Video summary
On Friday, August 14th, host Basil Chapman provided a comprehensive technical analysis of key market indices and individual stocks, highlighting divergent trends between major benchmarks while identifying specific opportunities for traders. The Dow Jones Industrial Average faced pressure with fluctuations around the 53,797 level, requiring a decisive "U-turn" above yesterday's low to slowly climb toward the 54,000 mark by Monday; conversely, the S&P 500 demonstrated robust strength after hitting an all-time high of 7816.70 on August 13th, supported by favorable technical indicators including a nine-period moving average well above the fourteen and stochastics at 92%. Chapman noted that this recent price action aligns with his Fibonacci extension targets derived from the October 2022 low, suggesting continued momentum despite overbought volume conditions in some sectors.
In the equity market, mixed signals emerged across various names as traders assessed breakout potential against resistance levels and correction patterns. The Nasdaq (QQQ) approached a significant recovery level near 734.39 but displayed hesitation with a tiny doji candle, indicating potential resistance before an anticipated breakout from its "falling ax" weekly pattern. While some stocks like USA Rare Earths showed strong bullish signs by breaking above their moving averages and targeting previous highs between $15 and $18, others such as Intel remained stuck in sideways patterns without sufficient power to return to June levels, and Procter & Gamble struggled within a rectangle formation below its weekly 200-period moving average. Other notable mentions included ARM Holdings needing further correction before advancing, FuelCell Energy showing tentative improvement with positive moving averages after months of stagnation, and Transocean Ltd forming a positive cup pattern that projected targets near $620 by late August.
The analysis extended to commodities and smaller-cap equities where sector rotation played a critical role in trading strategies. Heating oil was identified as very positive due to an inside wedge pattern matching left-side price action with a right-side target, potentially signaling the start of leg F of an impulse wave. Gold continued to perform strongly despite current digestive phases, allowing traders who were correctly positioned to add positions during pullbacks while remaining diligent about market swings between strength and weakness in different sectors. Additionally, assets like Anchor O N D S required confirmation above specific levels around 10.25–10.35 before a confirmed breakout could be declared on both daily and weekly charts, whereas Nordic American Tankers achieved a successful breakout without further qualification mentioned. The session concluded with the host noting that coverage of another asset named NRG was missed but would likely be addressed in Monday's live sessions within the Tiger's Den for those seeking deeper insights into these evolving market dynamics.
Read the full video transcript
The following is a presentation of T F N
N.
>> [music]
>> The Tiger Technician Hour with your host
Basil Chapman. Call now toll free at
1-877-927-6648. [music]
Now [music] Basil Chapman.
Good morning everyone. Basil Chapman
here on this Tiger Technicians Hour
Friday the 14th. We're looking at the
Dow. Oh, let me just get this. I just
want to move this away. One second.
There we go. I think that's a C like
seeing the one minute chart. Just wanted
to do that. And now we can go to Yeah,
here we go. All right. So, let's get
this started. We're looking at the Dow.
Uh well, I was going to talk about the
Vix. I did that in the update. I'll come
back to that because it's quite
important. Um the Dow right now is down
40 points at 53,797.
It needs to get to the upper part of
this candle without taking out
yesterday's low to be able to say, "Hey,
making a little U-turn. We can do that."
And if we don't um
if we don't take out the 53,622
low of yesterday, but in fact start to
climb slowly and I don't mind. It
doesn't have to have speed. Just slowly
towards the 54,000 level. Uh that's
another 100 and whoa whoa whoa. That's
200 and something points. Well, but
certainly by Monday. You've got to make
this U U bend over there. Look at that.
You've got yourself the chance of making
Look at that. Look at right there.
They are chance of making this U-turn to
get back to the upside. It could take a
week or two to do, but that's that's
what you need to do the Dow. But look at
the S&P. So, the Dow right now down 31
at 53,810.
The S&P
is a little different. Why? Because the
Dow made its high on the 5th of August.
Yesterday, the S&P made a new all-time
high at 7816. Let me just double-check
that I've got that that price
incorrectly.
Okay. There it is. Price is correct.
Yeah, 7816.70.
Now, this is important. You see the way
that nine-period moving average is so
strongly above the 14. You see how the
MACD is so strongly the green
nine-period differential is called is so
so much higher than the
red
26-period exponential moving average.
You see the red to strength there
holding steady at
kind of a high.
Um the stochastics flat at 92%. I mean,
that's what you want. That's the best
thing that you could ever see. And not
only that, you've got the on-balance
volume was overbought when it went to
that peak E or {slash} A high on the 5th
of
August, the same as the Dow. And now
look at it. It's starting to come back
again. But look at the weekly chart how
it broke out of this rectangle to the
upside. It made an arch formation,
retested successfully, and went up. And
that's really positive.
>> [clears throat]
>> Now, technical Fridays, I'm going to
take a little time over these things.
Look at Look at the way the
weekly monthly chart has gone.
You You You remember my my target was
this and let me uh I'll show it to you
right now. It's much better that I show
it to you rather than just yakety-yak. I
took the low of 3491 on October the 20
2022,
and I went to the to the high of uh that
was the high of 6147,
and that was in January of 2025. And
then it pulled back to the 4835 level,
and that gave an extension of 161.8%.
And what did that do? It went right to a
level of 7815. When we were down here,
it looked like, "Oh man, come on, 7815."
Well, today the high is
7810.
And yesterday the high was
7816.70.
So, we are well on the way to tagging
that level. And that's the street I use
Fibonacci just as kind of
um when I'm not really sure of an
extension,
um I I use that and I just see does it
work or does it work. It's just real
simple. And in this case it worked very
nicely. There's your target. Now, let's
get to the QQQ. I need also to tell you
what the support level is. If we go to
77 70 to 7760 in the next day or two,
that is not going to be good action at
all. So, let's go to the um next next
one, which is the QQQ, which it had a
very strong session yesterday, but not
today. Uh today it is I shouldn't say
not at a very strong session. Look at
that big green candle above the Canwave
Insights. As technical Friday, let me
just discuss these things in in pure
purely technical terms. So, I I like to
do this. It's It's been a part of my
technique for a long long time is that I
don't just do trend lines. Trend lines
are nice, but I like to do an inside
track. In other words, I have a little
channel within that trend line, and
you'll be amazed at how many times
prices go right to that level and then
they get repelled. Well, it went right
to the level uh 3 days ago and got
repelled. That was on the 12th. It went
to 727.25.
And then yesterday had a very strong
candle. Today's candle is
uh it's good. It's all-time I mean, it's
a recovery high at uh 7
34.39.
Uh pulling back a little bit here. It's
a tiny little doji candle, but that it's
not bad. I would have loved to have seen
a stronger candle by the end of the day.
Maybe it'll still do that. Why? Because
you want this to be the reflex of
action. It goes to uh it goes to the
resistance. The resistance is tested and
tested and then it gets broken. What
happens sometimes is that it goes above
and then it comes back and it tested and
it goes under and you say, "Oh, that's a
the false breakout." In this particular
instance, this is a very good breakout
um in terms of the 9 14 strong, the MACD
strong, the relative strength is good.
The stochastics at 92%. I mean, that's
what you want to see. One balance of the
volume is really quite pathetic down
here. But I I think price is the arbiter
of the trend and so far this is good
action. Now, the weekly chart is this
pattern of falling ax formation where
you make higher highs
Sorry. You make lower highs and much
lower lows. And then all of a sudden it
breaks out. And that's the pattern that
I should show you. Uh let's do this
right here. Give me 1 second.
It's this pattern right here.
And of course, I call it the falling ax
meaning that it does not get any
credence in technical books cuz you
really should say it is a declining
expanding cone formation.
All those words. I like falling pattern.
It looks like an ax, right? Anyway, so
what happens you make lower highs and
much lower lows. And all of a sudden it
finds some support and it turns around
makes either a V-shape pattern or a cup
formation and it starts on its way up
again and it takes out that declining
upper trend line.
Okay.
So, what do we do? We're on the way to
try to take that out. Now, that's a
pattern that I use very often. Let's
see.
And let me just show you this. This is
just for demonstration purposes. So, we
had this exact pattern in,
um,
RBRK.
Uh, RBRK, which is, uh, Rubric Inc,
cyber security, uh, cloud data. So,
uh, that was, oh, there, in the monthly
chart. You see that? Declining highs and
much lower lows, and all of a sudden
turns around and makes the V-shape
formation, and it took it right out. So,
that and well, let me just talk was it
talk about this one just a moment. This
is something that this is a position
that we've had, and when it goes My
reasoning is that when stocks go to 95,
very often, if they do it quite quickly,
very often that momentum strong enough
to take it to 105. Boom. Today, we hit
106. I did 105 yesterday, today we did
106, uh, 0.14, pulling back a little
bit, just down $2 and 18 in late. That's
the pattern. Now, let's go back [music]
to what were we talking about? We're
talking about the
what do you think?
The QQ, and we're going to see if this
is able to do the same thing. This is in
the weekly [music] chart, doesn't matter
daily, weekly, or anything, but that's
what we're looking at. I'll be back in a
moment. Dow's down 24, S&P's up six.
>> [music]
>> Chapman taking the emissions hour, and
we'll be right back.
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>> So, I have a question. I'm going to do
this right now. I'm holding. I was lost
if I could you know, I of course I've
had this done
>> [music]
>> many times before. Lost the information,
but that's fine. Look, this is the
monthly chart. N Y R M is the symbol.
It's down one at 277.64.
Have a look at this. So, you remember,
this is the
prime low. This is the low that starts
everything to the upside.
And
you have to count each successively
higher peak. So, that's a 78 66 79. So,
this is peak A right here. Just very
visually. Look, peak A. I mean, if the
god's AI program just to do this very
simple fact, it does it in some things.
Now, look, that goes to a B, but
underneath it you've got yourself an A
right there.
But, in October of 2024. So, I'm making
a gray A. In fact, that should have been
gray A and gray B, but
yeah, I'll talk about it
as an A and I'll change it to gray just
for a split second. There, right? A,
gray.
And then B. Gray, why? Cuz it's under
the previous B. It hasn't made a new C.
It's still a B.
So, what happens as long as that low is
sacrosanct, as long as that's low is not
taken out, the more times you make an A
and a B and an A and a B and an A and a
B or an A,
the the greater the chances are when it
finally breaks, it's called a
re-catchment wave restart. It means that
when it finally breaks out, look, from
this low, every peak has to be counted.
So, this is a gray A, right there. But,
wait a minute.
This
high right here on the October a couple
of years later on the uh October of 2025
at 183.16
is
Look, 183
182. So, that is higher than that. So,
that becomes C. That's not a B.
This is a blue C because
it is from this low, you have to count
each peak. So, that's an A and that's a
B. That's an A,
but that's higher than that B. So, that
becomes a C. So, it's just I mean, it's
just purely
uh notational, that's all. And then you
get to a D right here. And the D is
Okay, let me just give you the figure
right now. The D is
uh 452.70.
All right, 452.70
and that is earlier in the year, 452.70.
Now, this is the thing I've been talking
about for a little while now.
The pullbacks are so vicious. Let me
just so you can see it. Look, the most
obvious low right there is that, so that
becomes a gray A.
Gray A because I haven't got any signals
to say the stochastic's up over 80%
anything like that, and that becomes a
B. Gray B, I'll change it just because
we're talking about it, and it's a live
session, so I want to do it exactly
right. Uh so, it's gray A. You don't
have to do all this. I do this just to
to demonstrate for you. I don't need all
that stuff. Um okay. Now, let's go to
the monthly chart. So, you see the 200
period moving average.
Four times it hits it. It didn't even
touch it for a year or so, and then it
hits it four times, and whoosh, it takes
off. So, that becomes
uh I just for now I'm making it blue
because I don't want I don't want to
keep changing. So, this is an A right
here, A. This should be gray A, gray B.
And then, look, this the the MACD turns
up, the retracements turns up. This is
the weekly chart. Stochastic goes from
the single digits to the to the teens,
and then it goes to the 20s, and here it
is at the 20-something
uh right there. It starts to break up.
On balance volume turns up. MACD crosses
positive. So, I go from a buy signal to
a buy mode right there as it takes out B
and starts the leg C. Remember, it's a
floating letter until it makes a peak.
So, that becomes C. And here it becomes
D. Right. And what do I have almost an
instant restart because within three
bars, actually two bars, it goes to an
E. So, my mind is saying E {slash} A.
Yeah, remember, that's what we do. Once
you take out a peak D with an instant
restart, you think, "Ah, could be an
instant restart meaning an alternate
count." So, it doesn't have to, but you
just keep it in mind. Then then you go
back alphabetically, E F, and you think
F {slash} B right there, and G {slash}
C, and very often G {slash} C does go to
a D. So, I put in G {slash} C, and I
wait to see. Look, the technicals are
still good. Stochastics aren't to decide
what happens. It pulls back really
sharply. So, now I know that is a G. All
right? And now we have to start fresh.
So, I got that there, and now I've got a
down arrow. So, this is starting fresh.
Arm Holdings. So, now we look at this
fresh. Now, the sideways action says to
me it's not ready for prime time. See
this right here?
It might have to have another AB another
AB restart. So, I the question was could
I look at it and I'm just saying I don't
see anything yet. I would get not
excited, but I'd get much more impressed
if it goes to 302
uh hits 302, preferably closes at 302 or
higher. But right now I'm just saying
stalling motion, right? Uh
big big move down. The 9 period moving
average in the weekly is still green and
that's a big positive. So, you've got a
It it's a work in progress. Now, let's
go on to now so that was the one
question.
Uh brick go go go go. Um
Looking for an entry. Let's hold off.
Okay, let's look at it again next week,
but I wouldn't say anything. Oh, look at
that chart. Oh, that
Oh, I was just going to say oh, someone
has the same expansion in the S&P as I
do 161.8.
But in fact that was my choice. Someone
took a picture. Oh, is is that how I
take a picture? Okay, thank you, John.
All right, let's keep going. We want to
look at uh so is this for me? FuelCell
FCEL. Yeah, I will be watching this it
has such big moves. It's very difficult.
I think options are probably the best
way to play it, but look at this.
FuelCell um just sideways action. Even
this looks fantastic. Well, it looked
fantastic then and it popped up to that
gray B. I didn't change the color. It
should be a gray B. Look at the Eiffel
Tower pattern. Straight up, straight
down. I'll put in Eiffel Tower looks
like an uppercase A and it came down
from the 37.88 level. I mean, the
consolidations
are unbelievable. It comes down to 15
37.88. I mean, these if you
you're going to
long term you got to be thinking. Look
at the weekly term longer term. Look at
the weekly chart. Peaked
from the 37.88 level. Is that correct?
Is that
Yep. And then what happens? The nine has
been very strong and it's been holding
the 14 and it's been stalling at the the
green nine period moving average. So,
it's a work in progress as a fuel cell
energy science manufactures operates
service
and services
and converts fuel to electric electric
chemical process. That's what I I've got
written down. So, yeah, and the monthly
chart is improving, but it's very
difficult to trade. But, the nine period
moving average just flipped a positive
for the first time since about a month
ago and that's a good sign. Daisy out.
All right. Okay, let's go on to um
Let's go on to
rare earths running uh yes, USAR
USAR
Yeah, now you see this is a buy signal
to buy mode in the daily chart. I spoke
about this about a week ago. I said it's
starting to improve a lot. USAR is
USA rare earth ink. Look at this. It's
trading at 20.23 up a dollar 62 up
almost 9%.
That's not an A, but very often in my
work I'll say, "Hey, keep this in mind."
That could have been a sham way
phantom peak.
And I just keep it in mind, but I don't
have to now because this is a very
strong A. That's a strong B.
It wasn't looking like that yesterday
when the 200 period moving average for
five sessions
stalled and today it's broken out above
it. Look at the MACD. Look at the
stochastic [music]
at 85% and look how it hit for the
second time a takeoff Oh, third time a
takeoff level from the 200 period
exponential moving average in the weekly
chart. So, this is a positive. It needs
much more to get the weekly [music]
positive, but this is a nice sign that
it could try for the 20 150 to 20 180
high that was made [music] just back in
July. I'll be back in a moment. Basil
Chapman Dow's down 32. S&P is now down
four.
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range of equities, from semiconductors
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>> [music]
>> to key indices and so much more. Basil
is old school, taking the time to
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selective stocks, and more. Opening Call
subscribers [music] also receive access
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>> [music]
>> All right, so this is really very
important. We're going to post
>> [music]
>> a couple of questions came in that I
think are quite They're important in
terms of
where I go next because I had a whole
thing planned for today, but you know
there've been so many questions that I
think I need to get get to them right
away. So, first of all, let me just go
here.
So, as I say, FuelCell's doing very
nicely,
but it's all within a trading band.
I want to just do this. Look at this.
Here's the
Just I was busy and I didn't have a
chance to do this. What a pity.
You went to a peak D in the 1-minute
chart above the
200-period moving average. And look what
happened. It flipped negative and the
two technical indicators went under the
200-period moving average and you went
from the 78.26
level to where we are now at 78.12 and
they're still negative and the 2-minute
chart. And you had that peak E in the
10-minute chart right there at about
just before 9:00 and it just keeps
coming down. So, this is a very
important moment. That's what I'm
saying. That's why I wanted to do
certain technical things today, but at
the same time I want to cover whatever
what everyone wants. So, remember this
is the starting point. This is RIG,
Transocean Ltd.
Question about whether it's able to
really go much higher from here. So,
this is this is the starting point.
Remember,
>> [clears throat]
>> this is your core low. So, that's peak
A, gray A, gray B, gray C. Even there I
said I don't know if I can go to a deep
because it looks like the 200-period
moving average is a real problem. It
keeps coming down. What it did, it went
to a lower low, but it not didn't take
it as the starting point of 480 that was
made on the 1st of July. And then,
remember, a rectangle for I forgot to
put this in. I'll put it in right now. A
rectangle formation is very important
because if it has an arch within it, the
dreaded H, but it's successful,
then all of a sudden that pattern that
became quite negative becomes quite
positive. Look at this. You've got your
rectangle formation. You've got your
arch formation, channel wave, H pattern,
right graded H. But there was no graded
H. In fact, what happened is it held the
seven the 480 low, right there which is
4 I think 90. And what happened is it
the 9-period moving average then took
off, green, and here it is. So remember
this is your starting point. Every every
peak gets counted. So that's an A,
that's a B, that's a gray A right there
because it I always call it an A
underneath the previous high. That's
another A.
Uh that's another A. That's another and
that's a B.
And then all of a sudden you've got
overlapping wave. It takes out that C
and that goes to D. This is not B to C
because you've already got a C. You have
to go to the highest letter. So that
becomes a D and now we're in leg E
within three bars. So this could even be
an instant restart. So this is the first
time that I can say, you know what? This
breakout in rig is something that you've
got to take seriously. Why? Because all
of a sudden the rectangle to the
arch formation becomes the potential for
a huge
cup formation. Look at that.
And now I can do this. I can go in right
here on the left. I can say I like to go
to I call it the
the um
right to the to the
drop over there.
Okay.
And I go left side, right side. Now it's
already done. So I can't say that this
is the low or that is the low. I have to
do it almost Now I have to do it
visually. So that means now I'm using
this no more technical analysis in terms
of
the number of bars on the left equal the
number of bars on the right. So what I
have to do is I have to say that's a
potential right there. I always like to
pick a particular candle. I'm picking
this candle right here and I'm saying
"If I use that, can I use the Chevron
inside wedge
target repellent line to give you some
sense of
All right, there. Do you see how that
hits exactly? But I it needs to go
higher. It needs to go to the uh 620
level. So, I'm saying, "Well, all right,
let's do this."
>> [clears throat]
>> And the candle that I wanted to use was
this candle here. All right? So, let me
move that over
right there. And I now go click.
Now, this is not a purely scientific
thing. I haven't got the exact number of
bars on the left and the exact number of
bars on the right. I've had to use some
artistic license. Well, it's not
artistic because in my work, there's
always um a technical aspect to it that
you have to follow. Otherwise, you
haven't got a rule. If you don't have
rules, you don't have a system. So, here
we are. We've got that dash line. So,
the dash line says that by um round
about the 20th of August, you could be
hitting the 620 level. We're at 590
6 right now.
So, it doesn't sound like much, but
think of it as 59 going to
uh what did I say? 59 going to 61. Okay,
it's two points. That's that's a big
deal. Okay. So, that's the way I'm
looking at it. So, this is for the first
time, the daily chart is in a buy mode
and a confirmation that it is very
strong. The weekly chart needs a lot of
work to get the 9-period moving average
strong, MACD strong. It's weak right
now. Stochastics at 19%. So, the the
daily is the one that has to lead you
off. Let me tell you the key support now
is the low today is 576. I'm getting to
560. 560 will be key support. Hope that
helped you. Next question came in and um
T did that, did that, did that.
Okay.
>> [clears throat]
>> So, that means I should go to the So,
Intel question. I looked at this earlier
this morning.
Um
it's kind of stalling. Look at that
weekly chart. That just tells you
there's a lot Yeah, 9 p moving averages
is still positive. And we got a monthly
chart. Yeah, it's a big C. Um but I'm
just looking at the daily and the daily
is having difficulty getting real power.
It's a nice move from 8179 the low that
was made beginning of August to where we
are now at 104. I mean, you can't deny
that 20 points is
So, what? 20% of that? But what I am
looking at is
within [clears throat] the context of
this left side
peak that it hasn't broken yet. This is
again the same pattern that we were
talking about. Sideways pattern,
rectangle formation. I can make it a
narrower one because it shows So, I'm
just saying Intel, I'm not impressed. I
I like what's going on, but so far I'm
not saying, "Hey, this is going to
scream all the way back to the the high
that was made 142.35
on June the 30th.
And [clears throat] the very next day it
opens at 135 and it kapoops. It goes
from 142.35 to 81. I would say 60-point
decline is pretty serious. All right.
Okay. Next question came in.
>> [clears throat]
>> So, did I did that did that Uh yesterday
I had a question I couldn't get to it.
Uh PG
Um actually, I looked at it during the
break and then I completely forgot about
it. The reason is it's just negative.
It's not looking good. So, if the I
think the question was where could I
answer? And I'm just saying it's not in
the favorite area right now. This is
Procter & Gamble. Just Uh
>> [clears throat]
>> it keeps failing. It keeps making lower
lows and lower highs. So, I'm just going
to say to you it's in a rectangle
formation right now. It's at 143. If it
holds 142 and then turns around, I'll
say, "You know what? Now you can have a
bounce." It's a bounce, but it's stuck.
I think it's just I'm going to look at
the 200-period moving average in the
weekly chart. Every single time we went
above it, it created a long-legged wick,
and closed lower down. No.
Right now, I don't see anything. I'll be
back. Dow's down 92, S&P's down five.
I'll be right back.
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>> Yeah, so I thank you for that. I I know
you got a number of questions there, but
I'm going to deal with this [music] I
think it's very important. Heating oil
is up 0.09. That's a 4.25.
So, what's really important about this
is that the week Let me just open this
up. You'll see that the weekly chart and
this beautiful left side, right side
price time match. I drew this in ages
ago that it went from that left side
back in April, the high that was made,
and it went sideways, and I chose a
particular candle which turned out to be
perfect to go to the right side. It
missed it by just a fraction, but look
at that peak F right there. And now it's
pulled back. This is a question. Is this
a G or meaning Oh, I'll be careful. You
got a double top. Or is this a brand new
A? I Everything right now is leaning
towards a new A peak A in the heating
oil because the weekly chart, yes, it's
gone sideways, and I have to consider
that it's got a left side, right side
price time match. Let me just draw it in
there because it's technical Friday.
Look at that. Left side to a particular
candle, right that candle right there.
Now, I'm going to go to the right side
and see if that works.
Click. Click.
Like that.
Uh that make that green, this one
becomes red.
Right there. Yeah, look at that. So,
we've we've we've matched all everything
that we needed to see. So, I'm saying
this is an interesting situation. I
didn't see this before, and I did see it
earlier and then I completely forgot
about it. Thank you for reminding me.
Look, gentlemen, we've inside Look at
that. Inside
tr- inside
wedge.
Yeah, goes right to it. Inside wedge
goes right to it. So, this is I'm more
likely to think of this as a leg F.
Could even be an instant restart. It
Heating oil from what I'm looking at
right now is very positive. Just at the
moment, it could be double topping, but
I'm I'm thinking this is a good action.
Thank you for pointing that out. Next
question came in as I put S H O. Putting
all these down.
Yeah, AEM
uh AEM AEM AEM Yeah, look at this Agnico
Eagle Mines, second largest gold
producer. So, we have our gold and
silver stocks, but I love this action.
And we we missed it by pennies earlier
on and it just kept running up,
but we did manage on this pullback that
we waited for to get in yesterday almost
near the low. And look, here it is. I'm
waiting for this leg D and then we're
going to see what happens because if
these two moving averages, the 9 and 14
cross the 200 period moving average, I'd
say for maybe two or three times, wow,
that's really exciting. And this leg A
in the weekly chart, these are a lot.
Look at the MACD today is zero. It's
It's just about the day's young. It's
Friday.
I don't know if it's going to cross
positive, but look at the relative
strength. Look at the AEM is the symbol.
Up 186.44,
up 6.08. Look at the stochastic. Finally
getting off. Look at that. It was flat.
There was nothing there. And now it's at
31%. So, this is a work in progress.
The monthly chart, horrible horrible.
255.24,
all-time high back in March and it just
plummets. That's what I mean about these
sell-offs. They are so vicious
sometimes. Some of them hold, but wow,
we've had a lot that have given back.
You know what I mean? Alcoa's a good
example of that. All right, next
question came in. Could I look at um
uh ITT
TEE. I've got that down in my list for
my subscribers just as something to
monitor. This is TTI
Energy. Yeah, I don't see anything. It's
just kind of stuck. It's at $6.31.
It did have have a beautiful move to a
peak B and then it fell back to the 200
period moving average. Now, this is one
you just have to wait. I do see
improvements, but I want price
improvements. So, if it can go just Is
it 5:32? I'd need actually a dollar
higher before I'm going to say, "Hey,
now it's improving because it's just
stuck." All right, NAT is Nordic
American Tankers, NAT.
Uh yes, you see that broke to a new
high. Oh, look at that.
>> [clears throat]
>> This is a leg E.
Within three bars, actually within two
bars, and it went to a lower low. Now
it's Oh, this is very exciting. So, this
is E right there. Okay, and this is
either a continuation You see, this is
the starting point, A B C D E. Now, if
you don't take out that, you can
consider this a continuation pattern.
So, I'm going to put in F {slash} A. F
says, "Ooh, be careful." A says, "Are
you kidding? Every single pullback you
want to buy." But I need to see the MACD
cross positive, the relative strength is
improving, stochastic is not bad at 55.
On balance volume is okay. The weekly
charts are very strong, and that's the
reason why
I like this. And look at the monthly
chart, I drew it all in, did the mapping
and everything, and look what happened.
Didn't open.
Now, look what happened.
Um
6.38 was our target.
And then the higher one is a different
midpoint, and that's $9. So, this I
think is honest way to $9, but as I I've
said before, I don't know what's going
to happen with these
shippers because Well, are they actually
Are they shipping? Are they getting
stuck? Maybe they're getting stuck just
in one place. Everything else is
working. This one says things are
working. Nordic American Tankers, I do
want to do just real quickly SE was a
question yesterday over that was uh Sea
Limited. No, I I
This is online shopping. Sorry. Look at
you, say I say it looks like it did the
way it's pulling back. So, that was
that. Uh
CRWV CRWV
Coreweave, is it done? Well, no. I don't
think it's done at all. Coreweave Inc.
AI infrastructure processing capacity is
just chopping around. It's in a in a
very wide and choppy area
that 118 area. It really is resistance,
but the daily says after that gap up and
today just went into the gap itself.
The MACD shows stochastic at 85%. No.
How do you play it? Well, first of all,
I don't think it's done. Secondly, I
don't meaning that it's going to go back
to the 60.55 level that was the low that
was back in the beginning of August end
of July. No. I think that this is in
play. There's a a confirmation right
there. I I don't care about gaps.
I use them when I need to, but I don't
it's not like I say, "Oh my god, a gap."
I just say, "Look at it." I say, "Okay,
gap." But, I use inside wedge target
resistance line.
And that just says when you went above
it, yeah, it says it could get to 120
within the next week.
All right? So, that would be my target.
Now, yeah, 120 is not the high that was
made right here. That was 122.00
round number. Unbelievable how these
round numbers work to either give buys
or sells. Okay? We're from 122 down to
60. I would say that's just about a 50%
decline.
Um yeah. I I like what's going on
technically and that's the this is the
way I'd be looking at it. I'm just going
to draw this in. I don't have that 22
as a target. I I would I'd rather say
120 and it's trading at 106. That's
really a lot.
Um that will fail. I'll be wrong if in
fact it actually goes a little longer.
If in fact it it takes out a 101 to 100
support. Takes it out I have to consider
that it's going to be washing out. I
still don't think it's done. But yeah, I
just to answer your question, I think
it's in play
but
um it needs to very quickly to get to
leg C
uh above 117.49.
Next question on ONDS. Gosh, I didn't
even look at this particular one already
and and
>> [music]
>> Gosh, I was looking at Yeah, so ONDS has
gone A B C and remember this is your
starting point right here.
Um but it has a way of fading at a
steep. [music] It's done before A B C
comes down. Then it goes to the D and
then it could go to the full this A B
Oh, there are Okay, I'll do that in a
moment when we get back. It's up 35 at
9.27.
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Go to tfnn.com and hit watch Tiger TV.
That's tfnn.com and hit watch Tiger TV.
>> So how long has this been going on?
Anchor O N D S is a symbol at 939 and 39
cents. Look at that, the high that was
made [music] right there on the 15th of
June.
Uh at 997, it took X number of bars to
come down to that doji candle low of
6.22
on the 17th of July and look what
happened. It went right to that level at
999. In fact, it took it out
a couple of bars early. I didn't even
[clears throat] have a chance to do the
inside track inside wedge, that is.
Right there. Inside wedge target
repellent line would have been there,
but it did it over there. Okay, and look
at that. So this is actually very well,
but I don't think it's breaking out just
yet. It needs more. It needs to I like
all the technicals, but I would like to
see it at 10.20 10.35
and closing above that level to a leg D
and then hold there. That'll be very So
nothing wrong in terms of the daily the
weekly chart needs a lot of work. Hope
that helps you. L E A S uh L A L A E A L
A
S is backwards L A E S is. Man, I had it
all I told everything there that I could
do, but I lost all that information.
Yeah, the day is improving. The weekly
needs a lot of work. It's A B. Yeah,
it's a 299. To be able to get to the 200
period of 329, you need to see it tag
318 and it needs to do it fairly soon.
So a little bit of a pullback today.
Gold is doing fabulous. Yes, so that's
why we added to the gold position, but
at the same time there is some digestive
phase, but there is definitely signs
that this rotation is just keep swinging
between different sectors. So, if you're
in the right sector, you're doing great
or you're not worried about the
pullbacks, you're wanting the pullbacks
for for some a new entry, but at the
same time, you've got to be very
diligent. I in my webinar, my sorry, my
video course subscribers, my overview
video talks [music]
I'll be discussing a lot of this. It's
almost like a webinar, but it's for
subscribers. So, you can join go to the
front page of TFM and check it out. And
I will see you Friday. I'll see you on
Monday. Have a wonderful weekend,
everyone. [music]
And
let's see. I think I've got all my
questions.
Oh, I didn't [music] do NRG. All right,
maybe on Monday we'll do it.