A heavy blow to Russians; two years after the Kursk operation, Ukraine causes Russia fear and losses
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Almost two years have passed since the initial operation in Kursk, a period during which Ukraine has significantly altered its strategic position despite facing severe setbacks. Newsweek reports that while Russian forces initially succeeded in driving Ukrainian troops out of the region by February 2025—a defeat so profound it led to a quarrel between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and then-President-elect Donald Trump—Kyiv now finds itself in a much stronger stance as American negotiators prepare for their arrival. Although the publication suggests that achieving peace soon remains unlikely, Ukraine's recent achievements in long-range strikes provide new grounds for hope regarding potential support from Washington to pressure Russia further.
The core of this renewed strength lies not in reclaiming lost territory immediately, but in a sustained campaign of deep-penetration attacks against Russian infrastructure and civilian targets. Data from the independent monitoring center Aecold indicates that Ukrainian strike frequency has tripled since January, with drones now reaching over 2,500 kilometers into Russia to hit cities like Moscow and St. Petersburg as well as industrial sites across Siberia. This shift represents a tactical evolution where Ukraine bypasses Western bureaucratic red tape by producing its own one-way attack drones in large numbers, effectively turning these aerial assaults into what officials jokingly term "long-range sanctions" designed to cripple the Russian economy which relies heavily on oil and gas revenues for roughly 20% of its federal budget.
Beyond traditional energy targets, Ukraine has expanded this strategy to include high-profile commercial entities like Wildberries, Russia's largest online retailer, accusing it of facilitating the sale of dual-use military goods such as body armor, helmets, and drone components essential to Russian forces. Mykhailo Podolyak, an advisor to the Ukrainian president, notes that a significant portion of these items are sold directly through state channels on this marketplace, making its disruption a critical component of Kyiv's defense strategy. While some Western allies have urged restraint due to global energy market sensitivities exacerbated by conflicts in Iran and Israel, Ukraine continues to escalate these operations, arguing that they enforce economic pressure where traditional sanctions have failed.
Ultimately, the narrative suggests that while the initial failure in Kursk was a horrific defeat condemned by both military personnel and civilians as illogical, it served as a harsh lesson that propelled Ukraine toward this new asymmetric warfare doctrine. The transcript concludes with an analysis of how these relentless strikes could serve as leverage for future negotiations between Zelenskyy and Trump, potentially securing additional Patriot missiles, funding, or political backing without needing to physically seize territory. However, the text also warns that technological superiority in drone production cannot solve Russia's manpower shortages alone; regardless of Ukraine's ability to strike deep into enemy lines, Moscow may still resort to partial mobilization after elections, continuing to feed its war machine with more human resources despite the escalating pressure on its economy and society.
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Almost 2 years have passed since the
defense forces operation in Kursk, and
Ukraine's position has changed during
this time, as reported by Newsweek. The
publication recalls that in February
2025, Russian troops succeeded in almost
completely driving the defense forces
out of the Kursk region, which led to
Volodymyr Zelenskyy's first visit to
then President-elect Donald Trump. That
meeting ended in a quarrel between the
two presidents. Now, as Kyiv awaits a
visit from American negotiators, Ukraine
is in a much stronger position. Although
the publication calls the chances of
peace in the near future minuscule, the
defense forces achievements in
long-range strikes offer grounds for
hope that Trump will support its
pressure on Russia. Journalists note
that the operation in Kursk was intended
to turn the tide in Ukraine's favor.
However, it ultimately ended in horrific
defeat, as the defense [music] forces
were forced to withdraw from the region.
Both military and civilians condemn the
operation as illogical and not worth the
losses, the publication notes. However,
according to journalists, Ukraine has
learned its lesson from this operation
and now has a new Trump card that
doesn't need to be seized, secured, or
defended. This Trump card is a campaign
of long-range strikes against Russia.
The publication sites data from the
independent monitoring center Aecold,
which noted that in July, the defense
forces carried out three times more
strikes against Russia than in January.
The publication notes that Russia may
declare partial mobilization after the
fall elections. And no matter how much
technological advantage Ukraine has in
long-range strikes, it won't generate
additional manpower, shoot down
ballistic [music] missiles, or prevent
Moscow from throwing ever more people
into the meat grinder.
However, according to journalists, this
very campaign could give Ukraine
leverage during the next meeting between
Zelensky and Trump, whether it involves
transferring additional Patriot
missiles, funding, or political support
to Kyiv.
>> [music]
>> Ukraine's long-range drones are striking
targets sometimes more than 2,500 km
inside Russia, reaching cities like
Moscow and St. Petersburg, across the
Ural Mountains and even into Siberia.
Their targets include oil refineries,
factories, and warehouses. While
long-range drones are not new to the
war, the scale of their use has changed.
Ukraine now produces its own one-way
attack drones by the hundreds, allowing
it to cut through red tape from Western
partners that once prevented it from
striking deep into Russia. When it began
ramping up such attacks [music] in
March, some Western allies urged
restraint. The US-Israel war on Iran had
already disrupted global energy markets,
and Ukraine's increasing attacks on
Russian energy infrastructure have
threatened to add further pressure.
>> [music]
>> Ukrainian officials began calling the
strikes long-range sanctions, a
tongue-in-cheek way of arguing that Kyiv
was enforcing, through drones, [music]
the economic pressure Western sanctions
had failed to deliver. The logic behind
this is that Russia's oil and gas
industry remains a critical source of
money for the state, accounting for
roughly 1/5 of federal budget revenues.
More recently, however, Ukraine's
long-range campaign has expanded beyond
oil and gas. Among its targets is
Wildberries, [music]
Russia's largest online retailer.
Ukraine says the company's marketplace
is used to sell dual-use goods, pointing
to listings for items including body
armor, military helmets, drone
components, and fiber optic cables used
in drones that kill Ukrainian soldiers
and civilians alike. 30% of all dual-use
or military goods are bought and sold by
Russia's Ministry of Defense through
Wildberries marketplace, Mykhailo
Podolyak, an advisor to Ukraine's
president, tells.