5 Things That Could Destroy America — Victor Davis Hanson | PBD Podcast #857
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
Victor Davis Hanson warns that the collapse of American power would precipitate global chaos, as the United States currently secures vital international chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz and the Suez Canal while protecting Europe from existential threats such as Russian aggression and terrorism. He contends that Europe is no longer a viable entity on its own due to demographic decline, energy issues, and immigration crises, making American stability essential for global order. However, Hanson identifies five specific factors threatening this stability, beginning with unchecked immigration where open borders allow illegal entry at levels that cannot be assimilated, particularly from failed states where immigrants may harbor anti-American ideologies. He further points to ideological shifts driven by unrealistic green energy mandates and a utopian pacifism that seeks to abolish the military while ignoring fundamental differences between civilizations, alongside an erosion of consensual government through attempts to dismantle constitutional checks and balances like packing the Supreme Court or abolishing the presidency.
The summary continues with Hanson's critique of therapeutic leftism, which he describes as the abandonment of civic education and Western heritage in favor of a multiculturalism that encourages self-criticism of the nation's founders while exempting wealthy, successful immigrants from criticism for dismantling American institutions. This is compounded by a society characterized by indulgence and moral decay, where affluence leads to a loss of work ethic and an acceptance of unearned benefits, creating a backlash against the system that once provided prosperity. Regarding the conflict with Iran, Hanson expresses disappointment that the U.S. has not pursued a decisive military strategy similar to Bill Clinton's successful bombing of Serbia in 1999, which involved destroying infrastructure to force capitulation. He argues that while Israel possesses the intelligence to target specific leaders and the ultimate solution is regime change, political calculations and fears regarding civilian casualties prevent such action, leaving the Iranian people as captives of their theocracy.
Despite acknowledging that the Iranian people deserve a different government, Hanson cautions that Western nations must avoid direct intervention or regime change due to Iran's unique traditions and sophisticated society, contrasting current restraint with historical actions like carpet bombing Germany and Japan during WWII. He notes that Iran leverages its "nothing to lose" status against Western powers who have much at stake, criticizing the Obama administration for empowering a Shia crescent intended to balance Israel and Gulf states through unfrozen assets and interest payments that enable groups responsible for significant terrorism. Instead of direct military force, Hanson asserts that economic coercion, freezing accounts, and ostracizing theocracy-linked individuals can inflict sustainable pain on Iran without harming normal operations, eventually reducing the nation to a 1920s-level existence that will cause internal unrest among the populace.
Hanson concludes by sharing his background as a farmer to emphasize that agriculture teaches flexibility, respect for uncontrollable forces, and the harsh reality of immediate consequences from bad decisions, contrasting these lessons with romanticized views often held by those disconnected from financial struggles and health issues linked to pesticides. He recommends reading essential literature such as the New Testament, Homer's Iliad, Thucydides' History of the Peloponnesian War, Dante's Inferno, and Conrad's Victory or Nostromo as vital for understanding human nature and religion, suggesting that these works provide the wisdom necessary to navigate the complex moral and political challenges facing the nation. Ultimately, his message underscores the need to preserve American strength and values against internal decay while pursuing pragmatic solutions to external threats without repeating the mistakes of past interventions.
Read the full video transcript
What happens to the world if America
falls?
>> It will be utter chaos.
For all the criticism of the left, they
don't quite understand that
>> they would be killed if there wasn't the
United States.
>> If you were to give a warning to actual
Americans, we have to be very wary about
taking people who were part of the
failed state. Ilian Omar, her father was
a colonel in Sed Bry's army responsible
for killing 200,000 people.
>> We saw what happened in UK. We saw
what's happening in EU. I'm not
optimistic about the future of Europe.
>> This is the future for Europe.
>> Illegal immigration at numbers you
cannot assimilate or integrate. The only
reason that they have survived major
existential terrorist threat in the
United States military. How do you
prevent the Islamification from taking
place in America? I mean, if you look at
Rasheed Talib or you look at Hassan
they have a desire to change the
system because they can't win within it.
>> The Supreme Court, obviously,
>> they hate the very system,
>> this entire system that birthed them.
>> They just making us more angry. You know
what that makes us do?
>> When we went into war, did you support
the decision? And two, now that we're
in, did you expect it to be at this
point? I never thought we were going to
start negotiating with a lunatic that
doesn't care about the welfare of its
own people.
>> How do you think this is?
>> I think that's where we leave them to
stew in their own Jews.
[cheering]
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opportunities for our current team that
we have. Thank you so much Mr. Victor
Davis Hansen. How are you?
>> Very good. Very good. Thank you for
having me.
>> Thanks for making the time for being
here. I've been following uh your
teaching for many many years. You're on
the list of mine of uh yourself, Thomas
Soul, Milton Freriedman. The amount of
wisdom you share is I think everybody
should consume more of your content and
it looks like millions are. So again,
thank you for your time. So thank you.
You know for somebody like yourself who
you got your PhD from Stanford, you love
farming, you've done a lot of different
things, senior fellow at Hoover
Institute, you you you very well read in
the history, you know, different things
that happened in America. Open-ended
question, what happens to the world if
America falls?
>> Well, it it it will be utter chaos. And
for all the criticism of the left, they
don't quite understand that the United
States is a disinterested player in
international finance. I know it has
things that favor it, but it doesn't
manipulate currencies like the Chinese.
It doesn't cheat on patents or
copyrights. It doesn't dump product
below the cost of production. And the US
military is the only reason why these
choke points whether it's the straight
of Hormuz, the Bosphorus, uh, Suez,
Gibralar, Panama Canal, they're open to
international commerce. If it would be a
war, a Hobsian war of everybody against
everybody if the United States was not
there. And the other thing to remember
very quickly is the Europeans for all
their occasional ankle biting
are not a viable entity anymore on their
own. They have immigration problems,
open borders problems, energy problems,
fertility problems,
um defense project problems. And since
World War II, the only reason that they
are that they survive the Russian
onslaught into Eastern Europe and the
only reason that uh they have survived
major existential terrorist threat is
the United States military.
>> [sighs and gasps]
>> So it would be a very and there would be
no way for people who objected to their
totalitarian governments. I don't know
where they would go. We have the largest
number of immigrants legal and illegal
and there some of that's problematic of
course but a lot of them are legal
immigrants and they agree with the
founding and the values of the United
States and they would they would be
killed or they'd be imprisoned if there
wasn't the United States. what what what
is the chance like what needs to happen
for America to fall and and I think some
of it is a lot of it is in our control
but if if if you were to give a warning
to actual Americans well these are the
five things that if we continue doing
America is going to fall and somebody
else is going to be the lead dog so what
does that look like if America does end
up falling well I think we have a good
example because we have a fellow western
paradigm in Europe and I'm I'm not
optimistic about the future of Europe so
the five things would be one open
borders and unchecked illegal
immigration but also legal immigration
at numbers you cannot assimilate or
culturate or integrate and we're seeing
all that already how it affects a
government in Britain or France or
Germany especially when people are
coming from let's be honest Islamic
countries and they don't feel they want
to acculturate through the melting pot
into their host country's u civilization
so illegal immigration and open borders
and then ideological
I would call it nealistic ideologies
such as that wind and solar are going to
power us um in the 21st and 26 second
century that's not demonstrabably true
and when people in Germany tried it it
almost destroy the German economy that's
a self-inflicted wound the third is
the idea that you tamper with what has
worked over 2500 100 years. By that I
mean the slow steady evolution of
constitutional consensual government and
we know now that a a prime minister-p
president an executive balanced
[clears throat] by a parliament whether
the US model of a two bicameal congress
or the European model of a parliament
checked again by an independent
judiciary is what makes um freedom and
liberty possible in the west. And and so
when you hear people that want to
eliminate the presidency or eliminate
the Senate or pack the court, um they
don't quite understand that that was the
norm. Uh that attack on consensual
government or that lack of the type of
consensual government that we have was
the norm before the United States and
Europe adopted this process dating back
to classical Greeks, the Roman Republic,
the Renaissance. So it was a tried
andrue method. That's another that's a
third. The fourth is utopian pacifism
that you want to and we're hearing that
now you want to abolish the Pentagon or
that we can um that we don't really have
existential differences with different
cultures or alternative civilizations
and diplomacy can work our way out of
it. I don't think whether we like it or
not the Roman idea that if you want
peace, prepare for war is classical
deterrence. deterrence is what keeps the
peace and that's important to remember
in a in a a western society. Finally,
our baines are not foreign. I don't
think necessarily they're going to be,
you know, barbarians crossing the t um
the rine and the danube in the fifth
century of the Roman Empire, which
happened. But it's this
problem in the west. It's not a problem,
it's our strength. But free market
capitalism when combined with consensual
government and freedom of speech creates
what the Romans called a luxus luxury
and people become soon become not just
self-critical which is our our strength
self-criticism but they come become
nealistically self-critical. They hate
the very system that birthed them. And
we're starting to see that on the left
that the more um people have freedom,
the more they have affluence,
the more they think they don't need to
work, the more they think they can take
things that they haven't earned, the
more that they can call for people to be
killed under. And so that creates an
indulgence and that always creates a
backlash and we have to be careful about
both. But I don't think the democratic
socialists to take one example
understand
that they think what they're saying is
new. But for every unhinged um
new uh reform so-called reform that
they're demanding, it's been tried
before somewhere in the world and it's
not worked
>> you know this. So out of the out of the
five you talk about one of them was
immigration. So, but we saw what
happened in UK. We saw what's happening
in EU. And what the best case study is
Poland. Lowest rape, lowest
unemployment, lowest. And they don't
allow anybody in.
>> Yes.
>> And we saw what's going on with the
Rubert Low report on UK, the 250,000,
87% Pakistani rape, gang, all the stuff
that was going on. But somebody may say
in America, but you know, when our
founding fathers started America, they
had freedom of speech. They had freedom
of religion, of course, free market. And
so what do you do if Islam grows here?
And we learned in uh Trump's
administration when he tried to push
voter ID in a 63 Supreme Court, they
still voted against it.
>> So to get that protection there. So if
eventually a Democrat takes over and say
a couple of the Supreme Court justices
step away and then it flips to the other
way around 63, they can really push the
envelope the other way even more. And so
based on the way our founding fathers
created the constitution, how do you
prevent the Islamification from taking
place in America?
Well, you have we have innate checks. So
we've had existential dangers in the
1930s.
there was an active communist movement
and that grew out of the great
depression and it intensified in the 19
uh during the war with our alliance with
the Soviet Union. And in fact, I'll give
you an example. We had a two billion
uh funded Manhattan project to create
the bombs. And we found out later that
scientists that were working in New
Mexico were sending the blueprints of
both the uranium and plutonium bomb.
when the Soviet Union had not invested
much but along with German physicists
that after the war it created a bomb
within four years after we did and that
that was a shock. How could that happen?
So what I'm getting at is as long as you
have a free press and we have podcasts
like this where people can be informed
and as long as you have an opposition
party and that's what the socialists
are. They understand that. So when they
say they want to destroy the Senate,
what they're saying is we want to
destroy that traditional check on mass
populist uh what the Greeks called
ocracy, the rule of the mob. We just
want the uh a huge House of
Representatives in maybe double the
number every 300,000 people get a and
then we want whatever they say will be
instant law without a Senate to veto it
or twothirds majority to override a
president and they want to get rid of
the presidency and have a committee. So
they understand what you're talking
about and they look at the present
system and they say,
"Well, we don't have the Supreme Court.
We don't have the White House. We don't
have the Senate. We don't have the House
and we're pulling 8020 7030 on all these
issues
>> and this isn't fair. So we want to open
the borders again, bring in a new
demography, and we have 54 million
people who weren't born in the United
States,
>> 16% of the population. They want to up
that. Not to bring in, you know,
immigrants that really help us and
believe in the American system, but
people who don't believe in the American
system and want to tear it down. And
we've seen a lot of that lately. And and
so they are they want to change the
system. They want to bring in two new
states for four senators. They want to
pack the court to 15. We haven't done
that since 1869. They want to uh get rid
of the electoral college in complete
ignorance about what the federalist
paper authors had shown us why it was
important to have it and um you could go
on and on but they have a a desire to
change the system because they can't win
within it and that that's sort of what
the Jacobins did in France during the
French Revolution and what the
Bolsheviks did in the Soviet Union. And
it's it's scary. So we have to have an
open a free press and we have to have
people to speak up and as long and we
have to have an alternate media. When
you have a media nexus that's joined at
the hip with government and you have a
permanent bureaucracy that's judge,
jury, and executioner. You got a real
problem. The founders never assumed that
we would have three million people
working in the federal government and
another 20 million working for state
governments. That was just something
they didn't they think and they also
thought that even though they were
deists many of them that is they were
not active Christians they did believe
that religion in this case predominantly
Christianity
would offer a moral break on excess but
they never dreamed I don't think that a
large number of the population would be
atheist agnostic or or hostile to
organized religion because They even
people like Washington or Madison or
Jefferson that didn't you know go to
church every Sunday and didn't pray
daily
they still believed in the principles of
Christianity to take that particular
religion and they still believed that it
was invaluable
invaluable that a moral people
uh could govern themselves. In other
words, there was a religious break or
religious restraint on their innate
desires which could become excessive and
dangerous. What what blind spots do you
think our founding fathers had when they
create I mean of course you can't create
a perfect perfect system. There's going
to be some leaks in it. Where were some
blind spots that they had? Meaning there
were issues that didn't even think about
back then that now we're dealing with
today.
>> Well,
they were modest people. So I don't
think
uh when they set up the constitution
and the amendments that followed
they didn't have any idea that it would
be so popular and I mean it in this
context the Spanish empire from this our
southern border to Chile and the
Caribbean to the degree it was run by
the French or the Spanish or the
Portuguese they had a they would not let
immigrants come into any of those
countries unless they were subjects of
the crown or they had special
dispensations as traders but they all
had to be Catholic
and so and it how that that didn't work
out well I don't think compared to ours
so ours was a innate in the constitution
was a bargain that said all men in the
declaration are created equal there's no
mention of race in the there's one
mention about three-fifth representation
for slaves in the in the census, but
it's not what us most people usually
think it is. But what I'm getting at,
there's no mention of a of an official
race or religion. So, they felt [gasps]
that there was going to be this free
market, this free system, and it was
open to the world and they were going to
form a city on the hill. And when they
founded the country, 94% of the people
were European. And that is they had a
shared if you were from Scotland or
Ireland or Britain or France or Germany
or Dutch and then later in the 19th
century if you came from Eastern Europe
they felt that people were coming
already with an experience of the
western tradition so they would be
easily assimilated into the American
people.
But I don't think they ever imagined
that we would be bringing people from
all over the world without audit,
without a culturation, without
assimilation, without integration.
And they would immediately um believe in
the constitution, the declaration rather
than attack the country almost. I mean
if you look at Rasheed Talib or you look
at Ilian Omar or you look at Zoron
Mandami or you look at El Say or you
look at Shioalier or you look at this
socialist in New York that people have
been talking about you or you look at
Hassan there is a there is a
similarity they're either first or
second generations which is fine but
they come from failed states which is
understandable to want to come the
United States but they're also very
wealthy that their parents are very
successful and yet as first or second
generation immigrants. They don't they
don't show a graciousness, a gratitude
to the host. They come over here and
they do very well. Um but they're
completely exempt from criticism. They
plug into DEI and then they try as much
as they can to dismantle the US system
and they're exempt from criticism. So if
I say, "Well, Mr. Mandami, don't give us
any more lectures about settler
colonialists. You came from the 1% the
1% of the Indian community in Uganda and
they controlled 65% of the wealth.
According to your own standards, you're
a settler colonialist. I would never say
that, but since he does all the time, he
should be aware of his contradictions. I
should say to Hassan you want to
confiscate wealth and all this. You
drive a Porsche, your parents are
multi-millionaires, you bought a a very
multi-million dollar home in Hollywood.
Or I could say to Ro Conor, you're
talking now about a wealth on attacks on
the wealthy, and you're driving this
socialist message, which you find
convenient all of a sudden. Your
father-in-law came over here, he made
250,000. Your kids have golf courses in
their name and your trust. Your wife
drives a
Range Rover, $180,000 car. You get the
picture that given that success and that
bounty, you don't think they would be
calling for the destruction of the
system of their adopted country that
gave them so much opportunity. And I
don't think the founders ever thought
that was going to happen. And it's a
result of the therapeutic left saying,
you know, we don't want to be too proud
about our achievements in the 1960s,
1970s. They abandoned civic education,
western culture, western heritage, and
they'd adopted this therapeutic,
you know, salad bowl rather than the
melting pot. So when when you're saying
that, that kind of a goes back to what
do you now do knowing these guys are
growing? In 1970,
5% of the American population was
immigrants.
>> Then you go 30 years later, it hits 8 n
10% and then today it's at 16%. if on
any leaders bulletin they're growing
they're winning and they're expanding in
different markets. So now uh uh you know
one could go back and study in the 20s
and 30s when immigration went up to 14
13% and then we brought it down to 5%.
But during that period of bringing it
down there had to be a unification of
people realizing it's the same problem
you know on both sides. And for the most
part the left and the right agreed on
some of the things being the same
problem. You don't have that today. So,
how what can a president do to slow this
down? What can a president do to slow it
down?
>> Well, I think Donald Trump I never
thought he could take 10,000 people
coming in illegally a day and get it to
zero. And he did. And that was I So I
Right now, at least for the near future,
we don't have a problem with new illegal
immigration. The problem is finding the
12 million people who came in illegally
and then what to do with the 30 million
who were here illegally.
But on immigration, I I don't think it's
chauvinistic. It's not racist. It's not
imperialistic. It's not nivist to just
to say at this stage of American
history, we're only going to take x
amount of people that we can assimilate
and culturate acculturate
and integrate. And it's going to be
easier for us if we are allowed to
select people who believe in the
American system. So we should uh I think
we should audit them, should have them
give a test to see if they have some
English fluency, some familiarity with
American institutions.
And I think we have to be very wary
about taking people who um not
dissident, not people who you know were
a dissident community within a failed
state, but people who were part of the
failed state. For example, Ilian Omar
for all her rhetoric and sharp criticism
of the United States and and Israel and
other places. Her father was a colonel
in Sahed Berry's army that was
responsible for killing 200,000 people
in the war between Somali and the
breakaway republic of Somali land. And
the reason they fled and thousands with
them to Minnesota wasn't because they
just picked America out of the hat. It
was because they lost that genocidal
campaign and their opponents were after
them. So they fled to the sanctuary of
the United States. And yet she gets here
and then she starts lecturing us on
fascism and white supremacy. And so I I
think you could say we want a temporary
hold on any immigration from Somalia
until we can audit these people. We
obviously can't given the mount the
staggering fraud. We need to be very
careful about uh people coming from the
West Bank or Gaza until we can audit
them. any any country that's uh at a
veritable war with the United States or
has uh it has people who don't believe
in the values of America and they're not
willing to
uh you know take a a citizenship exam or
visa exam or some way we can find out
who they are and I don't think I think
we always did that but the problem was
before you were bringing people who had
some experience uh not as rich as our
own but some experience with
constitutional government and the long
tradition of western values and they
were for the most part 95% Christian and
they came to a a 95% Christian country
but we the idea that you would bring
people from with another religion who
did not want to assimilate and whose
goal was to supplant Christianity with
Islam or with that the founders would
find that, you know, suicidal.
>> Yeah. But we're here now, right, to see
what's going to happen next? It's it's
it's going to be interesting. So, now
let's let's look at the war today. Iran,
>> US, Israel.
>> Uh, one, when we went into war, did you
support the decision that we went into
it? And two, now that we're in, did you
expect it to be here months later where
there seems to be a gridlock that the
president is now going and threatening
China to say you got to stop providing
support to Iran so we can suffocate Iran
more? Did you expect it to be at this
point?
No, I and I wrote uh on February 28th, I
thought that within about 90 days, the
US military with help from Israel, but
also with help, we forget that the Gulf
States have 600 late model combat
aircraft, they have double the number
that Israel has, the six Gulf states,
they have more than our permanentbased
combat uh forces in the region, not
counting our two carriers. So I thought
there would be this huge armada of 1,500
planes hitting all of these targets and
then they would after 6 weeks or 7 weeks
they would consult and say have we met
our goals of dismantling this nuclear
program. Have we attracted the military
such that it will not pose an
existential threat?
Yes. have we kept the sanctions and
blockades so they can't subsidize these
ring of fire terrorist Hezbollah Hamas
the Houthis and then they would leave a
carrier group like which is always in
the region to patrol the straits of
Hermuz and go home
>> and say we've pretty much done our job
and now this and we have the we have the
sanctions and the blockades on and I
think there they could have been much
stricter as we see now they're very
strict but we could have done that much
earlier. And then we would have said,
"We're going to let this awful theocracy
stew in its own juice." And when 93
million people come out of their
apartments and homes and this government
has a they see a wrecked half ccentury
investment, half a trillion dollars in
fact, in this militaryindustrial nuclear
complex. And then this theocracy still
wants to rebuild it and still wants to
give their precious money away. uh to
Arab terrorist in the Middle East that
that subversion we saw earlier would
increase and almost like the fall of the
Berlin Wall. We think the fall of the
Berlin Wall was the end of communism. It
wasn't. It took about a year for all the
Eastern Europeans to be liberated and
two years for the Soviet Union to fall.
But that mechanism would would be in
place as long as we kept the sanctions
and as long as we had enough naval
support to keep the straight open and
then I think uh we would have done that
4 months before the midterms and gas
would be normal. But I I never thought
we were going to stop
uh right at 38 days and start
negotiating with a lunatic unhinged
regime that is not attached to reality
and doesn't care about the welfare of
its own people. And uh I thought we
would help the dissident as well. Well,
I I I said that we should have a u
intermile
representing the different ethnic groups
and parties in Iran and we should not
talk to the theocracy at all. We should
talk to a government in waiting and just
deal with them and then turn over
Iranian frozen assets to them and then
they know best how with media and
propaganda and arming. They know best
how to weaken that regime and we could
offer our help but we should not go into
the country on the ground and we should
not talk fight talk talk fight endlessly
just hit them so that they can't hurt
anybody for a long time. Keep the
sanctions to bankrupt them and create
the conditions where they can't get
can't close the straight, can't get oil
out, can't get imports in and let the
people then
deal with them. Do do you think it do so
two-part question do you think it was
the right move to take out their supreme
leader because typically Trump's model
is he takes out the number two he took
out solemani but you don't go to the
main guy and take him out one do you
think it was the right move to take out
the supreme leader and number two do you
think that was Trump's plan or do you
think Israel got ahead and took him out
to keep Iran to keep us longer involved
in this war
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The more that I've talked to people, I
think it's a little bit more complex
than that.
I think the United States was very
worried because of the criticism he got
taking Solamani and Baghdaddy and Obama
got with his 500 assassination
uh drone missions on the Pakistani
border which he killed remember three
civilians who probably deserved it but
so there there's always been a
reluctance uh we use this euphemism
targeted assassination but really
talking about hitting hitting killing
somebody. So the United States, although
they did do a little bit, they divided
up, I think, on our initiative, they
said, "We're we're going to hit the
targets that we can see aerial, but we
don't have intelligence on the ground.
We don't know the intricacies of the
Iranians. We don't have the knowledge
that the Mossad does. We don't have um
any of that." So Israel said, "Well, we
can take out the first, second, and
third echelon of their leaders, but we
don't have the ability with B2 bombers
to hit the nuclear facilities. We don't
have um the wherewithal to um sustain
the bombing campaign. We don't have the
munitions. You do the heavy stuff and we
will do the selective targeting." And
that's where that happened. And I don't
think at this point
um it made any difference because I
think he's dead but they assume that
he's they're acting as if he's the
supreme dead but I think his son is too
but they assume that he is but
anytime you have chaos um that that your
enemy is in chaos it's a good thing. The
reason why we think it's a bad thing and
why you ask that question is Donald
Trump has a unique art of the deal
style. I mean once he killed Solomaini
the next day he said well the Iranians
kind of felt bad so I let them shoot
some missiles in an or they called me up
in advance and said lock down and that's
that's what happened that no other
president would have done that or when
they sent some missiles sent missiles
into the Gulf he said well they got to
get it out off their chest. So with him,
he's a transactional president. He
thinks he can always make a deal with
rational actors. And I'm not sure these
people are rational. So I think that
that's the problem that if we in a
normal way that we do business, knocking
out the entire leadership would create
chaos, but we we didn't care because
we're not going to negotiate with them.
We're going to inflict such military
damage unilaterally, they're not going
to be able to do anything. And by that I
mean we should have hit all the bridges
to China and Russia on rail from day
one. We should have taken out their
airports on day two. And we should have
had the economic sanctions of freezing
bank accounts, embargos, blockades on
day three. When Bill Clinton said he
wanted to bomb Serbia again without
congressional authorization
with NATO, US flew 85% of the missions
to extreme criticism. Russia was very
angry at us. We had a lot of people on
the right who were opposed. Our allies
like the Greeks were very upset. He It
was a complete failure for 55 days. And
then they said to Clinton, "You're going
to have to hit dual use targets." So he
said, "Oh my god, what do I have to do?"
And they said, "You're going to have to
take out every bridge on the Danube."
And he did. And it weakened Melovich.
And then they came back about 2 weeks
later and they said, "You got to get
more." And he said, "What? You got to
take out the power grid. don't destroy
the generators, just magnesium bombs,
chaff, whatever you have to do. So, they
blacked out. And we did that for another
what, two weeks, and on days 78 or nine,
they capitulated. I don't know why we
didn't follow that Clinton model. It
would have been much more successful, I
think.
>> So, so then doesn't that u doesn't show
a contradiction? If you go that strong
and then you want to negotiate, what
makes you think they're going to be
negotiating truthfully? What makes you
think they're going to be honest
players? But
>> they're not going to they're not going
to be negot they're never going to be
negotiating truthfully. They're going to
be negotiating either without
desperation or with desperation. And
what I'm getting at is he did not
inflict enough military and economic and
physical pain on that regime for them to
cease what they were doing. And that was
making a bomb, trying to disrupt the
straight of your moves, sending missiles
into the Gulf and um
funding all of these Arab terrorist
groups. He did with the Houthis because
the Israelis did too. They said if you
keep doing it and they took out their
port facilities, they hit one of their
airways and then they gave him a list of
targets. And so far the Houthies haven't
been attacking us as they did under
Biden. So I I think if he had inflicted
that type of pain,
then I think we wouldn't have
negotiated. we would have just said,
"This is what we want from you, and if
you don't want to do it, we're going to
inflict a a level of pain that's going
to cost you trillions of dollars to
recover, and your own people are not
going to like the way you choose to
recover and divert funds. And we're
going to help them uh find freedom and
we'll just tell and then basically, you
can't open the straight. You can't have
commerce. We don't want to get near you.
We don't want to get on the ground. see
you. Wouldn't want to be you. And that's
and months before the midterm. Everybody
says it's cynical that Trump
um
is got the midterms and he keeps denying
it. But it's not cynical because if he
loses the House and Senate, his MAGA
counterrevolution is essentially over
with. It's going to be like Obama
executive orders. And Obama the last
year of his his eight years, he just
spent it on the golf course. He was a
non- entity. And Trump is trying to wage
a multiaceted counterrevolution on
economic, cultural, civilizational,
social, military, political
realms. And if he can't get a maintain
majority and history says it's going to
be very hard, 39 out of the last 41
elections
>> and he's he's got the lowest approval
rating right now since 2017. 33 whatever
the numbers just came back. And so
that's going into the midterm. But just
to isolate one of the questions
>> based on what you said, you said we
don't have that kind of intel. MSAD
does. So it's fair to say if anybody did
approve to take out the Supreme Leader
Kame, it wouldn't have been Trump, it
would have been Israel. Is that a fair
assessment or no? [clears throat]
>> It is. If if you allow some latitude, if
the scenario went like this,
the Israelis went to Trump and said, "We
know who their leadership is, military,
theocratic, Islamic Revolutionary Guard,
and taking them out will help disrupt
that regime."
And but we don't have the wherewithal to
hit their nuclear facilities. we don't
have the type of heavy aircraft that you
do. So why don't we have a um division
of labor? And Trump would say yes with a
full knowledge what they were doing.
Yes. And he would think that would aid
his task of disrupting command and
control. And that's not to say the
Israelis did not take out conventional
targets. They did. And it's not to say
that we didn't hit some people. We did.
But I think there was a concession to
the Israelis who had a lot more
intelligence of who was actually running
things, where they lived, who they were,
where they traveled.
>> But do you think there was a
conversation to say, "Mr. Trump,
President Trump, are we good? Are we on
the same page if we take out their
supreme leader?" Because there's nothing
above it. That's not number two.
>> That's their supreme leader. Yes. Do you
think there was a concession or an
agreement to say, "Are we good taking
him out?" And the president said, "Yes.
I think yeah I I but I don't I don't
know if he said you take them out or
we're going to take them out. I think
the answer was we're going to hit these
military targets which include command
and control and he's not exempt. So I
don't think they you know what I mean
they obviously when they hit that big
compound right in the middle of Tran
they knew that there were top people
there and they kept hitting them. And I
think that was the American approach. I
think the Israeli approach was this
particular person is going to work in
this particular building and we know him
and he lives at this particular address.
I don't think we had that level of of
knowledge, but we didn't have the rough
idea that where they live. So I don't
know who actually killed him or killed
which particular command and control,
but it was done with the knowledge or
the aid of the United States obviously.
>> Yeah. The only reason I'm asking that
question, the purpose, the motive behind
that question is if you killed the
supreme leader and you did it
intentionally and you approved it, you
can a logical player cannot say, "Well,
now let's go and negotiate." Those two
don't go together. If you kill our hero,
our second to God, whatever my religion
is, you kill him. Vengeance is
permanent. That vengeance is not going
to go away. So you better put us out
instead of just come back and say let's
do a memorandic of understanding. Those
contradict each other. That's what I'm
asking. So we we did that. I mean we
were knowledgeable all during World War
II. The OSS
and M5, the British intelligence were
sending people in to Europe to kill
their top leaders. So they killed
Reinhardt and east. He was the proconsul
of most of Eastern southern eastern
Europe and they killed him the checks
killed him on the directive of the
British intelligence. We killed the the
most beloved senior commander in the
Japanese military, Admiral Yamamoto. We
knew we got intelligence where he was.
We sent P38s on long distance and we
shot him down and killed him. And
>> respectfully, this is a religious
leader. This is supreme leader. This is
like this is like somebody killing the
pope. This is like somebody coming out
and taking out the pope and you're going
to war against Catholics. I mean
>> Yeah. But you have to remember there at
the time he was killed there was a
Pakistani national who was on trial uh
for a plot to kill Donald Trump. And we
know now the Iranians for a long time
have tried to kill Trump. And this came
this came after three three attempts. I
mean, we've had, if you count the one in
Florida and you count the one in
Washington, excuse me, if you count the
one that went into Mara Lago and was
killed and you count the person at the
DC uh White House correspondents and
then you count uh you count the Palm
Beach and you count the Pennsylvania,
there were four, it's the first time in
American history when four people had
had shots exchanged with the Secret
Service. So this was he was a big target
and we know in addition to those there
were attempts and the Iranian government
made no they they were talking before we
were bombing that we were they were
going to kill Trump for solainy they put
a hit out on Mike Pompeo John Bolton and
Donald Trump and that was that was free
everybody and they would have done that
had they got
>> but respectfully that's not my question
my question is this my question is if
you're approvening to take out the
supreme leader.
There's no way you can think let's come
and negotiate now. You're only doing
that because you want regime change.
You're only doing that because you want
to topple the regime. You won't do that
because it's now let's come and talk to
you about what we can do. Don't you
think?
Well, if your question is what is the
ultimate solution
that 93 million people who have a
illustrious history in Iran and prior to
the theocracy were a stabilizing force
in the region and have pro-western
sympathies innately
and have been hijacked for 50 years by
this odious regime and you're trying to
deal with it. You're trying to corral
it. Seven presidents said that it had to
they couldn't have a nuclear weapon.
Seven presidents have tried in vain to
weaken it except for Obama perhaps. And
the ultimate and only solution is regime
change. You're right about that. But why
didn't he say from the beginning he
wanted that? Because we'd had a 20-year
misadventure in Afghanistan. We'd had a
10-year misadventure in Iraq. uh the
Clinton uh the Obama administration had
bombed for seven months and removed
Gaddafi and what happened it turned into
an utter mess. So there the consensus
not just in the Trump administration but
by partisan in Washington is we do a lot
of things very well but one thing we
don't do is go into the Middle East, get
on the ground and nation build. It just
doesn't work. So we're not going to try
that. We're not even going to profess
that we want the regime change. But deep
down in their hearts they knew that all
the other methods were five or 10ear
solutions but not ultimate solutions.
The ultimate solution is to remove that
odious regime.
>> Okay. Okay. So then if that's the case,
so now the basic innocent question is so
how is it possible that Iran is able to
stand against Israel that is
historically we always hear how amazing
their military is, how amazing their
intel is, how amazing their air force
is, is able to stand against the six
Gulf states that are now united let's
just say with US and with Israel and the
600 you know and US as known as the
greatest military in the world. How is
Iran who is ran by these folks, these
extremists, how are they able to stand
up to all of these countries combined
together? How public opinion? I mean, do
you really believe that the United
States military if they said destroy the
Iranian regime and destroy Iran as a
they couldn't do it in a week? They
could do it in 5 days. They could they
could send 2500. They could get we have
11 carriers. They could send six, park
them right off the Persian Gulf and they
could obliterate Iran as a modern nation
and send it back to the stone age and
Israel could do it in six weeks. And the
Gulf states could probably now after
it's been a try to do it in a month. But
the reason they don't are political
calculations. The Gulf States,
they feel, well, we can't account for
every missile. One missile can hit a
distillery or water. We wouldn't have
water. Their own fears repress them. In
the case of Israel,
uh they're afraid that if they were to
do that, they would lose all of the
support of the United States. And the
Trump administration knows that he's got
public opinion and half the country or
more than that would not approve of that
type of an annihilation. And especially
when you put into the I don't think
we're talking about the elephant in the
room. The elephant in the room is the
United States doesn't believe that the
Iranian people are culpable. They
believe that they're captive. And you
can argue, well, if they're captive, 50
years should have given them. Well, it's
not that easy because they murdered 40,
50,000 of them without even blinking an
eye. So in the American way of thinking,
every target, and I know this for a fact
because I've talked to people in the
military, every target was evaluated on
the following criteria. Will this hurt
the America, the Iranian people to the
degree we'll have starvation or illness,
pandemics, or uh their ability if
they throw the regime out not to have a
a good recovery. If it does, let's not
take out this bridge. Let's not take out
this power grid tomorrow. We could
ensure that the theocracy was in
darkness without and we could ensure
there wasn't one drop of gasoline. We
could bomb every gasoline distillery. We
could blow up Car Island in 24 hours.
But we don't do that. And why we don't
do it, it's not because we're bought off
or there's conspiracy theories. We
really do believe that the Iranian
people deserve a different government.
And that government we hope would solve
the problem. It's not that we're going
to go in and build it or try to do what
we did in Afghanistan or Iraq. We're
just saying the Iranian people are
different. They have a different
tradition than other Middle East
countries. They're very sophisticated.
Uh we had good relations with them. We
have a large expatriate loyal patriotic
community in the United States. So let's
try to re remove the problem of that
theocracy without the without hurting
the their their ability to have a
consensual government. And that's a very
hard thing to do. We didn't do that in
World War II. The idea was the German
people, even though they're our second
largest minority in the United States in
1941, we're going to bomb
carpet bomb. Same thing with the
Japanese. If they're if they're in Tokyo
and they're building propellers and
their homes at night, we're going to
burn down Tokyo. Same thing in Vietnam.
Same thing in North Korea during the
Korean War. But we don't do that now.
And I'm that that's a decision that was
taken. So then doesn't doesn't the
leverage there? It's it's almost like,
you know, a bunch of uh married husband
and wife couples go out with kids, and
one of their friends shows up who's
single, just got fired, doesn't have a
penny to his name, doesn't have kids,
doesn't have a girlfriend, mom and dad
are not alive, no siblings, nothing. And
they go out, he he acts like a fool, and
he starts a fight. And the other guys
are like, "Well, I I can't afford to
fight because if I fight, got I got a
wife, I got kids, I have to make the
right." No, let's just go and take them
out. So, doesn't this almost say that
Iran has the leverage because they have
nothing to lose and everybody else has
so much to lose. So, Iran's going to
play the waiting game. They're just
going to sit there and say, "Let's wait
for Trump to be out."
>> That's what they think. Well, I don't
think you have to speculate. They said
that explicitly. They're waiting till
another Obama-like administration that's
pro- Iranian and pro- Iranian theocracy.
Remember Obama's idea of the Middle East
was the Shia Persian minority has been
the underdog and it needs some community
organizing. So I want to form a allow to
be formed a Shia crescent with the
Assads in Syria, the Shia in Iran, the
Hezbollah people in Lebanon, the
Houthis, and that will balance out
Israel and the Gulf States and creative
tension. And every once in a while, I'll
adjudicate that. But I feel that this
group has been uh the victims of
oppression by the Sunni Arab majority
and the Israelis. That's Obama believed
that
>> and that's part of our problem today.
And he empowered that. He he's he
delivered 400
million dollars at night on pallets and
more than that in some cases
cash. He unfroze all of their assets. He
he paid interest on the money that we
had frozen. They they they had killed
over 1,600 people with shape charges in
Iraq and Afghanistan and they were
behind about 50% of the terrorist acts
in Europe. So we had ground they blew up
blew our troops up in Lebanon. They blew
up the Ber Beirut embassy. They were
behind some of the bombings uh USS Cole.
They were behind some of the bombings in
our African embassies. They had a lot of
culpability. And so uh yes, if your
question is has western restraint or the
use of western restraint on other
entities
made it very difficult. Yes. Because we
haven't we haven't wanted to inflict a
level of punishment and pain on that
theocracy because it can't be
distinguished
by design on their part from the Iranian
people we want to help. How do you think
this ends?
>> How do you think this ends?
>> I think I think it ends favorably. I
think what we're going to see is Basant
and Trump and Rubio are going to get
together and they're going to say, "How
can we function at pre-war in terms of
political power, price of gas, the
economy,
and put and still inflict a level of
pain on them that doesn't hurt our
normal operations?" And they're going,
in other words, how do we make it, how
do we make the destruction of the
theocracies a status quo everyday event
that will culminate successfully without
impuging or impinging or doing damaging
our political apparat.
So now they're saying they're not going
to send any rail out. They're not going
to send any ship, nor is any rail, nor
missiles, nor anything's coming in.
Nothing's coming in, nothing's coming
out. And no Iranian, no matter how
wealthy he is with the theocracy, is
going to have a mansion in London. We're
freezing all of those accounts. We're
freezing them in the United States. And
we have a list of people that are
completely ostracized from the Western
world. And then we're going to the
Europeans and saying, you know what, if
you want to keep doing this, we're not
we're going to free we're not going to
uh deal with you either. And that's a
pretty powerful message we sent. And I
think that level of economic coercion
and it can be done now because we did
the hard lifting of destroying their
military essentially.
And I don't know what they're going to
do. But the I guess the alternative for
them is to live at about a 1920s level
add infan item. And I don't think the
people again are going to put up with
that. At some point they're going to
say, "I don't have anything to lose.
We're we're back in the medieval period.
We're going to and who did this to us?
This theocracy and what do I care about
the Houthis and what do I care about,
you know, Israel and Hamas? It's none of
my business. I don't care about any of
that. I just want to eat and I want gas
and we're a naturally rich and these
people did it to us."
>> And I think that's where we leave them
to stew in their own juice.
>> Hopefully you're right. Hopefully you're
right.
>> I hope so. I'm not I mean nobody's been
accurate [laughter] but
>> you know my Tucker Carlson said it would
be World War III and on one end and then
we had other people saying uh it's going
to be over in two weeks. So
>> yeah. Yeah. So I I think we're in a good
position now once we finally saw that we
have to go back to standard operating
procedure, normal business, and can
still level a still inflict a level of
pain on that theocracy that's not
sustainable.
>> But we are sustainable. We're going to
be sustainable
with our economy and our military and
they're not. And it's just a matter of
time.
>> Let's see what happens.
>> They can sort let's see what happens.
Let's see what happens. So you you
earned your PhD in classics and then you
from Stanford and then you decided to go
back to farming
>> and you you worked as a farmer you know
some people know that some people don't
you even I think even one time you were
trying to get into academia they didn't
believe that you had a PhD dressed as a
farmer they made you go back and get
your degree and come back which is a
great story but do you think being a
farmer makes you a conservative and I
don't mean politically I just mean a
conservative because a bad idea can last
in academia for 30 years but a bad idea
cannot last on a farm for a day or two.
>> Yeah, I'm I'm speaking from my farm
today. Yeah, I I farm full-time
uh myself with my brother for six years
and then five years and then I did it
while I was a professor for another 10
with my brother and cousin. Yeah. I I I
mean, you can talk all we've been
talking about all this, but if I said to
you,
uh, should I pick a Santa Rosa plum crop
when it's 90% ripe, 80% ripe, 100% ripe,
110%, any of those decisions,
there's a right decision, but you don't
have enough information
>> to know which one is right at that
particular time. But if you make the
wrong decision, you lose $70,000 of
borrowed money. And then you have to
tell your family, I'm sorry, you can't
have braces on your teeth. And so
there's immediate consequences. And so
what what it develops in your mind is
you're flexible. You and you understand
there's forces in the world you can't
control. And it's a tragic world. It's
not a therapeutic world. And you can see
people who are not talented sometimes
thrive and sometimes the race doesn't go
to the swift. So you get you get a
resignation. It doesn't mean you quit or
anything, but when I look at farmers and
I see every single day the money goes
out for insurance and maintenance and
pesticides and energy and nothing comes
in until the crop is harvested
>> and then there's labor and weather and
volatile markets and mechanical
breakdown. I don't know how they make
it. I I've the funny thing is after I
left I I mean I still have 40 acres here
but and I rent it out but the more that
I look back at my full-time farming and
more that I see people farming I have
enormous respect for farmers above
anybody else. I don't know how they do
it.
>> Why why is it such an emotional thing?
Why is it that every time I listen to
Paul Harvey tell the story so God made a
farmer? Why why is that so why is
farming so
>> because they live on the land and not
all the cor corporate doesn't but most
people traditionally had lived on the
land so and it's generation after
generation so I'm speaking in the house
right now that I remodeled this was a a
manger and there were horses that my
grandfather had in here and over here on
my right right here was where they put
the hay. So, this building was built in
1878 by his grandfather.
So, I'm the fifth generation to live
here. My children, if they want to live
here, will be the sixth. And wow.
>> Every every time I walk around, I see
things, you know, I'll see if I'm
digging out by a tree, I see a
horseshoe, and I think, was that Cyrus
Davis's
>> or was that Wendle Davis? Who put And
then I'll see something. And it reminds
me uh we I the barn was about ready to
fall and I replaced some it but it was
built with eucalyptus poles in 1880. And
then I remember all these people carved
their name in it and I remembered them.
And then as a boy I was up on a ladder
trying to fix the barn. I said gosh I
remember when I was 5 years old a
barnell got trapped right here and
flapped his wings and couldn't get out
and died right when I replacing this. So
the whole thing is memory and and
tradition and shame and honor and all
these ancient ideas and uh it's not
about money. It's about a way of life
and um unfortunately if you don't
understand it is about money and maybe
it should be but romantic farmers
everybody's romantic but the the
dividing line between those who go broke
and those who endure the ones who check
romance and have to make tough market
decision.
>> Yeah. And you see that they're going
through a lot of challenging times right
now. Bankruptcyy's being up. Suicide is
up three and a half times the average
person.
>> Yeah. I I I saw when the raisin market
collapsed
in 1983, the price went from $1,400 to
$400. And I saw the ditch tender shoot
himself. I I mean, he he killed himself.
And but one of my best [clears throat]
friends who was a raisin farmer. He put
a noose around his neck from his garage.
He closed the door. He let the the truck
exhaust go on. He he took sleeping
pills. And then he shot himself all at
once.
>> Wow.
>> So he and I it was a pretty bad time.
And I'm speaking on 40 acres. We used to
have 185 acres and my twin brother and
cousin lost it. And it wasn't their
fault.
It was just the market conditions were
globalization, you know. It was just it
was tragic and their lives were never
the same. And it's I it's a lot of
tragedy. I mean, I I asked myself, we
have pesticides. We were told in the 60s
and 70s when I grew up, they're
perfectly safe.
>> My mom, who lived here, died of brain
cancer. My daughter, who lived here,
died of uh leukemia at 26.
>> My sister-in-law died of leukemia at 48.
And I have lung cancer. So, I've never
smoked a cigarette or used drugs or
drank. So, it's it's it's a very
complex, you know, a lot of stuff going
on.
>> Yeah. Some of these questions you won't
get the answer to for
>> Yeah.
>> Well, anyway, I hope I haven't gone on
too long.
>> No, you this was I can't I can't finish
it off without asking you. Last
question. If there's five books you
recommend, you you're a very well- read
person. Five books that one must read,
what would those five books be?
I believe that the New Testament is and
I've taught it in Greek many
[clears throat] times. So the the
Gospels especially, I would recommend
that. I would recommend of all of
ancient literature uh Homer's Iliad and
Thusidity's history of the Pelpeneisian
War.
I think everybody Dante's inferno or the
divine comedy would be I think that's a
brilliant exposition of human nature
religion consequences and then I would
read a great novel and one of the
greatest novels I think is
Conrad's victory that or nostrommo
either one of them so those are just
arbitrary but those are the ones I would
recommend fantastic sir you have to know
this from me to you. Men like me look up
to you. We respect your wisdom. We
respect the content you share with the
rest of us. And I know sometimes you do
your thing and I'm sure you hear this
from a lot of different people. Your
work is heard and is making an impact
around the world. Thank you so much for
your service. And thank you for your
time.
>> Well, thank you for having me. I
appreciate it.
>> Anytime. Have a good one. Take care.
Bye-bye.
>> Thank you.
>> Handmade in Portugal, where
craftsmanship is a way of life for those
who move through life differently. From
sunlit decks to nights that never need
an occasion. Every detail [music] is
considered. Every step effortless.
Crafted from fine suede and built with
builder technology. [music]
Designed to move with you. Because true
luxury isn't about being noticed. It's
about how you feel when you arrive. The
FLB Icon loafer. [music]
Made for the life you've earned.
>> [music]