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ALCARAZ vs SAFIULLIN | US Open 2026 | Tennis Talk Preview

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The US Open 2026 kicks off with a significant match featuring Carlos Alcaraz making his comeback from injury against Roman Safiullin. While Alcaraz has been sidelined, Safiullin has maintained strong form, entering the tournament as the world number 99 with an impressive record of 32 wins and 13 losses this season. His best performance came at Wimbledon, where he reached the fourth round as a qualifier before falling to Djokovic in four sets, having previously upset Rublev early in that event. Safiullin's current confidence is high following a successful run at a smaller tournament where he reached the quarterfinals, though his worst loss of the season was a defeat to Jarry on clay earlier in the year. In contrast, Alcaraz enters as the world number three with a dominant 22-win and 3-loss record, highlighted by his victory at the Australian Open where he defeated both Djokovic and Zverev in finals or key matches. However, his form is difficult to assess fully given that he has not played for four months, with his last appearance ending prematurely in Barcelona due to injury concerns. His most recent proper loss was to Sinner in the Monte Carlo final, but despite this setback, he started the season strongly. The head-to-head history between these two players is evenly split at one win each, with Safiullin securing a victory on indoor hard courts in Paris and Alcaraz winning on clay at the Olympics. This matchup presents a unique challenge for Alcaraz as he attempts to restart his campaign, particularly given the physical demands of playing against an aggressive opponent like Safiullin who can grind out points. For Safiullin to pull off an upset, he would need to start strong by winning the first set and applying immediate pressure on Alcaraz, utilizing his powerful and aggressive hitting style. Conversely, Alcaraz must take his time, manage his wrist carefully against Safiullin's relentless play, and avoid frustration if he does not immediately return to his best form. The uncertainty surrounding how his injury-affected wrist will react adds another layer of complexity to what promises to be a difficult test for the Spanish star. Ultimately, this match serves as a tough but necessary first step for Alcaraz to regain his footing on tour before the rest of the US Open campaign begins. The commentator predicts a close four-set victory for Alcaraz in the end, acknowledging that while he expects the Spaniard to prevail, Safiullin will provide a very rigorous test. Starting a season against such a resilient opponent is no easy task, and the outcome will depend heavily on how well Alcaraz can manage his physical condition and mental composure under pressure. The match promises to be an interesting opening chapter for Alcaraz's return, setting the tone for the rest of his tournament run.
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Carlos Alcaraz versus Roman Safiullin, is the first match in Alcaraz's comeback from injury starting at this US Open 2026. And while Alcaraz has been away, Safiullin's been in some form. Safiullin entered the tournament as the number 99 in the world with a 32 win 13 loss season so far. His best result was actually making the fourth round of Wimbledon as a qualifier. He ended up losing to Djokovic in a four setter. His best win actually came that week where he upset Rublev early in the tournament. He was number 13 in the world at the time. His worst loss was actually to Jarry on the clay courts in a challenger earlier in the season who was 279 in the world at the time. His form's been great the last couple of tournaments. He has had a couple of losses, but before that, that run at Wimbledon, and he also made a quarterfinal as well in a smaller tournament. He is really showing a lot of confidence right now. Alcaraz entered the tournament as number three in the world with a 22 win three loss season so far. His best result was winning the Australian Open beating Djokovic in the final in four sets. And his best win also came at the Australian Open beating Zverev who was number three in the world at the time. His worst loss was actually in Miami where he lost to Koepfer who was 36 in the world at the time. It's hard to talk about his form because he hasn't played for, you know, four months. So, the last time he played was Barcelona where he had to pull out against Machac. But he did start the season off really strong and his last proper loss was actually to Sinner in the final of Monte Carlo. These guys have actually played a few times before with the head to head split down the middle 1-1. Safiullin getting a win on the indoor hard courts of Paris a few years back and Alcaraz winning at the Olympics on the clay. So, yeah, not going to be an easy match for Alcaraz to start back his season. If Safiullin's going to win this one, probably needs to get off to a good start and win that first set. Really put the pressure on Alcaraz. He hits the ball so hard and so aggressively at times as well. So, he really needs to be hitting well and not making many errors if he's going to get the upset. If Alcaraz is going to win this one, he needs to take his time. We don't know how the wrist is going to react to somebody like Safiullin who's going to, you know, sort of grind him around. So, yeah, he's really got to, you know, take his time and not get frustrated with himself if he's not playing his best. Really interesting match here. What a interesting first match for Alcaraz to come back. I think Alcaraz is going to win this one in a close four setter. I reckon he'll get it done in the end, but man, this is a very tough test to start his campaign and to start back on tour, especially playing a five setter. We'll see how he goes, but let me know in the comments below who's going to win this one.