Video summary
NVIDIA's record-breaking earnings report, which saw revenue surge by 106% driven primarily by data center growth, signals a massive expansion in the AI boom that extends beyond traditional hyperscalers to include faster-growing neoclouds and enterprises. While some analysts raised concerns regarding increased Days Sales Outstanding, hosts argue this metric actually reflects NVIDIA's strategic commitment to supporting cash-strapped ecosystem partners rather than indicating financial weakness. Jensen Huang reinforced the company's strong market position by confirming that revenue per gigawatt will continue to rise with the upcoming Vera Rubin architecture, effectively ruling out any immediate supply constraints and validating sustained global demand for their hardware.
This momentum marks a significant industry shift from a simple "picks and shovels" model to NVIDIA controlling the entire AI stack, encompassing infrastructure, agents, and robotics, which renders the narrative of an impending "SaaS apocalypse" obsolete. Instead of being destroyed by AI, incumbent software companies like Salesforce are thriving by becoming "AI native," as demonstrated by their strong performance alongside partners such as Anthropic. The landscape is also evolving from centralized data centers to distributed edge AI factories, a transition facilitated by partnerships with Cisco and driven by the need for high-speed optical networking to connect disaggregated compute nodes, while simultaneously creating new opportunities for cybersecurity leaders like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks to address security vulnerabilities exposed by autonomous agents.
The earnings season has highlighted distinct strategic approaches among key players, with Dell mastering the timing of software stacks to allow enterprises to deploy pre-packaged AI infrastructure in mere hours rather than weeks, thereby supporting the concept of sovereign AI infrastructure where companies manage their own data domains. Meanwhile, cybersecurity giants are diverging in strategy; CrowdStrike operates as a platform company acquiring tuck-in assets to expand its ecosystem, whereas Palo Alto Networks pursues an acquisitive path integrating engineering work directly. Other major entities like CoreWeave are building full-stack AI factories faster than hyperscalers can adapt, with expectations of strong earnings and potential IPO activity, while NVIDIA's dominance is likened to early automobile manufacturers replacing horse-drawn carriages—a monopoly driven by superior product performance rather than anti-competitive behavior, even as competition emerges from AMD, Google, Cerebras, and open-source models.
Looking ahead, the future growth trajectory emphasizes robotics and edge AI factories that require low latency, necessitating a critical shift toward developing AI-native applications to capture productivity gains across various sectors. The discussion underscores that while technical monopolies exist, the market remains dynamic with emerging competitors challenging the status quo, yet the fundamental demand for accelerated computing continues to outpace supply. As organizations move away from traditional patch cycles toward continuous agent-based updates and expanded security posture management covering entire application estates, the convergence of efficient infrastructure deployment, robust cybersecurity, and innovative AI applications sets the stage for a transformative era in enterprise technology where companies must adapt or risk obsolescence in an increasingly autonomous digital landscape.
Read the full video transcript
Hello. Welcome to the Cube Pod episode
136. I'm John Furry with Dave Volante
for the weekly Cube Pod. Dave, salute
position. Hey,
>> buddy.
>> Salute.
>> How you doing, John?
>> All right. Oh my god, what a week.
>> The AI boom just got bigger, Dave.
>> So, it's we're boom town territory here.
A lot of picks and shovels being sold in
the old model. Now, Nvidia is selling
not only picks and shovels, but they're
building the railroad, the stations, and
the destination on maps. So Nvidia full
takeover mode.
>> It's all about Nvidia full stack
ambition. This week we saw SAS come back
with Salesforce and rise of the agents.
A lot of action and again I don't know
where to start. I mean boom
>> strike octa. I mean it's funny John,
right? I mean the analysts realized wow
we got to raise our estimates. We we
were undervaluing Nvidia. I've seen
estimates now 400. I mean, first of all,
monster monster quarter uh 90 something
billion 60 billion in operating cap uh
profit up their estimates next quarter
108 billion just you know again and
that's not even including any China
business right so remember that whole
China thing you know over a year ago
yeah that's that's real impact
everyone's sold out vera rubers are in
full production you're starting to see a
lot more action and this is I mean to me
the theme is we're moving beyond the
question is AI I real the question that
we need to talk about is who captures
the economics of the AI as the
architecture expands from chips to
systems, systems to agents, agents to
the physical world. It's all coming
together, Dave. The economics, the boom
is happening and and if you look at it,
it's the it's the buildout phase.
It was happening. It's still happening,
but it's moved on to execution and
control. You're starting to see, you
know, tokens equals profit. We heard
that Nvidia remains at the center with
their earnings and I put a post out on
their next mountain they're going to
climb at the edge we'll get into. But
they remain at the center. The story is
getting much bigger than GPUs. AI
factory, networking, inference, agents,
robotics, software, economics, security,
and political backlash are all
converging.
This is the AI boom is broadening and
maybe not breaking. and Nvidia's numbers
crushed it and Salesforce the so-called
sac SAS apocalypse
>> they just gave the middle finger to all
those pundits
>> talk about sales
>> you know I mean all the pundits saying
oh my god SAS is going to replace
>> uh this
about that was
>> that was interesting with uh with Dario
but before we get off of Nvidia I mean
you wrote a post you laid out sort of I
mean 106%
growth on 96.2 2 billion. A couple of
things really stood out to me. Data
center revenue was up 117%
like 87 billion. But that was
interesting that the hyperscalers
revenue is about half of that. And and
then everybody else, Neoclouds and
Enterprises, but that second cohort is
growing significantly faster than the
hyperscalers, which is also growing like
crazy. And I love the fact that Colette
Crest like right off the bat at the call
she said we're we're forecasting 70%
growth for next year whereas cons
consensus was like in the mid40s. So
that was a sort of a mic drop moment
because remember as soon as they
announced the stock went down it went
down like two or three%. Yeah.
>> And then of course they heard that and
then the thing started rocketing. It
goes down back down today and people are
like oh it's you know double top and you
know
>> no there's no double top. Look at the
look at the fiveyear trend. It's right
straight up a little bit of a bump, but
>> it's un well they're saying it would
fail to get back to whatever 20.
>> It was close. I mean, it's going to get
there
>> operating but there was some interesting
stuff going on in the numbers that
people are pro maybe, you know,
concerned about, but but I I want to dig
into it a little bit. Their their
operating cash was like 42 billion in
the quarter, but their operating cash
flows were down as a percentage of
revenue and their day sales outstanding.
and Colette said they're out to 60 days
and people, you know, they're a little
concerned about that. I'm not the least
concerned about that because what
they're doing is they're helping the
ecosystem. They're helping the
non-hyperscalers who don't have tons of
cash. They say, "Hey, we'll push that
out a little bit. We have the cash,
>> so we're going to extend the terms a
little bit." Um, I mean, they're
basically a 400 billion dollar company
growing at 70%. I mean, what else can
you say to that? And the other really
powerful takeaway in that call, if
people didn't pick it up, was was Jensen
and and actually Colette said this first
that if you go back to Hopper, it was
like monetization was $18 billion per
gigawatt for their customers. And then
Blackwell, $2 billion per gigawatt. And
then Vera Rubin, they're saying, is
going to be $40 billion per gigawatt.
And then one of the it was I think it
was Aaron Rakers my my my business
friend Aaron Rakers asked on the call
well can we expect that to continue and
and Jensen goes great question and of
course the answer was yes I mean it's
basically the new Moors law and you like
you said Reubin's in full production Gro
3 LPX is in production um and
inventories are up people are
criticizing for that but inventories are
up because they're gearing up for the
Vera Rubin and so and they're debt is up
a little bit but it was a absolute
blowout quarter. There is no demand
problem. I'm so not worried at this
point about circular finance financing
competition. AWS who's supposedly
competitive with tranium is going to do
like
like two million
GPUs that they're buying from Nvidia. So
obviously they need them and I think the
the the memory prices obviously are a
concern but the number one issue none of
that concerns me. The number one issue
is still the productive utilization by
enterprises and that's to your point is
what we ultimately have to see.
>> Yeah.
>> You know or this bubble might burst but
no no way for a while.
>> The Yeah. I mean I think it's more of a
monopolistic conversation. In fact, the
Wall Street Journal had an article
yesterday kind of hinting that people's
concerns around monopolistic behavior
and they canceled the revenue sharing
deal and they they could just drop that
like a bad habit because they don't need
it, right? They have all the cash. But I
think what you said when Jensen said
yes, will that continue that reinforces
that the buildout phase is now moving
into execution and control and revenue
and the fact that Vera Rubin's in full
production as is in rock, you're going
to start to see people getting their
hands on this. So while people were
waiting for the supply chain scarcity to
kind of open up you they were really
working on this AI native. So I think
why I brought up the Salesforce numbers
because it ties into the the the trend
of buildout to execution and again
you've been doing a lot of research on
the systems of execution uh and that's
building on systems of intelligence. So
okay Nvidia crush expectations and
remains you know somewhat capacity
extreme but they are shipping units to
the big players that matter. I think
Salesforce
earnings, yeah, they have a relationship
with Anthropic. They were an investor.
Claude Force, clever marketing. Good
job, Bengh. They beat earnings. That
bumps it up. But what I think that
shows, Dave, is that the the simplistic,
you know, rationale of that SAS
apocalypse narrative is is dead, right?
infrastructure demand remains
extraordinary while the incumbent
enterprise software companies are
beginning to demonstrate that AI can
expand rather than simply destroy their
business. So to me the angle on the
Cupid pod here is that the AI boom isn't
ending software per se. I always say bad
software always dies, but it's forcing
software to become AI native while
simultaneously creating an entirely new
infrastructure stack. So whoever can
take advantage of that and it's what we
said if you remember our analysis on the
SAS apocalypse was exactly the same
thing they got the moes they got the
data but they have to go AI native and
that is based upon the new
infrastructure stack we talked about
this this week when we launched uh the
exclusive story of Cisco's relationship
with Nvidia conventional networking
meets AI networking is what I called it
that's basically what's happening that's
going to open up the enterprise now you
can connect campuses other things are
happening so you're starting to see the
transition ition of you know the core
infrastructure buildout neo clouds now
called AI clouds coreweave doesn't use
that word neo cloud anymore whe they use
AI cloud whatever you're going to call
it it's the new cloud so that's done now
we're moving into the enterprise so I
think the salesforce numbers point to
the opportunity in the enterprise
because once this new infrastructure is
in place and you can connect
conventional compute conventional
networking conventional storage
distributed computing architectures to
the new AI stack with you variety of
approaches. You got Nvidia, you got
Google, they all do the same thing. They
pump out tokens, right? Tokens drives
everything. That's the mathematics.
Mathematics is getting commoditized. The
models are getting commoditized. But the
data is not getting commoditized. The
data is becoming more valuable. So,
whoever can move that new data that's
now converted into math into into the
math engines drives the stack. So the AI
stacks are fully different. They're
mathbased. They're AI based. That's
done. Jensen's data points to it.
Nvidia's numbers highlights it. The
demand for it is off the charts. That
means the entire industry will move this
way. Now they'll keep existing stuff,
but it will be AI native. Dave, that's
my take. Because when you go to the
edge, which we put out a post, that's
going to change it, but it's still the
same game as distributed computing,
disagregated infrastructure. So I think
that the Salesforce numbers not just
show that they're a good company but the
AI native SAS play has to be there and
if not they're dead. So if you're a SAS
company or you're using SAS companies
products it's a simple simple binary
analysis are they AI native or are they
not? If they're not they'll probably be
dead. So to me this is going to be a
freight train and again Nvidia is laying
the tracks down. They're providing the
picks and shovels, laying the tracks,
building the engines, the locomotives,
the the stations to jump on, and the
ultimately the destination. So, Nvidia,
I think, is never going to die anytime
soon in terms of their growth. And
again, Jensen, you know, over the top.
Yeah, of course we're going to do 70%
growth. That's insane. I mean, Andy Jass
used to tell us all the time, well, it's
growth on the bigger number. Yeah,
that's Nvidia.
>> I mean, hello.
>> What's the What's the question? Who are
we wrong? Come on. What's
>> What's up?
>> It's funny. I mean, people still sort of
nervous about, you know, Nvidia. I mean,
of course, it's the market. I want to
unpack some of the things you were just
talking about. So, Ben off came on with
um with Dario from Anthropic, and this
is something that we've been debating
with George Gilbert and David Floyer,
you know, rest soul. Um Floyer's
argument was always and I kind of was
very intrigued by this was always that
the um the the frontier model vendors
absolutely have to get into the system
of intelligence. They have to grab a big
piece of the software stack. And George
has always said they don't to your point
they don't have the data. They may have
some data but they don't have the
enterprise data and they don't have the
underlying application logic and it's
not in their DNA. And Floyer's point was
always, look, it's too complicated. AI
is too difficult. The the the Frontier
models are going to make it simpler. And
what they're going to do is they're
either going to acquire or partner or
both with companies like Salesforce. And
that's exactly what we saw the other
day. Now, the question is, will they be
able to, as Alex Karp says, steal their
alpha. I believe that that they
absolutely intend to do that with a
Trojan horse strategy. And so, you know,
but you know, of course, folks like Beni
off and and and Ellison are no fools,
but I really do believe that this is the
first step toward simplification
of AI. So, and Benov talked about we're
deterministic, they're probabilistic.
You got to bring those two worlds
together. And then the question becomes
it's it's unlikely it's probably very
low probability that
>> Salesforce is going to start inventing
stochastic software
>> like frontier model vendors. It's h it's
it's there's a higher probability that
the frontier model vendors will acquire
the they're clearly doing that with
FDEEs and they're going to learn more
and more and more about that underlying
process
>> knowledge and process logic and that's
something to to watch I think closely
and I think as to use an Andy Jasse term
in the fullness of time that the
frontier models are going to grab more
and more of that AI software stack and
if they don't they're in big trouble. I
mean, I love I love the um Alpha
comment. Again, Alex Karp, I mean, if he
sat here on the cube here in the studio,
I'd love to go toe-to-toe with him and
challenge him, but he's throwing
haymakers. He just doesn't know what
he's talking about. I mean, he's like
throwing haymakers from his perspective.
His assumption is everyone's stupid now
in this market. What Salesforce has
shown, again, this is going to play out.
There are dumb people out there and dumb
companies, but if you're a smart
management team, you're not going to
just give up your territory. So he's
right under the assumption that if no
one gets on board, they're going to just
lose their turf because that's what
taking territory is all about. But in a
perfect world, in a competitive strategy
world, I'm not going to let someone come
and take my territory if I'm a big
incumbent. So he's right on one hand,
but his assumption is flawed. He's just
assuming that, yeah, you're going to
lose your alpha. Now, I think if he's if
he means it as a prescriptive warning,
like an open memo type blog post, yeah,
he's kind of you can see his
perspective, but that's clearly not
going to happen. And if you're like an
existing player, it's like, okay, what's
it take to not to lose? Okay, in the
modern era, and we just I think we just
laid out that alpha. So, if someone
wants to give up their alpha, to use his
that term, then they're idiots, right?
So, like, you know, this is where you
got to assume that people are going to
be smart, you know, Jeff Bezos had that
phrase, you know, your margins, my
opportunity from that perspective. I
think Karp comes from that perspective.
And I think he's not wrong if he says if
you're not going to get on the right
side of history here, you will lose your
alpha. But I don't think that's a
mandate as in that's going to happen as
a matter of fact. And I think you'll see
the people who have that control plane.
They have that build out. They're
leveraging the stack in the way that AI
native does it. They'll just be better.
Their product will evolve and you'll see
things happen. Where the control points
are in their business, they'll have to
lock them down. And if they don't,
someone else will. That's just the way
the nature of the beast is. It's
Darwinism at its best, Dave, right now.
I mean, this is what's going on in the
market. So, you know, he's got the
haymakers on TV, but he's kind of right,
but at the same time, not realistic. No
one's going to lie down and say, "Hey,
take my alpha. Go take it."
>> You remember the other thing he said is
every every conversation I'm having with
enterprises, they're they're they're
leery of the frontier models. I mean, he
threw that FUD into the market and I was
like listening to him like really
>> suppose Anthropic is going to do a
hundred billion this year. That's like
10x 8 10x what you're going to do. So
obviously somebody's buying this stuff.
>> I mean if a company gives their alpha to
the frontier models that's on them but
the frontier models aren't maveli in the
sense of like gatesy and like we're
going to take over their business maybe
if they want to let them do it. But at
some point the frontier models have to
make a decision. What what line do they
push where their existing growth can be
maximized. Now if their only play is to
take everyone's IP and put it into their
cloud then that's like that's kind of
just a disruptive mode. The question is
is it a disruptive market or is it an
accelerated market? And this is a debate
we had with Nvidia and Nvidia is very
much in the accelerated computing
narrative and their version is simply no
one has to lose to win. Like so this is
the growth of the market. So the
disruptive mindset that Alice Karp has
is no he's throwing bombs at everybody.
He's throwing moltoff cocktails at
everyone. Okay, whatever. But that's not
the market. I don't think it's a
disruptive. Now some places maybe, but
for the most sake, everybody wins. And
like I said, if you're a SAS player or
an existing market and you move to the
AI native with the infrastructure that's
developing, you can win big if you got
those control points, if you got the
data and you build your new modes,
protect your alpha or change your alpha
equation. And Nvidia is doing it out in
plain sight. They just bought hugging
face for 12.9 billion.
>> Khan must be pissed.
>> They got potential perplexity
investment. They got Cisco rack scale
collaboration, new robotics hardware and
inference accelerator aimed at agents. I
mean, you talk about Nvidia controlling
the most important points around their
accelerated computing models. There's no
there's no clear example of how to win
than adopting the Nvidia strategy.
>> They just don't they just don't
dominate. They're just owning the
influence and all the control points
around it. You want a you want a cheap
way to invest in all these AI startups,
just buy Nvidia. It's underpriced and
it's investing in in everyone. But you
know your point about maybe a new type
of alpha I think is really interesting
because
>> you know alpha yes proprietary data
proprietary process etc. But maybe
there's a new type of alpha which is
speed new operating model. And if these
startups and new companies and emerging
companies can balance the frontier model
excellence with, you know, using open
models where it's appropriate, they
could build an operating model that gets
them to market really, really fast that
begins to dominate their sector. Yeah.
And then it may be a winner take
takesmost market. And that may be the
new mo the new op the new alpha is is
that sort of winner takemost
software-like marginal economics for all
companies.
>> Yeah. And and I totally agree that that
has to be looked at and and and and
watched very closely. And on the heels
of the Nvidia earnings, I wrote a post.
We were comment at the beginning of the
podcast.
>> Yeah. Let's talk about that. Great post.
>> And the important part of that post was
not to be get a hot take on why Nvidia
is winning. We already knew that a year
ago. It's just now everyone's catching
up. But if you they they're winning the
AI factory game where intelligence is
created. And if you look at intelligence
as the new monetization opportunity,
whether it's measured in gigawatts or or
tokens, whatever, AI is manufacturing
intelligence. These factories do. But
how do you distribute it? So the
important development is from this is
that the AI factory um is escaping
the hypers scale data center. Okay,
meaning okay what's next after the big
hypers scale data centers? Well, it's
edge and smaller AI factories. So the
Cisco Nvidia deal this week is evidence
that rackscale AI architecture is moving
towards the enterprises. You got
sovereign clouds and the neoclouds as
service opportunities. That's the next
TAM expansion. And the enterprises can
plug in to coreweave NScale very easily.
They can go to Amazon. That's
distributed computing. And in the Cisco
deal, if you squint through that
relationship, that's conventional
networking, which is distributed
computing, connecting campuses, going to
the edge, telco. You got um the AI uh
market in the enterprise which was
looking a lot more like Amazon's
outposts. There will be data centers in
hospitals, right? There will be racks,
but they won't be the monster racks.
They'll be 30 kilowatts.
>> So, so how do you get that done? That's
all networking. So, that's the network
is the computer. Again, back to Scott
McNeely, right? Comment, the network is
becoming the supercomput again.
>> Said I should have called it cloud.
>> So, so but it's interesting. That's but
if you think about it, you could plug if
you're an enterprise, you could plug
into a service like a corewave or an
nscale and get what looks like pure
endtoend IT like environment. Amazon's
already had it with VP um their their
technology. So okay, if you're now have
disagregated infrastructure,
call it scale across scale across the
network, you got to connect it. So
Cisco's conventional networking, you got
optical and photonic fabrics emerging.
You're starting to see the next mountain
that Nvidia will climb. Now Nvidia
doesn't like to talk about it because
they don't have product yet. They can
barely serve the current market. So that
to me is a really interesting
distinction. We kind of brought it up at
MWC last year. This year at MWC, I'm
certainly at supercomputing and OCP,
Dave. It's going to be top of mind of
everybody.
>> Well, I I I thought your post was quite
visionary. What I liked about it is, you
know, everybody is going to talk about
the quarter, you know, like I was just
given all this, you know, spewing all
the stats and the data center and half
is is NeoClouds, etc. What I liked about
your post is it was forwardlooking.
You're basically, you know, looking at
okay, the market is for inference is
growing and that's going to drive a
shift from centralized to distributed
was your kind of core thesis. And then
you laid out, which I thought was
brilliant, this this density mismatch.
And and I didn't I didn't have the
numbers, but you said that modern AI
racks need like what 140 kilowatts of
power, I think you said, but the Telos
are capped at like 30 to 50 kilowatts
per rack. Y
>> um and so the the idea and I guess you
talked to Nvidia and Cisco about this is
to disagregate
that that that compute and use
high-speed networking with optical and
and high-speed fabrics and that to your
point was a TAM expansion market
creation and then you started talking
about robotics which was that is the the
next huge wave. So this is why I think
Nvidia is going to be like I think they
be a 10 trillion plus company. I mean
>> I mean they their one of their big
announcements in the earnings was the
robotics piece and then the weekend
before the earnings unit out of China
showed that impressive robotics demo
robots playing tennis marching like
Attack of the Clones on Star Wars. It's
like I was like what world am I living
in? They're crushing it.
>> They're fast faster than Hussein Bolt.
But of course, you know, we can make
planes that go fast, too. But but still,
that was pretty impressive that the the
Chinese, you know, uh humanoid robot
games.
>> Yeah. Well, the the point about that
post though was also to to point out
that, you know, the partnership between
Cisco Nvidia is a normal partnership,
but the the networking is key. And all
the all the discussion over the AI
factories the past three years past two
years specifically has been all about
this AI cycle this first cycle obsessing
over footprint power land and shell GPUs
cost of GPUs and I think last podcast
you talk about the bottlenecks right the
next bottleneck is going to be
networking memory power inference
economics and distributed execution so
by post was trying to tease out that
okay if you're going to put a factory
node in call it a node on the new
factory network It's not going to be as
big. So where do you put it? If you're
like a telco, you got a building, you
got networking and power and facility.
So they have land power and shell. It's
just not that big and it's not a lot of
power. But it's also they have like a
bunch of other towers or central
offices. Enterprise have multiple
buildings. So the disagregated power and
disagregated footprint can be managed
with intelligence if it's connected to a
factory big factory. So I think the I
think the rack scale factory systems are
going to be this big wave now. Then the
smaller rack scale AI factories that are
tied into the footprint requirements are
going to come into production. I think
once that happens
phase one is over and the system becomes
uh the unit of the computing in phase
two the totality of the connected
factories. So if you connect all the
factories, you have a phase two
uh model that says what is the total
gigawatts per per revenue per gigawatts.
That's why I think Nvidia is confident
because they know and they're working on
it. We saw them at MWC. We've been in
the briefings. They're not saying it
directly, but if you connect the dots,
you know, OAN, the demo they showed in
San Jose at GTC, they had a factory
powering Metro Network blanketing San
Jose. the RF was connected to a factory
that shows the infrastructure and then
the Salesforce is just pointing to the
fact that the next app in the in these
regions are going to be powered by that
infrastructure. So again, the stacks
will be different, footprints will be
different, but it'll be connect. It'll
be a connected system that's going to be
very interesting to watch over the next
12 to 24 months. Who owns those control
planes? How do agents sit on them?
That's all going to be a big kind of in
the weeds and networking is key and
Nvidia is working on it. You talk to
anyone inside the ropes, we do, they're
all like networking, networking, how do
I get this fast from this here? You
know,
>> it is the new bottleneck, right? I mean,
it used to be used to be spinning disc.
Flash changed that. And then, of course,
STX is is
>> and Blue and Bluefield what the
Bluefield initiates all about storage.
If you look at the NVL72 rack, it's a
monster rack.
>> Almost half the rack is switches.
>> That's not compute. So, they have to put
this the nicks in there interface cards
to kind of manage the connections from
the GPUs to make sure they get the low
latency. And then the KV cache is
working, all that dynamo work. So again
all that system in the one factory you
multiply that complexity by like you
know hundreds and hundreds of factory
nodes. Okay you can put software to work
there too. So CUDA becomes important the
evolution of the software is going to
give you hedge a hedge against the the
supply chain churn. So as they're
waiting for the next chip to come CUDA
fills the fills the void. And that's the
same thing we're seeing with companies
like Alterara who does FPGAAS. Um so a
company Resolite which does photonix
fabrics they're knocking down massive
innovation there. So again I think the
the AI anxiety
is going to be lightened up a bit when
the economics hit and then you know the
politics of the data center. Don't get
me started on that but you know the
economic when the economics start coming
in to your point two pods ago
>> then
the idea of what we're in is reality.
But I mean talking about the Cisco um
great job by the way there. I mean to me
the the the significance of that Cisco
Nvidia relationship is you've got all
this sort of general purpose enterprise
IT infrastructure out there and you've
got this new thing called accelerated
computing and what they're doing is
they're creating a bridge. It's almost
reminds me of the the sort of Nvidia and
Intel you know investment and
relationship. um it's sort of a bridge
to accelerated computing and and CUDA
and and so you've got you know trillions
of of value that's installed with
general purpose computing and I think
it's going to be absorbed by accelerated
computing and this is just another sort
of I think proof point and that
relationship is critical and Cisco
becomes you know overnight like
exceedingly relevant again.
>> Yeah. and and the Cisco case here the
networking and if you move up the stack
on top of the factories you got the AI
native worlds we're always referencing
companies like fireworks AI but when you
look at some of the um execution
environments where AI is rendering
itself agents are top of mind I love the
physical robotics physical AI because
that's going to be a tell sign but if
you look at like the cloud and the
enterprise and the desktop and the
device and the physical side of that
world not the robotics you're looking at
trends we reported this week AWS
acquired duck labs around their duct DB
and their embedded analytics. Perplexi
launched an ondevice agent clean as a
desktop workspace. Anthropics advanced
both memory machine generated agent
standards. T Thompson Reuters launched a
proprietary model for legal work. Google
announced something for legal work.
Obviously Harvey's the winning company
today. All of that points to the fact
that if you look at the the dis the
fragmentation
of the environment that's interesting
because you have different approaches.
Everyone's trying to figure out where
the puck will be on the execution side.
What do the AI native apps look like?
Are they are they asset light? A new
term we're hearing a lot about. I don't
want the capex. I'm just going to call a
large capex cloud. So what is that
execution environment look like? Is it
fragmenting? Is that a good thing? Is it
a feature? Is it a bug? So, this is
going to be an interesting question,
Dave, because
at the end of the day, as we get more
horsepower, we'll see the models emerge,
the successes will emerge. So, I I'm I
don't know how I feel about this. All I
know is that the guy's changed. It's the
prompt is get me third quarter sales
projections versus writing the logic in
a SQL query, which is the logic you're
typing out of your hands from your
brain, versus saying what you want and
having the logic happen in the AI. That
is a completely fundamental turn in the
b in the data business.
>> That weird example is just now happening
at scale. That is a that is that is a
user change. And that's why these
headless systems are becoming popular.
Meaning
>> right
>> I don't need software
>> to go to the user because whatever they
want, I'll just respond to whatever they
want and provide intelligence and I'll
figure out the business logic based upon
the data. So that's going to change the
front ends completely
>> and the client surface is you know
completely changing to your point and is
also a closed loop with the back end
what we call the system of intelligence
or the ontology or you know the context
you know semantic layer whatever you
want to call it we call it the system of
intelligence but that closed loop is
critical and that's why I love what data
bricks is doing because they've got
genie in the front end and they're
building the system of intelligence at
the back end and they've got the agent
execution environment. They've got the
ontology and it's just they nailed the
the strategy. The one other SAS
apocalypse company that we have to call
out here kind of got lost in all this um
Nvidia news and and and Salesforce was
CrowdStrike. CrowdStrike absolutely
crushed its quarter. I mean, it blew
away all expectations. They're almost a
$6 billion ending ARR company now,
growing 25%.
that they they did 333 million of net
new ARR and they're what the the
fundamental premise here is and they
said this George Kurr said it was coming
in in their Q1 he said the mythos you
know event is going to be such a
tailwind and it's exactly what happened
the postthos
fear
>> has turned into cash that chaos has
turned into cash for companies like
Crowdstrike and and presumably PaloAlto
as well. But CrowdStrike upped its
guidance, new records. It it it
increased its its uh outlook for for
fiscal 27 by substantial 630 basis
points, their CFO said. So I'm writing
that up as part of my breaking analysis
today. But the cool thing that I want to
share with you in the audience is I'm
I'm introducing this week a new firm
called Qualitate.
So Qualitate is an AI native. It's a
it's a data intelligence primary data
platform and the premise is that public
data you know it's declining in value
first party data proprietary data is is
escalating in value. So they've
automated this expert interview uh
across a network and for doing market
research for investors, you know,
primarily and corporate strategy people.
And the company's built this incredibly
intelligent AI moderator and they're
capturing these expert insights at
massive scale. Any industry, of course,
tech is part of that, but but robotics,
semiconductors, healthcare, you know,
you name it. And interestingly, John,
the firm was started by Saga Kadakia,
who was the one of the early employees
at ETR. He was the head of data science
there and one of one of the colleagues
that I originally collaborated with.
>> Yeah.
>> And so, you know, they're they're
they're bringing a lot of nonobvious
proprietary intelligence to the to the
clients. And I I was able to they were
allow me to cherrypick some of the data
um this week for the breaking analysis.
And then um they've got a survey
platform that I'm gonna gonna test out
and I got a demo of it the other day.
It's unbelievable. You just you prompt
what who you want to survey, what you
want to survey, and they've got, you
know, tens of thousands of instances and
you can just pull up you want Cisco
customers, you want Oracle customers,
you want Crowdstrike customers, you want
Crowdstrike customers that also have
Microsoft and you can just query them in
record time at a substantially lower
cost.
>> This is the difference between modern
>> going to take off. This is the
difference between modern and old
because you mentioned uh and I mentioned
that SQL query. So for the people out
there that don't know SQL, it's like you
query the database. You have to figure
out the logic be in the query while
you're writing a longass query to query
a big database. It's got tons of rows
and columns and the work done was the by
the by the data scientists to actually
create the query. That's the business
logic. Okay, you have to basically
figure out the business logic first.
Okay, then your objective, then the
business logic that maps to the schema
of the database and you go and it runs
and it cranks an answer. You get a
report. The new way is just give me
third quarter sales or hey give me what
what's crowd strike with uh embedded
into a Microsoft account. I'm making
this up. So it just the logic is built
into the AI. So the modern era goes the
way the latter which is let your outcome
your that you want be the query. That's
a prompt. It does its prefill and
decode. All the mathematics kick in with
the AI engines. You feed it more math,
it gets more math and and the survey
work is going to be key. So then it's
going to be faster decision-making and
that's going to make companies perform
better and and and what you'll see is
lagards and winners. You mentioned
CrowdStrike. Okay. I was just talking
with someone this morning about this.
Their market cap is now 222 billion as
of close of today. Okay. The the the
curve goes like this. you know, even
with their little dip in their um event
in in 2024 went from 97 plummeted to 76.
We talked to George Curtz and it's just
peaks if you look at the technical
analysis. Compare by contrast Zcaler.
It hasn't moved.
Those are two peers, right? So Zcaler is
actually down from 2021 one. They've
lost value.
They're peers. That's funny.
>> They're peers.
>> So, okay. So, so you know, if you're a
company out there, you do not want to
have a curve like that, okay? You need
to look like Crowd Strike. Let's look at
Peloto. You know, Peloto, Peloto looking
really damn good. Better than
Crowdstrike, a little up to the right,
but you know, 300 billion,
>> but they popped heavily since 2026,
March of this year. They're they're huge
almost. They're up from 2021, but
remember they made that platform shift.
>> Yeah. Platformization. Remember too that
CrowdStrike still hasn't recovered fully
from that incident a couple years ago in
20 what is 2024 now? They still haven't
fully recovered. Now, at the time,
customers were pissed. They were saying,
"We're going to leave. We're going to
leave." Crowd Strike played it.
>> They didn't, but Crowd Crowdstrike
played it brilliantly. They they had
this thing called Falcon Flex. They had
it before the incident, but then they
deployed it. And their whole emphasis on
their go to market was keep the
customers happy. Don't let them churn.
Use Falcon Flex. Allow them to use these
new modules. On board them, make price
concessions. Whatever it takes. That was
their go to market motion.
>> Yeah. And remember
>> earlier this year,
>> if you go back to our Cube Pod, by the
way, we have that analysis and we
predicted
>> that they would not not only lose, they
would maintain and take correct more
territory.
>> That's exactly right. And and that's
what happened. And then earlier this
year, the signal was to the sales team,
okay, we're through that now. We got
through the knot hole there. We want to
use Falcon Flex to really drive new
logos and new growth. And that's exactly
what happened. And it timed was timing
was perfect because they initiated this
is at their SKO I believe this year
earlier this year and then what happened
was the methos event and it was just it
was just this gift for companies like
crowdstrike who were consolidating and
same with PaloAlto. Now the one thing I
will say is customers they're they're
like I say they're in chaos and so they
definitely migrating toward we saw this
to crowd strike. I think George Curts
said to Kramer the other day that still
customers mo many customers still don't
get it. Of course, he's going to say
that he's touting book and I'm going to
talk to him next week.
>> But here's the thing. Customers should
absolutely consolidate should simplify.
But when you do that and you give more
control and more data and more telemetry
to a a consolidated platform, your blast
the impact of your blast radius, you got
to think about it, right? because your
blast radius is now way more you know
tied to that one platform and so the
trust bar raises dramatically. So people
want to make sure that they coming back
to sovereignty amid governit
you've got to make sure you've got
financial sovereignty operational
sovereignty your tech stack etc that
you've got control in case something
goes wrong. Yeah, I mean it's I I think
it's going to be big thing, you know,
the Mythos um event from Anthropic and
there's a project called Glass Wing that
came out and that's been kind of like
they had they took it they did the right
thing. They went out to all the security
companies and all the major platform
players that were relevant and said
>> we'll give you this advance and every
single company that I've interviewed as
part of that program has said they found
significant vulnerabilities. In some
case the word was we thought we were
Swiss cheese before but we had no idea
how Swiss we were in there huge gaping
holes they found them they fixed them
now they get updates and that's a big
deal but the thing about the mythos is
Dave it's as big as chat the chat GPT
moment so in the security business
mythos is the chat GPT moment for
security because we all know when we got
chat GPT how good it was the reverse
it's like oh my god this is so good oh
my god it's so had for us. So it is a it
has been a call to arms. So obviously
one it highlights the state of the union
of cyber security is not high as healthy
as we everyone thought it was be maybe
was false comfort but it exposed and so
it puts crowd strike everyone in the
sector that's why I brought up zcaler
because I'm looking at all the
performance of these companies and the
ones that don't have a kickup are the
ones that are either getting killed by
mythos or aren't executing on what the
current landscape is. It's kind of like
fighting warfare with drones, with
Patriot missiles, right? Like, you know,
you don't do that. That's something that
we're seeing in the defense tech. These
new the new battlefield is different.
The rules of engagement are different.
And with with the models, it just
changes the surface area is a long tale
of a lot of vulnerabilities. All you
need to do is crack one spot and you're
in and now you got agents which are like
drones like everywhere. So agents could
go off the rails. They could be
manipulated. So, Egentic and Methos
together really line up as a call to
arms for the cyber security industry
because it is just a massive problem
opportunity. Everyone wants to deploy
models. They want to have the data
platforms. They're going to have a lot
of agents. And guess what?
>> It's unsecure.
>> Well,
>> that's going to be a huge opportunity
for CrowdStrike, PaloAlto, and all the
different vendors. And by the way,
Obsidian, a company we've been in, same
thing. a lot of different new brands
might pop up. So zero trust, endpoint
protection,
all good. I call that the patriot
missile strategy. You know, like they're
built for they even cyber resilience
back up and recovery based upon old
landscape. So I think it's a whole
reality and you know Sanjay Pun was in
today talking to me about this. He's the
CEO of Cohesidity. You know cube alumni
he passes hello to you but he said the
same thing. He's like look we have to be
very integrated into glass swing. We got
to have resiliency not be a just
recovery because these agents are going
to be having all these little paper cuts
that are vulnerabilities.
How do you roll back from that? So, so
the the whole methodology is changing.
The mechanism have changed, but the game
is even worse.
>> 100%. AI detection and response is, you
know, now the big thing. And you
remember everything's changed. You're
absolutely right. You remember patch
Tuesday?
>> Yeah. Patch Tuesday, you know, Microsoft
and others would put out their patches
on the second Tuesday of every month.
Patch Tuesday used to mean, you know,
hackers Wednesday. And so you had this
24hour window.
The window there's no windows anymore.
You have agents continuously doing
updates, finding vulnerabilities,
updating, patching. But the there is a
new type of window now that occurs. And
we kind of learned this from the crowd
strike incident which is you want a
window where you're doing planned
rollouts. You're you're you're doing
them in phases in case you have to roll
back. So there's a window in which
you're doing you know kind of your
initial test you kind of spring training
and if you something goes wrong you've
got to be able to roll back. So the
whole concept of that window that patch
window is changing. So that's that's
new. And the other thing is you know the
data from qualitate suggests that people
generally when they think about you know
mythos and how to respond they're coming
at it from application security. So you
think you know code but the reality is
they then immediately want to know okay
if I got vulnerabilities in my code
where else am I vulnerable what other
parts of my my my application estate and
are could be compromised. So now posture
management becomes a whole big thing
that was the you know what whiz
popularized right and then that leads to
cloud security and identity and I mean
it just all the crowdstrike's got all
these modules that they are enabling
>> and it's just this incredible flywheel
and you're seeing you know I mean
they've got multiple modules that could
be you know IPOs in of themselves and of
course they're all in one platform. It's
interesting because PaloAlto has a
different strategy was much more
acquisitive, but they're a great product
company. So, they do the engineering
work and and and do the integration.
Whereas CrowdStrike, you know, generally
was sort of always a platform company.
They do acquisitions. They're very
acquisitive, but they they do these
tuckins that go into the
>> into the uh into the platform. They did
a an acquisition called Pangia, which is
I think identity. So, that's you know,
agent identity is going to be really
important. They did another one called
Signal SGNL.
Um I'm want to learn more about that
next week at Falcon.
>> Well, we got a big week coming up next
week. Um got VMware Explore. You're
going to be at Crowd Strike. I'm going
to be in New York. Um a lot of action
happening on the earnings front. Um
PaloAlto, GitLab are reporting.
Snowflake, Broadcom, HPE, NetApp, uh and
then Dell, UiPath and Zcaler. So, you
know, I'm I'm checking out these
companies. I didn't mean to call out
Zcala, but is notable in comparison to
the crowd strike you mentioned, but you
know, Dell, I mean, Dell, I don't know
if you saw the news, but JP Morgan
picked up a ton of stock as as a equity
holder. Now, Dell's kicking ass. Um,
NetApp has some storage action going on
with Nvidia. So does HPE. All of these
companies um have a sovereign angle,
right? And I think you're gonna see a
lot more cyber security. I think the
convergence of cyber um cyber security
AI infrastructure and cloudnative
sovereignty like where's the domain of
my network what data stays in where's
the revenue I think sovereignty is going
to be a whole new word that'll be
redefined in the next 12 to 24 months
because everyone is talking about how to
use their infrastructure and
intelligence for sovereignty so you know
we'll watch these reports Dave it to see
how Palo Alto is certainly during the
week of crowd strike you'll get the data
there get the scoop and you know for
sure Broadcom will be very
>> that's interesting I mean Nvidia blowout
you know you got to figure that means
that's a good news for Dell right yeah
because
>> Dell is essentially a distribution
channel for Nvidia AI factories you know
obviously they add value to them but I
mean they are the number one you know
the you know
engine computing company that
>> they nailed they nailed the rack scale.
I mean what what where what Dell
deserves credit is they understood the
timing of the software stack which we
know we were close to Dell and they
looked for our advice and also we
watched them build out. They knew there
was no real stack yet but they were
first on the packaging of rack scale
systems you know um liquid cooled
turnkey they ship essentially a rack
scale system that takes turns on in six
hours. In fact, the word stand up is not
even being used anymore. The old old
language was stand up some
infrastructure. You know why they say
stand up? Because it takes weeks and
months to do that. Now you now you ship
a rack from Dell and it ships on the
loading dock as the rack. It's a big ass
rack. You come in and you turn it on
basically. Now it's not like turning on
the lights. It's six hours of turn on
but they're not standing up anything.
It's stood up. So the words from
coreweave, the words from Nvidia, the
words in the industries lexicon's
changing
the rack and stack language is over.
It's turn on, not stand up. So very
interesting nuance. I thought I'd share
that with you because I I see I've seen
that coming out of all the interviews.
No, no, we don't stand up, we turn on.
And like okay, I'm corre thanks I stand
corrected. Thank you very much. But
there it's interesting that you think
about it that way. the scale of of
turning on infrastructure.
>> That's why I wrote the small rack at the
edges. You drop a box in, plug it into
the distributed AI factory network, then
you have an intelligence network. So,
it's like a really I think this is not
being reported at all. I think we're
first to even call it out, but it makes
total sense. I don't think we're wrong
on this one.
>> Well, you've been talking, as have I,
you've talked even more the neoclouds,
and like you said, Corweave uses the
term AI cloud. All the other Neoclouds
don't mind Neo cloud, but the point is
called
>> Neolabs now that that's get the new word
out,
>> but they they are exceptional at
infrastructure, right? I mean, you got
>> people like Hen Goldberg and they make a
strong case that look,
>> you know, we're starting with a, you
know, green field
>> and the hyperscalers got to bolt this
stuff on and we're going to move faster
and we're focused and you've seen this
kind of disruption before. Of course, I
don't not predicting the hyperscalers go
away, but I think I think many of the
the neo clouds are going to do quite
well. Not all of them.
>> Well, coreweave core has their first
event. I interviewed Gene English as a
preview. She's the CMO cube alumni. She
was at Juniper before that and you a
variety of other companies. Um, industry
legend, veteran. She knows the business.
But coreweave is interesting. She said
they have their first corp uh
conference, their user developer
conference, whatever you want. It's not
really a developer, but it's everything
allin-one. They have practitioners
there. This is their first event. Their
numbers were off the charts, too, on
their earnings a couple weeks ago. So,
>> end of se end of September, right?
>> Yeah. Yeah. September, I think 30th to
31st. Um, and
>> we're going to be there. Yeah,
>> we're going to be covering it live. But
if you look at what they've done,
they've built a full
>> John Dave show, right?
>> We'll see. Yeah, I think that's Yeah.
Oh, yeah, definitely. Yeah,
>> I'm coming.
>> I think it was an IPO that day um that
we might have to cover. So,
>> maybe I'm slow. I was supposed to be at
Cyos. I was supposed to be going to
Cyos, but I'm going to go to the
Cororeweave.
>> I'm I'm scheduled to go to Coreweee. So,
unless it's an early
>> the big banking show in Miami. I was
scheduled to go, but the Cororeweave
thing is
come up. So,
>> well, I by the way, speaking of
Crowdstrike, I just saw news come across
the wire from CNBC. Crowd Strike CEO
exposes dangerous cyber gaps that legacy
tools can't handle. So, go get the scoop
at Crowd Strike. We'll be we'll be uh
getting all the VMware. I had a
pre-briefing from all the execs. You're
going to you're going to see AI
factories thematically all throughout.
And again, IT environments are going to
like what virtualization did for cloud.
You're going to start to see a similar
AI native
>> Yeah.
>> infrastructure be moving very very fast.
So, we're watching Nvidia closely, the
Neoclouds, and everybody else.
>> I got that preview, too. I I would just
say this. Obviously, it's it's
embargoed, but so I can't say too much,
but you saw it. I'll just say this as we
sort of reported when we had Charlie
Kawas on
people just they don't understand
Broadcom. They think Broadcom is just
this like PE that sucks dry all the all
the profit, but they invest. They are an
engineering company. Yeah.
>> And you can see that in what's coming at
at VMware Explorer.
>> Yeah. And and by the way, they're
working with everybody who's building
their own chips. So yeah, you know, you
got to know anthropics building their
own chips. So, you know, I hear
scuttlebutt on that. I haven't confirmed
it, but no one's on the record.
>> And yeah, let them, you know, you heard
Jensen's response to that. Yep. Okay,
>> good luck with that.
>> That's good. They still buying from us.
They have to buy from Nvidia. Nvidia is
the highest performance, lowest cost,
best product. You heard him on the call.
We got the best training, the best
inference, the best robotics, the best
libraries, the best software. And it's
true.
>> Yeah, it's true. I mean, we're in a
we're in a better mousetrap wins market,
Dave. The better product wins in these
inflection transitions. So, you know, to
end on the Nvidia note, they're they're
going to they're going to be very be
interested to see what happens over the
next few quarters now that Vera Rubin's
shipping now the optionality on the
different paro curves gives you now
tokens at different price points and you
got the open source models and the open
weights. I think it's going to be a
really great era for the neoclouds and
the enterprise as they gear up. Yeah, I
think the agent stuff will get rained in
with guardrails to begin with, but it's
going to be very interesting to see the
impact to productivity and revenue for
these companies. And I think Salesforce
is a tell sign that you got to get your
app right AI native with the new AI
infrastructure. So to me, I think that's
the story to watch and of course
Nvidia's land grab dominance will be one
we'll watch as well. But you know, the
demand is so high. It's really not a
monopoly when you have the the new car
and everyone's on horse and buggy,
right? That's what's happening.
>> Exactly.
>> Wait a minute. You're a monopoly. The
auto the horses are pissed.
>> I haven't seen, you know, Yes, I do
believe they have a monopoly, but I
haven't seen egregious monopolistic
behavior. Hugging face is interesting.
>> Yeah. But but Dave, it's the analysis is
simple. They're the automobile
manufacturer and the argument is like
you're putting the horse and buggy out
of business. That's terrible. Like, oh
my god, you're evil. Like, okay, what?
>> You know, there's still more more people
coming in. You got AMD, you got Google,
you got Cerebras, you have compute still
booming. So, I think, you know, the say
Nvidia's monopoly is ridiculous. Now,
they're mopping up because they got a
better product. But it literally is like
comparing horse and buggy to the
automobile.
>> Yeah, that's true. But and and there is
a lot of competition. And I think the
competition is a good thing. I think
that what people I I feel misunderstand
is Nvidia is the new general purpose
computing you know call it accelerated
computing and the general purpose leader
which is Nvidia is going to get most of
the market just like Intel got most of
the market you got companies like
Cerebras and they'll compete at the the
tip of the pyramid for sure and others
but you know I mean Dmatrix we love we
love SID and some really great
innovations going on
>> the scale flux is doing great scale flux
>> D matrix you have a lot of the embedded
systems again robotics will be a tell
sign on the edge and you're already
seeing a lot of innovation like I
mentioned the unitry in China that's
going to uh compel the American
entrepreneurs and engineers to to level
up I think you're going to be see a
surge in robotics and the technology in
robotics has to deal with low latency no
zero hallucinations because that's
safety issues you got graphs you got
multiple databases tons of sens sensors,
embedded systems, all run like an AI
factory. So, it literally is an edge
factory. I mean, a car or a robot. It's
it's it's it will be the test.
>> That's John's read John's post. It's
right now it's on the front page of
Silicon Angle. So, read it before it
disappears.
>> All right, Dave. Have a great weekend.
See you next time. 136 is on the books
or in the can or on the pod, whatever
you want to call it. See you next time.