6 cents from that
from the 29738 open and then the trade
below 2908 warns of additional pressure
but if we break back above look for
decent strength. So we broke back above
that right here and now we're seeing the
decent strength from 2908 up to 29912.
So I am bullish as of right now in the
arb and the crude.
The heating wall
also left a minor bearish reversal
above.
Let's just take a look in here.
Okay, the trade back below 44052, which
was this line right up in here. I
brought in 43.56 cents of pressure. the
trade below 43393
which was the break below here. I said
uh projects this downward 10 cents plus
we saw 36.97
and then I said Monday we left the minor
bearish reversal above we come off 30.12
cents from the 42708 open and then the
trade below 40
40834 brought in 11.3 cents of pressure
and then I said uh
go 7
I said to get long on a decent penet
ration above this 40792
line right here. And that's where we're
seeing some of the strength coming up
here into
uh 41981.
If we were to roll back over and take
out this formation, that's going to want
a decent pressure. And that's a sizable
formation that's going to come in at 4
0212
plus 10 per hour starting at 6:00 p.m.
>> Okay.
>> Maintain gap higher tomorrow would be
bullish as well. Leave a minor bullish.
>> Mike, we got to pay a few bills. Will
you come back? Will you talk to us about
the spreads that you're looking at?
>> Sure.
Thanks, buddy. We'll be right back with
Mike Moore, folks.
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Okay, folks. We're back with Mike Moore
and more analytics. Please continue,
Mike.
>> So, you wanted to take a look at the
spreads. Um, just wanted to show
your viewers the importance of this.
>> Those spreads are unbelievable.
>> So, the spreads are something that I
always put at the bottom the analysis.
If you go all the way down to the bottom
here. Well, first of all, I have a
rating right here. This equal positive
and negative ratings,
those tell you how to weight the markets
and then they can change it in the
evenings and they can change in the
mornings. But down below, I have the
cracks which are the spread between the
heat and the crude, the arbob and the
crude. And right above that, I have the
arbob to heat. And these help you
evaluate
uh which to be long or short. So for
example,
the arbomb
the heat spread and here I got bullish
when we broke above this formation right
here.
And
>> okay,
>> th this meant that being short um the
heat instead of the arb on this move
down would have netted you 9,458
more per contract just over the past 2
and 1/2 days.
>> Oh my god.
>> Which is sizable considering that your
crude oil average daily range is 178
right now. So that's uh 9,000
divided by
>> three times as big.
>> Yeah. So in basically two and a half
days you're making 5x more full crude
daily ranges being short
um the heat rather than the crude. So
not understanding these dynamics puts
you not at a great advantage. You just
lose out on a lot of uh equity to be
made there.
>> Yeah. the opportunity is much better.
>> Exactly. So, um and then going back to
this right now, currently we've made a
bullish reversal below here, which I
just talked about. We've seen that big
run up. Um the ARBO cracks kind of
strong here, which means that the ARBO
is strong relative to the crude. And in
the heat crack, we left a minor bearish
reversal above a couple days ago, but
just on the day here, it's fairly
strong. But this is still in general
bearish.
Did you want to take a look at the S&P
500 in the gold?
>> Uh oh. Oh, absolutely, Mike. Absolutely.
Want to do those for sure.
>> Okay. So, the S&P
I've been on the show for a while. You
know, I've been bullish since 3502.
We've seen 4336.5
to the upside. A lot of other bullish
calls in here. I'm not going to get into
all those. Then the break below 777950
is brought in 124.5 at pressure. I
warned on the 17th. This went out
weakened the day. We've come off 113.75.
The break below 7760.75.
This brought in 105.75 of pressure, but
a decent break back above. Well, Warner
uh renewed strength to take the bull
calls off hold. That line comes in right
now at
77140.
Uh minus 29 per hour, starting at 6:00
p.m. Eastern Standard Time.
>> Okay.
And they maintain gap higher tomorrow.
We'll leave a minor bullish reversal
below as well.
>> Wow.
>> Did you want to say something there? So
then uh and the gold.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> Now the gold you if you've been watching
the show um when we made this low down
in here. Bear with me. I got the wrong
chart up there.
If you've been watching the show, I said
when we hit here that this was a macro
exhaustion level and if we started a
bull a bullish correction, a bonafide
mac u bullish correction that the
minimum target is 493360
and we've seen a good portion of that so
far
that was written in here. I said we held
macro exhaustion at 395540 low and we've
bounced 799.6.
If we continue in the bonafide bullish
correction, the minimum target is
496360.
And we saw also had multiple levels to
be long all in here. Multiple multiple
levels in here and in here and in here
and in here. So right now we're backing
out of an exhaustion level a little bit
rolling over a bit. If we leave a
maintain gap lower tomorrow, that'll
leave a minor bearish reversal above. If
we fail below
45 4220
plus 10.8 per hour starting at 6:00 p.m.
that'll warrant a decent pressure. If we
break below there decently back up
through it decently look for decent
shore carbon to come in.
Also, if we since the minimum target for
for this correction is
the 493360 area, I would not expect the
479110 exhaustion to hold. But I would
be very much eyeing the 498830
exhaustion to possibly hold or
definitely the last final exhaustion is
524910 to 526910.
If we hold either one of those, we could
see a substantial move to the downside.
Um, something on the level of this
entire move here, maybe from there down
to the downside. So, we definitely be
paying attention to it. If we settle
above this this level up in here, then
that's a set that's a sign of structural
strength and then I would expect that a
move up to
562680
plus would ensue. uh not necessarily
directly from there but in general.
>> Did you have Yes, we have a caller from
W Keith from Witchah, Kansas is asking
us to take a look at the heating oil. If
you could just do a review of that for
us, please.
>> Sure.
>> Just give me a second.
>> If you have natural gas is our second
question is natural gas.
>> Okay. Yeah. Let me just pull that back
up. I'd shut that window for a second.
Okay. The heating well.
Okay. I going over these before these
moves to the downside and then I said uh
get long above 40 even 66. That was a
short-term trade.
And then I said to sell against
combination of this 40649 to 722 and
40792 minus 3.7 per hour line. That did
not hold. But then I said to get long on
a decent penetration or pull back there
after look for decent strength. And
that's what we're seeing right here from
the wherever that come in. Came in
roughly.
I'll tell you exactly where it came in.
um
that came in at 40783 and we've now seen
a run up to 41981 from there. And if we
fail back down through
4021212
plus 10 per hour starting at 6:00 p.m.
That will warrant a decent pressure for
at least 15 cents
and possibly as much as 40 cents plus.
Does that answer the question? It sure
does. Uh, Mike, tell the folks how they
can reach you if they'd like to see a
sample of your newsletter.
>> Okay, that would be great.
Um,
let me just pull that up, Larry. Sorry.
>> We'll just pull it up there and leave it
there. We'll let the We'll let the music
play and we'll Everybody can see it.
Okay, buddy.
>> Yep. There we go.
>> Thanks. Thanks for joining us, pal. Be
safe, my friend.
>> I appreciate you, Larry.
>> You bet.
>> You bet. Take it easy, buddy. Byebye.
>> When you come back?
>> Uh, yeah. Let's do that when you come
back. Okay.
>> Yeah. Thank you.
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>> In the world of trading, only a few
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>> We're back with Mike Moore and Mike, if
you'd take care of natural gas for us if
you don't mind.
>> Sure.
>> Sure. Okay. Today we're leaving a gap
higher likely in the day.
Okay. Okay, the break back above 27920
warned of uh strength. That was a break
back above this line. So, we're seeing
strength up to 29270.
And then I also said this morning that
decent trade above 28630 will warn of
decent strength. That was a break above
this line right here. And we've seen
that strength up to there. Um so we're
bullish now.
If this was to
fail below this formation right here,
that would warrant decent pressure.
That's going to come in at 28120
plus.7 of a tick per hour starting at
6:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time.
>> Okay.
All right. Listen, that's good. And
we'll have you on again soon. So, thank
you very much, Mike. Anytime you see
something special, let us know and we'll
get you on the docket. Okay.
Thank you, sir. My pleasure. Thanks for
having me on, Larry.
>> You bet. Mike Moore, folks, and more
analytics. And remember, we're looking
at some key numbers here in the Dow
Jones at 53,
uh, 375.
If we get below that, that's going to be
a that's down another 150 points from
where we are. If we get below that, it's
going to break a 32 that stood for quite
a while. So, we want to keep that in
mind. And also remember folks that uh we
want to keep in mind very closely
watching gold at 4640 to 4620. That's
going to be an ABCD and a 3A2 and that's
been in a very strong market. So you
want to be able to uh take a look at
that. So I'll post that chart of the
gold here for us at the end so everybody
can see it. I forgot that we had Mike on
for just a second and I forgot to post
the chart. Considering how I feel, I'm
surprised I didn't forget everything.
So, I'll bring up let you take a look at
it.