August 14th The Trader's Edge with Steve Rhodes on TFNN - 2026
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
On August 14th, Steve Rhodes opened his market analysis by describing a mixed trading session where major indices like the Dow and S&P declined while sectors such as Russell 2000, transportation stocks, semiconductors, and gold advanced. He emphasized that despite these specific sector gains, broader technical indicators suggested caution for futures markets; notably, he pointed out topping signals across multiple timeframes in Nasdaq-100 (NQ) futures using Rodman Dominator patterns, while the S&P 500 remained in a breakout mode only if it stayed above key levels around 7820. Rhodes also highlighted that although the NYSE Advance-Decline Line recently hit an all-time high, historically bear markets do not begin with breadth at new peaks but rather when price rises while market breadth declines, suggesting that current conditions negate immediate crash fears despite September's historical reputation as a weak month for equities over nearly a century.
The analysis delved into specific stock and fund performances, revealing divergent trends between international funds like FXI and EEM due to differences in their top holdings, with the former showing bearish signals targeting lower levels while the latter remained bullish toward higher resistance zones. Individual stocks presented varied outlooks; for instance, Google was trading near support which could lead to a drop if broken, whereas SpaceX faced potential short-term retracement after rallying to resistance. Other notable mentions included Gilead approaching monthly upside targets if it cleared its current resistance, PGEN attempting to resolve an unresolved daily pattern while supported by the monthly chart, and Tesla requiring a close above specific intraday levels to confirm bullish momentum following recent position exits observed on five-minute charts. Additionally, Rhodes noted that Marvel was trading above its daily profile top with weekly resistance ahead, aiming to recapture previous lows before further gains, while ALOY successfully negated a potential top by breaking out of its daily structure.
Beyond individual equities and futures, the segment addressed macroeconomic factors such as the Euro, which broke out of consolidation after forming a Wave Seven bottom, suggesting continued rallies that would weaken the US Dollar Index toward monthly targets between 1.16 and 1.179. Rhodes clarified the distinction between long-term breadth indicators like the NYSE Advance-Decline line and short-term intraday charts for futures like NQ, arguing that while historical bear market onset conditions were eliminated by recent breadth peaks, immediate technical patterns still drive price predictions in volatile sessions. He also touched upon viewer inquiries regarding specific strategies, such as monitoring profile levels and oscillator change lines for Tesla traders to manage intraday positions effectively after observing a trading desk exiting between $330 and $350.
The broadcast concluded with promotional segments featuring various financial newsletters and services available through TFNN, including Basil Chapman's "Opening Call" covering sectors like semiconductors and uranium, Larry Pesavento's "Fibonacci 24/7," and live streams on Tiger TV backed by a money-back guarantee. Rhodes wrapped up his technical review for the day by reiterating that while computer issues were resolved mid-broadcast, the core message remained focused on interpreting complex patterns like TD counts and oscillator lines to navigate market uncertainty. He signed off with a final note of optimism tempered by caution, reminding viewers that understanding both broad market breadth anomalies and specific stock structures is essential for maintaining an edge in today's dynamic trading environment as he prepared for "Marvelous Monday."
Read the full video transcript
The following is a presentation of T F N
N.
The Traders Edge with Steve Rhodes.
>> [music]
>> Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648
or internationally at 727-873-7618.
The Traders [music]
Edge. Now, Steve Rhodes.
>> Good morning, folks. Welcome to the
August 14th, the fantastic Friday
edition of today's Traders Edge show.
I'm your host Stevie Perseverance Rhodes
who absolutely knows that each of us
should always be pioneers of our future
versus prisoners of our past. Hope
everyone out there's having a great day.
Hey, let's make sure we have an
extraordinary one.
Now, the easiest way to do that is to
always remember that life, it's
happening for us, not to us.
That's right. When you and I make that
one little 2 by 4 shift, it means we can
find the gift in every set of
circumstance that life is going to toss
at us. Now, today you and I we're going
to check on the circumstance of these
markets. We'll go figure out with those
bulls and bears, what those buyers and
sellers are communicating to you and I
at just past 11:00 in the morning. I do
want you to know that I'm absolutely
grateful for your presence here, but
even more important than that, and
that's this. During this next 53
minutes, I'm here to serve you. So, feel
free to send me an email. Send it off to
steve@tfn.com.
Inside that subject heading, please put
radio show question. Now, if you're a
side our tigers then, well, then any and
every ping will do. So, let's go ahead
and get this show started on fabulous
Friday. Of course, this is Tiger
Financial News Network. I'm Steve
Rhodes. Welcome to the show. So, we're
beginning our day here with a mixed bag.
Yet, the Dow off 75, S&P's down 9 and 60
for the Nasdaq 100.
Russell, on the other hand, up 12.
Transports up 53. Semiconductors up 81.
New York Stock Exchange up 19. To the
downside, 86 points for the Nasdaq
Composite. Gold's up 25. Silver's up 46
cents a cents. Light sweet crude up 51
pennies. Natural gas up 4 cents. We'll
go to the most important chart of the
morning, at least right now. At least it
was as of about 15 20 minutes ago. Let's
go see if it is right now still. And
that is the New York Stock Exchange
Advance-Decline Line.
It is at a new all-time high. I do not
know if it's going to close at a new
all-time high. Now, everyone's
Advance-Decline Line numbers are going
to be different. It depends on when you
start.
And in my case here,
uh the all-time high was back on July
18th, if I'm not mistaken. Uh was on
July August 4th. Take that back. Prior
to that, was on July 18th. And um and if
we do get a new all-time high today, and
as I posted inside the Tiger's Den, my
comment was very specific. Don't even
think about shorting. Now, that does not
apply to short-term intraday traders out
there.
And the reason I put that, and you can
go check it out yourself, if you want.
Never in the entire
uh life of US equity markets has a bear
market begun with a New York Stock
Exchange Advance-Decline Line at a new
all-time high. That is not how tops are
formed. Would you like to know how tops
are formed?
Tops are formed with the New York Stock
Exchange moving higher in price. That's
your upper right-hand panel. But, the
Advance-Decline Line moving lower, not
confirming it. When you're a confu- I
mentioned yesterday, gobs of market
breadth. You're looking at this on the
chart right now. It's gobs of market
breadth around the world out there. Um
if we take a look at um
Let's see here. The S We should probably
already knew it all-time highs. We
should be at new all-time highs this
week. Yeah, we are new all time highs
this week for the S&P 500 and all the
major currencies out there. Let's see.
Just checking in.
Uh yes, that is a that's true. It is a
strong, strong, strong bull market out
there. Okay, let's move off of that and
go take what's going on in the daily
equity future contracts. Let's see what
we've got going on here right now.
Uh you've got the ES mini that yesterday
negated its sell the deep point top. So,
it's got no topping pattern in place
unless it generates a bullish reversal
candle. Uh price did close just slightly
above the top of its profile yesterday.
We're back inside that. If we close
above 7820 and a quarter, you are in
full breakout mode. You're really still
in full breakout mode. It's just that
you would have resistance at that level.
In the case of the NQ, closing above
3008250, that's its TD 9 count breakdown
resistance level. It attacked that a
couple of different times, wasn't able
to get through it until yesterday. Maybe
it's just going to pull back and test
old resistance and confirm that it's
actually old resistance and now new
support.
Time will tell. But in any event, what
it does not have a topping pattern and
it should continue to move higher. The
Dow does have a topping pattern. It has
a roadster communicator top and it's
lost its momentum. It's lost momentum.
We know that because it's been trading
below its green oscillator and change
line. Now, its movement is primarily
been sideways, a little bit lower, but
sideways to low for the most part. Uh no
major damage, but we don't have a new
profile or anything. So, its support
level is down at 53113 short of looking
at a weekly time frame chart.
The Russell 2000. Russell 2000 is at a
new Oh, well, made a new intraday all
time high yesterday. Uh likely to make a
new uh closing intraday high. Uh it will
negate its TD 9 count top. The Russell
2000 it is with a close above Let me
give you this number here. The the cash
index negated it yesterday. The IWM
negated it yesterday. The the future
contract simply needs a close above
306240 and we're 3070 right now to
negate that thing.
How many of you think that bear markets
start with the Russell 2000 at all-time
highs.
Now, I haven't really done the research
on that to know, but I feel pretty
confident that the answer to that
question is doesn't happen.
Does not happen. Does not happen. Okay,
let's go take Let's see what's going on
intraday. See if there's any kind of
short-term top bottom signal. See what
we've got out here. Uh that wasn't the
chart that we wanted. Sorry about that.
We want this set of charts here.
No pop-up. So, we got our 5-hour chart
in the upper left-hand corner, 10-minute
chart in the lower right-hand corner,
and what should populate here
momentarily will be the charts for the
NQ.
Now, we know we've been moving higher,
so we're looking for topping signals,
and voila, you've got them across the
board here. So, if you take a look at
the daily uh 5-hour time frame chart, it
looks like you're going to have a Rodman
Dominator top. Now, this candle, I don't
believe it closed till 2:00.
Not till 2:00 p.m. So, it's an early
call, but right now that's what we've
got going. Uh you do have a profile. Be
watching this level here, and that is
going to be 30,075. If we close below
that, suggesting lower price.
The 4-hour time frame chart, this candle
I believe closes at noon.
No, 2:00 as well. It's showing a Rodman
Dominator top. Price is above the top of
its profile. That's at 30,026.
The 2-hour time frame chart already has
a confirmed Rodman Dominator top. The
level that you're watching intraday on
the NQ is the bottom of its profile, and
that's at 30,088.
If we close below that, we're looking at
lower price.
The 60-minute time frame chart, let me
see here. Did this uh form? No.
It's a Rodman Dominator top.
Our price is already closed below the
30-minute uh 60-minute profile level.
That says lower price. 30-minute Rodman
Dominator top,
price trading below its um a TD 9 count
breakout level, and that's at uh 31,40.
That is suggesting lower price. The
10-minute time frame chart, let's see
what the count is here. Trying to get
this thing here to populate. We are
we've got a negated TD 9 count bottom
pattern. So, the NQ is headed lower.
The question becomes, does support hold
the next support levels? In the NQ, let
me give them to you again because it's
now very easy. And that's going to be at
uh 30,088. That's the first one. I don't
know which one's in order here, but
30,088. Then you've got um
30,026
and then you have
you have 30,075.
Those are the levels to be watching. If
price closes below that, the NQ will
head lower. Let's go take a look at the
ES Mini.
It is charts populate. Does the ES Mini
charts across the uh top, do they
emulate what we're seeing inside the NQ
or is this just specific to the NQ?
Well, the 5-hour chart may form a Rodman
indicator top.
The 4-hour chart
may also. The 2-hour chart already has
that pattern. So, we're seeing that
prices trading below the 30-minute and
60-minute profile levels. The key area
of support for the ES Mini is going to
be between 7793
and 7801. We'll be right back.
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>> Welcome back, folks. Now, those of you
that had to put up with yesterday's
miserable show because of Stevie's
computer system,
uh thanks for doing that and putting up
with that. Uh you're not going to
believe this. So,
for sure, I thought, for sure, that it
was some kind of computer virus. Now, on
this computer that I'm coming to you
from,
uh there's no email on it. The the I I'm
very careful with regard to websites
that I access with this. This is my
trading computer. I try to keep this
thing as clean as can be. It's got virus
software everywhere. It's got malware
software everywhere. So, the mere fact
that it was having this virus problem
was just like, "You're kidding me."
After all that. So, I spent a couple
hours after we got off the show, you
know, and I had to go because as you
saw, the keyboard, mouse, nothing was
really working properly
out there. I And and I couldn't get
anything to work. Literally couldn't get
anything to work. And Dan in the Tiger's
Den, he goes by ABCD out there, he had
made a comment about cuz he said we we
had my mouse was just positioned and it
was just going crazy. It was just I
wasn't touching anything. And And if you
saw some of my other screens, you would
have been saying, "What the heck is you
got you know?" In any event,
Dan said that his mouse sometimes does
that same thing. And but he his question
was, "Do you have a Dell mouse?" Which I
do not as I mentioned to him I had a
Logitech. But,
just for the heck of it, I have an old
Dell
keypad. Check this out, Al. See if you
can show this. This is for Dan inside
the tiger's den. Dan, I had to go
digging through my stuff just to try to
find an extra keyboard. This keyboard's
got to be 30 years old. I I think this
is maybe one of the original Dell
keyboards. I go ahead, pull that out,
plug it in, take out the other keyboard,
and the system works like a charm. It
was a keyboard
virus or something, not an actual virus.
Uh ex- extraordinary, unbelievable. It
was a problem all week long. It was a I
was getting ready to do the show with uh
Tommy the segment on on Monday
afternoon. And I usually spend a good
hour or so preparing uh for that so that
I've got something nice and concise to
be able to bring to you guys. And I go
to log in to to start it I've got no
sound whatsoever. So, in any event,
hopefully that does it. Um
uh you know, so uh I if you have a
computer problem, this is the first time
I've ever seen this, okay? It maybe it's
not really just a virus. It could be it
could be a uh it could be a hardware
issue. In any event, um one of the issue
one of the one of the issue one of the
things I wasn't able to get to is a
couple of requests that have come in.
The first one is Google. Uh this was
from Vic.
So, we've got Google right now that's
trading
trading where where is the top of its
profile? The top of the profile's at uh
341.63.
So, you're trading above the top of the
profile below the red oscillator and
change line.
So, I'm uncertain as to what its intent
is. Uh maybe it's going to go down to
test support at 341.63.
If it closes below 341.63, Vic, I would
say Google's headed to 330.15.
Um
the weekly time frame chart. The weekly
time frame chart has a TD 9 count bottom
pattern. And what that did was that led
to a rally that rallied all the way up
into the top of a new profile form last
week, 381.81.
Didn't bust it out, closed back below
its green oscillator and change line, so
it has lost its momentum. We know that
the daily's lost its momentum. It's
below red oscillator and change line.
So, I'm thinking the 341.63
is a very likely outcome. Below that,
we're looking at 334.97,
and that is the weekly profile level of
support. Now, that TD 9 count swing
point, the weekly swing point has volume
of 122 million shares. We're pulling
back this week with 66 million shares.
So, a very light volume pullback, and
that says that support ought to hold.
Now, the monthly chart is sitting at
support right now. Maybe it's just below
it. Let's go find out. The support
level's 343.71. We're 343.76.
Um
so I have to say that Google at this
stage is is suggesting to me that it
wants some lower price, but it's not
looking like it wants something
massively lower. So, I just watch those
support levels, and let's start there.
Uh Duncan Steve wants to look at SpaceX,
SPCE X.
Get out here.
Um
which as you know, uh subscribers are
long, I'm long, my kids are long, my
grandkids are long. We're hoping that
this is a significant bottom out here.
There were two roads with TD indicator
bottoms that formed. One was on July
28th. The next one was on August the 3rd
out there. We've had a nice rally right
up into resistance, so price stopped
right where it should. Yesterday, we saw
price get up to the high of 149.60. The
bottom of the profile's 150.07.
So, uh we're just having a couple of day
pullback out here. Uh we're going to
close above It looks like we'll close
above last week's high, so that's a
bullish outcome there, Dunk. Um
this is going to be day number two to
the downside. You know, if you're
looking to get into this,
uh you know, a two to four-day uh
retracement would certainly be something
to uh consider out there. So, hopefully
that helped you out. Thanks so much for
waiting an extra day. Uh next question
is from
GTE. Actually, the next two questions
are from GTE. So, the first one is about
the seasonals, the September seasonal.
So, let me pull that chart over while
the FXI chart gets populated. So, his
question is, is September
So, what Here's GT's mindset. This is my
guess, GT, just from your just from the
emails that you sent me, that your
mindset is that we are going to
experience a major bear market.
If that is not the case, please tell me
that in your emails, because that is the
way that they are coming across to me.
They're which is fine. I just want to
make sure we're on the same page here,
although we're on different pages. Okay,
yes, September. If you take a look at
the 98-year seasonal cycle of the S&P
500, September is the worst-performing
month, period. It's been the
worst-performing month for 98 years. I'm
not sure about the last 15 or 25 Let's
look at the last quarter century. Last
quarter century, yes. How about the last
15 years? Has been the same for the last
15 years? Yes. How about the last 10
years? Has been the same for the last 10
years? Yes. So, what we know is that
September is a poor-performing month.
Does that mean that September is going
to be a lower close?
No. That's not what that means. It means
that September is a poor-performing
month.
Crashes certainly take place in
September and October. There's no doubt
that GT is right about that.
But we took a look and I think GT wrote
that question before I went to the New
York Stock Exchange advance-decline
line. And we are at a new all-time high.
Now, I don't know if we're going to
close at a new all-time high. My
assumption is that we will, but we'll
find out at 4:00. And if we do, I can
guarantee you one thing, there's never
been a crash within 30 days of a new
all-time not even in and beyond way
beyond 30 days, but there's never been
one. Never.
So, this time could be different, but um
I don't see it. I don't see it anywhere.
There's gobs of market breadth all
around the globe.
That's what I see. Your second question
is about the FXI and the EEM. And what
you're what I think your question was
stating was why are these two going in
different directions? They they're the
same. They they emulate each other. And
my answer to that question so I during
one of the breaks
I went ahead to look at what the top 10
holdings are. I don't know if I can blow
this up. Let me see. Can I Yeah, you can
blow up a notepad.
So, here are the top 10 holdings inside
of the FXI and the top 10 holdings
inside the EEM. If you are wondering why
the two are performing differently, it's
because their holdings are different.
The top holding inside of FX FXI is
China Construction Company. China
Construction Company is the number nine
holding inside of the EEM. The number
one holding is Taiwan Semiconductor.
Taiwan Semiconductor is not even in the
FXI.
Samsung Electronics is in the EEM.
Samsung Electronic Well, when I say not
in, it's not in the top 10. I just went
ahead and and and I did it. This is the
top 10 as of this morning out there. So,
you're looking at two completely
different instruments out there. Um and
and you could do that work, too. So, if
you're looking at something and you're
saying, "Hey, why ain't these two things
agreeing?" Go and take a look at the
underlying holdings there. And inside
FXI and EEM, they couldn't be further
apart from each other. But we'll take a
look at the FXI, see what its signals
are, and the EEM as soon as we come back
from this break.
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>> [music]
[music]
>> Welcome back. We got the chart for the
FXI up on our screen out here. On a
daily basis, we can say we're making
lower highs. We're trading below profile
support, as well as its green oscillator
and change line. Says it wants lower
price, then. Where's the next lower
price? The weekly chart shows that we're
trading within side this profile but
below the center of its profile and it's
a bearish structured profile. Well, that
suggests to me GT is that price should
go target 3449. If we get below that,
the next price target becomes 3191.
That's what's going on with regard to
FXI. There's no additional information
coming from the monthly chart. Let's try
the emerging markets EEM.
Now, the euro was has has broken out of
consolidation. I expect the euro is
going to move higher and the US dollar
will move lower. The US dollar was
testing some support this morning.
Out here, if we take a look at the EEM,
the EEM is trading higher. It is trading
above It is trading above the center of
its profile and its red oscillator and
change line. No topping signal.
So, it looks like it wants to go target
the top of its profile, 6814.
Before it can get to 6814, it's got to
visit with its weekly oscillator and
change line, which is currently printed
6751. It could be up to 6814 by the time
price rallies up towards that level. So,
both the weekly and the daily are
suggesting higher price and so too is
the monthly time frame. The monthly time
frame found support at its green
oscillator and change line. We're
trading above that as well as a profile
level. So, the emerging markets for its
monthly time frame is bullish. For its
weekly time frame, it's lost momentum,
but it looks like it wants to rally
towards the 67-68
level out there. That's what's going on
with those two instruments. Ron in
Denver
is looking at a potential call position
inside of ticker symbol APP. Let's see
if we can help Ron out. We got APP right
now trading out at $320.41.
It's below profile support as well as
its red oscillator and change line. It's
trading in A to B equals C to pattern to
the downside. It needs a bullish
reversal candle to confirm a bottom. So,
until we get that Ron, I say the answer
to the question is no. If I look at the
weekly chart, is the weekly chart
confirming that? Shoot, the weekly chart
is maybe be we've got an A to B equals C
to D to the downside. So, a D point on a
weekly basis is going to be February
13th, and the volume there was 55
million shares. This week we are at 33
million shares.
Last week
Oh, wait. Last week we closed below,
too. Last week was with
45 million shares. 45 took out 55. Well,
Ron, this is headed lower. Now, it's not
what we call a confirmed A to B equals C
to D pattern to the downside from a
volume standpoint, but I'll tell you
what, it's pretty confirmed in my mind.
Why? Because we're going to close below
a breakout level of 34211. What more
information does one need?
Breaking through that level is telling
you something has changed. Now, I'm
going to give you where that is headed
to uh since you're looking at this, you
know, you can look at this as price gets
down towards that level again.
That A to B equals C to D pattern is
going to get us down towards around
uh 232.
Now,
it turns out that the monthly time frame
chart
is got a Rose Mint indicator top, and
price is pulling back into the buy zone
of its profile between 255 and 309.
Um but doesn't look like that's the
bottom, Ron. Not with price trading
below its weekly TD 9 count breakout
level, not having a bullish reversal
candle, or any kind of bottom signal on
the daily time frame. So, my suggestion
is not app is is I don't
Hey, not that it can't rally because it
most certainly can. But I think the
rally gets capped by its oscillator and
change down around $333 or so. So, hope
that that helps you out. Gilead
Sciences, let's look at PDYN.
Let's get its charts up on our screen
see what PDYN is doing. She's trading
out right now at $6.49 within side a
profile that formed yesterday. It's
testing the top of that profile at 656.
If you can close above that, that would
be a beautiful thing. There's also a TD
9 count top that formed a few days ago.
So, you need to close above that high,
which is also going to be the profile,
and that's going to be at the 656 level.
Wait, uh
No, 656. Yeah, 656.
Um And if we close above that, uh then
you're off to the races to the upside.
Where would those races take us to?
Well, the monthly chart shows the center
of his profile
at 779.
So, it looks to me, if we can't take out
656, maybe what we do is we chop
sideways, we pull back, we test the
green oscillator and change line, we
test the area of 574 to 588 before we
start resuming our move higher. And that
move higher ought to take us to 779. If
we can clear 779, then we're looking at
813. 813 is the top of the weekly
profile. Above that, 917, and then
finally above that would be 1376.
I haven't discussed any downside. Why?
You got a nice weekly TD 9 count bottom,
daily TD 9 count bottom.
Um
you might negate a TD 9 count top today
or maybe next week. Everything is
looking pretty good for PDYN.
How about PGEN? Let's go find out what
PGEN is doing.
Get that up on our screen here. PGEN is
trading now as we speak at uh $6.34.
It's within side his daily profile. It
has a sell TD 9 count top. The question
is, has it found support? I don't know.
But 623 is a support level, the bottom
of his profile. A volume today so far in
2 hours of trading, we're about 2
million shares. Yesterday on the way
down, it did 5 million shares. So, a
little bit heavier in volume.
If we were to close below 623,
then the next target area would likely
be 583.
And 583
would be the green oscillator and change
line.
I do I do support your considered ad
inside of PDYN. Yeah, I didn't see
anything negative in those charts really
other than
was it the
maybe a day they might pull back or so.
I I I got to say that I don't know. It
looked good, Dan, for sure. Um so, on
PGEN though,
you're going to watch that daily
profile. We'd have to really go down
into the intraday charts and I can't
pull those up right now, not with the
number of of requests that I've got, but
but I'm going to keep it on my screen
and we'll take a we'll take a we'll take
a quick peek at it. Um, that's PGEN. Is
this forming a bottom because the
daily's back at a support level. Uh, the
monthly time frame is in full breakout
mode. So this supports moving up towards
984. Uh, the weekly has an A to B equals
C to D pattern to the upside. That gets
you towards the $8 level. So it's just
dealing with the daily A to B equals C
to D pattern. We don't know if getting
back to the bottom of the profile was a
bottom or not out there. Um, we got to
quest a request of to take SPRT.
SPRT.
That is for Duncan Steve. So let's get
that up on my screen. So SPRT,
we can do this right down here so that I
remember.
Okay.
SPRT, did I write that down correctly?
That spirit? Yeah, I don't think I did.
Shoot. All right, let's go with
Stevie's.
No, you wanted I don't know what you
wanted.
I I wrote it down improperly, that's for
sure. INOD, I know that that ticker
symbol exists. So what was it that
Shoot. I'll have to wait till the break
see if I can find out what that might
have been. So INOD. INOD is trading
below the bottom of its daily profile
and it's attempting to reclaim that. In
order to do that, you need to see a
close above 64.93.
And we're 64.39.
64.93 you want just the opposite. A
close above that, that would be a
positive and would say then, okay, we
might go target 70.22 to 71.98. You got
a nice wave seven bottom out there.
That's courtesy of the Basil Chapman uh,
toolbox.
That's on the daily time frame. The
weekly time frame
has a TD 9 count top. Price pulls back.
>> [music]
>> And it's trading below its green
oscillator and change line and daily
support. This is not good.
This is suggesting lower price. See you
folks at TFNN. We'll be right back.
>> [music]
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>> [music]
>> Welcome back, folks. Uh, just a quick um
thought here. I do have those charts for
PG and
on our screen here. And our question
was, is pulling back to a profile level
of support a bottom and it can be and
how would we know if it's a bottom but
typically what you're going to find are
bottoming signals on the other intraday
time periods now there's 295 minute bars
in a day that's why I use 195 minute you
want equal time frame so you're
comparing apples to apples and under 95
minute time frame chart is trading below
profile support no bottom signal that
says lower price same as 230 minute time
frame chart in fact it has a negated TD
9 count bottom as the
uh so this is the 65 minute time frame
chart no bottom signal the 30 minute
time frame chart negated a TD 9 count
bottom and there's no bottom pattern on
the 15 so what we know is that at least
at this moment in time pulling back to
623 on a daily time frame was not a
bottom is likely not a bottom out there
so I hope that that helped you out Dan I
didn't want you to take some action now
knowing what you know about the intraday
charts out there we're going to take a
look at INOD and again this chart here
it's just make sure that I I uh it's
looking like it wants lower price and if
it gets below 6028
then that's telling you you know much
lower price out there and that could be
all the way back to the 3450 level
that's its weekly TD 9 count breakout
area uh we had a question from WD to
look at the euro
um
EUR USD
let's get that up on our screen here
uh the euro and uh so give me a second
to get these charts up here uh so there
was a it's been trade it was trading in
a sideways consolidation that it broke
out of I don't have that pattern drawn
in here but we can draw that in
if we need to uh you can actually you
can really almost see it and you can see
that we've got really a measured move
breakout we're almost back up to the top
but uh let's uh take a look at the in
fact on the daily time frame chart
here's what we know now
we know that it's actually formed a wave
seven that's letter G uh top out here
and that was negated today. So, this is
suggesting to you and I that that top
failed uh and that the euro should move
higher. If we look at a weekly time
frame chart, the weekly time frame chart
is now trading above, and it did close
above just slightly last week its
descending price channel. We're trading
above its red oscillator and change
line. That says to me it wants to rally
further. So, the question is rally
further to where? And there's really two
price targets to the upside, WD. Uh the
first price target is going to come from
the monthly chart, perhaps come from the
monthly chart. It's the monthly
oscillator and change line. Now, the
current level on that is 116. As price
moves higher, so too will that. It's
really 116.39.
The weekly chart has 117.93
as its price target out there. And
there's nothing on the daily time frame
chart right now to stop the euro from
moving higher out there. So, uh looks
like it wants to rally further, and that
will go ahead and move the US dollar
lower. The US dollar index was took Can
I do that here?
Uh
Let's see something here. And now, cuz I
don't have the profile levels on the
system any longer. That's right. Can't
do that.
Uh okay, so that idea just went out the
door.
Um
That's what I've got for you on the uh
euro. I can
Yeah, I can't really do that cuz I got
to change a bunch of things. I can't
really pull up the US dollar index
without uh
Yeah, I I can't do it easily. But, I
would say at this stage here, the euro
looks to me like it wants to rally
further. US dollar index will get weaker
out there. Uh let's go take a look at
our next request, which was from Hector,
and it was to take a look at Tesla. Uh I
went to the wrong chart. Sorry about
that.
Uh although it's it's it's similar
because what uh
What Hector would like to do is look at
a 5-minute time frame chart, which I'm
going to go ahead and pull up. All
right. Oh my god.
Put the wrong uh chart. Stevie, get your
act together here.
There we go. This ought to do it.
Perfect. Okay. Third time was the charm.
I was there all Oh my goodness.
What the Sam heck? All right, so let's
go ahead and pull up Tesla. How about
that? We just got back to where we
started.
Oh my gosh. All right, so we pull up
Tesla. The daily, the weekly, and the
monthly are going to go ahead and
populate.
I'm going to show you and and he had a
great question, really. And his question
was he was looking at Tesla and he was
looking at the intraday charts.
He was looking specifically at the
5-minute time frame chart. And what he
picked up on
or I believe what he picked up on, he
picked up on a trading desk that was
exiting a position. Do you see this
linear move here?
Now, I can't prove this. I wish I could
prove this.
But this is a trading desks, okay? That
got orders
to
to to
get rid of not, you know, to eliminate
some portion of Tesla's position out
there. And what they do when they are
doing that is they're just keeping it
nice and easy. Look at this. Never gets
above a prior high.
Never gets much of a rally out there.
Not until they basically have done
they're done for their day. Done with
that position. And your question was, is
this good buy for some type of
countertrend move out there?
You know,
it can be. But you But you'd like to
have some kind of bottoming pattern out
there, Hector. And on Tesla for the
5-minute time frame chart, the bottoming
pattern that I would have was getting
back to its second TD 9 count breakout
level, which is 335
93. That's where it did find support,
but have we made a higher high? Well,
turns out on a 5-minute basis at 11:45,
so just 2 minutes ago was the first
higher high that we've made. And now the
question is will price get through
support through resistance? There's two
resistance levels, Hector, and that's at
338 34 and 339 15 out there.
But I think that this trade desk is
gone. It's done. They've They've They're
done jetting their position. They did it
nicely.
Uh you know, getting rid of shares go
between 350 and 330 out there and they
kind of held things in check. Now, let's
take a look at the daily, the weekly,
and the monthly time frame charts for
Tesla. Just get a feel for what its
message is. And on a daily basis, you've
got a um
TD 9 count top
that is trying to be negated. It would
be negated with a close above 341.64.
So, I sure feel better about taking an
intraday long position if we didn't have
that daily TD 9 count top that's in
place out there.
That's the thing that would hold me
back, Hector, to your thought process
here. But, uh you know, make sure you
you've make sure you grab a picture of
this if you are going to trade Tesla
from an intraday standpoint. Make sure
you pay attention to the uh profile
levels, the oscillator change lines. I'm
just going to put that back up on your
screen so you can take a quick snapshot
of it and go from there. So, a great uh
uh eye line uh picking up that
uh trade desk that was jettisoning their
position or at least a portion of their
position inside of Tesla. Next question
coming in from White Shark. Wants to
take a look at Carmel, CRML is the
ticker symbol. Uh might be nice to be in
Carmel this weekend. It is a scorcher
down here and I mean scorcher. I'm
debating whether or not I'm going to do
the 4-mi
walk again after this show. Uh I I just
got back really before I sat down at the
desk here and um and usually the morning
walks are not that tough. And this one
was this one was a scorcher. In fact,
like I'm not going out playing golf
today. It's that hot. Um but, I will
tomorrow at 8:30 and then the next day
at 9:45 or 9:00 something. Anyways,
Carmel, CRML has got a nice daily TD 9
count bottom, so White Shark, and it's
trading within side its daily profile.
627 to 703, but really we're going to
extend the top of that profile to a 787.
It's TD 9 count breakdown resistance.
So, nice daily bottom pattern. Just
consolidation.
Uh monthly chart,
no bottom signal, but a consolidation
within side this profile between It's a
bullish structure profile. Buy zone
between 567 623 resistance 789. Monthly
chart is consolidating within side this
profile as well. Uh your next request
was to take a look at A L O Y. Let me
get that up on the screen here. Hold the
music down low, Al. If you would, let me
try to get through this uh here if we
can. Uh go ahead and populate. Come on.
A L O Y traded out at 1449 above its
daily profile and negated a daily TD 9
count top. This wants to move higher.
The weekly supports moving higher. The
weekly says resistance at 1627 and above
that 22 bucks.
We'll be right [music] back.
>> [music]
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>> [music]
>> charts, and videos that illuminate the
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You can sign up now at tfnn.com for just
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>> Welcome back, folks. A point of
clarification here cuz I I don't want to
confuse anyone.
We started off the show by taking a look
at New York Stock Exchange advanced
client oscillator. The current print on
that on my system is 61 407. The
previous high was 61 613 645. So, it
looks like we're going to make a new
all-time high today. And what I stated
was that when we have a New York Stock
Exchange advanced decline line at a new
all-time high, what it basically does is
it pretty much eliminates the onset of a
traditional bear market. Historically,
bear markets form when we have price
rising
but the advanced decline line making
lower highs out there.
The only time there was a bear market,
but there was Roseman indicator top
before that was at the COVID crash. We
were at an all-time high in the advanced
decline line there. But we had already
had other signals, other topping signals
that were in place. We don't have any of
those topping signals in place as we
speak right now. So,
that's true. What I just shared with you
was just absolutely 100% 1000% true. But
then I throw in, well, we're looking at
the intraday charts here and you got the
NQ that's got topping signals across the
top. And the question was, doesn't that
doesn't that integrate into what I just
said? The answer to that is no, it does
not.
Not at all. These are intraday charts.
If the New York Stock Exchange advanced
decline line closes at a new all-time
high,
it basically eliminates historically any
kind of bear market. That is not how
bear market stop. This is intraday
stuff. That's all that this is. So, one
doesn't have to do with the one doesn't
have anything to do with the other. It's
a good point. I hope that it wasn't
confusing to anyone out there. I hope I
didn't re-confuse anyone. Let's finish
out the show. Duncan Steve wanted to
take Marvel out here. If you take a look
at Marvel for the daily time frame,
traded above the top of its bullish
bearish structure daily profile 214.92.
So, that's a positive. It's got
resistance on a rally at its weekly
auction exchange line 233.91.
It needs to recapture that level and
then it can go on to try to re- capture
the bottom of its profile on a weekly
basis 256.67.
Those are your resistance levels to the
upside on ticker symbol MRVL. Folks,
what a wonderful week. Sorry about all
the technical problems.
But, hopefully those have been resolved
and I'll look forward to seeing you on
Marvelous Monday. In the meantime, have
a fabulous Friday, a wonderful weekend
out there and think peace.
P E A C E. Peace, baby.
Take care.