Video summary
The video begins with an overview of recent market conditions where major US indices like the Dow, S&P 500, and NASDAQ experienced slight declines despite some volatility in oil prices and a low VIX index. The host then shifts focus to analyzing five specific stocks that reported earnings recently, highlighting how investor sentiment is often driven by forward-looking guidance rather than just current results. A standout performer discussed first is CoreWeave, which saw its stock surge over 15% following a double beat in both EPS and revenue against expectations. The company also provided strong guidance for the third quarter and raised its full-year sales forecast significantly, prompting the host to look for potential pullbacks near specific price levels as opportunities to enter positions on this highly anticipated AI infrastructure play.
Next, the analysis covers Super Micro Computer (SMCI), which rallied despite missing revenue estimates due to a broader market miss in that sector; however, the stock's upward momentum was fueled by exceptional earnings per share and robust future guidance for Q1 2026 sales ranging between $14.5 billion and $15.5 billion. The host notes that while personal trust in the company remains cautious given its history of volatility, the market is clearly pricing in these optimistic projections which extend net sales expectations well into 2027. Following this, Lumentum received a positive reception after achieving another double beat on earnings and revenue, leading to a recovery from previous downtrends as technical indicators like moving averages turned bullish with potential cup-and-handle patterns forming, signaling renewed momentum for the semiconductor component manufacturer.
The fourth stock highlighted is Ivita Solutions (IVDA), an AI surveillance company that integrates advanced analytics into existing camera infrastructure without requiring new hardware installation. The host details how their GenAI-powered system can scale across thousands of cameras to detect critical events in real-time and offers diverse applications ranging from security and perimeter protection to senior care monitoring through a specialized app called Ivita Care. Furthermore, the company has made significant strategic moves by establishing operations in Madrid for its European expansion and securing partnerships that align with EU AI Act readiness, positioning it well within Europe's growing intelligence industry while also introducing innovative products like smart drones for aerial patrols.
Finally, the video concludes with a look at Cava restaurant stock, which experienced a sharp 15% post-market rally after reporting solid earnings where same-store sales increased by 9%. Although the host expresses personal hesitation about investing in fast-casual dining chains due to their cyclical nature and current market performance, they acknowledge that Cava successfully beat expectations on both EPS and revenue. The stock is currently trading within a long-term consolidation channel rather than breaking out fully, though it remains up significantly after earnings. Overall, the video emphasizes how these five companies represent various sectors from AI infrastructure and surveillance to consumer dining, each reacting differently based on their specific financial reports and future outlooks for investors to consider carefully.
Read the full video transcript
How's it going guys? Stas here. Welcome
back to another video. So, we have five
companies today. Five stocks to break
down. I'm pretty sure what four of
these? Yeah, four of these reported
earnings. So, we're going to break down
some earnings, the charts, where my
head's at on these stocks, on these
companies, and we're going to dive
deeper into this one stock I'm watching
very closely right now. So, guys, let's
dive into it. Hit the like button, make
sure to subscribe, do all that good
stuff. And with that being said, let's
dive right into the video. And overall
the indices today guys were all over the
place. A little red, a little green, the
Russell actually went up a little bit,
but all the other major indices in the
US guys, the Dow, the S&P, the NASDAQ,
those were down on the day. Not too bad,
but they were down about.3 to point4% on
uh the S&P down, the NASDAQ. And with
that being said, we're not going to dive
too deep into the indices. Not a crazy
day. uh you know overall maybe oil did
go up a little bit. The VIX went down a
little bit. It's at 15 so pretty low uh
for the VIX. I don't want to spend too
much time on that because we have
earnings to break down. And this company
I'm watching very closely which we'll
talk more about here in a couple of
minutes. So Coree ended up reporting
earnings and guys did you see the pop?
It is up to $103 in the aftermarket
after closing at $90 per share. So
percentage- wise, we're up around 15 to
16% in the aftermarket. And this is
after they reported pretty good
earnings, pretty strong guidance. So
they reported a loss of a$13 adjusted
EPS, which beat the loss of $1.22
expected on revenue. Let's see, 2.57
billion versus 2.56
expected. So, double beat out of
coreweave. And when it comes to
guidance, I'm pretty sure I just saw it.
They see Q3 sales of 3.45 to 3.6 billion
versus 3.42
expected. So, they beat EPS, beat
revenue. They guided up for Q3. And it
looks like they raised their fullear 26
sales from 12 to 13 billion now to 12.4
to 13.2 2 billion versus 12.62
expected. So very good guidance for Q3
for the full year. Double beat for
coreweave and the stock is popping and I
was I was close to actually adding some
core for a trade but I was like ah let
me wait till after earnings and now it's
popping. I like it. So on any pullback
here I'm looking to enter coreweave. My
alerts at 95. It didn't trigger uh
because well the uh the market's not
open yet, but we're well above that now.
I'm going to be looking for a pullback
anywhere to 95 98 and I think we could
potentially get that um in the coming
days here, maybe tomorrow. Who knows,
right? That's what I'm watching out for
on that type of a report. Good guidance.
I love it. And we also got earnings out
of SMCI. This stock closed at 3160. Now
it's up to $34 in the aftermarket. And
we actually got the 3510 an 11% pop for
super micro computer. This company
reported earnings per share. Let me see
if I can find it down here guys. Of
a $1.70 that beat the 62 estimate that
killed the 62 estimate as sales came in
at 11.12 billion missing the 12.33
billion estimate. So, not great, you
know, not great sales out of uh out of
SMCI with that miss, but they did beat
EPS and their guidance was very good,
which is why the stocks going up. And
listen, stocks are forward-looking
vehicles. Their Q1 gap EPS guidance is
88 to 98 versus the 46 estimate. And for
Q1, they're guiding for sales, get this
guys, get this, of 14.5 to$15.5 billion
versus the 12 billion estimate. This is
why the stock's going up. And they
expect 2027 net sales, the range to be
between 65 and $72 billion versus the
$53 billion estimate. So again, stocks
are forward looking. That's why we're
uh, you know, jumping like this. And
honestly, I don't trust this company too
much. But this could continue on that
big of a beat and you know that awesome
of guidance, you know what I mean? So my
alerts at $35 on SMCI. That's a big
resistance. We're not above it yet. We
uh we tested it. We got hit. If that's
able to break, though, this could go
higher. And we also got numbers out of
Lum ticker LI. This stock's up a little
bit. Not much. About a couple percentage
points. pretty good. Yeah, about 3% in
the aftermarket. It's trading at 8.45
right now. Let's see. Earnings came in
at Adjusted EPS for or no, that's the
guidance. $323. That beat the 297
estimate on sales of a billion, guys,
versus $987 million. So, very nice
double beat out of Lmentum. And they see
Q1 adjusted EPS of 405 to 435 versus 361
expected on sales of 1.22 to 1.27 versus
1.15 billion. So very good guidance out
of Lmentum double beat. It makes sense
why the stock's going up after being
down a good chunk over the last couple
of months. Now it's starting to gain
some momentum again. We're back over
these moving averages. golden cross
where, you know, we're seeing a cup and
handle potentially starting to play out.
This looks strong. I like it. I'm not in
momentum. I've been trading coherent all
year. I'm in GLW right now. Uh but, you
know, it's one that I'm watching
closely. Another one I'm watching here,
guys, is Ivita Solutions, ticker IVDA on
the NASDAQ, which I believe we talked
about a couple of weeks ago, and this
part of the video is on their behalf.
And listen, this company is doing a lot
when it comes to AI surveillance, and I
want to break down what I'm looking at
here. So again, IVDA on the NASDAQ, and
they're essentially making your existing
cameras. Think about the cameras you see
on the street, right? Whether you know
you're in the bank, hospital, whatever.
Think about those cameras. They're
making those existing cameras smarter,
the systems smarter. And essentially
guys, their AI IVA AI integrates easily
with these cameras, right, and your
existing infrastructure. And it uses a
Gentic AI powered setup, right? A setup
to deploy access quickly across 10, 100,
or even 10,000 cameras, right? So, it's
built to scale and instead of simply
watching, right, your cameras can now
detect what matters and trigger action
in real time. And it's powered by over
30 advanced AI analytics, instant
alerts, and sub2section forensic search
and more. And it delivers real time
alerts that enable immediate meaningful
action from video surveillance data. And
you guys can see here some of the data.
And listen guys, it's a complete
security solution from parking
management, right? Perimeter solution,
risk mitigation, investigation,
access control, right, across the board
here. And when we're looking at the
overall global surveillance market,
right, get this, that's projected to
reach over $144 billion by 2027.
And this company, what they're doing is
extremely scalable with Ivita AI. Again,
whether you have, you know, 10, 100
cameras, a,000, 10,000, this is
scalable, which is why I like this
company right now. And I'm watching it
and I've been doing more research into
it. And they have other products because
this use case can be used in other
industries, right? Like Ivita Care.
Listen to this. It's all about
protecting your loved ones. Ivita Care
can be installed in all private living
areas as a cameraless private solution
to securing seniors living quarters. And
through their Ivas AI backed Ivita care
mobile app, seniors and their family
circle can actually track activity and
set up who will be alerted of possible
falls, abnormal behavior, and even for
check-ins or medicine reminders. And
Ivita Care includes a suite of
additional sensors for even greater
care. So this is key to the technology.
And beyond that, they have UMass AR,
which is a powerful machine learning
software that actually leverages
pre-existing hardware to eliminate
biases and risks to empower better
decision making across your
organization. And the Ivida smart drone.
This cloud connected drone is well
integrated with IVA's advanced center
video surveillance and Ivita AI's
powerful analytics. And from aerial
patrols to mission critical tasks, the
Ivita smart drone is ready to take your
operations to new heights, right? And we
can see this and you can learn more
about this on their investor relations
page. And of course, I'll leave a link
down below. Check it out, guys. And we
just got some news regarding IVID as
they led the way in the EU AI act
readiness for Europe's $18 billion
intelligence industry. So a couple days
ago, the company announced the
completion of a comprehensive European
Union artificial intelligence act
readiness initiative, right? Positioning
Ivita AI for continued responsible
deployment as as the company expands
across Europe. This is key guys. And the
initiative combines a documented risk
classification assessment with an
extensive governance framework
addressing human oversight,
transparency, data protection, AI
fairness, prohibited uses, and ongoing
life cycle management. And again, when
it comes to their expansion in Europe,
this is massive news as well. The
company recently established Ivita Spain
and Madrid as its first European
operations center and centered into a
strategic partnership with Premium, a
leading provider of converge security
and workforce management solutions
serving approximately 5,000 customers
worldwide. And this company needs to
expand and they're doing that. They're
making the moves. I like this piece of
news. So again, Ivita Solutions, IVDA on
the NASDAQ. Add them to your watch list.
Now, let's continue on. Let's talk about
Cava. Cava's popping like crazy right
now on the aftermarket, guys. A lot of
these stocks are moving today in this
video, man. Not bad. Not bad. After
earnings, um, this stock closed at $61
pretty much, and it got all the way to
70, 15% pop. Now it's trading. It cooled
off a bit, but it's still it's still
trading up to $68 a share. This thing is
currently up 11% in the aftermarket. And
look, I'm not a big fan right now of
investing in a Cava and a Chipotle in a
Wendy's. Yeah, I mean, you could make
money, but I'm not, you know, I'm not in
the business of of investing in these
restaurants right now. Uh maybe one day.
We'll see. I'll trade them. I'll trade
them. But hey, it's good news. The
company is doing pretty well, at least
they did last quarter. We'll see here
the guidance if we can find it. Um, they
reported 19 cents EPS versus 18 cents
expected on sales of $365 million versus
$360 million expected. Not bad for Cava.
Same store restaurant sales increased
9%. Very key figure there. Um, anything
on guidance? I am not seeing anything on
guidance. I might have to dive deeper
into the earnings report. Um, so I'm not
going to do that in this video. We'll do
that later. But overall, man, this thing
is is trying to break out even with this
pop. It's not breaking out. Uh, we're
actually now trading still in this
channel that we've been in for for
months at this point. And yeah, maybe
Cava does break through and starts going
towards um 80 85. Even then, it wouldn't
be fully breaking out based on uh this
chart. What do you guys see? Or what do
you guys think? That's what I'm seeing.
Uh, but good report and a lot of these
stocks again are doing well
earnings-wise. So, what do you guys
think? Let me know in the comments. Hit
the like button. Make sure to subscribe,
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I'll see you in there. Have a great rest
of your